Ct-defined emphysema prevalence in a Chinese and Dutch general population.

PURPOSE: We determine and compare the prevalence, subtypes, severity, and risk factors for emphysema assessed by low-dose CT(LDCT) in Chinese and Dutch general populations. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included LDCT scans of 1143 participants between May and October 2017 from a Chinese Cohort study and 1200 participants with same age range and different smoking status between May and October 2019 from a Dutch population-based study. An experienced radiologist visually assessed the scans for emphysema presence (≥trace), subtype, and severity. Logistic regression analyses, overall and stratified by smoking status, were performed and adjusted for fume exposure, demographic and smoking data. RESULTS: The Chinese population had a comparable proportion of women to the Dutch population (54.9 % vs 58.9 %), was older (61.7 ± 6.3 vs 59.8 ± 8.1), included more never smokers (66.4 % vs 38.3 %), had a higher emphysema prevalence ([58.8 % vs 39.7 %], adjusted odds ratio, aOR = 2.06, 95 %CI = 1.68-2.53), and more often had centrilobular emphysema (54.8 % vs 32.8 %, p < 0.001), but no differences in emphysema severity. After stratification, only in never smokers an increased odds of emphysema was observed in the Chinese compared to the Dutch (aOR = 2.55, 95 %CI = 1.95-3.35). Never smokers in both populations shared older age (aOR = 1.59, 95 %CI = 1.25-2.02 vs 1.26, 95 %CI = 0.97-1.64) and male sex (aOR = 1.50, 95 %CI = 1.02-2.22 vs 1.93, 95 %CI = 1.26-2.96) as risk factors for emphysema. CONCLUSIONS: Only never smokers had a higher prevalence of mainly centrilobular emphysema in the Chinese general population compared to the Dutch after adjusting for confounders, indicating that factors other than smoking, age and sex contribute to presence of CT-defined emphysema.

Localization of contrast-enhanced breast lesions in ultrafast screening MRI using deep convolutional neural networks.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a deep learning-based method for contrast-enhanced breast lesion detection in ultrafast screening MRI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 837 breast MRI exams of 488 consecutive patients were included. Lesion's location was independently annotated in the maximum intensity projection (MIP) image of the last time-resolved angiography with stochastic trajectories (TWIST) sequence for each individual breast, resulting in 265 lesions (190 benign, 75 malignant) in 163 breasts (133 women). YOLOv5 models were fine-tuned using training sets containing the same number of MIP images with and without lesions. A long short-term memory (LSTM) network was employed to help reduce false positive predictions. The integrated system was then evaluated on test sets containing enriched uninvolved breasts during cross-validation to mimic the performance in a screening scenario. RESULTS: In five-fold cross-validation, the YOLOv5x model showed a sensitivity of 0.95, 0.97, 0.98, and 0.99, with 0.125, 0.25, 0.5, and 1 false positive per breast, respectively. The LSTM network reduced 15.5% of the false positive prediction from the YOLO model, and the positive predictive value was increased from 0.22 to 0.25. CONCLUSIONS: A fine-tuned YOLOv5x model can detect breast lesions on ultrafast MRI with high sensitivity in a screening population, and the output of the model could be further refined by an LSTM network to reduce the amount of false positive predictions. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The proposed integrated system would make the ultrafast MRI screening process more effective by assisting radiologists in prioritizing suspicious examinations and supporting the diagnostic workup. KEY POINTS: • Deep convolutional neural networks could be utilized to automatically pinpoint breast lesions in screening MRI with high sensitivity. • False positive predictions significantly increased when the detection models were tested on highly unbalanced test sets with more normal scans. • Dynamic enhancement patterns of breast lesions during contrast inflow learned by the long short-term memory networks helped to reduce false positive predictions.

