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Hyperspectral imaging is a valuable analytical technique with significant benefits for environmental monitoring. However, the application of these technologies remains limited, largely by the cost and bulk associated with available instrumentation. This results in a lack of high-resolution data from more challenging and extreme environmental settings, limiting our knowledge and understanding of the effects of climate change in these regions. In this article we challenge these limitations through the application of a low-cost, smartphone-based hyperspectral imaging instrument to measurement and monitoring activities at the Greenland Ice Sheet. Datasets are captured across a variety of supraglacial and proglacial locations covering visible and near infrared wavelengths. Our results are comparable to the existing literature, despite being captured with instrumentation costing over an order of magnitude less than currently available commercial technologies. Practicalities for field deployment are also explored, demonstrating our approach to be a valuable addition to the research field with the potential to improve the availability of datasets from across the cryosphere, unlocking a wealth of data collection opportunities that were hitherto infeasible.
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BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic prompted strict public health measures to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission, potentially interrupting TB programmes in the Western Cape, South Africa. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study, estimating changes in new TB case rates and risk of death during TB-specific admissions within 6 months of TB first evidence, during the pre-pandemic (1 January 2019-26 March 2020) and after the implementation of public health and social measures (PHSM) periods (26 March 2020-30 September 2021), based on PHSM strictness. We used interrupted time series and logistic regression models to adjust for key characteristics. RESULTS: We found an average 22% reduction (95% CI 19-25) in monthly TB cases during the entire PHSM implementation period. Additionally, the risk of death during TB-specific admissions increased, with the adjusted odds ratio ranging across PHSM levels from 1.36 (95% CI 1.17-1.57) on Level 1 to 1.44 (95% CI 1.16-1.79) on Level 2 compared with the pre-pandemic period. CONCLUSIONS: There was a decline in the number of diagnosed TB cases and an increased risk of severe outcomes from 26 March 2020 to 30 September 2021 in the Western Cape. TB programme recovery strategies must be prioritised, and TB management programmes must be integrated into future pandemic responses.
CONTEXTE: La pandémie de COVID-19 a entraîné la mise en place de mesures de santé publique strictes afin de limiter la propagation du SRAS-CoV-2, ce qui risque de perturber les efforts de lutte contre la TB dans la province du Cap-Occidental, en Afrique du Sud. MÉTHODES: Une étude de cohorte rétrospective a été réalisée afin d'évaluer les variations des taux de nouveaux cas de TB et le risque de décès lors des admissions spécifiques à la TB dans les 6 mois suivant la première preuve de la maladie. Cette étude a été menée pendant deux périodes distinctes : la période prépandémique, allant du 1er janvier 2019 au 26 mars 2020, et la période post-mise en Åuvre des mesures de santé publique et sociales (PHSM, pour l'anglais « public health and social measures ¼), allant du 26 mars 2020 au 30 septembre 2021. L'objectif était d'évaluer l'impact des PHSM sur ces indicateurs. Pour ce faire, des séries temporelles interrompues et des modèles de régression logistique ont été utilisés afin de prendre en compte les principales caractéristiques. RÉSULTATS: Au cours de la période de mise en Åuvre des PHSM, nous avons observé une diminution moyenne de 22% (IC à 95% 1925) des cas mensuels de TB. De plus, nous avons constaté une augmentation du risque de décès pendant les admissions pour TB, avec un rapport de cotes ajusté variant de 1,36 (IC à 95% ; 1,171,57) au niveau 1 des PHSM à 1,44 (IC à 95% ; 1,161,79) au niveau 2, par rapport à la période prépandémique. CONCLUSIONS: Entre le 26 mars 2020 et le 30 septembre 2021, il y a eu une baisse du nombre de cas de TB diagnostiqués dans la province du Cap-Occidental, mais le risque de résultats graves a augmenté pendant cette période. Les stratégies de rétablissement des programmes de lutte contre la TB doivent être prioritaires et les programmes de gestion de la TB doivent être intégrés dans les futures réponses à la pandémie.
