Applying Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to improve patient flow in emergency departments: a multicentre randomised, implementation study.

BACKGROUND: To determine the effectiveness of applying the Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) in conjunction with senior early assessment in different Emergency Departments (EDs). METHODS: This multicentre implementation study, conducted in two metropolitan EDs, used a convenience sample of ED patients. Patients who were admitted, after presenting to both EDs, and were assessed using the existing senior ED clinician assessment, were included in the study. Patients in the intervention group were assessed with the assistance of START, while patients in the control group were assessed without the assistance of START. Outcomes measured were ED length of stay and proportion of patients correctly identified as an in-patient admission by START. RESULTS: A total of 773 patients were evaluated using the START tool at triage across both sites (Intervention group n = 355 and control group n = 418 patients). The proportion of patients meeting the 4-hour length of stay thresholds was similar between the intervention and control groups (30.1% vs. 28.2%; p = 0.62). The intervention group was associated with a reduced ED length of stay when compared to the control group (351 min, interquartile range (IQR) 221.0-565.0 min versus 383 min, IQR 229.25-580.0 min; p = 0.85). When stratified into admitted and discharged patients, similar results were seen. CONCLUSION: In this extension of the START model of care implementation study in two metropolitan EDs, START, when used in conjunction with senior early assessment was associated with some reduced ED length of stay.

Clinical and longitudinal patterns of frequent presenters to emergency departments: A multi-centre data linkage analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To describe clinical characteristics and longitudinal patterns of representation in a cohort of patients who frequently present to EDs for care. METHODS: A retrospective data analysis linking routinely collected ED data across three hospitals. The study population consisted of patients who presented to any ED on 10 or more occasions in any continuous 365-day period from 1 July 2015 to 30 June 2021. Presenting complaints were divided into those with any mental health, drug and alcohol, or social presentations (MHDAS group) and those without (non-MHDAS group). Outcomes of interest were number of presentations as well as temporal and facility clustering of presentations. A per patient regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors for increased presentations. RESULTS: Presentations by 1640 frequent ED presenters in the study constituted 4.6% of total ED presentations. MHDAS study group were younger, predominantly English speaking, twice as likely to be married, had lower hospital admission rates and almost three times as many of them did not wait for treatment. Statistically significant differences were also found between these groups regarding presentation clustering, facility entropy, each of the four categories of the number of ED presentations, and Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage. CONCLUSION: Representations associated with MHDAS have a different trajectory of representation episodes compared to non-MHDAS group. Escalating number of presentations and clustering are important predictors of future representation numbers. Those 'did not waits' who appear to be representing would be the highest risk of ongoing and persistent representations in the future and should be the target of early interventions to ensure they are accessing appropriate care before this happens.

Prehospital times and outcomes of patients transported using an ambulance trauma transport protocol: A data linkage analysis from New South Wales Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Prehospital trauma systems are designed to ensure optimal survival from critical injuries by triaging and transporting such patients to the most appropriate hospital in a timely manner. OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate whether prehospital time and location (metropolitan versus non-metropolitan) were associated with 30-day mortality in a cohort of patients transported by road ambulance using a trauma transport protocol. METHODS: Data linkage analysis of routinely collected ambulance and hospital data across all public hospitals in New South Wales (NSW). The data linkage cohort included adult patients (age ≥ 16years) transported by NSW Ambulance, where a T1 Major Trauma Transport Protocol was documented by paramedic crews and transported by road to a public hospital emergency department in NSW for two years between January 2019 and December 2020. The outcomes of interest were prehospital times (response time, scene time and transport time) and 30-day mortality due to injury. RESULTS: 9012 cases were identified who were transported to an emergency department with T1 protocol indication. Median prehospital transport times were longer in non-metropolitan road transports [n = 3,071, 98 min (71-126)] compared to metropolitan transports [n = 5,941, 65 min (53-80), p < 0.001]. There was no significant difference in 30-day mortality between the two groups (1.24% vs 1.65%, p = 0.13). In the subgroup of patients with abnormal vital signs, the only predictors of mortality were increasing age, presence of severe injury (OR 24.87, 95%CI 11.02, 56.15, p < 0.001), and arrival at a non-trauma facility (OR 3.01, 95%CI 1.26, 7.20, p < 0.05). Increasing transport times were not found to increase the odds of 30-day mortality. DISCUSSION: In the context of an inclusive trauma system and an established prehospital major trauma protocol, increasing prehospital transport times and scene location were not associated with increased mortality.

