Dynamics of circulating calprotectin accurately predict the outcome of moderate COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND: Severe COVID-19 is associated with a high circulating level of calprotectin, the S100A8/S100A9 alarmin heterodimer. Baseline calprotectin amount measured in peripheral blood at diagnosis correlates with disease severity. The optimal use of this biomarker along COVID-19 course remains to be delineated. METHODS: We focused on patients with a WHO-defined moderate COVID-19 requiring hospitalization in a medical ward. We collected plasma and serum from three independent cohorts (N = 626 patients) and measured calprotectin amount at admission. We performed longitudinal measures of calprotectin in 457 of these patients (1461 samples) and used a joint latent class mixture model in which classes were defined by age, body mass index and comorbidities to identify calprotectin trajectories predicting the risk of transfer into an intensive care unit or death. FINDINGS: After adjustment for age, sex, body mass index and comorbidities, the predictive value of baseline calprotectin in patients with moderate COVID19 could be refined by serial monitoring of the biomarker. We discriminated three calprotectin trajectories associated with low, moderate, and high risk of poor outcome, and we designed an algorithm available as online software (https://calpla.gustaveroussy.fr:8443/) to monitor the probability of a poor outcome in individual patients with moderate COVID-19. INTERPRETATION: These results emphasize the clinical interest of serial monitoring of calprotectin amount in the peripheral blood to anticipate the risk of poor outcomes in patients with moderate COVID-19 hospitalized in a standard care unit. FUNDING: The study received support (research grants) from ThermoFisher immunodiagnostics (France) and Gustave Roussy Foundation.

Effectiveness of a Multifaceted Informational-Based and Text Message Reminders on Pneumococcal and Influenza Vaccinations in Hospital Emergency Departments: A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of a multifaceted procedure in improving pneumococcal and influenza vaccinations 6 months after an emergency department (ED) visit among patients aged 65 years and older. METHODS: We conducted a cluster-randomized, controlled, parallel-group, open-label implementation trial in 18 EDs in France and Monaco. Participants were recruited from November 2015 to September 2016. EDs were randomly assigned with a 1:1 ratio to provide either a multifaceted procedure that combined structured information about pneumococcal and influenza vaccines and three text message reminders sent to patients every two weeks (intervention arm) or nonstructured information only (control arm). The outcomes were self-reported pneumococcal vaccination and influenza vaccination rates within 6 months of enrollment. RESULTS: A total of 9 EDs were randomized to the intervention arm (n = 780 patients) and 9 to the control arm (n = 695 patients). The median age for all enrolled patients was 74 years (25-75th percentiles, 69 to 82): 50.1% were male, 34.9% had at least one underlying condition, and 30.7% were at risk for invasive pneumococcal infection. In the intention-to-treat analysis, the multifaceted intervention did not alter the pneumococcal vaccination rate (6.4% versus 4.6%, absolute difference: 1.8; 95% CI: [-0.9 to 4.4]; p = 0.19), whereas it improved the influenza vaccination rate (52.1% versus 40.0%, absolute difference: 12.1; 95% CI: [2.4 to 21.8]; p = 0.01). At 12 months, mortality did not differ between the intervention (9.7%) and control (11.2%) arms (p = 0.35). CONCLUSIONS: A multifaceted intervention based on text message reminders provides an opportunity to increase anti-influenza vaccination among elderly patients visiting the ED. Efforts are warranted to provide better information on pneumococcal diseases and the benefits of pneumococcal vaccines, especially in the elderly.

Prognostic value of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor in patients presenting to the emergency department with chest pain suggestive of acute coronary syndrome.