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Composición Corporal , Pérdida de Peso , Humanos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Obesidad/fisiopatología , Femenino , Masculino , DelgadezRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in the implementation of strict public health and social measures (PHSMs) (including mobility restrictions, social distancing, mask-wearing and hand hygiene), limitations on non-essential healthcare services, and public fear of COVID-19 infection, all of which potentially affected transmission and healthcare use for other diseases such as lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs). OBJECTIVE: To determine changes in LRTI hospital admissions and in-facility mortality in children aged <5 years in the Western Cape Province during the pandemic. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of LRTI admissions and in-facility deaths from January 2019 to November 2021. We estimated changes in rates and trends of LRTI admissions during the pandemic compared with pre-pandemic period using interrupted time series analysis, adjusting for key characteristics. RESULTS: There were 36 277 children admitted for LRTIs during the study period, of whom 58% were male and 51% were aged 28 days - 1 year. COVID-19 restrictions were associated with a 13% step reduction in LRTI admissions compared with the pre-COVID-19 period (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI)) 0.80 - 0.94). The average LRTI admission trend increased on average by 2% per month during the pandemic (IRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.04). CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 surges and their associated measures were linked to declining LRTI admissions and in-facility deaths, likely driven by a combination of reduced infectious disease transmission and reduced use of healthcare services, with effects diminishing over time. These findings may inform future pandemic response policies.
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COVID-19 , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Niño , Humanos , Masculino , Preescolar , Femenino , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Sector Público , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) carries a poor prognosis and the evidence base for surgical resection of metastases remains limited. The aim of this study was to establish the survival outcomes for patients undergoing metastasectomy for anal SCC. METHODS: A systematic review was performed using the MEDLINE®, Embase®, Cochrane and PubMed® databases. Studies were considered for inclusion in the review if they involved patients aged >18 years with a diagnosis of stage IV anal SCC who underwent metastasectomy for liver and/or lung metastases. The primary outcome measure was overall survival. Secondary outcome measures were disease free survival, early morbidity according to the Clavien-Dindo classification and quality of life, measured using a validated scoring tool. Risk of bias was assessed with the ROBINS-I (Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies - of Interventions) tool. RESULTS: There were 10 studies with a total of 98 patients. There was heterogeneity in results reporting, with recurrence free survival the most reported outcome. For all studies reporting on liver metastasectomy, the one-year overall survival rate was 87%. In studies with adequate follow-up reported, the three and five-year overall survival rates were 53% and 38% respectively. Only one study reported on lung metastasectomy patients; the overall median survival was 24 months. None of the studies reported on quality of life measures. The ROBINS-I tool identified a critical risk of bias in six studies, a serious risk in one study and a moderate risk in three studies. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence base for metastasectomy in metastatic anal SCC is limited. Further information is required to inform future treatment methods and use of a standardised outcomes reporting method is needed to support this.
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AIM: In a primary care population at high risk of type 2 diabetes, 24-month weight change trajectories were used to investigate the impact of weight cycling on fat mass (FM) and fat-free mass (FFM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cohort data from the Walking Away from Type 2 Diabetes trial was used, which recruited adults at-risk of type 2 diabetes from primary care in 2009/10. Annual weight change trajectories based on weight loss/gain of ≥5% were assessed over two 24-month periods. Body composition was measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis. Repeated measures were analysed using generalized estimating equations with participants contributing up to two 24-month observation periods. RESULTS: In total, 622 participants were included (average age = 63.6 years, body mass index = 32.0 kg/m2 , 35.4% women), contributing 1163 observations. Most observations (69.2%) were from those that maintained their body weight, with no change to FM or FFM. A minority (4.6% of observations) lost over 5% of body weight between baseline and 12 months, which was then regained between 12 and 24 months. These individuals regained FM to baseline levels, but lost 1.50 (0.66, 2.35) kg FFM, adjusted for confounders. In contrast, those that gained weight between baseline and 12 months but lost weight between 12 and 24 months (5.5% of observations) had a net gain in FM of 1.70 (0.27, 3.12) kg with no change to FFM. CONCLUSION: Weight cycling may be associated with a progressive loss in FFM and/or gain in FM in those with overweight and obesity at-risk of type 2 diabetes.