Performance of Lung-RADS in different target populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Multiple lung cancer screening studies reported the performance of Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System (Lung-RADS), but none systematically evaluated its performance across different populations. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the performance of Lung-RADS (versions 1.0 and 1.1) for detecting lung cancer in different populations. METHODS: We performed literature searches in PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases on October 21, 2022, for studies that evaluated the accuracy of Lung-RADS in lung cancer screening. A bivariate random-effects model was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity, and heterogeneity was explored in stratified and meta-regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 31 studies with 104,224 participants were included. For version 1.0 (27 studies, 95,413 individuals), pooled sensitivity was 0.96 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90-0.99) and pooled specificity was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92). Studies in high-risk populations showed higher sensitivity (0.98 [95% CI: 0.92-0.99] vs. 0.84 [95% CI: 0.50-0.96]) and lower specificity (0.87 [95% CI: 0.85-0.88] vs. 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.97]) than studies in general populations. Non-Asian studies tended toward higher sensitivity (0.97 [95% CI: 0.91-0.99] vs. 0.91 [95% CI: 0.67-0.98]) and lower specificity (0.88 [95% CI: 0.85-0.90] vs. 0.93 [95% CI: 0.88-0.96]) than Asian studies. For version 1.1 (4 studies, 8811 individuals), pooled sensitivity was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.83-0.96) and specificity was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.67-0.90). CONCLUSION: Among studies using Lung-RADS version 1.0, considerable heterogeneity in sensitivity and specificity was noted, explained by population type (high risk vs. general), population area (Asia vs. non-Asia), and cancer prevalence. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Meta-regression of lung cancer screening studies using Lung-RADS version 1.0 showed considerable heterogeneity in sensitivity and specificity, explained by the different target populations, including high-risk versus general populations, Asian versus non-Asian populations, and populations with different lung cancer prevalence. KEY POINTS: • High-risk population studies showed higher sensitivity and lower specificity compared with studies performed in general populations by using Lung-RADS version 1.0. • In non-Asian studies, the diagnostic performance of Lung-RADS version 1.0 tended to be better than in Asian studies. • There are limited studies on the performance of Lung-RADS version 1.1, and evidence is lacking for Asian populations.

Image quality of DWI at breast MRI depends on the amount of fibroglandular tissue: implications for unenhanced screening.

OBJECTIVES: To compare image quality of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and contrast-enhanced breast MRI (DCE-T1) stratified by the amount of fibroglandular tissue (FGT) as a measure of breast density. METHODS: Retrospective, multi-reader, bicentric visual grading analysis study on breast density (A-D) and overall image and fat suppression quality of DWI and DCE-T1, scored on a standard 5-point Likert scale. Cross tabulations and visual grading characteristic (VGC) curves were calculated for fatty breasts (A/B) versus dense breasts (C/D). RESULTS: Image quality of DWI was higher in the case of increased breast density, with good scores (score 3-5) in 85.9% (D) and 88.4% (C), compared to 61.6% (B) and 53.5% (A). Overall image quality of DWI was in favor of dense breasts (C/D), with an area under the VGC curve of 0.659 (p < 0.001). Quality of DWI and DCE-T1 fat suppression increased with higher breast density, with good scores (score 3-5) for 86.9% and 45.7% of density D, and 90.2% and 42.9% of density C cases, compared to 76.0% and 33.6% for density B and 54.7% and 29.6% for density A (DWI and DCE-T1 respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Dense breasts show excellent fat suppression and substantially higher image quality in DWI images compared with non-dense breasts. These results support the setup of studies exploring DWI-based MR imaging without IV contrast for additional screening of women with dense breasts. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Our findings demonstrate that image quality of DWI is robust in women with an increased amount of fibroglandular tissue, technically supporting the feasibility of exploring applications such as screening of women with mammographically dense breasts. KEY POINTS: • Image and fat suppression quality of diffusion-weighted imaging are dependent on the amount of fibroglandular tissue (FGT) which is closely connected to breast density. • Fat suppression quality in diffusion-weighted imaging of the breast is best in women with a high amount of fibroglandular tissue. • High image quality of diffusion-weighted imaging in women with a high amount of FGT in MRI supports that the technical feasibility of DWI can be explored in the additional screening of women with mammographically dense breasts.

Automated Breast Density Assessment in MRI Using Deep Learning and Radiomics: Strategies for Reducing Inter-Observer Variability.

