Does embryo biopsy, independent of vitrification, impact perinatal outcomes? An analysis of perinatal outcomes following preimplantation genetic testing biopsy in fresh and frozen embryo transfer cycles.

Objective: To compare neonatal outcomes in pregnancies resulting from embryos that have undergone preimplantation genetic testing (PGT) biopsy compared with no biopsy in both fresh and frozen embryo transfers (ETs) and determine whether findings are mediated by multiple births. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Society of Assisted Reproductive Technologies-Clinical Outcomes Reporting System data, 2014-2015. Patients: Autologous in vitro fertilization treatment cycles using fresh or frozen blastocyst ET, with or without PGT biopsy. Interventions: Not applicable. Main Outcome Measures: Large for gestational age (LGA), small for gestational age, and preterm delivery. Secondary outcomes included high birthweight, low birthweight, and clinical pregnancy measures. Outcomes were evaluated using log-binomial regression models with repeated measures. Models were used to estimate the controlled direct effects of biopsy on birth outcomes that were not mediated by multiple gestations. Results: In fresh ET, biopsy was associated with an increase in LGA (relative risk [RR] 1.45, confidence interval [CI] 1.04-2.02) that persisted in the model mediated for multiple gestation (RR 1.36, 95% CI 1.01-1.83) but was not present in an analysis restricted to elective single ET (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.91-1.09). In frozen ET, there were no differences in any of the primary outcomes after accounting for multiple gestations. Conclusions: In a large multicenter database, there were no differences in neonatal outcomes after PGT biopsy in frozen ET cycles, and an increase in LGA was noted in fresh transfers that persisted even after accounting for multiple gestations but was not present in analysis restricted to elective single ET.

Frozen autologous and donor oocytes are associated with differences in clinical and neonatal outcomes compared with fresh oocytes: a Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System Analysis.

Objective: To study the clinical and neonatal outcomes of embryos derived from frozen oocytes relative to fresh oocytes in both autologous and donor oocyte cycles after fresh embryo transfer (ET). Design: This is a retrospective cohort study using the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System database between 2014 and 2015. Setting: The Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System database was used to identify autologous and donor oocyte cycles that resulted in a fresh ET during 2014 and 2015. Patients: There were 154,706 total cycles identified that used embryos derived from fresh or frozen oocytes and resulted in a fresh ET, including 139,734 autologous oocyte cycles and 14,972 donor oocyte cycles. Interventions: Generalized linear regression models were used to compare the clinical and neonatal outcomes of frozen oocytes relative to fresh oocytes. Models were adjusted for maternal age, body mass index, smoking status, parity, infertility diagnosis, number of embryos transferred, and preimplantation genetic testing. An additional sensitivity analysis was performed to examine singleton pregnancies separately. Main Outcome Measures: The live birth (LB) rate was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes include pregnancy and birthweight outcomes. Results: Differences in clinical and neonatal outcomes between fresh and frozen-thawed oocytes after fresh ET were observed. Specifically, our study found a higher incidence of high-birthweight infants after the use of frozen oocytes relative to fresh oocytes in both autologous oocytes (12.5% [frozen] vs. 4.5% [fresh], adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 2.67, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-4.3) and donor oocyte cycles (6.2% [frozen] vs. 4.6% [fresh], aRR 1.42, 95% CI 1.1-1.83). This finding remained true when the analysis was restricted to singleton gestations only for both groups: autologous (17.3% [frozen] vs. 7.1% [fresh], aRR 2.77, 95% CI 1.74-4.42) and donor oocytes (9.4% [frozen] vs. 7.8% [fresh], aRR 1.38, 95% CI 1.07-1.77). Additionally, we observed a decrease in LB (aRR 0.81, 95% CI 0.77-0.85); clinical pregnancy (aRR 0.83, 95% CI 0.8-0.87); and an increase in biochemical pregnancy loss (aRR 1.22, 95% CI 1.05-1.43) after the use of frozen oocytes in donors, but not autologous cycles. Conclusions: Our findings of an increased incidence of high-birthweight infants after the transfer of embryos derived from frozen oocytes in both autologous and donor oocyte cycles raise questions about oocyte vitrification and deserve further study. Additionally, the finding of a decreased likelihood of LB with frozen-donor oocytes compared with fresh donor oocytes is an important finding, especially because more patients are seeking to use frozen oocytes in their donor egg cycles. Future research should be directed toward these findings to optimize the use of frozen oocytes in clinical practice.