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Trayectoria del Peso Corporal , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Adulto , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Ciclo del Peso , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiología , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Composición Corporal , Peso Corporal , Aumento de Peso , Pérdida de Peso , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Cohortes , Impedancia Eléctrica , Tejido Adiposo/metabolismoRESUMEN
The 7th National Audit Project of the Royal College of Anaesthetists studied peri-operative cardiac arrest in the UK, a topic of importance to patients, anaesthetists and surgeons. We report the results of the 12-month registry phase, from 16 June 2021 to 15 June 2022, focusing on management and outcomes. Among 881 cases of peri-operative cardiac arrest, the initial rhythm was non-shockable in 723 (82%) cases, most commonly pulseless electrical activity. There were 665 (75%) patients who survived the initial event and 384 (52%) who survived to hospital discharge. A favourable functional outcome (based on modified Rankin Scale score) was reported for 249 (88%) survivors. Outcomes varied according to arrest rhythm. The highest rates of survival were seen for bradycardic cardiac arrests with 111 (86%) patients surviving the initial event and 77 (60%) patients surviving the hospital episode. The lowest survival rates were seen for patients with pulseless electrical activity, with 312 (68%) surviving the initial episode and 156 (34%) surviving to hospital discharge. Survival to hospital discharge was worse in patients at the extremes of age with 76 (40%) patients aged > 75 y and 9 (45%) neonates surviving. Hospital survival was also associated with surgical priority, with 175 (88%) elective patients and 176 (37%) non-elective patients surviving to discharge. Outcomes varied with the cause of cardiac arrest, with lower initial survival rates for pulmonary embolism (5, 31%) and bone cement implantation syndrome (9, 45%), and hospital survival of < 25% for pulmonary embolism (0), septic shock (13, 24%) and significant hyperkalaemia (1, 20%). Overall care was rated good in 464 (53%) cases, and 18 (2%) cases had overall care rated as poor. Poor care elements were present in a further 245 (28%) cases. Care before cardiac arrest was the phase most frequently rated as poor (92, 11%) with elements of poor care identified in another 186 (21%) cases. These results describe the management and outcomes of peri-operative cardiac arrest in UK practice for the first time.
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Reanimación Cardiopulmonar , Paro Cardíaco , Embolia Pulmonar , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Reanimación Cardiopulmonar/métodos , Paro Cardíaco/epidemiología , Paro Cardíaco/terapia , Sistema de Registros , AnestesistasRESUMEN
The 7th National Audit Project of the Royal College of Anaesthetists studied peri-operative cardiac arrest in the UK, a topic of importance to patients, anaesthetists and surgeons. Here we report the results of the 12-month registry, from 16 June 2021 to 15 June 2022, focusing on epidemiology and clinical features. We reviewed 881 cases of peri-operative cardiac arrest, giving an incidence of 3 in 10,000 anaesthetics (95%CI 3.0-3.5 per 10,000). Incidence varied with patient and surgical factors. Compared with denominator survey activity, patients with cardiac arrest: included more males (56% vs. 42%); were older (median (IQR) age 60.5 (40.5-80.5) vs. 50.5 (30.5-70.5) y), although the age distribution was bimodal, with infants and patients aged > 66 y overrepresented; and were notably more comorbid (73% ASA physical status 3-5 vs. 27% ASA physical status 1-2). The surgical case-mix included more weekend (14% vs. 11%), out-of-hours (19% vs. 10%), non-elective (65% vs. 30%) and major/complex cases (60% vs. 28%). Cardiac arrest was most prevalent in orthopaedic trauma (12%), lower gastrointestinal surgery (10%), cardiac surgery (9%), vascular surgery (8%) and interventional cardiology (6%). Specialities with the highest proportion of cases relative to denominator activity were: cardiac surgery (9% vs. 1%); cardiology (8% vs. 1%); and vascular surgery (8% vs. 2%). The most common causes of cardiac arrest were: major haemorrhage (17%); bradyarrhythmia (9%); and cardiac ischaemia (7%). Patient factors were judged a key cause of cardiac arrest in 82% of cases, anaesthesia in 40% and surgery in 35%.