INTRODUCTION: Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a prognostic biomarker of cardiovascular disease. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the early prognostic value of suPAR in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with chest pain suggestive of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In a post-hoc analysis from a multicenter study including patients with a chest pain < 6 h, suPAR concentrations at ED admission were studied according to the outcome at 30-days. RESULTS: 198 patients (median age 56 years) in whom 16% had an ACS, were included. Fifteen (7.3%) patients presented a 30-day event. At ED admission, median (IQR) suPAR concentrations were higher in patients with a 30-day event in comparison to patients without event (4.54 (3.09-8.61) vs. 2.72 (2.10-3.43) ng/mL, p < 0.001). The ROC curve AUC of suPAR for the prediction of a 30-days event was 0.775 [95%CI: 0.710-0.831]. The optimal threshold was 3.3 ng/mL, with a sensitivity of 73 [45-92] % and a specificity of 72 [65-79] %. The association of a suPAR < 3.3 ng/mL AND a NT-proBNP < 160 ng/L AND a HEART score < 4 had a negative predictive value of 99 [91-100] %. A suPAR value at admission above 3.3 ng/mL was independently and significantly associated with a 30-day event in chest pain emergency patients (OR 4.87 [1.35-17.51], p = 0.015). CONCLUSION: suPAR is a promising biomarker for early prediction of events in chest pain emergency patients.

Management of Type IA Endoleak After EVAR by Explantation or Custom Made Fenestrated Endovascular Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

OBJECTIVE: Proximal type 1 endoleak after endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysmal repair (EVAR) remains challenging to solve with no existing consensus. This work aims to compare two different surgical strategies to remedy type IA endoleak: endograft explantation (EXP) and aortic reconstruction or relining by custom made fenestrated EVAR (F-EVAR). METHODS: A retrospective single centre analysis between 2009 and 2018 was conducted including patients treated for type IA endoleak after EVAR with either EXP or F-EVAR. The choice of surgical technique was based on morphological factors (F-EVAR eligibility), sac growth rate, emergency presentation and/or patient symptoms. Technical success, morbidity, secondary interventions, 30 day mortality, and long term survival according to Kaplan-Meier were determined for each group and compared. RESULTS: Fifty-nine patients (91% male, mean age 79 years) underwent either EXP (n = 26) or F-EVAR (n = 33) during the study period. The two groups were equivalent in terms of comorbidity and age at the time of procedure. The median time from initial EVAR was 60.4 months (34-85 months), with no difference between groups. The maximum aneurysm diameter was greater in the EXP group compared with the F-EVAR group, 86 mm (65-100) and 70 mm (60-80), respectively (p = .008). Thirty day secondary intervention (EXP: 11.5% vs. F-EVAR: 9.1%) and mortality (EXP: 3.8% vs. F-EVAR: 3.3%) rates did not differ between groups, while major adverse events at 30 days, defined by the current SVS guidelines, were lower in the F-EVAR group (2.4% vs. 13.6%; p = .016). One year survival rates were similar between the groups (EXP: 84.0% vs. F-EVAR: 86.6%). CONCLUSION: Open explantation and endovascular management with a fenestrated device for type IA endoleak after EVAR can be achieved in high volume centres with satisfactory results. F-EVAR is associated with decreased early morbidity. Open explantation is a relevant option because of acceptable outcomes and the limited applicability of F-EVAR.

Pre-test probability for SARS-Cov-2-related infection score: The PARIS score.

INTRODUCTION: In numerous countries, large population testing is impossible due to the limited availability of RT-PCR kits and CT-scans. This study aimed to determine a pre-test probability score for SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective study (4 University Hospitals) included patients with clinical suspicion of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, and results of blood tests (complete white blood cell count, serum electrolytes and CRP) were collected. A pre-test probability score was derived from univariate analyses of clinical and biological variables between patients and controls, followed by multivariate binary logistic analysis to determine the independent variables associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. RESULTS: 605 patients were included between March 10th and April 30th, 2020 (200 patients for the training cohort, 405 consecutive patients for the validation cohort). In the multivariate analysis, lymphocyte (<1.3 G/L), eosinophil (<0.06 G/L), basophil (<0.04 G/L) and neutrophil counts (<5 G/L) were associated with high probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection but no clinical variable was statistically significant. The score had a good performance in the validation cohort (AUC = 0.918 (CI: [0.891-0.946]; STD = 0.014) with a Positive Predictive Value of high-probability score of 93% (95%CI: [0.89-0.96]). Furthermore, a low-probability score excluded SARS-CoV-2 infection with a Negative Predictive Value of 98% (95%CI: [0.93-0.99]). The performance of the score was stable even during the last period of the study (15-30th April) with more controls than infected patients. CONCLUSIONS: The PARIS score has a good performance to categorize the pre-test probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection based on complete white blood cell count. It could help clinicians adapt testing and for rapid triage of patients before test results.