Similar pregnancy outcomes from fresh and frozen donor oocytes transferred to gestational carriers: a SART database analysis isolating the effects of oocyte vitrification.

PURPOSE: This work aimed to study clinical and neonatal outcomes of embryos derived from frozen compared to fresh donor oocytes in gestational carrier cycles. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study using the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcome Reporting System database between 2014 and 2015, comprising of 1284 fresh transfer cycles to gestational carrier recipients of embryos resulting from fresh (n = 1119) and vitrified/thawed (n = 165) donor oocytes. Models were adjusted for gestational carrier age, preimplantation genetic testing (PGT-A), number of embryos transferred, multiple gestation, and fetal heart reduction. As our models were part of a larger analysis, intended parent BMI, smoking status, and parity were also adjusted for, but did not influence outcomes in this analysis. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in probability of live birth rates when comparing embryos derived from fresh and frozen donor oocytes in gestational carrier cycles. There were also no significant differences in biochemical pregnancy losses or clinical miscarriage. There were no significant differences noted in low birthweight or high birthweight infants derived from fresh versus frozen donor oocyte after transfer into a gestational carrier. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis of fresh and frozen donor oocytes in gestational carrier cycles provides the opportunity to assess for a possible effect of vitrification on the oocyte by controlling for differences in the uterine environment. We observed no significant differences in live birth, pregnancy loss, low birthweight or high birthweight infants when comparing fresh and frozen donor oocytes in gestational carrier cycles.

Epigenetic determinants of reproductive potential augment the predictive ability of the semen analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the power of DNA methylation variability in sperm cells in assessing male fertility potential. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort. SETTING: Fertility care centers. PATIENTS: Male patients seeking infertility treatment and fertile male sperm donors. INTERVENTION: None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sperm DNA methylation data from 43 fertile sperm donors were analyzed and compared with the data from 1344 men seeking fertility assessment or treatment. Methylation at gene promoters with the least variable methylation in fertile patients was used to create 3 categories of promoter dysregulation in the infertility treatment cohort: poor, average, and excellent sperm quality. RESULTS: After controlling for female factors, there were significant differences in intrauterine insemination pregnancy and live birth outcomes between the poor and excellent groups across a cumulative average of 2-3 cycles: 19.4% vs. 51.7% (P=.008) and 19.4% vs. 44.8% (P=.03), respectively. Live birth outcomes from in vitro fertilization, primarily with intracytoplasmic sperm injection, were not found to be significantly different among any of the 3 groups. CONCLUSION: Methylation variability in a panel of 1233 gene promoters could augment the predictive ability of semen analysis and be a reliable biomarker for assessing intrauterine insemination outcomes. In vitro fertilization with intracytoplasmic sperm injection appears to overcome high levels of epigenetic instability in sperm.

The Role of Maternal Preconception Adiposity in Human Offspring Sex and Sex Ratio.

We evaluated relationships between preconception adiposity and human offspring sex and sex ratio. Using data from a prospective preconception cohort nested within a randomized controlled trial based at 4 US clinical sites (2006-2012), we used logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for male:female sex ratio, and log-identity regression to estimate risk differences (RDs) and 95% CIs for male and female livebirth according to preconception adiposity measures. Inverse-probability weights accounted for potential selection bias. Among 603 women attempting pregnancy, there were meaningful reductions in sex ratio for the highest category of each adiposity measure. The lowest sex ratios were observed for obesity (body mass index of ≥30, calculated as weight (kg)/height (m)2, OR = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.26, 0.88) relative to normal body mass index, and the top tertiles (tertile 3) of serum leptin (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.80) and skinfold measurements (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.79) relative to the lowest tertiles. Reductions were driven by 11-15 fewer male livebirths per 100 women (for obesity, RD = -15, 95% CI: -23, -6.7; for leptin tertile 3, RD = -11, 95% CI: -20, -3.2; and for skinfolds tertile 3, RD = -11, 95% CI: -19, -3.3). We found that relationships between preconception adiposity measures and reduced sex ratio were driven by a reduction in male births.