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Paro Cardíaco , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anestesia , Anestésicos , Anestesistas , Paro Cardíaco/epidemiología , Paro Cardíaco/etiología , LactanteAsunto(s)
Anestesia , Anestésicos , Humanos , Monitoreo Intraoperatorio , Monitoreo de Drogas , Reino UnidoRESUMEN
Complications and critical incidents arising during anaesthesia due to patient, surgical or anaesthetic factors, may cause harm themselves or progress to more severe events, including cardiac arrest or death. As part of the 7th National Audit Project of the Royal College of Anaesthetists, we studied a prospective national cohort of unselected patients. Anaesthetists recorded anonymous details of all cases undertaken over 4 days at their site through an online survey. Of 416 hospital sites invited to participate, 352 (85%) completed the survey. Among 24,172 cases, 1922 discrete potentially serious complications were reported during 1337 (6%) cases. Obstetric cases had a high reported major haemorrhage rate and were excluded from further analysis. Of 20,996 non-obstetric cases, 1705 complications were reported during 1150 (5%) cases. Circulatory events accounted for most complications (616, 36%), followed by airway (418, 25%), metabolic (264, 15%), breathing (259, 15%), and neurological (41, 2%) events. A single complication was reported in 851 (4%) cases, two complications in 166 (1%) cases and three or more complications in 133 (1%) cases. In non-obstetric elective surgery, all complications were 'uncommon' (10-100 per 10,000 cases). Emergency (urgent and immediate priority) surgery accounted for 3454 (16%) of non-obstetric cases but 714 (42%) of complications with severe hypotension, major haemorrhage, severe arrhythmias, septic shock, significant acidosis and electrolyte disturbances all being 'common' (100-1000 per 10,000 cases). Based on univariate analysis, complications were associated with: younger age; higher ASA physical status; male sex; increased frailty; urgency and extent of surgery; day of the week; and time of day. These data represent the rates of potentially serious complications during routine anaesthesia care and may be valuable for risk assessment and patient consent.
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Anestesia , Anestésicos , Femenino , Embarazo , Humanos , Masculino , Incidencia , Estudios Prospectivos , Anestesia/efectos adversos , Hemorragia , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
The Royal College of Anaesthetists' 7th National Audit Project baseline survey assessed knowledge, attitudes, practices and experiences of peri-operative cardiac arrests among UK anaesthetists and Anaesthesia Associates. We received 10,746 responses, representing a 71% response rate. In-date training in adult and paediatric advanced life support was reported by 9646 (90%) and 7125 (66%) anaesthetists, respectively. There were 8994 (84%) respondents who were confident in leading a peri-operative cardiac arrest, with males more confident than females, but only 5985 (56%) were confident in leading a debrief and 7340 (68%) communicating with next of kin. In the previous two years, 4806 (46%) respondents had managed at least one peri-operative cardiac arrest, of which 321 (7%) and 189 (4%) of these events involved a child or an obstetric patient, respectively. Respondents estimated the most common causes of peri-operative cardiac arrest to be hypovolaemia, hypoxaemia and cardiac ischaemia, with haemorrhage coming fifth. However, the most common reported causes for the most recently attended peri-operative cardiac arrest were haemorrhage; (927, 20%); anaphylaxis (474, 10%); and cardiac ischaemia (397, 9%). Operating lists or shifts were paused or stopped after 1330 (39%) cardiac arrests and 1693 (38%) respondents attended a debrief, with 'hot' debriefs most common. Informal wellbeing support was relatively common (2458, 56%) and formal support was uncommon (472, 11%). An impact on future care delivery was reported by 196 (4%) anaesthetists, most commonly a negative psychological impact. Management of a peri-operative cardiac arrest during their career was reported by 8654 (85%) respondents. The overall impact on professional life was more often judged positive (2630, 30%) than negative (1961, 23%), but impact on personal life was more often negative.