BACKGROUND: Accurate breast density evaluation allows for more precise risk estimation but suffers from high inter-observer variability. PURPOSE: To evaluate the feasibility of reducing inter-observer variability of breast density assessment through artificial intelligence (AI) assisted interpretation. STUDY TYPE: Retrospective. POPULATION: Six hundred and twenty-one patients without breast prosthesis or reconstructions were randomly divided into training (N = 377), validation (N = 98), and independent test (N = 146) datasets. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 1.5 T and 3.0 T; T1-weighted spectral attenuated inversion recovery. ASSESSMENT: Five radiologists independently assessed each scan in the independent test set to establish the inter-observer variability baseline and to reach a reference standard. Deep learning and three radiomics models were developed for three classification tasks: (i) four Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) breast composition categories (A-D), (ii) dense (categories C, D) vs. non-dense (categories A, B), and (iii) extremely dense (category D) vs. moderately dense (categories A-C). The models were tested against the reference standard on the independent test set. AI-assisted interpretation was performed by majority voting between the models and each radiologist's assessment. STATISTICAL TESTS: Inter-observer variability was assessed using linear-weighted kappa (κ) statistics. Kappa statistics, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to assess models against reference standard. RESULTS: In the independent test set, five readers showed an overall substantial agreement on tasks (i) and (ii), but moderate agreement for task (iii). The best-performing model showed substantial agreement with reference standard for tasks (i) and (ii), but moderate agreement for task (iii). With the assistance of the AI models, almost perfect inter-observer variability was obtained for tasks (i) (mean κ = 0.86), (ii) (mean κ = 0.94), and (iii) (mean κ = 0.94). DATA CONCLUSION: Deep learning and radiomics models have the potential to help reduce inter-observer variability of breast density assessment. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 1.

The natural history of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) in simulation models: A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Assumptions on the natural history of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) are necessary to accurately model it and estimate overdiagnosis. To improve current estimates of overdiagnosis (0-91%), the purpose of this review was to identify and analyse assumptions made in modelling studies on the natural history of DCIS in women. METHODS: A systematic review of English full-text articles using PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science was conducted up to February 6, 2023. Eligibility and all assessments were done independently by two reviewers. Risk of bias and quality assessments were performed. Discrepancies were resolved by consensus. Reader agreement was quantified with Cohen's kappa. Data extraction was performed with three forms on study characteristics, model assessment, and tumour progression. RESULTS: Thirty models were distinguished. The most important assumptions regarding the natural history of DCIS were addition of non-progressive DCIS of 20-100%, classification of DCIS into three grades, where high grade DCIS had an increased chance of progression to invasive breast cancer (IBC), and regression possibilities of 1-4%, depending on age and grade. Other identified risk factors of progression of DCIS to IBC were younger age, birth cohort, larger tumour size, and individual risk. CONCLUSION: To accurately model the natural history of DCIS, aspects to consider are DCIS grades, non-progressive DCIS (9-80%), regression from DCIS to no cancer (below 10%), and use of well-established risk factors for progression probabilities (age). Improved knowledge on key factors to consider when studying DCIS can improve estimates of overdiagnosis and optimization of screening.

Long-term Survival in Breast Cancer Patients Is Associated with Contralateral Parenchymal Enhancement at MRI: Outcomes of the SELECT Study.

Background Several single-center studies found that high contralateral parenchymal enhancement (CPE) at breast MRI was associated with improved long-term survival in patients with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative breast cancer. Due to varying sample sizes, population characteristics, and follow-up times, consensus of the association is currently lacking. Purpose To confirm whether CPE is associated with long-term survival in a large multicenter retrospective cohort, and to investigate if CPE is associated with endocrine therapy effectiveness. Materials and Methods This multicenter observational cohort included women with unilateral ER-positive HER2-negative breast cancer (tumor size ≤50 mm and ≤three positive lymph nodes) who underwent MRI from January 2005 to December 2010. Overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and distant RFS (DRFS) were assessed. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to investigate differences in absolute risk after 10 years, stratified according to CPE tertile. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to investigate whether CPE was associated with prognosis and endocrine therapy effectiveness. Results Overall, 1432 women (median age, 54 years [IQR, 47-63 years]) were included from 10 centers. Differences in absolute OS after 10 years were stratified according to CPE tertile as follows: 88.5% (95% CI: 88.1, 89.1) in tertile 1, 85.8% (95% CI: 85.2, 86.3) in tertile 2, and 85.9% (95% CI: 85.4, 86.4) in tertile 3. CPE was independently associated with OS, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.0, 1.36; P = .047), but was not associated with RFS (HR, 1.11; P = .16) or DRFS (HR, 1.11; P = .19). The effect of endocrine therapy on survival could not be accurately assessed; therefore, the association between endocrine therapy efficacy and CPE could not reliably be estimated. Conclusion High contralateral parenchymal enhancement was associated with a marginally decreased overall survival in patients with estrogen receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer, but was not associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) or distant RFS. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Honda and Iima in this issue.