Longitudinal semen parameter assessments and live birth: variability and implications for treatment strategies.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether semen parameters are associated with live birth among couples seeking infertility treatment after accounting for semen parameter variability. DESIGN: Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation Trial (FAZST) prospective cohort. SETTING: Four US reproductive endocrinology and infertility care study centers, 2013-2017. PATIENT(S): Couples (n = 2,369) seeking fertility consultations at 4 US infertility care study centers. INTERVENTION(S): Semen volume, pH, sperm viability, morphology, progressive and total motility, concentration, count, and total and progressive motile count assessed at baseline and at 2, 4, and 6 months after enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Log-binomial models stratified by fertility treatment received (in vitro fertilization [IVF], intrauterine insemination [IUI], ovulation induction [OI], or no treatment) estimated risk differences (RDs) between semen parameter quartiles and live birth and accounted for multiple semen assessments per person. We accounted for abstinence time, the biological interdependence of semen parameters, and potential selection bias because of loss to follow-up. RESULT(S): Among couples using OI only or no treatment, 39% had a live birth, and relative to the highest quartile, the lowest quartiles of morphology (RD, -19 [95% CI, -23 to -15] per 100 couples), motility (RD, -13 [95% CI, -17 to -9]), concentration (RD, -22 [95% CI, -26 to -19]), and total motile count (RD, -18 [95% CI, -22 to -14]) were associated with fewer live births. For IUI, 26% had a live birth, and the lowest quartiles of volume (RD, -6 [95% CI, -11 to -0.4]), concentration (RD, -6 [95% CI, -11 to -0.1]), count (RD, -10 [95% CI, -15 to -4]), and total motile count (RD, -7 [95% CI, -13 to -1]) were associated with fewer live births. For IVF, 61% had a live birth, and only morphology (Q1 RD, -7 [95% CI, -14 to 0.2]; Q2 RD, -10 [95% CI, -17 to -2.2]) was associated with live birth. CONCLUSION(S): Semen parameters are critical in couples undergoing OI/IUI. Only low morphology was important for live birth after IVF. Although data supporting the use of semen parameters are fragmented across differing populations, current findings are generalizable across the range of male fertility and couple fertility treatments, providing evidence about which semen parameters are most relevant in which settings. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT#01857310.

Preconception caffeine metabolites, caffeinated beverage intake, and fecundability.

BACKGROUND: Caffeine is the most frequently used psychoactive substance in the United States and >90% of reproductive-age women report some amount of intake daily. Despite biological plausibility, previous studies on caffeine and fecundability report conflicting results. Importantly, prior studies measured caffeine exposure exclusively by self-report, which is subject to measurement error and does not account for factors that influence caffeine metabolism. OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to examine associations between preconception serum caffeine metabolites, caffeinated beverage intake, and fecundability. METHODS: Participants included 1228 women aged 18-40 y with a history of 1-2 pregnancy losses in the EAGeR (Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction) trial. We prospectively evaluated associations of preconception caffeine metabolites (i.e., caffeine, paraxanthine, and theobromine) measured from 1191 serum samples untimed to a specific time of day, self-reported usual caffeinated beverage intakes at baseline, and time-varying cycle-average caffeinated beverage intake, with fecundability. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated fecundability odds ratios (FORs) and 95% CIs according to each metabolite. Follow-up was complete for 89% (n = 1088) of participants. RESULTS: At baseline, 85%, 73%, and 91% of women had detectable serum caffeine, paraxanthine, and theobromine, respectively. A total of 797 women became pregnant during ≤6 cycles of preconception follow-up. After adjusting for potential confounders, neither serum caffeine [tertile (T)3 compared with T1 FOR: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.71, 1.08], paraxanthine (T3 compared with T1 FOR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.75, 1.14), nor theobromine (T3 compared with T1 FOR: 1.15; 95% CI: 0.95, 1.40) were associated with fecundability. Baseline intake of total caffeinated beverages was not associated with fecundability (>3 compared with 0 servings/d adjusted FOR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.74, 1.34), nor was caffeinated coffee (>2 compared with 0 servings/d adjusted FOR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.45, 1.92) or caffeinated soda (>2 servings/d adjusted FOR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.71, 1.20). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are reassuring that caffeine exposure from usual low to moderate caffeinated beverage intake likely does not influence fecundability.This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT00467363.