The Emergency nurse Protocols Initiating Care-Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (EPIC-START) trial: protocol for a stepped wedge implementation trial.

INTRODUCTION: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding is a global problem and a threat to the quality and safety of emergency care. Providing timely and safe emergency care therein is challenging. To address this in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, the Emergency nurse Protocol Initiating Care-Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (EPIC-START) was developed. EPIC-START is a model of care incorporating EPIC protocols, the START patient admission prediction tool, and a clinical deterioration tool to support ED flow, timely care, and patient safety. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of EPIC-START implementation across 30 EDs on patient, implementation, and health service outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This study protocol adopts an effectiveness-implementation hybrid design (Med Care 50: 217-226, 2012) and uses a stepped-wedge cluster randomised control trial of EPIC-START, including uptake and sustainability, within 30 EDs across four NSW local health districts spanning rural, regional, and metropolitan settings. Each cluster will be randomised independently of the research team to 1 of 4 dates until all EDs have been exposed to the intervention. Quantitative and qualitative evaluations will be conducted on data from medical records and routinely collected data, and patient, nursing, and medical staff pre- and post-surveys. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval for the research was received from the Sydney Local Health District Research Ethics Committee (Reference Number 2022/ETH01940) on 14 December 2022. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian and New Zealand Clinical trial, ACTRN12622001480774p. Registered on 27 October 2022.

Evaluation of the New South Wales ambulance T1 major trauma transport protocol: A state-wide data linkage study.

INTRODUCTION: Prehospital triage and transport protocols are critical components of the trauma systems. Still, there have been limited studies evaluating the performance of trauma protocols in New South Wales, such as the NSW ambulance major Trauma transport protocol (T1). OBJECTIVES: Determine the performance of a major trauma transport protocol in a cohort of ambulance road transports METHODS: A data-linkage study using routine ambulance and hospital datasets across New South Wales Australia. Adult patients (age > 16 years) where any trauma protocol was indicated by paramedic crews and transported to any emergency department in the state were included. Major injury outcome was defined as an Injury Severity Score >8 based on coded in-patient diagnoses, or admission to intensive care unit or death within 30 days due to injury. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine ambulance predictors of major injury outcome. RESULTS: There were 168,452 linked ambulance transports analysed. Of the 9,012 T1 protocol activations, 2,443 cases had major injury [positive predictive value (PPV) = 27.1%]. There were 16,823 major injuries in total giving a sensitivity of the T1 protocol of 2,443/16,823 (14.5%), specificity of 145,060/151,629 (95.7%) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 145,060/159,440 (91%). Overtriage rate associated with T1 protocol was 5,697/9,012 (63.2%) and undertriage rate was 5,509/159,440 (3.5%). The most important predictor of major injury was the activation of more than one trauma protocol by ambulance paramedics. DISCUSSION: Overall, the T1 was associated with low undertriage and high specificity. The protocol may be improved by considering age and the number of trauma protocols activated by paramedics for any given patient.

24 hours - Life in the E.R.: A state-wide data linkage analysis of in-patients with prolonged emergency department length of stay in New South Wales, Australia.

OBJECTIVE: Describe the characteristics and predictors of mortality for patients who spend more than 24 h in the ED waiting for an in-patient bed and compare baseline clinical and demographic characteristics between tertiary and non-tertiary hospitals. METHODS: This was a state-wide analysis data linkage analysis of adult (age >16 years) ED presentations across New South Wales from 2019 to 2020. Cases were included if their mode of separation from ED indicated admission to an in-patient unit including critical care ward and their ED length of stay was greater than or equal to 24 h. Cases were categorised by service-related groups based on principle diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 26 854 eligible cases were identified. The most common diagnosis groups were psychiatry, cardiology and respiratory. The odds ratio (OR) for 30-day all-cause mortality in admitted patients with an ED length of stay greater than 24 h were highest in those aged >75 years (OR 15.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.99-23.07, P < 0.001), oncology (OR 10.45, 95% CI 7.93-13.77, P < 0.001) and haematology patients (OR 2.95, 95% CI 2.01-4.33, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Interventions and models of care to address ED access block need to focus on mental health patients, older patients particularly those with cardiorespiratory illness and oncology and haematology patients for whom risk of mortality is disproportionately higher.

