Smoking, but not use of complementary and alternative medicine predicts residual functional disability in patients with inflammatory arthritis on biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs: Results from the Singapore National Biologics Register.

AIMS: To describe inflammatory arthritis (IA) patients initiating biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) who use complementary and alternative medicine (CAM), and determine the impact of CAM on predicting modified Health Assessment Questionnaire (mHAQ) at 6 months. METHODS: This was a prospective inception cohort study of patients ≥21 years old initiating a bDMARD for IA after July 2016. Data were obtained via questionnaires and abstraction from medical records. Baseline characteristics between ever-CAM and CAM non-users were compared. CAM as a predictor of mHAQ ≥1 at 6 months after bDMARD initiation was analyzed using multivariate logistic regression, adjusting for other baseline characteristics. RESULTS: We recruited 299 patients (36.2% male, mean age 49.0 years). There were 45.8% who had rheumatoid arthritis, 54.2% had a spondyloarthropathy, median disease duration of 1.1 years and median mHAQ of 0.4. Compared to CAM non-users, ever-CAM users had a lower mean body mass index, were less likely to speak English, and more likely to smoke and drink alcohol. There was no association of CAM use with high mHAQ and no interaction with smoking. Smoking (odds ratio [OR] 938.9; 95% CI 3.20-275 884.1), baseline mHAQ (OR 252.2; 95% CI 5.34-11 899.2) and Charlson's Comorbidity Index score ≥4 (OR 237.4; 95% CI 1.22-46 184.4) independently predicted high mHAQ at 6 months. CONCLUSIONS: CAM use was not associated with high mHAQ at 6 months. Smoking was an independent predictor of residual functional disability at 6 months, even after adjusting for age, comorbidity and baseline mHAQ. Greater emphasis on smoking cessation may improve long-term functional outcomes in IA patients on bDMARDs.

Hospital admission risk stratification of patients with gout presenting to the emergency department.

To characterise gout patients at high risk of hospitalisation and to develop a web-based prognostic model to predict the likelihood of gout-related hospital admissions. This was a retrospective single-centre study of 1417 patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with a gout flare between 2015 and 2017 with a 1-year look-back period. The dataset was randomly divided, with 80% forming the derivation and the remaining forming the validation cohort. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to determine the likelihood of hospitalisation from a gout flare in the derivation cohort. The coefficients for the variables with statistically significant adjusted odds ratios were used for the development of a web-based hospitalisation risk estimator. The performance of this risk estimator model was assessed via the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration plot, and brier score. Patients who were hospitalised with gout tended to be older, less likely male, more likely to have had a previous hospital stay with an inpatient primary diagnosis of gout, or a previous ED visit for gout, less likely to have been prescribed standby acute gout therapy, and had a significant burden of comorbidities. In the multivariable-adjusted analyses, previous hospitalisation for gout was associated with the highest odds of gout-related admission. Early identification of patients with a high likelihood of gout-related hospitalisation using our web-based validated risk estimator model may assist to target resources to the highest risk individuals, reducing the frequency of gout-related admissions and improving the overall health-related quality of life in the long term. KEY POINTS : • We reported the characteristics of gout patients visiting a tertiary hospital in Singapore. • We developed a web-based prognostic model with non-invasive variables to predict the likelihood of gout-relatedhospital admissions.

Evaluation of a multidisciplinary care model to improve quality of life in rheumatoid arthritis: a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Health-Related Quality of Life (HR-QOL) is an important patient-reported domain in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The uptake of multidisciplinary team (MDT) care in RA is generally low, due to initial high demand for resources. We hypothesised that whilst pharmacological treatments are effective in controlling disease activity, a multipronged intervention in an MDT may have a positive impact on HR-QOL. METHODS: This was a single-centre randomized parallel group, single-blind controlled trial of MDT vs. usual care in an established RA clinic. Data were collected through face-to-face questionnaires, medical records review, and joint counts by a blinded assessor at 0, 3 and 6 months. Adult RA patients were randomly assigned in a single visit to a 6-member MDT (rheumatologist, nurse, social worker, physiotherapist, occupational therapist, and podiatrist) or usual care. MDT providers prescribed medications and counselled patients on managing flares, medication adherence, coping, joint protection, exercise, footwear. The primary outcome was minimal clinically important difference (MCID) in HR-QOL (increase in European QOL-5-Dimension-3-Level, EQ-5D-3L by 0.1) at six months. RESULTS: 140 patients (86.3% female, 53.4% Chinese, median (IQR) age 56.6 (46.7, 62.4) years); 70 were randomized to each arm. Median (IQR) disease duration was 5.5 (2.4, 11.0) years and disease activity in 28 joints (DAS28) was 2.87 (2.08, 3.66). 123 patients completed the study. Twenty-six (40.6%) MDT vs. 23 (34.3%) usual care patients achieved an MCID in EQ-5D-3L, OR 1.3 (0.6, 2.7). In multivariable logistic regression, baseline EQ-5D-3L was the only predictor of achieving MCID. There was more disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug escalation in MDT (34.4% vs. 19.4%). Patients with high disease activity were more likely to achieve MCID in the MDT arm. CONCLUSIONS: A single visit by stable patients with low disease activity to an MDT failed to achieve MCID in the EQ-5D-3L; however, did achieve small but significant improvements in the EQ-5D-3L, DAS28, pain, coping and self-efficacy. To be sustainable, MDT care should be targeted at patients with high disease activity or those with a new diagnosis of RA. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study is registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT03099668.