The impact of zinc and folic acid supplementation on sperm DNA methylation: results from the folic acid and zinc supplementation randomized clinical trial (FAZST).

OBJECTIVE: To determine if 6-month folic acid (5 mg) and zinc (30 mg) supplementation impacts sperm DNA methylation patterns. DESIGN: A multicenter, double-blind, block randomized, placebo-controlled trial titled "The Folic Acid and Zinc Supplementation Trial (FAZST)." SETTING: Infertility care centers. PATIENT(S): Male partners (18 years and older) from heterosexual couples (female partners aged 18-45 years) seeking fertility treatment were recruited. INTERVENTION(S): Men were randomized 1:1 to receive folic acid (5 mg) and elemental zinc (30 mg) (n = 713) or a matching placebo (n = 757) daily for 6 months. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Sperm DNA methylation was analyzed using the EPIC methylation array (Illumina) at 6 months. Differential sperm DNA methylation was assessed at multiple levels (regional, single cytosine phosphate guanine, etc.). We additionally assessed the impact of supplementation on epigenetic age. RESULT(S): No significant differences were identified between the treatment and placebo groups although some trends appeared to be present. To determine if these trends were noteworthy, we implemented various permutations and found that the patterns we identified were no more than would be expected by random chance. CONCLUSION(S): The data presented here strongly suggest that this supplementation regimen is not effective at altering sperm DNA methylation. These data comport well with previous findings from the FAZST study that found no impact of supplementation on basic semen analysis parameters or live birth. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01857310.

Low Intake of Vegetable Protein is Associated With Altered Ovulatory Function Among Healthy Women of Reproductive Age.

CONTEXT: Diets high in plant-based protein have gained popularity due to increasing health concerns regarding consumption of animal products. Though links between intakes of certain protein-rich foods and reproductive disorders have been suggested, the relationship of overall animal and vegetable proteins with reproductive hormones among reproductive-aged women is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the associations between the intake of dietary protein with reproductive hormones and sporadic anovulation among reproductive-aged women. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study, 2005-2007. SETTING: University at Buffalo, western New York, United States. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 259 premenopausal women (18-44 years) without dietary restrictions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Serum reproductive hormones were determined up to 8 times per cycle for 2 cycles. Protein intake was assessed the day prior to hormone assessment at 4 visits/cycle using 24-hour recalls. RESULTS: Overall, 84% of participants met the recommended dietary allowance for total protein set for reproductive-aged women. Neither total nor animal protein intake were associated with reproductive hormones or anovulation. However, vegetable protein intake in the lowest tertile was associated with lower luteal phase progesterone (-18.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI] -30.2, -3.6), higher follicle-stimulating hormone (3.8%, 95% CI 0.2, 7.6), and a higher risk of anovulation (risk ratio [RR] 2.53, 95% CI 1.21, 5.26), compared with the middle tertile. Nuts and seeds were the only protein-rich foods associated with an elevated risk of anovulation (RR 2.12, 95% CI 1.17, 3.85). CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest that among women who meet the recommended dietary allowance for total protein, low intake of vegetable, but not animal, protein may disturb normal ovulatory function.