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Paro Cardíaco , Adulto , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , Niño , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Anestesistas , Hemorragia , IsquemiaRESUMEN
We report the results of the Royal College of Anaesthetists' 7th National Audit Project organisational baseline survey sent to every NHS anaesthetic department in the UK to assess preparedness for treating peri-operative cardiac arrest. We received 199 responses from 277 UK anaesthetic departments, representing a 72% response rate. Adult and paediatric anaesthetic care was provided by 188 (95%) and 165 (84%) hospitals, respectively. There was no paediatric intensive care unit on-site in 144 (87%) hospitals caring for children, meaning transfer of critically ill children is required. Remote site anaesthesia is provided in 182 (92%) departments. There was a departmental resuscitation lead in 113 (58%) departments, wellbeing lead in 106 (54%) and departmental staff wellbeing policy in 81 (42%). A defibrillator was present in every operating theatre suite and in all paediatric anaesthesia locations in 193 (99%) and 149 (97%) departments, respectively. Advanced airway equipment was not available in: every theatre suite in 13 (7%) departments; all remote locations in 103 (57%) departments; and all paediatric anaesthesia locations in 23 (15%) departments. Anaesthetic rooms were the default location for induction of anaesthesia in adults and children in 148 (79%) and 121 (79%) departments, respectively. Annual updates in chest compressions and in defibrillation were available in 149 (76%) and 130 (67%) departments, respectively. Following a peri-operative cardiac arrest, debriefing and peer support programmes were available in 154 (79%) and 57 (29%) departments, respectively. While it is likely many UK hospitals are very well prepared to treat anaesthetic emergencies including cardiac arrest, the survey suggests this is not universal.
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Anestésicos , Paro Cardíaco , Adulto , Niño , Humanos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Hospitales , Reino UnidoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the management of advanced melanoma (AM). However, data on ICI effectiveness have largely been restricted to clinical trials, thereby excluding patients with co-existing malignancies. Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is the most prevalent adult leukemia and is associated with increased risk of melanoma. CLL alters systemic immunity and can induce T-cell exhaustion, which may limit the efficacy of ICIs in patients with CLL. We, therefore, sought to examine the efficacy of ICI in patients with these co-occurring diagnoses. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this international multicenter study, a retrospective review of clinical databases identified patients with concomitant diagnoses of CLL and AM treated with ICI (US-MD Anderson Cancer Center, N = 24; US-Mayo Clinic, N = 15; AUS, N = 19). Objective response rates (ORRs), assessed by RECIST v1.1, and survival outcomes [overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS)] among patients with CLL and AM were assessed. Clinical factors associated with improved ORR and survival were explored. Additionally, ORR and survival outcomes were compared between the Australian CLL/AM cohort and a control cohort of 148 Australian patients with AM alone. RESULTS: Between 1997 and 2020, 58 patients with concomitant CLL and AM were treated with ICI. ORRs were comparable between AUS-CLL/AM and AM control cohorts (53% versus 48%, P = 0.81). PFS and OS from ICI initiation were also comparable between cohorts. Among CLL/AM patients, a majority were untreated for their CLL (64%) at the time of ICI. Patients with prior history of chemoimmunotherapy treatment for CLL (19%) had significantly reduced ORRs, PFS, and OS. CONCLUSIONS: Our case series of patients with concomitant CLL and melanoma demonstrate frequent, durable clinical responses to ICI. However, those with prior chemoimmunotherapy treatment for CLL had significantly worse outcomes. We found that CLL disease course is largely unchanged by treatment with ICI.
