Cohort study to test the predictability of the NHS Institute for Innovation and Improvement Paediatric Early Warning System.

OBJECTIVE: To test the predictability of the National Health Service Institute for Innovation and Improvement (NHSIII) Paediatric Early Warning System (PEWS) score to identify children at risk of developing critical illness. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Admissions to all paediatric wards at the University Hospital of Wales between 1 December 2005 and 30 November 2006. OUTCOME MEASURES: Unscheduled paediatric high dependency unit (PHDU) admission, paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission and death. RESULTS: There were 9075 clinical observations from 1000 children. An NHSIII PEWS score of 2 or more, which triggers review, has a sensitivity of 73.2% (95% CI 62.2% to 82.4%), specificity of 75.2% (95% CI 74.3% to 76.1%), positive predictive value (PPV) of 2.6% (95% CI 2.0% to 3.4%), negative predictive value of 99.7% (95% CI 99.5% to 99.8%) and positive likelihood ratio of 3.0 (95% CI 2.6 to 3.4) for predicting PHDU admission, PICU admission or death. Six (37.5%) of the 16 children with an adverse outcome did not have an abnormal NHSIII PEWS score. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the NHSIII PEWS score was 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.88). CONCLUSIONS: The NHSIII PEWS has a low PPV and its full implementation would result in a large number of false positive triggers. The issue with PEWS scores or triggers is neither their sensitivity nor children with high scores which require clinical interventions who are not 'false positives'; but their low specificity and low PPV arising from the large number of children with low but raised scores.

Use of paediatric early warning systems in Great Britain: has there been a change of practice in the last 7 years?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the use of paediatric early warning systems (PEWS) and rapid response teams (RRTs) in paediatric units in Great Britain. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey. SETTING: All hospitals with inpatient paediatric services in Great Britain. OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of units using PEWS, origin of PEWS used, criterion included in PEWS, proportion of units with an RRT and membership of RRT. RESULTS: The response rate was 95% (149/157). 85% of units were using PEWS and 18% had an RRT in place. Tertiary units were more likely than district general hospital to have implemented PEWS, 90% versus 83%, and an RRT, 52% versus 10%. A large number of PEWS were in use, the majority of which were unpublished and unvalidated systems. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the inconclusive evidence of effectiveness, the use of PEWS has increased since 2005. The implementation has been inconsistent with large variation in the PEWS used, the activation criteria used, availability of an RRT and the membership of the RRT. There must be a coordinated national evaluation of the implementation, impact and effectiveness of a standardised PEWS programme in the various environments where acutely sick children are managed.

Combined laparoscopic and open extraperitoneal approach to scrotal hernias.

BACKGROUND: Laparoscopic repair of scrotal hernias is often a difficult endeavor to successfully complete. The longstanding nature of these hernias often results in significant adhesions and anatomic distortion of the inguinal floor. These two issues make reduction of the hernia arduous and subsequent reinforcement of the parietal sac difficult. We have previously described techniques to increase the chances of success when attempting laparoscopic repair of scrotal hernias. Here, we describe some of those techniques as well as a combined laparoscopic and open approach to achieve a robust preperitoneal repair of incarcerated scrotal hernias when the usual totally extraperitoneal approach does not work. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of 1890 TEP hernia repairs we performed from 1990 to 2010. Rate of conversion to an open approach or a combined laparoscopic and open approach was examined. Incidence of complications or recurrences was assessed over a 12-month follow-up period. RESULTS: Among the 1890 TEP repairs, 94 large scrotal hernias were identified. Of these, nine cases (9.5 %) required conversion to an open procedure due to an incarcerated and indurated omentum. Three were completed with a conventional open preperitoneal whereas six patients (6.4 %) underwent repair with the combined approach. In this group, no recurrences or complications were found over a 12-month period. CONCLUSION: In cases where a large scrotal hernia may be difficult or dangerous to reduce laparoscopically, immediate conversion to an open repair may not be necessary. A combined laparoscopic and open approach can greatly assist in the visualization and dissection of the preperitoneal space, thereby facilitating reduction of the hernia and placement of the mesh.

Cohort study to test the predictability of the Melbourne criteria for activation of the medical emergency team.

OBJECTIVE: To test the predictability of the Melbourne criteria for activation of the medical emergency team (MET) to identify children at risk of developing critical illness. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Admissions to all paediatric wards at the University Hospital of Wales. OUTCOME MEASURES: Paediatric high dependency unit admission, paediatric intensive care unit admission and death. RESULTS: Data were collected on 1000 patients. A single abnormal observation determined by the Melbourne Activation Criteria (MAC) had a sensitivity of 68.3% (95% CI 57.7 to 77.3), specificity 83.2% (95% CI 83.1 to 83.2), positive predictive value (PPV) 3.6% (95% CI 3.0 to 4.0) and negative predictive value 99.7% (95% CI 99.5 to 99.8) for an adverse outcome. Seven of the 16 children (43.8%) would not have transgressed the MAC prior to the adverse outcomes. Four hundred and sixty-nine of the 984 children (47.7%) who did not have an adverse outcome would have transgressed the MAC at least once during the admission. CONCLUSION: The MAC has a low PPV and its full implementation would result in a large number of false positive triggers. Further research is required to determine the relative contribution of the components of this complex intervention (Paediatric Early Warning System, education and MET) on patient outcome.

Prospective cohort study to test the predictability of the Cardiff and Vale paediatric early warning system.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and test the predictability of a paediatric early warning score to identify children at risk of developing critical illness. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Admissions to all paediatric wards at the University Hospital of Wales. OUTCOME MEASURES: Respiratory arrest, cardiac arrest, paediatric high-dependency unit admission, paediatric intensive care unit admission and death. RESULTS: Data were collected on 1000 patients. A single abnormal observation determined by the Cardiff and Vale paediatric early warning system (C&VPEWS) had a 89.0% sensitivity (95% CI 80.5 to 94.1), 63.9% specificity (95% CI 63.8 to 63.9), 2.2% positive predictive value (95% CI 2.0 to 2.3) and a 99.8% negative predictive value (95% CI 99.7 to 99.9) for identifying children who subsequently had an adverse outcome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the C&VPEWS score was 0.86 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.91). CONCLUSION: Identifying children likely to develop critical illness can be difficult. The assessment tool developed from the advanced paediatric life support guidelines on identifying sick children appears to be sensitive but not specific. If the C&VPEWS was used as a trigger to activate a rapid response team to assess the child, the majority of calls would be unnecessary.