CT-based emphysema characterization per lobe: A proof of concept.

PURPOSE: The Fleischner society criteria are global criteria to visually evaluate and classify pulmonary emphysema on CT. It may group heterogeneous disease severity within the same category, potentially obscuring clinically relevant differences in emphysema severity. This proof-of-concept study proposes to split emphysema into more categories and to assess each lobe separately, and applies this to two general population-based cohort samples to assess what information such an extension adds. METHOD: From a consecutive sample in two general population-based cohorts with low-dose chest CT, 117 participants with more than a trace of emphysema were included. Two independent readers performed an extended per-lobe classification and assessed overall severity semi-quantitatively. An emphysema sum score was determined by adding the severity score of all lobes. Inter-reader agreement was quantified with Krippendorff Alpha. RESULTS: Based on Fleischner society criteria, 69 cases had mild to severe centrilobular emphysema, and 90 cases had mild or moderate paraseptal emphysema (42 had both types of emphysema). The emphysema sum score was significantly different between mild (10.7 ± 4.3, range 2-22), moderate (20.1 ± 3.1, range: 15-24), and severe emphysema (23.6 ± 3.4, range: 17-28, p < 0.001), but ranges showed significant overlap. Inter-reader agreement for the extended classification and sum score was substantial (alpha 0.79 and 0.85, respectively). Distribution was homogenous across lobes in never-smokers, yet heterogenous in current smokers, with upper-lobe predominance. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed emphysema evaluation method adds information to the original Fleischner society classification. Individuals in the same Fleischner category have diverse emphysema sum scores, and lobar emphysema distribution differs between smoking groups.

Detection and size quantification of pulmonary nodules in ultralow-dose versus regular-dose CT: a comparative study in COPD patients.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate detectability and semi-automatic diameter and volume measurements of pulmonary nodules in ultralow-dose CT (ULDCT) vs regular-dose CT (RDCT). METHODS: Fifty patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) underwent RDCT on 64-multidetector CT (120 kV, filtered back projection), and ULDCT on third-generation dual source CT (100 kV with tin filter, advanced modeled iterative reconstruction). One radiologist evaluated the presence of nodules on both scans in random order, with discrepancies judged by two independent radiologists and consensus reading. Sensitivity of nodule detection on RDCT and ULDCT was compared to reader consensus. Systematic error in semi-automatically derived diameter and volume, and 95% limits of agreement (LoA) were evaluated. Nodule classification was compared by κ statistics. RESULTS: ULDCT resulted in 83.1% (95% CI: 81.0-85.2) dose reduction compared to RDCT (p < 0.001). 45 nodules were present, with diameter range 4.0-25.3 mm and volume range 16.0-4483.0 mm3. Detection sensitivity was non-significant (p = 0.503) between RDCT 88.8% (95% CI: 76.0-96.3) and ULDCT 95.5% (95% CI: 84.9-99.5). No systematic bias in diameter measurements (median difference: -0.2 mm) or volumetry (median difference: -6 mm3) was found for ULDCT compared to RDCT. The 95% LoA for diameter and volume measurements were ±3.0 mm and ±33.5%, respectively. κ value for nodule classification was 0.852 for diameter measurements and 0.930 for volumetry. CONCLUSION: ULDCT based on Sn100 kV enables comparable detectability of solid pulmonary nodules in COPD patients, at 83% reduced radiation dose compared to RDCT, without relevant difference in nodule measurement and size classification. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: Pulmonary nodule detectability and measurements in ULDCT are comparable to RDCT.

Comparison of conventional and higher-resolution reduced-FOV diffusion-weighted imaging of breast tissue.