Obstetric outcomes in pregnancies resulting from in vitro fertilization are not different in fertile, sterilized women compared to infertile women: A Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology database analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare obstetric and neonatal outcomes resulting from assisted reproductive technology in couples with a history of female sterilization to couples with other infertility diagnoses. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Not applicable. PATIENT(S): Fresh, nondonor cycles excluding gestational surrogacy from 2004 to 2013 in the United States. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Preterm birth rates and low birth weight rates from in vitro fertilization (IVF) pregnancies in couples with infertility and in couples with prior tubal ligation as their sole indication for IVF. RESULT(S): The mean ages of fertile women (N = 8,478) and infertile women (N = 371,488) were 35.3 and 34.6 years, respectively. Of the singletons born to parous women (N = 26,463), the incidence of preterm birth was not significantly different in fertile, sterilized couples compared to infertile couples (13.7% vs. 12.0%). The incidence of low birth weight among term singletons was also not significantly different between fertile couples compared to infertile couples (3.5% vs. 3.2%). CONCLUSION(S): Fertile couples have similar preterm birth and low birth weight rates after IVF compared to infertile couples. This suggests that differences in perinatal outcomes may be due to assisted reproductive technology procedures rather than infertility itself.

Sporadic anovulation is not an important determinant of becoming pregnant and time to pregnancy among eumenorrheic women: A simulation study.

BACKGROUND: Attaining pregnancy is conditional upon a series of complex processes, including adequately timed intercourse, ovulation, fertilisation, and implantation. Anovulation is a first-line treatment target for couples with difficulty conceiving and is frequently examined in studies of fecundability. OBJECTIVES: To identify whether sporadic anovulation is an important determinant of cumulative pregnancy rates and time to pregnancy among fertile women with regular menstrual cycles. METHODS: We simulated cumulative pregnancy rates and time to pregnancy for 12 consecutive menstrual cycles among 100 000 women based on data-driven probabilities of implantation, fertilisation, ovulation, and intercourse occurring in the fertile window. We assumed anovulation probabilities of 1%, 8%, or 14.5% and intercourse averaging once per week, every other day, or daily. The model incorporated reductions in implantation and fertilisation rates for successive cycles of non-pregnancy. RESULTS: After 12 cycles, a reduction in the per cycle incidence of anovulation from 14.5% to 1% resulted in a 4.0% higher cumulative pregnancy rate (86.7% vs 90.7%) and similar time to pregnancy (1-cycle median difference). In contrast, increasing mean unscheduled sexual intercourse frequency from weekly to every other day was associated with a 5-cycle median reduction in time to pregnancy (weekly: 7 cycles; every other day or daily: 2 cycles) and a 28.9% increase in the cumulative pregnancy rate (weekly: 59.9%, every other day: 88.8%; daily: 91.6%). CONCLUSIONS: In presumed fertile women with regular menstrual cycles, routine investigation of anovulation may not be an informative outcome in studies of fecundability, and routine testing to ensure ovulation and treatment of anovulation are unlikely to be medically necessary. While biomarkers or cervical fluid may help time intercourse to the fertile window, time to pregnancy can also be improved through increasing the frequency of unscheduled intercourse. These findings need corroboration in large preconception time to pregnancy studies.