Effect of Systematic Intensive Care Unit Triage on Long-term Mortality Among Critically Ill Elderly Patients in France: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: The high mortality rate in critically ill elderly patients has led to questioning of the beneficial effect of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and to a variable ICU use among this population. Objective: To determine whether a recommendation for systematic ICU admission in critically ill elderly patients reduces 6-month mortality compared with usual practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter, cluster-randomized clinical trial of 3037 critically ill patients aged 75 years or older, free of cancer, with preserved functional status (Index of Independence in Activities of Daily Living ≥4) and nutritional status (absence of cachexia) who arrived at the emergency department of one of 24 hospitals in France between January 2012 and April 2015 and were followed up until November 2015. Interventions: Centers were randomly assigned either to use a program to promote systematic ICU admission of patients (n=1519 participants) or to follow standard practice (n=1518 participants). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was death at 6 months. Secondary outcomes included ICU admission rate, in-hospital death, functional status, and quality of life (12-Item Short Form Health Survey, ranging from 0 to 100, with higher score representing better self-reported health) at 6 months. Results: One patient withdrew consent, leaving 3036 patients included in the trial (median age, 85 [interquartile range, 81-89] years; 1361 [45%] men). Patients in the systematic strategy group had an increased risk of death at 6 months (45% vs 39%; relative risk [RR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.07-1.26) despite an increased ICU admission rate (61% vs 34%; RR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.66-1.95). After adjustments for baseline characteristics, patients in the systematic strategy group were more likely to be admitted to an ICU (RR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.54-1.82) and had a higher risk of in-hospital death (RR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33) but had no significant increase in risk of death at 6 months (RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.96-1.14). Functional status and physical quality of life at 6 months were not significantly different between groups. Conclusions and Relevance: Among critically ill elderly patients in France, a program to promote systematic ICU admission increased ICU use but did not reduce 6-month mortality. Additional research is needed to understand the decision to admit elderly patients to the ICU. Trial Registration: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01508819.

A single value of high-sensitive troponin T below the limit of detection is not enough for ruling out non ST elevation myocardial infarction in the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Recent 2015 ESC recommendations for the management of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) support that a single value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (HS-cTn) measured at presentation could rule out AMI if below the limit of blank (LoB) or detection (LoD). OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate whether an undetectable HS-cTnT at presentation safely rules out NSTEMI in unselected patients with chest pain. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of two prospective cohorts with similar design that included patients suspected of AMI at three French university hospitals. Patients were followed-up during one month, before the adjudication of a final diagnosis. RESULTS: 413 patients (mean age 58±17years) were analyzed; 45 (11%) had a final diagnosis of NSTEMI, and 26 (6%) had STEMI. The sensitivity of HS-cTnT value at 3ng/L (LoB) for NSTEMI was 97.8% [95% CI: 86.8-99.9], yielding a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99.3% [95% CI: 95.4-100.0]. Proportion of patients ruled out for NSTEMI was 32% when applying the LoB. The sensitivity of HS-cTnT value at 5ng/L (LoD) was 97.8% [95% CI: 86.8-99.9] yielding a NPV of 99.5% [95% CI: 96.5-100.0]. Proportion of patients ruled out for NSTEMI was 43% when applying the LoD. One patient (delay between onset of chest pain and presentation <3h) had NSTEMI and HS-cTnT

Influence of age and renal function on high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T diagnostic accuracy for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.