Mathematical processing is affected by daily but not cumulative glucocorticoid dose in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: The impact of glucocorticoids on neurocognitive performance in patients with SLE is not fully addressed. We aimed to study the effect of daily and cumulative glucocorticoid dose on neurocognitive performance in SLE patients. METHODS: Consecutive SLE patients and gender- and age-matched healthy controls (HCs) underwent the computer-based Automated Neuropsychological Assessment Matric (ANAM), which evaluates eight neurocognitive domains including learning, recall, visual perception, mental rotation, short-term memory, attention, sustained attention and working memory. The total and individual-domain throughput scores (TPSs) and the presence of cognitive dysfunction (total TPS <1.5 s.d. below the mean TPS of HCs) were compared between SLE patients and HCs. Within the SLE group, univariate and independent associations between prednisolone dose (daily and cumulative) and individual-domain TPS were studied by univariate and multivariable linear regression, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 96 SLE patients and 96 HCs were studied. SLE patients scored significantly worse across all the neurocognitive domains and had a significantly lower mean total TPS (P < 0.001) and a higher prevalence of cognitive dysfunction compared with HCs (25.0 vs 7.3%, P = 0.001). In SLE patients, daily prednisolone dose was significantly and negatively correlated with mathematical-processing TPS, which probes working memory (P = 0.018). No significant correlation between cumulative prednisolone dose and any of the individual-domain TPSs was found. In multivariable regression, higher daily prednisolone dose and doses >9 mg daily remained independently associated with lower mathematical-processing TPSs (P = 0.031). CONCLUSION: Daily prednisolone dose ≥9 mg, but not cumulative glucocorticoid dose, had an independent negative impact on mathematical processing in SLE patients.

Predicting flares in patients with stable systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: Data on flares in Asian patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are scarce. Here, we aim to identify the baseline predictors of flares in a cohort of Southeast Asian patients with SLE. METHODS: Consecutive adult patients with prevalent SLE according to the 1997 ACR or 2012 SLICC criteria were enrolled and followed three-monthly. Clinical and laboratory data were collected at every visit using a standardised protocol. Flares were defined using the SELENA-SLEDAI Flare Index (SFI). Baseline predictors of flare in patients with stable disease (SLE Disease Activity Index-2K (SLEDAI-2K) of ≤ 4) were determined using Cox proportional hazards. RESULTS: Of the 210 patients recruited, 148 (70.5%) were Chinese. The median (IQR) SLEDAI-2K at entry was 2 (0-4) and the median (IQR) disease duration was 10 (4.4-16.4) years. At baseline, 152 (72.4%) patients had stable disease. After a median (IQR) follow-up of 31.5 (24.1-36.3) months, 109 (51.9%) flared. Stable patients who flared tended to be in the lowest tertile of age (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.72-5.48, p < 0.01), had thrombocytopenia (HR 5.01, 95% CI 1.32-18.99, p = 0.02), hypocomplementemia (HR 3.35, 95% CI 1.54-7.30, p < 0.01) and had the highest baseline prednisolone doses (HR 2.39, 95% CI 1.28-4.46, p = 0.01). Conversely, patients in the lowest tertile of disease duration tended not to flare (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.21-0.80, p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: Flares are common in Asian SLE patients with initial stable disease. Close monitoring is needed for patients who are younger, with longer disease duration, thrombocytopenia, hypocomplementemia, or who required a higher baseline prednisolone dose.