OBJECTIVE: Reduced FOV-diffusion-weighted imaging (rFOV-DWI) allows for acquisition of a tissue region without back-folding, and may have better fat suppression than conventional DWI imaging (c-DWI). The aim was to compare the ADCs obtained with c-DWI bilateral-breast imaging with single-breast rFOV-DWI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Breasts of 38 patients were scanned at 3 T. The mean ADC values obtained for 38 lesions, and fibro-glandular (N = 35) and adipose (N = 38) tissue ROIs were compared between c-DWI and higher-resolution rFOV-DWI (Wilcoxon rank test). Also, the ADCs were compared between the two acquisitions for an oil-only phantom and a combined water/oil phantom. Furthermore, ghost artifacts were assessed. RESULTS: No significant difference in mean ADC was found between the acquisitions for lesions (c-DWI: 1.08 × 10-3 mm2/s, rFOV-DWI: 1.13 × 10-3 mm2/s) and fibro-glandular tissue. For adipose tissue, the ADC using rFOV-DWI (0.31 × 10-3 mm2/s) was significantly higher than c-DWI (0.16 × 10-3 mm2/s). For the oil-only phantom, no difference in ADC was found. However, for the water/oil phantom, the ADC of oil was significantly higher with rFOV-DWI compared to c-DWI. DISCUSSION: Although ghost artifacts were observed for both acquisitions, they appeared to have a greater impact for rFOV-DWI. However, no differences in mean lesions' ADC values were found, and therefore this study suggests that rFOV can be used diagnostically for single-breast DWI imaging.

Association between visual emphysema and lung nodules on low-dose CT scan in a Chinese Lung Cancer Screening Program (Nelcin-B3).

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the association between visual emphysema and the presence of lung nodules, and Lung-RADS category with low-dose CT (LDCT). METHODS: Baseline LDCT scans of 1162 participants from a lung cancer screening study (Nelcin-B3) performed in a Chinese general population were included. The presence, subtypes, and severity of emphysema (at least trace) were visually assessed by one radiologist. The presence, size, and classification of non-calcified lung nodules (≥ 30 mm3) and Lung-RADS category were independently assessed by another two radiologists. Multivariable logistic regression and stratified analyses were performed to estimate the association between emphysema and lung nodules, Lung-RADS category, after adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking status, pack-years, and passive smoking. RESULTS: Emphysema and lung nodules were observed in 674 (58.0%) and 424 (36.5%) participants, respectively. Participants with emphysema had a 71% increased risk of having lung nodules (adjusted odds ratios, aOR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.26-2.31) and 70% increased risk of positive Lung-RADS category (aOR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.09-2.66) than those without emphysema. Participants with paraseptal emphysema (n = 47, 4.0%) were at a higher risk for lung nodules than those with centrilobular emphysema (CLE) (aOR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.32-4.50 and aOR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.23-2.09, respectively). Only CLE was associated with positive Lung-RADS category (p = 0.02). CLE severity was related to a higher risk of lung nodules (ranges aOR: 1.44-2.61, overall p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: In a Chinese general population, visual emphysema based on LDCT is independently related to the presence of lung nodules (≥ 30 mm3) and specifically CLE subtype is related to positive Lung-RADS category. The risk of lung nodules increases with CLE severity. KEY POINTS: • Participants with emphysema had an increased risk of having lung nodules, especially smokers. • Participants with PSE were at a higher risk for lung nodules than those with CLE, but nodules in participants with CLE had a higher risk of positive Lung-RADS category. • The risk of lung nodules increases with CLE severity.

Using deep learning to safely exclude lesions with only ultrafast breast MRI to shorten acquisition and reading time.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the feasibility of automatically identifying normal scans in ultrafast breast MRI with artificial intelligence (AI) to increase efficiency and reduce workload. METHODS: In this retrospective analysis, 837 breast MRI examinations performed on 438 women from April 2016 to October 2019 were included. The left and right breasts in each examination were labelled normal (without suspicious lesions) or abnormal (with suspicious lesions) based on final interpretation. Maximum intensity projection (MIP) images of each breast were then used to train a deep learning model. A high sensitivity threshold was calculated based on the detection trade - off (DET) curve on the validation set. The performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis of the independent test set. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) with the high sensitivity threshold were calculated. RESULTS: The independent test set consisted of 178 examinations of 149 patients (mean age, 44 years ± 14 [standard deviation]). The trained model achieved an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.75-0.88) on the independent test set. Applying a threshold of 0.25 yielded a sensitivity of 98% (95% CI: 90%; 100%), an NPV of 98% (95% CI: 89%; 100%), a workload reduction of 15.7%, and a scan time reduction of 16.6%. CONCLUSION: This deep learning model has a high potential to help identify normal scans in ultrafast breast MRI and thereby reduce radiologists' workload and scan time. KEY POINTS: • Deep learning in TWIST may eliminate the necessity of additional sequences for identifying normal breasts during MRI screening. • Workload and scanning time reductions of 15.7% and 16.6%, respectively, could be achieved with the cost of 1 (1 of 55) false negative prediction.