Concerns have been raised about the performance of highly sensitive cardiac troponin assays to accurately detect acute myocardial infarction (AMI), particularly in non-ST segment elevation (NSTEMI), in elderly patients, and in patients with renal failure. We evaluated whether increased age and low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) alter diagnostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (HScTnT). In a prospective multicentric study, HScTnT levels were measured blindly at presentation in patients with acute chest pain. Three hundred and sixty-seven patients were enrolled, including 84 patients ≥70 years. Final diagnosis was AMI for 57 patients (16%) and NSTEMI for 43 patients (12%). NSTEMI was more frequent in elderly patients (p = 0.008). Sensitivity and specificity of HScTnT >14 ng/L at admission for AMI were 96% and 51% in patients ≥70 years versus 91% (NS) and 88% (p <0.0001) in younger patients; the same observations were done for the diagnosis of NSTEMI. Given an HScTnT >53.5 ng/L for the diagnosis of AMI and NSTEMI, respective sensitivities were 87% and 84% and respective specificities were 87% and 87% in elderly patients. Using a cutoff at 35.8 ng/L (for AMI) or 43.2 ng/L (for NSTEMI), sensitivities were 94% and 92%, and specificities were 86% and 88% in patients with low eGFR. Older age, but not low eGFR, was an independent predictive factor of an elevated HScTnT at admission (odds ratio 2.2 [1.2-3.9], p = 0.007). In conclusion, adapted thresholds of HScTnT are required for an accurate diagnosis of AMI/NSTEMI in patients aged ≥70 and in those with low eGFR.

Predictive variables of an emergency department quality and performance indicator: a 1-year prospective, observational, cohort study evaluating hospital and emergency census variables and emergency department time interval measurements.

OBJECTIVE: Emergency department (ED) crowding impacts negatively on quality of care. The aim was to determine the association between ED quality and input, throughput and output-associated variables. METHODS: This 1-year, prospective, observational, cohort study determined the daily percentage of patients leaving the ED in <4 h (ED quality and performance indicator; EDQPI). According to the median EDQPI two groups were defined: best-days and bad-days. Hospital and ED variables and time interval metrics were evaluated as predictors. RESULTS: Data were obtained for 67 307 patients over 364 days. Differences were observed between the two groups in unadjusted analysis: number of daily visits, number of patients as a function of final disposition, number boarding in the ED, and time interval metrics including wait time to triage nurse and ED provider, time from ED admission to decision, time from decision to departure and length of stay (LOS) as a function of final disposition. Five variables remained significant predictors for bad-days in multivariate analysis: wait time to triage nurse (OR 2.36; 95% CI 1.36 to 4.11; p=0.002), wait time to ED provider (OR 1.93; 95% CI 1.05 to 3.54; p=0.03), number of patients admitted to hospital (OR 1.86; 95% CI 1.09 to 3.19; p=0.02), LOS of non-admitted patients (OR 9.5; 95% CI 5.17 to 17.48; p<0.000001) and LOS of patients admitted to hospital (OR 2.46; 95% CI 1.44 to 4.2; p=0.0009). CONCLUSIONS: Throughput is the major determinant of EDQPI, notably time interval reflecting the work dynamics of medical and nursing teams and the efficacy of fast-track routes for low-complexity patients. Output also significantly impacted on EDQPI, particularly the capacity to reduce the LOS of admitted patients.

Copeptin for rapid rule out of acute myocardial infarction in emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Copeptin, in combination with conventional troponin (cTn), has been suggested as a means of rapid rule out of the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). This study aims to assess the value of copeptin for rule out of AMI, according to the pre-test probability (PTP). METHODS: In a prospective multicentric study, we enrolled patients presenting into emergency departments with chest pain <6h, copeptin was measured, and PTP was quoted. The discharge diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent experts using all available data, including cTnI. RESULTS: 317 patients were included: 148 (46%) had low, 110 (35%) moderate and 59 (19%) high PTP. Final diagnosis was AMI in 45 patients (14%). Median copeptin level was higher in AMI patients compared with that in patients having other diagnoses (23.2 vs. 9.9 pmol/L, p=0.01). A copeptin level ≥10.7 pmol/L in combination with cTnI detected AMI with higher sensitivity than for cTnI alone (98 [87-100] vs. 71 [55-83] %, p=0.001), whatever the PTP. The negative predictive value of the combination copeptin+cTnI was increased, compared to that of cTnI alone (99 [97-100] vs. 95 [92-97] %, p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In triage of chest pain patients, the additional use of copeptin with conventional cTnI might allow a rapid and reliable rule out of the diagnosis of AMI regardless of the PTP.