Incidence of multiple organ failure in adult polytrauma patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Postinjury multiple organ failure (MOF) is the leading cause of late death in trauma patients. Although MOF was first described 50 years ago, its definition, epidemiology, and change in incidence over time are poorly understood. We aimed to describe the incidence of MOF in the context of different MOF definitions, study inclusion criteria, and its change over time. METHODS: Cochrane Library, EMBASE, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Web of Science databases were searched for articles published between 1977 and 2022 in English and German. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed when applicable. RESULTS: The search returned 11,440 results, of which 842 full-text articles were screened. Multiple organ failure incidence was reported in 284 studies that used 11 unique inclusion criteria and 40 MOF definitions. One hundred six studies published from 1992 to 2022 were included. Weighted MOF incidence by publication year fluctuated from 11% to 56% without significant decrease over time. Multiple organ failure was defined using four scoring systems (Denver, Goris, Marshall, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA]) and 10 different cutoff values. Overall, 351,942 trauma patients were included, of whom 82,971 (24%) developed MOF. The weighted incidences of MOF from meta-analysis of 30 eligible studies were as follows: 14.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.1-17.2%) in Denver score >3, 12.7% (95% CI, 9.3-16.1%) in Denver score >3 with blunt injuries only, 28.6% (95% CI, 12-45.1%) in Denver score >8, 25.6% (95% CI, 10.4-40.7%) in Goris score >4, 29.9% (95% CI, 14.9-45%) in Marshall score >5, 20.3% (95% CI, 9.4-31.2%) in Marshall score >5 with blunt injuries only, 38.6% (95% CI, 33-44.3%) in SOFA score >3, 55.1% (95% CI, 49.7-60.5%) in SOFA score >3 with blunt injuries only, and 34.8% (95% CI, 28.7-40.8%) in SOFA score >5. CONCLUSION: The incidence of postinjury MOF varies largely because of lack of a consensus definition and study population. Until an international consensus is reached, further research will be hindered. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis; Level III.

Implementation evaluation of an evidence-based emergency nursing framework (HIRAID): study protocol for a step-wedge randomised control trial.

INTRODUCTION: Poor patient assessment results in undetected clinical deterioration. Yet, there is no standardised assessment framework for >29 000 Australian emergency nurses. To reduce clinical variation and increase safety and quality of initial emergency nursing care, the evidence-based emergency nursing framework HIRAID (History, Identify Red flags, Assessment, Interventions, Diagnostics, communication and reassessment) was developed and piloted. This paper presents the rationale and protocol for a multicentre clinical trial of HIRAID. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Using an effectiveness-implementation hybrid design, the study incorporates a stepped-wedge cluster randomised controlled trial of HIRAID at 31 emergency departments (EDs) in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland. The primary outcomes are incidence of inpatient deterioration related to ED care, time to analgesia, patient satisfaction and medical satisfaction with nursing clinical handover (effectiveness). Strategies that optimise HIRAID uptake (implementation) and implementation fidelity will be determined to assess if HIRAID was implemented as intended at all sites. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethics has been approved for NSW sites through Greater Western Human Research Ethics Committee (2020/ETH02164), and for Victoria and Queensland sites through Royal Brisbane & Woman's Hospital Human Research Ethics Committee (2021/QRBW/80026). The final phase of the study will integrate the findings in a toolkit for national rollout. A dissemination, communications (variety of platforms) and upscaling strategy will be designed and actioned with the organisations that influence state and national level health policy and emergency nurse education, including the Australian Commission for Quality and Safety in Health Care. Scaling up of findings could be achieved by embedding HIRAID into national transition to nursing programmes, 'business as usual' ED training schedules and university curricula. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ACTRN12621001456842.