Circulating Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor and Soluble fms-Like Tyrosine Kinase-1 as Biomarkers for Endometrial Remodeling Across the Menstrual Cycle.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize variation in circulating vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and its receptor, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFLT-1), across the menstrual cycle in normal ovulating women in relation to reproductive hormones to identify the utility of VEGF and sFLT-1 as peripheral biomarkers of endometrial remodeling. METHODS: Ninety-six healthy, regularly menstruating ovulatory women, aged 18-44 years, enrolled in the BioCycle Study, a prospective cohort study at a U.S. academic research center. Vascular endothelial growth factor and sFLT-1 were measured in concurrently collected plasma, serum, and urine up to eight times across a single cycle. Reproductive hormones were measured in serum. Mean concentrations of VEGF and sFLT-1 were compared across phases of the cycle, and correlations between specimen types were calculated. Harmonic models estimated associations between VEGF and sFLT-1 and characteristics of hormonal patterns. RESULTS: No variation in VEGF or sFLT-1 levels were detected over the menstrual cycle. Median (25th percentile, 75th percentile) concentrations of VEGF during the menstrual cycle were 31.2 pg/mL (24.1, 56.9) in plasma, 194.1 pg/mL (125.4, 350.2) in serum, and 101.7 pg/mL (64.2, 165.8) in urine. Plasma and serum measures were consistently correlated, whereas urinary measures were not. Vascular endothelial growth factor was not consistently associated with reproductive hormone concentrations, although sFLT-1 was associated with higher mean and amplitude of estradiol. CONCLUSION: Circulating VEGF and sFLT-1 did not vary across the menstrual cycle and therefore are unlikely to be useful peripheral biomarkers of endometrial changes across the menstrual cycle. For studies measuring circulating VEGF for other reasons, plasma may be the preferred medium and timing to menstrual cycle phase need not be considered for reproductive-age women.

The Society for Epidemiologic Research and the Future of Diversity and Inclusion in Epidemiology.

"The mission of the Diversity and Inclusion Committee (D&I) in the Society for Epidemiologic Research is to foster the diversity of our membership and work towards the engagement of all members, from diverse backgrounds at all stages of their careers, in the Society's activities, with the intent of enhancing discovery in public health." As a foundational step in implementing our mission, the D&I Committee conducted a survey of SER membership. Here we report on the efforts we have undertaken to expand the diversity and inclusiveness of our Society and our aspirations for future efforts in support of D&I. Early on, we established the SERvisits program to conduct outreach to institutions and students that have historically been underrepresented at SER; we hope this program continues to grow in its reach and impact. We have also taken steps to increase the inclusiveness of SER activities, for example, by engaging members on issues of D&I through symposia and workshops at SER annual meetings and through social media. DeVilbiss et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 2020;189(10):998-1010) have demonstrated that there is substantial room for improvement with regards to diversity and inclusion within SER. We invite SER members to become involved and collaborate on this long-term goal.

A method to visualize a complete sensitivity analysis for loss to follow-up in clinical trials.

Loss to follow-up occurs in randomized controlled trials. Missing data methods, including multiple imputation (MI), can be used but often rely upon untestable assumptions. Sensitivity analysis can quantify violations of these assumptions. Since an adequate sensitivity analysis requires evaluation of multiple scenarios, presenting this information in an easily interpretable manner is challenging. We propose to graphically represent a thorough sensitivity analysis displaying all possible outcomes for loss to follow-up in randomized controlled trial data relating a completely observed binary exposure to a binary outcome. We describe plausible results under different missingness mechanisms using data from the EAGeR Trial (n = 1228) on low-dose aspirin versus placebo on pregnancy and live birth, in which 140 participants had early withdrawal. For the effect of aspirin on live birth, sensitivity analysis risk ratios (RR) for all potential outcome scenarios ranged from 0.88 to 1.34, applicable to any possible missingness mechanism. MI produced RR = 1.10; 95% confidence interval: (0.98, 1.22). RRs from individual imputations ranged from 1.04 to 1.16, the range of results that could have been observed if data were missing at random. Under this mechanism, the conclusions about the efficacy of low-dose aspirin could have been sensitive to the missing outcome data. Rather than limiting sensitivity analysis for loss to follow-up to a few scenarios that can be presented tabularly, results of a complete sensitivity analysis can be presented in a single plot, which should be implemented in all studies with missing outcome data to convey certainty or uncertainty, confidence or caution.

Vaginal bleeding and nausea in early pregnancy as predictors of clinical pregnancy loss.

