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Background: Better understanding of worldwide variation in simple tests of cognition and global function in older adults would aid the delivery and interpretation of multi-national studies of the prevention of dementia and functional decline. Method: In six RCTs that measured cognition with the mini-mental state examination (MMSE), Montreal cognitive assessment (MoCA), and activities of daily living (ADL) with the Standardised Assessment of Everyday Global Activities (SAGEA), we estimated average scores by global region with multilevel mixed-effects models. We estimated the proportion of participants with cognitive or functional impairment with previously defined thresholds (MMSE≤24 or MoCA≤25, SAGEA≥7), and with a country-standardised z-score threshold of cognitive or functional score of ≤-1. Results: In 91,396 participants (mean age 66.6 years [SD 7.8], 31% females) from seven world regions, all global regions differed significantly in estimated cognitive function (z-score differences 0.11-0.45, p<0.001) after accounting for individual-level factors, centre and study. In different regions, the proportion of trial participants with MMSE≤24 or MoCA≤25 ranged from 23-36%; the proportion below a country-standardised z-score threshold of ≤1 ranged from 10-14%. The differences in prevalence of impaired IADL (SAGEA≥7) ranged from 2-6% and by country-standardised thresholds from 3-6%. Conclusions: Accounting for country-level factors reduced large differences between world regions in estimates of cognitive impairment. Measures of IADL were less variable across world regions, and could be used to better estimate dementia prevalence in large studies.
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Big data is central to new developments in global clinical science aiming to improve the lives of patients. Technological advances have led to the routine use of structured electronic healthcare records with the potential to address key gaps in clinical evidence. The covid-19 pandemic has demonstrated the potential of big data and related analytics, but also important pitfalls. Verification, validation, and data privacy, as well as the social mandate to undertake research are key challenges. The European Society of Cardiology and the BigData@Heart consortium have brought together a range of international stakeholders, including patient representatives, clinicians, scientists, regulators, journal editors and industry. We propose the CODE-EHR Minimum Standards Framework as a means to improve the design of studies, enhance transparency and develop a roadmap towards more robust and effective utilisation of healthcare data for research purposes.
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COVID-19 , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , COVID-19/epidemiología , Atención a la Salud , Electrónica , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & controlRESUMEN
Background and Objective: Postexercise heart rate recovery (HRR) is an important indicator of cardiac autonomic function and abnormal HRR is associated with adverse outcomes. We hypothesized that deep learning on resting electrocardiogram (ECG) tracings may identify individuals with impaired HRR. Methods: We trained a deep learning model (convolutional neural network) to infer HRR based on resting ECG waveforms (HRRpred) among UK Biobank participants who had undergone exercise testing. We examined the association of HRRpred with incident cardiovascular disease using Cox models, and investigated the genetic architecture of HRRpred in genome-wide association analysis. Results: Among 56,793 individuals (mean age 57 years, 51% women), the HRRpred model was moderately correlated with actual HRR (r = 0.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47-0.48). Over a median follow-up of 10 years, we observed 2060 incident diabetes mellitus (DM) events, 862 heart failure events, and 2065 deaths. Higher HRRpred was associated with lower risk of DM (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79 per 1 standard deviation change, 95% CI 0.76-0.83), heart failure (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95), and death (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.79-0.86). After accounting for resting heart rate, the association of HRRpred with incident DM and all-cause mortality were similar. Genetic determinants of HRRpred included known heart rate, cardiac conduction system, cardiomyopathy, and metabolic trait loci. Conclusion: Deep learning-derived estimates of HRR using resting ECG independently associated with future clinical outcomes, including new-onset DM and all-cause mortality. Inferring postexercise heart rate response from a resting ECG may have potential clinical implications and impact on preventive strategies warrants future study.
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Big data is important to new developments in global clinical science that aim to improve the lives of patients. Technological advances have led to the regular use of structured electronic health-care records with the potential to address key deficits in clinical evidence that could improve patient care. The COVID-19 pandemic has shown this potential in big data and related analytics but has also revealed important limitations. Data verification, data validation, data privacy, and a mandate from the public to conduct research are important challenges to effective use of routine health-care data. The European Society of Cardiology and the BigData@Heart consortium have brought together a range of international stakeholders, including representation from patients, clinicians, scientists, regulators, journal editors, and industry members. In this Review, we propose the CODE-EHR minimum standards framework to be used by researchers and clinicians to improve the design of studies and enhance transparency of study methods. The CODE-EHR framework aims to develop robust and effective utilisation of health-care data for research purposes.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , Macrodatos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Electrónica , HumanosRESUMEN
Electronic health record (EHR) datasets are statistically powerful but are subject to ascertainment bias and missingness. Using the Mass General Brigham multi-institutional EHR, we approximated a community-based cohort by sampling patients receiving longitudinal primary care between 2001-2018 (Community Care Cohort Project [C3PO], n = 520,868). We utilized natural language processing (NLP) to recover vital signs from unstructured notes. We assessed the validity of C3PO by deploying established risk models for myocardial infarction/stroke and atrial fibrillation. We then compared C3PO to Convenience Samples including all individuals from the same EHR with complete data, but without a longitudinal primary care requirement. NLP reduced the missingness of vital signs by 31%. NLP-recovered vital signs were highly correlated with values derived from structured fields (Pearson r range 0.95-0.99). Atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction/stroke incidence were lower and risk models were better calibrated in C3PO as opposed to the Convenience Samples (calibration error range for myocardial infarction/stroke: 0.012-0.030 in C3PO vs. 0.028-0.046 in Convenience Samples; calibration error for atrial fibrillation 0.028 in C3PO vs. 0.036 in Convenience Samples). Sampling patients receiving regular primary care and using NLP to recover missing data may reduce bias and maximize generalizability of EHR research.