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Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B , Melanoma , Adulto , Humanos , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/complicaciones , Leucemia Linfocítica Crónica de Células B/tratamiento farmacológico , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/uso terapéutico , Australia , Melanoma/patología , Supervivencia sin Progresión , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: A step cadence of 100 steps/minute is widely used to define moderate-intensity walking. However, the generalizability of this threshold to different populations needs further research. We investigate moderate-intensity step cadence values during treadmill walking and daily living in older adults. METHODS: Older adults (≥ 60 years) were recruited from urban community venues. Data collection included 7 days of physical activity measured by an activPAL3™ thigh worn device, followed by a laboratory visit involving a 60-min assessment of resting metabolic rate, then a treadmill assessment with expired gas measured using a breath-by-breath analyser and steps measured by an activPAL3™. Treadmill stages were undertaken in a random order and lasted 5 min each at speeds of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 km/h. Metabolic equivalent values were determined for each stage as standardised values (METSstandard) and as multiples of resting metabolic rate (METSrelative). A value of 3 METSstandard defined moderate-intensity stepping. Segmented generalised estimating equations modelled the association between step cadence and MET values. RESULTS: The study included 53 participants (median age = 75, years, BMI = 28.0 kg/m2, 45.3% women). At 2 km/h, the median METSstandard and METSrelative values were above 3 with a median cadence of 81.00 (IQR 72.00, 88.67) steps/minute. The predicted cadence at 3 METSstandard was 70.3 (95% CI 61.4, 75.8) steps/minute. During free-living, participants undertook median (IQR) of 6988 (5933, 9211) steps/day, of which 2554 (1297, 4456) steps/day were undertaken in continuous stepping bouts lasting ≥ 1 min. For bouted daily steps, 96.4% (90.7%, 98.9%) were undertaken at ≥ 70 steps/minute. CONCLUSION: A threshold as low as 70 steps/minute may be reflective of moderate-intensity stepping in older adults, with the vast majority of all bouted free-living stepping occurring above this threshold.
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Ejercicio Físico , Caminata , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Equivalente Metabólico , Prueba de Esfuerzo , Recolección de DatosRESUMEN
Detailed contemporary knowledge of the characteristics of the surgical population, national anaesthetic workload, anaesthetic techniques and behaviours are essential to monitor productivity, inform policy and direct research themes. Every 3-4 years, the Royal College of Anaesthetists, as part of its National Audit Projects (NAP), performs a snapshot activity survey in all UK hospitals delivering anaesthesia, collecting patient-level encounter data from all cases under the care of an anaesthetist. During November 2021, as part of NAP7, anaesthetists recorded details of all cases undertaken over 4 days at their site through an online survey capturing anonymous patient characteristics and anaesthetic details. Of 416 hospital sites invited to participate, 352 (85%) completed the activity survey. From these, 24,177 reports were returned, of which 24,172 (99%) were included in the final dataset. The work patterns by day of the week, time of day and surgical specialty were similar to previous NAP activity surveys. However, in non-obstetric patients, between NAP5 (2013) and NAP7 (2021) activity surveys, the estimated median age of patients increased by 2.3 years from median (IQR) of 50.5 (28.4-69.1) to 52.8 (32.1-69.2) years. The median (IQR) BMI increased from 24.9 (21.5-29.5) to 26.7 (22.3-31.7) kg.m-2 . The proportion of patients who scored as ASA physical status 1 decreased from 37% in NAP5 to 24% in NAP7. The use of total intravenous anaesthesia increased from 8% of general anaesthesia cases to 26% between NAP5 and NAP7. Some changes may reflect the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the anaesthetic population, though patients with confirmed COVID-19 accounted for only 149 (1%) cases. These data show a rising burden of age, obesity and comorbidity in patients requiring anaesthesia care, likely to impact UK peri-operative services significantly.
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Anestésicos , COVID-19 , Humanos , Preescolar , Carga de Trabajo , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , Anestesia General/métodos , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Routinely collected population-wide health data are often used to understand mortality trends including child mortality, as these data are often available more readily or quickly and for lower geographic levels than population-wide mortality data. However, understanding the completeness and accuracy of routine health data sources is essential for their appropriate interpretation and use. This study aims to assess the accuracy of diagnostic coding for public sector in-facility childhood (age < 5 years) infectious disease deaths (lower respiratory tract infections [LRTI], diarrhoea, meningitis, and tuberculous meningitis [TBM]) in routine hospital information systems (RHIS) through comparison with causes of death identified in a child death audit system (Child Healthcare Problem Identification Programme [Child PIP]) and the vital registration system (Death Notification [DN] Surveillance) in the Western Cape, South Africa and to calculate admission mortality rates (number of deaths in admitted patients per 1000 live births) using the best available data from all sources. METHODS: The three data sources: RHIS, Child PIP, and DN Surveillance are integrated and linked by the Western Cape Provincial Health Data Centre using a unique patient identifier. We calculated the deduplicated total number of infectious disease deaths and estimated admission mortality rates using all three data sources. We determined the completeness of Child PIP and DN Surveillance in identifying deaths recorded in RHIS and the level of agreement for causes of death between data sources. RESULTS: Completeness of recorded in-facility infectious disease deaths in Child PIP (23/05/2007-08/02/2021) and DN Surveillance (2010-2013) was 70% and 69% respectively. The greatest agreement in infectious causes of death were for diarrhoea and LRTI: 92% and 84% respectively between RHIS and Child PIP, and 98% and 83% respectively between RHIS and DN Surveillance. In-facility infectious disease admission mortality rates decreased significantly for the province: 1.60 (95% CI: 1.37-1.85) to 0.73 (95% CI: 0.56-0.93) deaths per 1000 live births from 2007 to 2020. CONCLUSION: RHIS had accurate causes of death amongst children dying from infectious diseases, particularly for diarrhoea and LRTI, with declining in-facility admission mortality rates over time. We recommend integrating data sources to ensure the most accurate assessment of child deaths.