Patterns of emergency department use in rural and metropolitan New South Wales by socioeconomic status: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the patterns of ED use in metropolitan and rural New South Wales (NSW) by socioeconomic status (SES). METHODS: We undertook a retrospective, population-based study of de-identified data from the NSW Emergency Department Data Collection (EDDC). The study population comprised of NSW residents who presented to an NSW public hospital ED in 2013-2019 and were registered in the NSW EDDC. Total ED presentations, negative binomial regression modelled annual changes in ED presentations over 2013-2019, and age- and sex-standardised rates of ED presentations in 2019 were assessed. RESULTS: Overall, between 2013 and 2019, ED presentations increased in metropolitan and rural NSW, with mean annual percentage increases of 3.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.8-3.5) and 2.5% (95% CI 2.0-2.9), respectively. This growth varied by SES, with larger increases observed in higher SES groups. The bulk of presentations in rural NSW were from individuals living in disadvantaged areas. Standardised rates of ED presentations were highest in the most disadvantaged quintiles (SES 1) and progressively decreased with increasing SES in both rural and metropolitan NSW (negative gradients). Rates were higher in rural NSW compared to metropolitan NSW across all SES quintiles for total, low acuity and non-low acuity presentations. CONCLUSIONS: Negative gradients in rates of ED presentations with increasing SES were observed in both metropolitan and rural NSW. At each SES quintile, rates of ED presentations were higher in rural compared to metropolitan areas. Further research exploring the underlying causal mechanisms leading to increased ED demand in rural NSW and socioeconomically disadvantaged populations is warranted.

Falls from ladders in New South Wales: A data-linkage study.

INTRODUCTION: Fall from ladders is increasingly identified as a significant cause of injury and mortality, yet large-scale research into ladder fall outcomes and trends is limited. OBJECTIVES: To explore the nature and severity of injuries resulting from ladder falls and to determine predictors of Injury Severity Score (ISS) and 6-month mortality. METHODS: Data were obtained from the New South Wales (NSW) Trauma Registry, Admitted Patient Data Collection and Registry of Births, Deaths, and Marriages on patients aged 15 and over who had major trauma from a ladder fall and were admitted to hospital between January 1st, 2012, and July 31st, 2019. Data linkage and descriptive statistics were carried out alongside bivariate and multivariable regression analysis. RESULTS: 963 patients injured after ladder falls were identified. The mean age was 61.9 years (SD 14.2), 91.0% were male, and 489 (50.8%) were born in Australia. The height of fall was between one and five meters in 827 (86.2%) patients, and the place of fall was home and residential places in 27.5%. The most common body areas injured were the head (26.5%), spine (21.2%) and thorax (20.6%), and the median injury severity score was 17. The median length of stay of patients' in-hospital and intensive care unit was six days and two days, respectively. Six months post-discharge mortality was 6.4%. The unadjusted association between the presence of comorbidities or socio-economic class and ISS or mortality was not statistically significant. Increasing ISS was found to be associated with increasing age (Estimate (Est), 15.2; 95% Confidence Interval (CI), 12.3-18.1) and a fall height greater than five metres (Est, 5.8; CI, 3.2-8.4). Mortality was found to be associated with increasing age (Odds ratio (OR), 1.06; CI, 1.03-1.08) and increasing ISS (OR, 1.19; CI, 1.15-1.24). CONCLUSION: People presenting to the hospital after falling from a ladder were predominately male, aged over 60 and had fallen in a residential setting. Increasing age and fall height are associated with more severe injuries.

Emergency clinician perceptions of patients who present frequently to the emergency department: a snapshot of current practice.

Objective This study aimed to assess emergency clinician perceptions of adult patients who present frequently to the emergency department (ED) in an Australian context and understand current practices. Methods ED clinicians including general practitioners, career medical officers and nurse unit managers working at New South Wales Australia level 3-6 hospitals were surveyed. Responses to open-ended questions were independently coded by two reviewers and the main themes were analysed. Results Almost all the 210 participants (99%) could identify a population of frequent ED presenters at their hospital. Participants suggested that 9-12 presentations per year was a useful benchmark to use to characterise frequent ED presentations. They also indicated the need to consider as criteria recurrent presentations, their complexity, disease category and timeframe. Participants believed that the cause for presentation, from a restricted list of clinical alternatives, was multifactorial but the single most common cause for presentation was thought to be mental health followed by drug and alcohol. A total of 73% of participants reported that their hospitals had interventions to address frequent ED presentations, most commonly case management, multidisciplinary meetings and staff specialist involvement. Lack of co-ordination between services and a lack of resources in ED were cited as barriers to improving outcomes for patients who frequently present. Conclusions ED clinicians surveyed offered suggestions on how to characterise frequent ED presentations beyond the number of visits to better identify this higher risk population. Additional services, as well as better coordination between patients, families, hospitals and outpatient services, appear needed in order to improve outcomes for this cohort of patients. Interventions should focus on increasing health outcomes, rather than a decrease in the number of presentations alone.