BACKGROUND: Although nausea and vaginal bleeding are commonly experienced in early pregnancy, their prognostic value in predicting clinical pregnancy loss is not well understood. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to understand whether timing of bleeding and nausea symptoms can be used to predict risk of pregnancy loss among women with ultrasound-confirmed pregnancies. STUDY DESIGN: A cohort of 701 women with clinically confirmed pregnancies and 1 to 2 previous pregnancy losses were preconceptionally enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction trial (2006-2012). Participants completed daily symptom diaries from 2 to 8 weeks' gestation and were prospectively monitored for detection of pregnancy loss. The risk of pregnancy loss was estimated for each observed bleeding and nausea pattern, and positive and negative predictive values for each pattern were calculated. RESULTS: Among 701 women, 211 (30.1%) reported any vaginal bleeding, and 639 (91.2%) reported any nausea. Most bleeding experienced by women was spotting and contained within a single episode. Within 2 to <4, 4 to <6, and 6 to 8 weeks' gestation, vaginal bleeding occurred in 5.9% (41) (5.7% live birth, 7.1% clinical pregnancy loss), 14.6% (102) (13.9% live birth, 18.6% clinical pregnancy loss), and 20.8% (146) (18.4% live birth, 32.4% clinical pregnancy loss) of women, respectively. Within the same gestational periods, nausea was reported in 22.7% (159) (23.2% live birth, 20.4% clinical pregnancy loss), 65.9% (462) (67.5% live birth, 58.4% clinical pregnancy loss), and 87.0% (610) (90.6% live birth, 69.0% clinical pregnancy loss) of women. Women who had bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation (3.6% prevalance) had the greatest risk of clinical pregnancy loss (risk difference=56.1%; 95% confidence interval, 37.6-74.7), a positive predictive value of 68.0% (49.7%, 86.3%), negative predictive value of 85.8% (83.2%, 88.4%), positive likelihood ratio of 11.1 (2.04, 20.1), and negative likelihood ratio of 0.86 (0.79, 0.93). Nausea and bleeding are clinical factors that predicted clinical pregnancy loss (area under the curve, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.88) similar to age, body mass index, blood pressure, and waist-to-hip ratio (area under the curve, 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-0.88) measured preconceptionally. CONCLUSION: Women experiencing bleeding without nausea between 6 and 8 weeks' gestation had an increased risk of clinical pregnancy loss. Bleeding and nausea were not predictive risk factors of clinical pregnancy loss prior to 6 weeks' gestation.

Prediction of pregnancy loss by early first trimester ultrasound characteristics.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy loss prediction based on routinely measured ultrasound characteristics is generally aimed toward distinguishing nonviability. Physicians also use ultrasound indicators for patient counseling, and in some cases to decide upon the frequency of follow-up sonograms. To improve clinical utility, allocation of cut-points should be based on clinical data for multiple sonographic characteristics, be specific to gestational week, and be determined by methods that optimize prediction. OBJECTIVES: To identify routinely measured features of the early first trimester ultrasound and the gestational age-specific cut-points that are most predictive of pregnancy loss. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of 617 pregnant women enrolled in the Effects of Aspirin in Gestation and Reproduction (EAGeR) trial; all women had 1-2 previous pregnancy losses and no documented infertility. Each participant had a single ultrasound with a detectable fetal heartbeat between 6 weeks 0 days and 8 weeks 6 days. Cut-points for low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length were separately defined for gestational weeks 6, 7, and 8 to optimize prediction. Identity and log-binomial regression models were used to estimate absolute and relative risks, respectively, and 95% confidence intervals between jointly categorized low fetal heart rate, small crown-rump length, and clinical pregnancy loss. Adjusted models accounted for gestational age at ultrasound in weeks. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation. RESULTS: A total of 64 women experienced a clinical pregnancy loss following the first ultrasound (10.4%), 7 were lost to follow-up (1.1%), and 546 women (88.5%) had a live birth. Low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length (≤122, 123, and 158 bpm; ≤6.0, 8.5, and 10.9 mm for gestational weeks 6, 7, and 8, respectively) were independent predictors of clinical pregnancy loss, with greatest risks observed for pregnancies having both characteristics (relative risk, 2.08; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-2.91). The combination of low fetal heart rate and small crown-rump length was linked to a 16% (95% confidence interval, 9.1-23%) adjusted absolute increase in risk of subsequent loss, from 5.0% (95% confidence interval, 1.5-8.5%) to 21% (95% confidence interval, 15-27%). Abnormal yolk sac diameter or the presence of a subchorionic hemmhorage did not improve prediction of clinical pregnancy loss. CONCLUSION: Identified cut-points can be used by physicians for patient counseling, and in some cases to decide upon the frequency of follow-up sonograms. The specified criteria should not be used to diagnose nonviability.