Association between Chest CT-defined Emphysema and Lung Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background Given the different methods of assessing emphysema, controversy exists as to whether it is associated with lung cancer. Purpose To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the association between chest CT-defined emphysema and the presence of lung cancer. Materials and Methods The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched up to July 15, 2021, to identify studies on the association between emphysema assessed visually or quantitatively with CT and lung cancer. Associations were determined by emphysema severity (trace, mild, or moderate to severe, assessed visually and quantitatively) and subtype (centrilobular and paraseptal, assessed visually). Overall and stratified pooled odds ratios (ORs) with their 95% CIs were obtained. Results Of the 3343 screened studies, 21 studies (107 082 patients) with 26 subsets were included. The overall pooled ORs for lung cancer given the presence of emphysema were 2.3 (95% CI: 2.0, 2.6; I2 = 35%; 19 subsets) and 1.02 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.02; six subsets) per 1% increase in low attenuation area. Studies with visual (pooled OR, 2.3; 95% CI: 1.9, 2.6; I2 = 48%; 12 subsets) and quantitative (pooled OR, 2.2; 95% CI: 1.8, 2.8; I2 = 3.7%; eight subsets) assessments yielded comparable results for the dichotomous assessment. Based on six studies (1716 patients), the pooled ORs for lung cancer increased with emphysema severity and were higher for visual assessment (2.5, 3.7, and 4.5 for trace, mild, and moderate to severe, respectively) than for quantitative assessment (1.9, 2.2, and 2.5) based on point estimates. Compared with no emphysema, only centrilobular emphysema (three studies) was associated with lung cancer (pooled OR, 2.2; 95% CI: 1.5, 3.2; P < .001). Conclusion Both visual and quantitative CT assessments of emphysema were associated with a higher odds of lung cancer, which also increased with emphysema severity. Regarding subtype, only centrilobular emphysema was significantly associated with lung cancer. Clinical trial registration no. CRD42021262163 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Hunsaker in this issue.

Airflow Limitation Increases Lung Cancer Risk in Smokers: The Lifelines Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between smoking, airflow limitation, and lung cancer occurrence is unclear. This study aims to evaluate the relationship between airflow limitation and lung cancer, and the effect modification by smoking status. METHODS: We included participants with spirometry data from Lifelines, a population-based cohort study from the Northern Netherlands. Airflow limitation was defined as FEV1/FVC ratio < 0.7. The presence of pathology-confirmed primary lung cancer during a median follow-up of 9.5 years was collected. The Cox regression model was used and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were reported. Adjusted confounders included age, sex, educational level, smoking, passive smoking, asthma status and asbestos exposure. The effect modification by smoking status was investigated by estimating the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) and the ratio of HRs with 95% CI. RESULTS: Out of 98,630 participants, 14,200 (14.4%) had airflow limitation. In participants with and without airflow limitation, lung cancer incidence was 0.8% and 0.2%, respectively. The adjusted HR between airflow limitation and lung cancer risk was 1.7 (1.4-2.3). The association between airflow limitation and lung cancer differed by smoking status [former smokers: 2.1 (1.4-3.2), current smokers: 2.2 (1.5-3.2)] and never smokers [0.9 (0.4-2.1)]. The RERI and ratio of HRs was 2.1 (0.7-3.4) and 2.5 (1.0-6.5) for former smokers, and 4.6 (95% CI, 1.8-7.4) and 2.5 (95% CI, 1.0-6.3) for current smokers, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Airflow limitation increases lung cancer risk and this association is modified by smoking status. IMPACT: Ever smokers with airflow limitation are an important target group for the prevention of lung cancer.

Breast Tumor Identification in Ultrafast MRI Using Temporal and Spatial Information.