Clinical characteristics and predictors for hospitalisation during the initial phases of the Delta variant COVID-19 outbreak in Sydney, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: The COVID-19 Delta variant of concern continues to pose significant challenges to health systems globally, with increased transmissibility and different patient populations affected. In Sydney, a virtual model of care was implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and Special Health Accommodation (SHA) was made available for community patients with COVID-19 who could not isolate at home or needed health support. METHODS: This retrospective observational cohort study of all patients with COVID-19 Delta variant in SHA during the initial phases of the Delta variant outbreak in Sydney describes the demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with Delta variant COVID-19 and determines predictors of need for in-patient hospital admission. RESULTS: Data from 794 patients were analysed. One hundred and fifty-seven patients (19.8%) were transferred to ED. Of those, 125 were admitted to an in-patient unit (admission rate from ED 79.6%), and of these 30 (24%) went to ICU and seven were intubated. Two patients died within the follow-up period. Age >40 years, obesity, and presence of fever (temperature >37.5°C), hypoxia (oxygen saturation <95%), tachycardia or gastrointestinal symptoms on initial assessment in SHA were independent predictors of in-patient admission with an AUROC of 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.73, 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Initial symptoms and vital signs were just as predictive for short-term deterioration as age and pre-existing comorbidities and should be included in future risk prediction models for COVID-19. Based on this, we derive a proposed risk prediction score that incorporates these predictors with further validation required.

The Association Between Problematic Use of Alcohol and Drugs and Repeat Self-Harm and Suicidal Ideation.

Aims: We investigated the association between problematic use of alcohol and/or drugs (PUAD) and the incidence, urgency, and mode of discharge for a subsequent episode of self-harm (SH) or suicidal ideation (SI). Methods: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study of individuals admitted to hospital for an index episode of SH/SI (2010-2014) using linked data from hospital admissions and emergency department (ED) presentations. The outcome variables were (1) subsequent presentation to the ED for SH/SI, (2) triage category, and (3) mode of departure. Key predictors were PUAD. Results: In total, 23,007 individuals were admitted to hospital for an index SH/SI, of whom 8% had a subsequent presentation to an ED for SH/SI within a year. The odds of subsequent presentation was increased in those with problematic alcohol use (AOR 1.62, 95% CI 1.36, 1.92), drug use (AOR 1.28, 95% CI 1.07, 1.53), and mental health diagnoses (AOR 1.63, 95% CI 1.44, 1.85). Those with problematic alcohol use were more likely to be assigned to the most urgent triage categories (AOR 1.84, 95% CI 1.32, 2.56). Limitations: Defining SH and PUAD using administrative data is challenging, and the true prevalence is likely to be underestimated. Conclusion: The findings underscore the importance of drug health intervention as a key component of self-harm prevention.

Understanding patient preferences for emergency care for lower triage acuity presentations during GP hours: a qualitative study in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Low acuity presentations to Australian emergency departments drive long wait times, higher costs and may be better treated in primary care settings. This study sought to understand factors leading these patients to present to emergency departments. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews were carried out with patients at two tertiary emergency departments in Sydney during general practitioner opening hours. Nvivo was used to code the interviews and a thematic analysis was carried out to capture the main themes from the interviews. RESULTS: Forty-four interviews were included in the analysis across the two sites. They represented a diverse population in terms of ethnicity, education and socioeconomic background. Patient preferences for emergency care were organised into four main themes: (i) patients were referred (either by another health service, work, friend, or family), (ii) emergency department factors (convenience of investigations and severity of symptoms requiring emergency care), (iii) GP factors (does not have a GP, cannot find an appointment with a GP or has previously had a negative experience with a GP) and (iv) personal factors such as their connection to the hospital. CONCLUSION: Multiple factors led patients to seek ED care for low acuity presentations during GP hours. Some of these factors could be addressed to meet patient needs in the community, however this is currently not the case. Addressing these factors to improve access to GP clinics and the availability of services outside the hospital setting could reduce ED presentations and likely improve patient experience.