Urinary Phytoestrogens and Relationship to Menstrual Cycle Length and Variability Among Healthy, Eumenorrheic Women.

CONTEXT: Phytoestrogens may influence fecundability, although biological mechanisms remain elusive. Since it is hypothesized that phytoestrogens may act through influencing hormone levels, we investigated associations between phytoestrogens and menstrual cycle length, a proxy for the hormonal milieu, in healthy women attempting pregnancy. DESIGN: A population-based prospective cohort of 326 women ages 18 to 40 with self-reported cycles of 21 to 42 days were followed until pregnancy or for 12 months of attempting pregnancy. METHODS: Urinary genistein, daidzein, O-desmethylangolensin, equol, enterodiol, and enterolactone were measured upon enrollment. Cycle length was determined from fertility monitors and daily journals. Linear mixed models assessed associations with continuous cycle length and were weighted by the inverse number of observed cycles. Logistic regression models assessed menstrual regularity (standard deviation > 75th vs ≤ 75th percentile). Models were adjusted for age, body mass index, race, creatinine, exercise, supplements, lipids, lead, cadmium, cotinine, parity, alcohol, and other phytoestrogens. RESULTS: Individual phytoestrogens were not associated with cycle length, although total phytoestrogens were associated with shorter cycles (-0.042 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.080 to -0.003, per 10% increase). Each 1 nmol/L increase in enterolactone (odds ratio [OR] 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79-0.97) and total lignans (OR 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.95) was associated with reduced irregularity, and each 1 nmol/L increase in genistein with irregularity (OR 1.19; 95% CI, 1.02-1.38). CONCLUSION: Phytoestrogens were not meaningfully associated with cycle length but may be associated with menstrual regularity, among women with self-reported regular cycles. These results highlight differences between isoflavones and lignans and are reassuring for women attempting pregnancy.

Maternal preconception lipid profile and gestational lipid changes in relation to birthweight outcomes.

In 575 women with 1-2 prior pregnancy losses; total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides (TG) were evaluated preconception and throughout pregnancy to evaluate whether previously observed associations between third trimester maternal lipid profile and birthweight outcomes are driven by preconception lipids or lipid changes during pregnancy. Lipid trajectories were compared by pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) <25 or ≥25 kg/m2; logistic regression models evaluated preconception lipid concentration and change from preconception to 28 weeks with adjusted odds of large- or small-for-gestational age (LGA or SGA) neonate by BMI group. Preconception lipid concentrations and gestational lipid trajectories varied by BMI group (P < 0.001). Preconception lipids were not associated with LGA or SGA in either group. A 10 mg/dL increase in HDL-C change from preconception to 28 weeks was associated with decreased odds of LGA (odds ratio (OR) = 0.63, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.46, 0.86) and 10 mg/dL increase in TG change associated with increased odds of LGA (OR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.1) overall. For ≥25 BMI only, 10 mg/dL increase in HDL-C change was associated with decreased SGA odds (OR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.19, 0.64). Gestational lipid trajectories differed by BMI group and were differentially associated with birthweight outcomes, with HDL-C more strongly associated with healthy birthweight in women with BMI ≥25.