Variability of intensive care admission decisions for the very elderly.

UNLABELLED: Although increasing numbers of very elderly patients are requiring intensive care, few large sample studies have investigated ICU admission of very elderly patients. Data on pre triage by physicians from other specialities is limited. This observational cohort study aims at examining inter-hospital variability of ICU admission rates and its association with patients' outcomes. All patients over 80 years possibly qualifying for ICU admission who presented to the emergency departments (ED) of 15 hospitals in the Paris (France) area during a one-year period were prospectively included in the study. Main outcome measures were ICU eligibility, as assessed by the ED and ICU physicians; in-hospital mortality; and vital and functional status 6 months after the ED visit. 2646 patients (median age 86; interquartile range 83-91) were included in the study. 94% of participants completed follow-up (n = 2495). 12.4% (n = 329) of participants were deemed eligible for ICU admission by ED physicians and intensivists. The overall in-hospital and 6-month mortality rates were respectively 27.2% (n = 717) and 50.7% (n = 1264). At six months, 57.5% (n = 1433) of patients had died or had a functional deterioration. Rates of patients deemed eligible for ICU admission ranged from 5.6% to 38.8% across the participating centers, and this variability persisted after adjustment for patients' characteristics. Despite this variability, we found no association between level of ICU eligibility and either in-hospital death or six-month death or functional deterioration. In France, the likelihood that a very elderly person will be admitted to an ICU varies widely from one hospital to another. Influence of intensive care admission on patients' outcome remains unclear. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00912600.

Heart-type fatty acid binding protein and the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome in the ED.

BACKGROUND: In combination with cardiac troponin, heart-type fatty acid binding protein (h-FABP)-a biomarker of myocardial necrosis-offers the possibility of rapidly eliminating the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to assess the incremental value of h-FABP to cardiac troponin for a rapid elimination of AMI, according to the pretest probability (PTP) of AMI. METHODS: In consecutive patients presenting to emergency departments (ED) with chest pain less than 6 hours suggestive of AMI, h-FABP levels were measured, blinded to the ED physicians, who were asked to quote the PTP of AMI. The discharge diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent experts, blind to the h-FABP level. RESULTS: Three hundred seventeen patients (mean age of 57 years) were included in whom 149 had (47%) low, 117 (37%) moderate, and 51 (16%) high PTP. The final diagnosis was AMI in 45 patients (14%), including 16 STEMIs (5%). The negative predictive value for diagnostic elimination of AMI of an h-FABP less than 3 µg/L, combined with a negative cTnI was not higher than that of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) alone (96% [95% confidence interval, 93%-98%] vs 95% [93%-98%]), regardless of the PTP). Even in the low-PTP group, we did not demonstrate a significant improvement in negative predictive value with the addition of h-FABP, compare with that of cTnI alone (100% [97%-100%] vs 99% [96%-100%]). CONCLUSION: In triage of patients with chest pain, use of h-FABP does not provide useful additional information to cTnI for excluding the diagnosis of ST-elevation myocardial infarction and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction diagnosis, whatever the PTP.

Serum sodium abnormalities during nonexertional heatstroke: incidence and prognostic values.

