ASPRE trial: incidence of preterm pre-eclampsia in patients fulfilling ACOG and NICE criteria according to risk by FMF algorithm.

OBJECTIVE: To report the incidence of preterm pre-eclampsia (PE) in women who are screen positive according to the criteria of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) and the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), and compare the incidence with that in those who are screen positive or screen negative by The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of data from the ASPRE study. The study population consisted of women with singleton pregnancy who underwent prospective screening for preterm PE by means of the FMF algorithm, which combines maternal factors and biomarkers at 11-13 weeks' gestation. The incidence of preterm PE in women fulfilling the NICE and ACOG criteria was estimated; in these patients the incidence of preterm PE was then calculated in those who were screen negative relative to those who were screen positive by the FMF algorithm. RESULTS: A total of 34 573 women with singleton pregnancy delivering at ≥ 24 weeks' gestation underwent prospective screening for preterm PE, of which 239 (0.7%) cases developed preterm PE. At least one of the ACOG criteria was fulfilled in 22 287 (64.5%) pregnancies and the incidence of preterm PE was 0.97% (95% CI, 0.85-1.11%); in the subgroup that was screen positive by the FMF algorithm the incidence of preterm PE was 4.80% (95% CI, 4.14-5.55%), and in those that were screen negative it was 0.25% (95% CI, 0.18-0.33%), with a relative incidence in FMF screen negative to FMF screen positive of 0.051 (95% CI, 0.037-0.071). In 1392 (4.0%) pregnancies, at least one of the NICE high-risk criteria was fulfilled, and in this group the incidence of preterm PE was 5.17% (95% CI, 4.13-6.46%); in the subgroups of screen positive and screen negative by the FMF algorithm, the incidence of preterm PE was 8.71% (95% CI, 6.93-10.89%) and 0.65% (95% CI, 0.25-1.67%), respectively, and the relative incidence was 0.075 (95% CI, 0.028-0.205). In 2360 (6.8%) pregnancies fulfilling at least two of the NICE moderate-risk criteria, the incidence of preterm PE was 1.74% (95% CI, 1.28-2.35%); in the subgroups of screen positive and screen negative by the FMF algorithm the incidence was 4.91% (95% CI, 3.54-6.79%) and 0.42% (95% CI, 0.20-0.86%), respectively, and the relative incidence was 0.085 (95% CI, 0.038-0.192). CONCLUSION: In women who are screen positive for preterm PE by the ACOG or NICE criteria but screen negative by the FMF algorithm, the risk of preterm PE is reduced to within or below background levels. The results provide further evidence to support the personalized risk-based screening method that combines maternal factors and biomarkers. Copyright © 2018 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Proposed clinical management of pregnancies after combined screening for pre-eclampsia at 19-24 weeks' gestation.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the patient-specific risk of pre-eclampsia (PE) at 19-24 weeks' gestation by a combination of maternal characteristics and medical history with multiples of the median (MoM) values of mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), serum placental growth factor (PlGF) and serum soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), and stratify women into high-, intermediate- and low-risk management groups. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study in women attending a second-trimester ultrasound scan at 19-24 weeks as part of routine pregnancy care. Patient-specific risks of delivery with PE < 32 weeks and < 36 weeks' gestation were calculated using the competing-risks model to combine the prior risk from maternal characteristics and medical history with MoM values of MAP, UtA-PI, PlGF and sFlt-1. On the basis of these risks, the population was stratified into high-, intermediate- and low-risk groups. Different risk cut-offs were used to vary the proportion of the population stratified into each risk category and the performance of screening for delivery with PE at < 32 weeks' gestation, at 32-35 weeks and at ≥ 36 weeks was estimated. In addition to empirical performance, we also derived model-based performance because the number of cases of PE delivering < 32 weeks was low. RESULTS: The study population of 7748 singleton pregnancies included 268 (3.5%) that subsequently developed PE. Using a risk cut-off of 1 in 100 for PE delivering < 32 weeks' gestation and a risk cut-off of 1 in 300 for PE delivering < 36 weeks, the proportion of the population stratified into high-, intermediate- and low-risk was 0.9%, 17.2% and 81.9%, respectively. The high-risk group contained 97% of pregnancies with PE < 32 weeks and 45% of those with PE at 32-35 weeks. The intermediate-risk group contained a further 46% of women with PE at 32-35 weeks. The low-risk group contained only 0.03% of pregnancies with PE < 32 weeks and 9% of those with PE at 32-35 weeks. CONCLUSION: Risk stratification of PE by the combined test at 19-24 weeks' gestation can identify, first, a group which constitutes < 1% of the total population and contains > 95% of those that will develop PE < 32 weeks and are in need of intensive monitoring at 24-31 weeks and, second, a group which constitutes < 20% of the total and contains > 90% of those that will develop PE at 32-35 weeks and are in need of reassessment at 32 weeks. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Impact of holoprosencephaly, exomphalos, megacystis and increased nuchal translucency on first-trimester screening for chromosomal abnormalities.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the prevalence of alobar holoprosencephaly, exomphalos, megacystis and nuchal translucency thickness (NT) ≥ 3.5 mm, the incidence and types of chromosomal abnormalities associated with these conditions and their overall impact on the rate of invasive testing and performance of screening at 11-14 weeks. METHODS: This was a prospective screening study for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by the first-trimester combined test at three maternity units in England. RESULTS: In the study population of 108 982 singleton pregnancies, 870 (0.8%) had abnormal karyotype, including 654 (75.2%) with trisomies 21, 18 or 13 and 216 (24.8%) with other chromosomal abnormalities. The prevalence of alobar holoprosencephaly, exomphalos, megacystis and NT ≥ 3.5 mm was 1 in 2945, 1 in 419, 1 in 1345 and 1 in 119, respectively. Chromosomal abnormalities were observed in 78.4% of cases of holoprosencephaly, 40.8% of exomphalos, 18.5% of megacystis and 48.5% of those with NT ≥ 3.5 mm. The most common chromosomal abnormality associated with holoprosencephaly was trisomy 13, with exomphalos and megacystis was trisomy 18 and with increased NT was trisomy 21. Fetal karyotyping of cases with major fetal defects or increased NT would potentially detect 57% of all chromosomal abnormalities at an invasive testing rate of 1.1%. CONCLUSION: Major fetal defects and increased NT at 11-13 weeks' gestation are associated with a high risk of chromosomal abnormalities and merit invasive fetal testing. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.