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Enfermedades Transmisibles , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Niño , Humanos , Lactante , Preescolar , Causas de Muerte , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Fuentes de Información , Sector Público , DiarreaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Peritoneal dialysis (PD) is a valuable means to increase access to kidney replacement therapy in South Africa (SA). An increased rate of modality discontinuation related to an increased risk of peritonitis in patients of black African ethnicity, in those with diabetes and in those living with HIV has previously been suggested, which may lead to hesitancy in adoption of 'PD first' programmes. OBJECTIVES: To analyse the safety of a PD-first programme in terms of 5-year peritonitis risk and patient and modality survival at the outpatient PD unit at Helen Joseph Hospital, Johannesburg. METHODS: After exclusions, clinical data from 120 patients were extracted for analysis. The effects of patient age at PD initiation, ethnicity, gender, diabetes mellitus and HIV infection on patient and modality survival and peritonitis risk were analysed using Cox proportional hazards modelling and logistic regression analysis. Five-year technique and patient Kaplan-Meier survival curves for peritonitis and comorbidity groups were compared using the Cox-Mantel test. The Mann-Whitney U-test and Fisher's exact test were used to compare continuous and categorical variables where appropriate. RESULTS: Five-year patient survival was 49.9%. Black African ethnicity was associated with reduced mortality hazard (hazard ratio (HR) 0.33; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.15 - 0.71; p=0.004), and patients with diabetes had poorer 5-year survival (19.1%; p=0.097). Modality survival at 5 years was 48.1%. Neither Black African ethnicity nor HIV infection increased the risk of PD discontinuation. Peritonitis was associated with increased modality failure (HR 2.99; 95% CI 1.31 - 6.87; p=0.009). Black African ethnicity did not increase the risk of peritonitis. HIV was not independently associated with an increased risk of peritonitis. Patient and PD survival were generally similar to other contemporaneous cohorts, and the peritonitis rate in this study was within the International Society for Peritoneal Dialysis acceptable range. CONCLUSION: PD is a safe and appropriate therapy in a low socioeconomic setting with a high prevalence of HIV infection. Consideration of home circumstances and training in sterile technique reduce peritonitis risk and improve PD modality survival. Patients with diabetes may be at risk of poorer outcomes on PD.