Effectiveness of Opioid Analgesic Medicines Prescribed in or at Discharge From Emergency Departments for Musculoskeletal Pain : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The comparative benefits and harms of opioids for musculoskeletal pain in the emergency department (ED) are uncertain. PURPOSE: To evaluate the comparative effectiveness and harms of opioids for musculoskeletal pain in the ED setting. DATA SOURCES: Electronic databases and registries from inception to 7 February 2022. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials of any opioid analgesic compared with placebo or a nonopioid analgesic administered or prescribed to adults in or on discharge from the ED. DATA EXTRACTION: Pain and disability were rated on a scale of 0 to 100 and pooled using a random-effects model. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) framework. DATA SYNTHESIS: Forty-two articles were included (n = 6128). In the ED, opioids were statistically but not clinically more effective in reducing pain in the short term (about 2 hours) than placebo and paracetamol (acetaminophen) but were not clinically or statistically more effective than nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) or local or systemic anesthetics. Opioids may carry higher risk for harms than placebo, paracetamol, or NSAIDs, although evidence is very uncertain. There was no evidence of difference in harms associated with local or systemic anesthetics. LIMITATIONS: Low or very low GRADE ratings for some outcomes, unexplained heterogeneity, and little information on long-term outcomes. CONCLUSION: The risk-benefit balance of opioids versus placebo, paracetamol, NSAIDs, and local or systemic anesthetics is uncertain. Opioids may have equivalent pain outcomes compared with NSAIDs, but evidence on comparisons of harms is very uncertain and heterogeneous. Although factors such as route of administration or dosage may explain some heterogeneity, more work is needed to identify which subgroups will have a more favorable benefit-risk balance for one analgesic over another. Longer-term pain management once dose thresholds are reached is also uncertain. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None. (PROSPERO: CRD42021275293).

Hospital variation in admissions for low back pain following an emergency department presentation: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: One in 6 patients with low back pain (LBP) presenting to emergency departments (EDs) are subsequently admitted to hospital each year, making LBP the ninth most common reason for hospital admission in Australia. No studies have investigated and quantified the extent of clinical variation in hospital admission following an ED presentation for LBP. METHODS: We used routinely collected ED data from public hospitals within the state of New South Wales, Australia, to identify presentations of patients aged between 18 and 111 with a discharge diagnosis of LBP. We fitted a series of random effects multilevel logistic regression models adjusted by case-mix and hospital variables. The main outcome was the hospital-adjusted admission rate (HAAR). Data were presented as funnel plots with 95% and 99.8% confidence limits. Hospitals with a HAAR outside the 95% confidence limit were considered to have a HAAR significantly different to the state average. RESULTS: We identified 176,729 LBP presentations across 177 public hospital EDs and 44,549 hospital admissions (25.2%). The mean (SD) age was 51.8 (19.5) and 52% were female. Hospital factors explained 10% of the variation (ICC = 0.10), and the median odds ratio (MOR) was 2.03. We identified marked variation across hospitals, with HAAR ranging from 6.9 to 65.9%. After adjusting for hospital variables, there was still marked variation between hospitals with similar characteristics. CONCLUSION: We found substantial variation in hospital admissions following a presentation to the ED due to LBP even after controlling by case-mix and hospital characteristics. Given the substantial costs associated with these admissions, our findings indicate the need to investigate sources of variation and to determine instances where the observed variation is warranted or unwarranted.

Evaluating Stroke Code Activation Pathway in Emergency Departments study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes of Code Stroke activations in an ED and determine predictors of a final diagnosis of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) diagnosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of Code Stroke activations through an ED over 2 years at a quaternary stroke referral centre. Stroke Registry data was used to identify cases with clinical information abstracted from electronic medical records. The primary outcome was a final diagnosis of acute stroke or TIA and the secondary outcome was access to reperfusion therapies (thrombolysis and or endovascular clot retrieval). RESULTS: The study analysed data from 1354 Code Stroke patients in ED. Of all Code Strokes, 51% had a stroke or TIA diagnosis on discharge. Patient characteristics independently associated with increased risk of stroke were increasing age, pre-arrival notification by ambulance, elevated BP or presence of weakness or speech impairment as the initial presenting symptoms. Dizziness/vertigo/vestibular neuritis were the most common alternative diagnoses. One hundred and thirty-five patients (10%) underwent reperfusion therapy. Pre-arrival notification by ambulance was associated with higher proportion of eventual stroke/TIA diagnosis (68% vs 46%, P < 0.001) and significantly lower door to CT and door to needle times for patients undergoing thrombolysis. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of patients requiring Code Stroke activation in an ED, increased age, systolic blood pressure and weakness and speech impairment increased the risk of stroke. Prehospital notification was associated with lower door to needle times for patients undergoing thrombolysis.

