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To identify molecular markers that can accurately predict aggressive tumor behavior at the time of surgery, a propensity-matching score analysis of archived specimens yielded two similar datasets of DTC patients (with and without RAI). Bioinformatically selected microRNAs were quantified by qRT-PCR. The risk score was generated using Cox regression and assessed using ROC, C-statistic, and Brier-score. A predictive Bayesian nomogram was established. External validation was performed, and causal network analysis was generated. Within the eight-year follow-up period, progression was reported in 51.5% of cases; of these, 48.6% had the T1a/b stage. Analysis showed upregulation of miR-221-3p and miR-222-3p and downregulation of miR-204-5p in 68 paired cancer tissues (p < 0.001). These three miRNAs were not differentially expressed in RAI and non-RAI groups. The ATA risk score showed poor discriminative ability (AUC = 0.518, p = 0.80). In contrast, the microRNA-based risk score showed high accuracy in predicting tumor progression in the whole cohorts (median = 1.87 vs. 0.39, AUC = 0.944) and RAI group (2.23 vs. 0.37, AUC = 0.979) at the cutoff >0.86 (92.6% accuracy, 88.6% sensitivity, 97% specificity) in the whole cohorts (C-statistics = 0.943/Brier = 0.083) and RAI subgroup (C-statistic = 0.978/Brier = 0.049). The high-score group had a three-fold increased progression risk (hazard ratio = 2.71, 95%CI = 1.86-3.96, p < 0.001) and shorter survival times (17.3 vs. 70.79 months, p < 0.001). Our prognostic microRNA signature and nomogram showed excellent predictive accuracy for progression-free survival in DTC.
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INTRODUCTION: MicroRNAs (miRNAs) have been linked to cancer development and progression. The molecular mechanisms underlying the genetic associations of the miRNA single nucleotide polymorphism with cancer vary by cancer site. As there are no previous studies on the miR-196a2 variant or expression in any type of cancer among our population, we aimed to determine the expression profile of mature miR-196a2 in various types of solid tumors and to analyze the impact of its polymorphism (rs11614913; C/T) on the expression levels. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 230 cancer patients (including 17 types of cancer), 26 patients with pre-cancer lesions, and 100 unrelated controls. Archived formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded specimens (n = 197) were available for both miRNA expression analysis and single nucleotide polymorphism identification. Venous blood was collected from 59 histologically confirmed sporadic cancer patients and the study controls for single nucleotide polymorphism identification. Real-time polymerase chain reaction analysis was performed for allelic discrimination and relative quantification of miR-196a2 in the study samples. In silico target gene prediction and network analysis was performed. RESULTS: We found that individuals with the T variant were associated with cancer risk under all genetic association models, especially in colorectal, esophageal, skin, lung, thyroid, and renal cancer. Overall and stratified analysis showed miR-196a2 over-expression in most of the current malignant tumor samples relative to their corresponding cancer-free tissues. Carriers of the C allele had significantly higher expression levels of miR-196a2. Correlation with the clinicopathological features of cancer showed organ-specific effects. Gene enrichment analysis of predicted and validated targets speculated the putative role of miR-196a2 in cancer-associated biology. CONCLUSIONS: We highlighted cancer-type specific expression profiles of miR-196a2, which was correlated with the clinicopathological features in various types of cancer. Taken together, our results suggest that the miRNA signature could have promising diagnostic and prognostic significance.