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Coinfección , Infecciones por VIH , Fallo Renal Crónico , Diálisis Peritoneal , Peritonitis , Humanos , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Coinfección/etiología , Etnicidad , Hospitales Provinciales , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diálisis Peritoneal/efectos adversos , Peritonitis/epidemiología , Peritonitis/etiología , Fallo Renal Crónico/terapia , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on mental health is still being unravelled. It is important to identify which individuals are at greatest risk of worsening symptoms. This study aimed to examine changes in depression, anxiety and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms using prospective and retrospective symptom change assessments, and to find and examine the effect of key risk factors. METHOD: Online questionnaires were administered to 34 465 individuals (aged 16 years or above) in April/May 2020 in the UK, recruited from existing cohorts or via social media. Around one-third (n = 12 718) of included participants had prior diagnoses of depression or anxiety and had completed pre-pandemic mental health assessments (between September 2018 and February 2020), allowing prospective investigation of symptom change. RESULTS: Prospective symptom analyses showed small decreases in depression (PHQ-9: -0.43 points) and anxiety [generalised anxiety disorder scale - 7 items (GAD)-7: -0.33 points] and increases in PTSD (PCL-6: 0.22 points). Conversely, retrospective symptom analyses demonstrated significant large increases (PHQ-9: 2.40; GAD-7 = 1.97), with 55% reported worsening mental health since the beginning of the pandemic on a global change rating. Across both prospective and retrospective measures of symptom change, worsening depression, anxiety and PTSD symptoms were associated with prior mental health diagnoses, female gender, young age and unemployed/student status. CONCLUSIONS: We highlight the effect of prior mental health diagnoses on worsening mental health during the pandemic and confirm previously reported sociodemographic risk factors. Discrepancies between prospective and retrospective measures of changes in mental health may be related to recall bias-related underestimation of prior symptom severity.
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COVID-19 , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático , Femenino , Humanos , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/epidemiología , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/psicología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Pandemias , Depresión/psicología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios Prospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Ansiedad/psicología , Reino Unido/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
A three-year study investigated the epidemiology of epizootic ulcerative syndrome (EUS) in fish from Kavango-Zambezi (KAZA) and Great Limpopo (GL) transfrontier conservation areas of Zimbabwe. A total of 38 sites comprising 27 wild fisheries and 11 aquacultures, from Mashonaland West, Matabeleland North and South, and Midlands were selected. Of the 27 wild fisheries, EUS-positive fish were detected from 9 (33.3%) and none from the 11 aquacultures. No positive cases were detected from Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) from both aquacultures and wild fisheries. A total of 9.9% (239/2423) fish from the nine positive fisheries had typical EUS lesions, and infection was confirmed in 15 species. Prevalence was significantly higher (p < 0.05) in KAZA (11.5%; 95% CI: 9.6-13.4) compared with GL (8.6%; 95% CI: 7.1-10.1). The most affected were Clarias, followed by Barbus and Oreochromis species. Most cases (>80%) were reported in winter when ambient temperature was low. Further studies are required to determine water parameters associated with EUS outbreaks. These results suggested that the African sharptooth catfish (Clarias gariepinus) could be used potentially as an indicator species for EUS surveillance programmes. Thus, implementation of surveillance and biosecurity programmes that take into consideration the epidemiology of EUS will be beneficial.
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Aphanomyces , Bagres , Cíclidos , Cyprinidae , Enfermedades de los Peces , Animales , Zimbabwe , Enfermedades de los Peces/epidemiología , Úlcera , AguaRESUMEN
PURPOSE: An evidence-based, theory-driven self-management programme "My Life After Stroke" (MLAS) was developed to address the longer-term unmet needs of stroke survivors.This study's aim was to test the acceptability and feasibility of MLAS as well as exploring what outcomes measures to include as part of further testing. METHODS: Stroke registers in four GP practices across Leicester and Cambridge were screened, invite letters sent to eligible stroke survivors and written, informed consent gained. Questionnaires including Southampton Stroke Self-Management Questionnaire (SSSMQ) were completed before and after MLAS.Participants (and carers) attended MLAS (consisting of two individual appointments and four group sessions) over nine weeks, delivered by two trained facilitators. Feedback was gained from participants (after the final group session and final individual appointment) and facilitators. RESULTS: Seventeen of 36 interested stroke survivors participated alongside seven associated carers. 15/17 completed the programme and attendance ranged from 13-17 per session. A positive change of 3.5 of the SSSMQ was observed. Positive feedback was gained from facilitators and 14/15 participants recommended MLAS (one did not respond). CONCLUSIONS: MLAS was a feasible self-management programme for stroke survivors and warrants further testing as part of the Improving Primary Care After Stroke (IPCAS) cluster randomised controlled trial.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONMy Life After Stroke is a self-management programme developed for stroke survivors living in the community.MLAS is feasible and acceptable to stroke survivors.MLAS could be considered to help address the unmet educational and psychological needs of stroke survivors.