Psychological Distress, Pain and Insurance Claims Negatively Affect Long-Term Health-Related Quality of Life After Road Traffic Injuries.

OBJECTIVE: A prospective cohort study to investigate how injury and early post-injury psychosocial factors influence health outcomes 12 months after road traffic injury. METHODS: Residents of New South Wales, Australia, with road traffic injury in the period 2013-16 were recruited. Explanatory factors were evaluated for outcomes over 12 months using 12-Item Short Form Survey (SF-12) Physical and Mental Component Scores (PCS and MCS). Path models and mediation analysis were used to examine the effect of injury severity and explanatory factors. RESULTS: SF-12 PCS and MCS outcomes were poorer among participants with baseline psychological distress, for all injury severities (ß coefficients -3.3 to -9.3, p < 0.0001). Baseline pain and psychological distress, and baseline PCS and MCS were each involved in indirect effects of injury severity on 12-month PCS and MCS. Injury severity, baseline PCS and MCS, and baseline psychological distress were also associated with the likelihood of a compulsory third-party insurance claim, and claiming was negatively associated with 12-month PCS and MCS outcomes (beta coefficients -0.22 and -0.14, respectively, for both, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Baseline factors, including pain, psychological distress and lodging a compulsory third-party insurance claim, negatively impact long-term physical and mental health status following road traffic injury, emphasizing the importance of early screening and intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia New Zealand Clinical trial registry identification number: AC- TRN12613000889752.

Emergency department presentations and 30-day mortality in patients from residential aged care facilities.

Objective To describe patterns of emergency department (ED) presentations and predictors of 30-day mortality in patients referred from a residential aged care facility (RACF). Methods A retrospective analysis of linked state-wide emergency, inpatient and death data from 136 public ED hospitals in New South Wales, Australia. Data were collected from the NSW Emergency Department Data Collection database, the NSW Admitted Patient Data Collection database and the NSW Registry of Births, Deaths and Marriages. All patients aged ≥65 years presenting to the ED from a RACF between January 2017 and July 2018 were included. ED diagnosis categories, re-admission rates within 30 days and 30-day all-cause mortality were measured. Results In total, 43 248 presentations were identified. The most common ED diagnosis categories were: injury (26.48%), respiratory conditions (14.12%) and cardiovascular conditions (10.74%). Prolonged ED length of stay was associated with higher adjusted hazard ratios for 30-day all-cause mortality after adjustments for age Charlson Comorbidity Index, triage category and diagnosis category (HR 1.10 95% CI 1.05-1.14 P < 0.001). Conclusions A large proportion of ED presentations from RACFs were for injuries associated with falls and chest infections. There was a range of both high- and low-urgency presentations. Both the 30-day mortality and re-admission rates were high. Predictors of increased mortality included prolonged length of stay in the ED and re-admission within 30 days. The findings are useful in informing discussion around improving access to care in RACFs and coordination of healthcare providers in this cohort.

Returning to the emergency department: a retrospective analysis of mental health re-presentations among young people in New South Wales, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to describe mental health emergency department (ED) presentations among young people aged 8-26 years in New South Wales, Australia, and to identify key characteristics associated with higher risk of ED mental health re-presentation. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective analysis of linked ED data records for mental health presentations between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2018. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome was the total number of mental health ED re-presentations within 1 year, following initial presentation. Count regression models were fitted to estimate factors associated with higher likelihood of re-presentations. RESULTS: Forty thousand two hundred and ninety patients were included in the analyses, and 9713 (~25%) re-presented during the following year; 1831 (20%) presented at least three times. On average, patients re-presented 0.61 times per 365 person-days, with average time until first re-presentation of ~92 days but greatest risk of re-presentation within first 30-60 days. Young people with self-harm or suicidal diagnoses at initial presentation were more likely to re-present. Re-presentations were highest among young people <15 years (IRR 1.18 vs ≥20 years old), female (IRR=1.13 vs male), young people residing outside of major cities (IRR 1.08 vs major cities) and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander young people (IRR 1.27 vs non-Indigenous). CONCLUSIONS: ED mental health re-presentation is high among young people. We demonstrate factors associated with re-presentation that EDs could target for timely, high-quality care that is youth friendly and culturally safe, with appropriate referral pathways into community-based primary and mental healthcare services.