BACKGROUND: Although heatstroke is often associated with dehydration, the clinical significance of serum sodium abnormalities in patients with heat-related illness during heat wave has been poorly documented. METHOD: We evaluated 1263 patients (age, 82±15 years; body temperature, 40.1°C+1.2°C) admitted to emergency departments during the August 2003 heat wave in Paris, having a core temperature greater than 38.5°C and measurement of serum sodium concentrations. Patients were classified according to our previously described risk score of death. RESULTS: Hyponatremia (<135 mmol/L) was reported in 409 (32%) and hypernatremia (>145 mmol/L) in 220 patients (17%). One-year survival was significantly decreased in patients with hypernatremia (45%; P=.004) but not in those with hyponatremia (58%; P=.86) as compared with patients with serum sodium concentration in the reference range (57%). Using Cox regression, only hypernatremia was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio, 1.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.36) when risk score was taken into account. Using logistic regression, 2 variables were independently associated with hyponatremia (heatstroke severity score and blood urea nitrogen-creatinine ratio<100). Conversely, 5 variables were independently associated with hypernatremia (living in an institution, dementia, serum creatinine>120 µmol/L, a blood urea nitrogen-creatinine ratio >100, and absence of long-term diuretic intake). CONCLUSIONS: Serum sodium abnormalities are frequently observed in patients with a nonexertional heatstroke during heat wave; however, only hypernatremia should be considered as an independent risk factor of death. Rapid measurement of serum sodium concentration is mandatory to appropriately guide electrolyte resuscitation.

High-sensitivity versus conventional troponin in the emergency department for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.

INTRODUCTION: Recently, newer assays for cardiac troponin (cTn) have been developed which are able to detect changes in concentration of the biomarker at or below the 99th percentile for a normal population. The objective of this study was to compare the diagnostic performance of a new high-sensitivity troponin T (HsTnT) assay to that of conventional cTnI for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) according to pretest probability (PTP). METHODS: In consecutive patients who presented to our emergency departments with chest pain suggestive of AMI, levels of HsTnT were measured at presentation, blinded to the emergency physicians, who were asked to estimate the empirical PTP of AMI. The discharge diagnosis was adjudicated by two independent experts on the basis of all available data. RESULTS: A total of 317 patients were included, comprising 149 (47%) who were considered to have low PTP, 109 (34%) who were considered to have moderate PTP and 59 (19%) who were considered to have high PTP. AMI was confirmed in 45 patients (14%), 22 (9%) of whom were considered to have low to moderate PTP and 23 (39%) of whom were considered to have high PTP (P < 0.001). In the low to moderate PTP group, HsTnT levels ≥ 0.014 µg/L identified AMI with a higher sensitivity than cTnI (91%, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 79 to 100, vs. 77% (95% CI 60 to 95); P = 0.001), but the negative predictive value was not different (99% (95% CI 98 to 100) vs. 98% (95% CI 96 to 100)). There was no difference in area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve between HsTnT and cTnI (0.93 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.98) vs. 0.94 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.97), respectively). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with low to moderate PTP of AMI, HsTnT is slightly more useful than cTnI. Our results confirm that the use of HsTnT has a higher sensitivity than conventional cTnI.

Elevation of cardiac troponin I during non-exertional heat-related illnesses in the context of a heatwave.

INTRODUCTION: The prognostic value of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) in patients having a heat-related illness during a heat wave has been poorly documented. METHODS: In a post hoc analysis, we evaluated 514 patients admitted to emergency departments during the August 2003 heat wave in Paris, having a core temperature >38.5 degrees C and who had analysis of cTnI levels. cTnI was considered as normal, moderately elevated (abnormality threshold to 1.5 ngxmL-1), or severely elevated (>1.5 ngxmL-1). Patients were classified according to our previously described risk score (high, intermediate, and low-risk of death). RESULTS: Mean age was 84 +/- 12 years, mean body temperature 40.3 +/- 1.2 degrees C. cTnI was moderately elevated in 165 (32%) and severely elevated in 97 (19%) patients. One-year survival was significantly decreased in patients with moderate or severe increase in cTnI (24 and 46% vs 58%, all P < 0.05). Using logistic regression, four independent variables were associated with an elevated cTnI: previous coronary artery disease, Glasgow coma scale <12, serum creatinine >120 micromolxL-1, and heart rate >110 bpm. Using Cox regression, only severely elevated cTnI was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 1.35 to 2.77) when risk score was taken into account. One-year survival was decreased in patients with elevated cTnI only in high risk patients (17 vs 31%, P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: cTnI is frequently elevated in patients with non-exertional heat-related illnesses during a heat wave and is an independent risk factor only in high risk patients where severe increase (>1.5 ngxmL-1) indicates severe myocardial damage.