PURPOSE: To investigate the feasibility of using deep learning methods to differentiate benign from malignant breast lesions in ultrafast MRI with both temporal and spatial information. METHODS: A total of 173 single breasts of 122 women (151 examinations) with lesions above 5 mm were retrospectively included. A total of 109 out of 173 lesions were benign. Maximum intensity projection (MIP) images were generated from each of the 14 contrast-enhanced T1-weighted acquisitions in the ultrafast MRI scan. A 2D convolutional neural network (CNN) and a long short-term memory (LSTM) network were employed to extract morphological and temporal features, respectively. The 2D CNN model was trained with the MIPs from the last four acquisitions to ensure the visibility of the lesions, while the LSTM model took MIPs of an entire scan as input. The performance of each model and their combination were evaluated with 100-times repeated stratified four-fold cross-validation. Those models were then compared with models developed with standard DCE-MRI which followed the same data split. RESULTS: In the differentiation between benign and malignant lesions, the ultrafast MRI-based 2D CNN achieved a mean AUC of 0.81 ± 0.06, and the LSTM network achieved a mean AUC of 0.78 ± 0.07; their combination showed a mean AUC of 0.83 ± 0.06 in the cross-validation. The mean AUC values were significantly higher for ultrafast MRI-based models than standard DCE-MRI-based models. CONCLUSION: Deep learning models developed with ultrafast breast MRI achieved higher performances than standard DCE-MRI for malignancy discrimination. The improved AUC values of the combined models indicate an added value of temporal information extracted by the LSTM model in breast lesion characterization.

Outstanding negative prediction performance of solid pulmonary nodule volume AI for ultra-LDCT baseline lung cancer screening risk stratification.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate performance of AI as a standalone reader in ultra-low-dose CT lung cancer baseline screening, and compare it to that of experienced radiologists. METHODS: 283 participants who underwent a baseline ultra-LDCT scan in Moscow Lung Cancer Screening, between February 2017-2018, and had at least one solid lung nodule, were included. Volumetric nodule measurements were performed by five experienced blinded radiologists, and independently assessed using an AI lung cancer screening prototype (AVIEW LCS, v1.0.34, Coreline Soft, Co. ltd, Seoul, Korea) to automatically detect, measure, and classify solid nodules. Discrepancies were stratified into two groups: positive-misclassification (PM); nodule classified by the reader as a NELSON-plus /EUPS-indeterminate/positive nodule, which at the reference consensus read was < 100 mm3, and negative-misclassification (NM); nodule classified as a NELSON-plus /EUPS-negative nodule, which at consensus read was ≥ 100 mm3. RESULTS: 1149 nodules with a solid-component were detected, of which 878 were classified as solid nodules. For the largest solid nodule per participant (n = 283); 61 [21.6 %; 53 PM, 8 NM] discrepancies were reported for AI as a standalone reader, compared to 43 [15.1 %; 22 PM, 21 NM], 36 [12.7 %; 25 PM, 11 NM], 29 [10.2 %; 25 PM, 4 NM], 28 [9.9 %; 6 PM, 22 NM], and 50 [17.7 %; 15 PM, 35 NM] discrepancies for readers 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 respectively. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that through the use of AI as an impartial reader in baseline lung cancer screening, negative-misclassification results could exceed that of four out of five experienced radiologists, and radiologists' workload could be drastically diminished by up to 86.7%.

Cost-effectiveness of abbreviated-protocol MRI screening for women with mammographically dense breasts in a national breast cancer screening program.

INTRODUCTION: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has shown the potential to improve the screening effectiveness among women with dense breasts. The introduction of fast abbreviated protocols (AP) makes MRI more feasible to be used in a general population. We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of AP-MRI in women with dense breasts (heterogeneously/extremely dense) in a population-based screening program. METHODS: A previously validated model (SiMRiSc) was applied, with parameters updated for women with dense breasts. Breast density was assumed to decrease with increased age. The base scenarios included six biennial AP-MRI strategies, with biennial mammography from age 50-74 as reference. Fourteen alternative scenarios were performed by varying screening interval (triennial and quadrennial) and by applying a combined strategy of mammography and AP-MRI. A 3% discount rate for both costs and life years gained (LYG) was applied. Model robustness was evaluated using univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The six biennial AP-MRI strategies ranged from 132 to 562 LYG per 10,000 women, where more frequent application of AP-MRI was related to higher LYG. The optimal strategy was biennial AP-MRI screening from age 50-65 for only women with extremely dense breasts, producing an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of € 18,201/LYG. At a threshold of € 20,000/LYG, the probability that the optimal strategy was cost-effective was 79%. CONCLUSION: Population-based biennial breast cancer screening with AP-MRI from age 50-65 for women with extremely dense breasts might be a cost-effective alternative to mammography, but is not an option for women with heterogeneously dense breasts.