Prognostic factors in non-exertional heatstroke.

PURPOSE: To identify the prognostic factors associated with mortality in heat-related illness. METHODS: Multi-center observational cohort-study in 16 emergency departments (ED) belonging to the teaching hospital network of the Paris area. The cohort comprised all patients admitted to one of the EDs during the August 2003 heat wave in Paris and having a core temperature >38.5 degrees C. Baseline clinical and biological data in ED, patient's course and 1-year survival rate were recorded. Potential prognostic factors associated with death were assessed by Cox proportional-hazards analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1,456 patients were included. Mean age was 79 +/- 19 years. Critically ill conditions were noted in 391 patients (27%), but only 72 (5%) were admitted into an intensive care unit. The survival rate was 57% at 1 year as compared to an expected 90% (P < 0.001). Nine independent prognostic factors were identified: previous treatment with diuretics, living in an institution, age >80 years, cardiac disease, cancer, core temperature >40 degrees C, systolic arterial pressure <100 mmHg, Glasgow coma scale <12 and transportation to hospital by ambulance. We defined three risk groups: low, intermediate and high risk, with a 1-year survival rate of 85, 61 and 18%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We observed a low survival rate and developed a risk score based on easily obtained variables that may be useful to clinicians managing casualties from future heat waves.

Predictors of early seizure recurrence in patients admitted for seizures in the Emergency Department.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the frequency of early seizure recurrence (ESR) and to evaluate predictors of ESR among patients attending the Emergency Department (ED) for seizure. METHODS: Prospective observational 12-month study in two Paris metropolitan area EDs including all consecutive adult patients presenting after one or more convulsive seizure episodes. Patients were classified into four groups: alcoholism (A), nonalcoholism (nA), new-onset seizure (NO), and past history of seizures (PS). ESR was defined as a seizure recurrence during the first 24 h after admission. RESULTS: A total of 1025 patients were enrolled. The groups were as follows: A-NO 176 patients (17.2%); A-PS 263 patients (25.6%); nA-NO 170 patients (16.6%); and nA-PS 416 patients (40.6%). Alcohol-related episodes involved 439 patients (42.8) with 346 NO seizures (33.7%). ESR rates were 16.3 and 18.6% at 6 and 24 h. Alcoholism, diagnostic group, age >or=40 years, glucose >or=5 and >or=8.5 mmol/l, and Glasgow Coma Scale <15 were significantly associated with ESR by univariate analysis. Alcoholism {odds ratio (OR): 1.32 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.67]; P=0.02}, plasma glucose [>5 mmol/l, OR: 1.68 (95% CI: 1.37-2.1), >or=8.5 mmol/l, 2.83 (95% CI: 2.3-3.47), P=0.000001], and Glasgow Coma Scale [<15 OR: 1.9 (95% CI: 1.29-2.78); P=0.001] remained significantly associated on multivariate analysis. We constructed a predictive model from these data. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 89.1, 27.4, 60.4, and 91.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION: ESR is common in the ED setting. Alcohol consumption, capillary glucose, and abnormal neurological examination on arrival at the ED are associated with increased risk of ESR.

Importance of in-hospital initiation of therapies and therapeutic inertia in secondary stroke prevention: IMplementation of Prevention After a Cerebrovascular evenT (IMPACT) Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Many patients do not receive prevention consistent with recommendations after stroke, but the relative importance of patient- and physician-related factors is uncertain. METHODS: We prospectively assessed factors associated with blood pressure (BP) <140/90 mm Hg and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol <1 g/L in a collaborative cohort of 240 consecutive patients experiencing stroke/transient ischemic attack (Rankin <4; /=140/90 mm Hg, approximately 40% received either no treatment or one drug only, and treatment was reinforced in 20% of them only. Results were similar at 12 months with no improvement in the rate of control of risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Therapeutic inertia is an important impediment to achieve BP and LDL control goals after stroke, even in fairly motivated/adherent patients. In-hospital initiation of preventive therapies could improve quality of secondary stroke prevention in the long term.