Performance of a deep learning-based lung nodule detection system as an alternative reader in a Chinese lung cancer screening program.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of a deep learning-based computer-aided detection (DL-CAD) system in a Chinese low-dose CT (LDCT) lung cancer screening program. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One-hundred-and-eighty individuals with a lung nodule on their baseline LDCT lung cancer screening scan were randomly mixed with screenees without nodules in a 1:1 ratio (total: 360 individuals). All scans were assessed by double reading and subsequently processed by an academic DL-CAD system. The findings of double reading and the DL-CAD system were then evaluated by two senior radiologists to derive the reference standard. The detection performance was evaluated by the Free Response Operating Characteristic curve, sensitivity and false-positive (FP) rate. The senior radiologists categorized nodules according to nodule diameter, type (solid, part-solid, non-solid) and Lung-RADS. RESULTS: The reference standard consisted of 262 nodules ≥ 4 mm in 196 individuals; 359 findings were considered false positives. The DL-CAD system achieved a sensitivity of 90.1% with 1.0 FP/scan for detection of lung nodules regardless of size or type, whereas double reading had a sensitivity of 76.0% with 0.04 FP/scan (P = 0.001). The sensitivity for detection of nodules ≥ 4 - ≤ 6 mm was significantly higher with DL-CAD than with double reading (86.3% vs. 58.9% respectively; P = 0.001). Sixty-three nodules were only identified by the DL-CAD system, and 27 nodules only found by double reading. The DL-CAD system reached similar performance compared to double reading in Lung-RADS 3 (94.3% vs. 90.0%, P = 0.549) and Lung-RADS 4 nodules (100.0% vs. 97.0%, P = 1.000), but showed a higher sensitivity in Lung-RADS 2 (86.2% vs. 65.4%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The DL-CAD system can accurately detect pulmonary nodules on LDCT, with an acceptable false-positive rate of 1 nodule per scan and has higher detection performance than double reading. This DL-CAD system may assist radiologists in nodule detection in LDCT lung cancer screening.

Cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening by low-dose CT in China: a micro-simulation study.

Background: The effectiveness of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) has been established. The current study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening with LDCT in a general population in China. Methods: A previously validated micro-simulation model was used to simulate a cohort of men and women on a lifetime horizon in the presence and absence of LDCT screening. The modeling data were collected from numerous national and international sources. Simulated screening scenarios included different combinations of screening intervals and start and stop ages. Additional costs (valued in Chinese Yuan, CNY; 1 USD = 6.8976 CNY, 1 EUR = 7.8755 CNY in 2020), life-years gained (LYG) and mortality reduction due to screening were also determined. The costs and life-years were discounted by 3%. All results were scaled to 1,000 individuals. The average cost-effectiveness ratio (ACER) was calculated. A willingness-to-pay threshold of CNY 217.3k / LYG was considered. A healthcare system perspective was adopted. Results: Compared to no screening, lung cancer screening by LDCT in a general Chinese population yielded 21.0 - 36.7 LYG in men and 9.2 - 16.6 LYG in women across the scenarios. For men, biennial LDCT screening yielded an ACER of CNY 171.4k - 306.3k / LYG relative to no screening. Biennial screening performed between 55 and 75 years of age was optimal at the defined threshold; it resulted in CNY 174.6k / LYG and a lung cancer mortality reduction of 9.1%, and this scenario had a 75% probability of being cost-effective. For women, the ACER ranged from CNY 364.2k to 1193.3k / LYG. Conclusions: In China, lung cancer screening with LDCT in the general population including never smokers could be cost-effective for men with 75% probability, but not for women. The optimal strategy for men would be performing biennial screening between 55 and 75 years of age.