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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38747680

RESUMEN

RATIONALE: Inhibition of aromatase with anastrozole reduces pulmonary hypertension in experimental models. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine whether anastrozole improved six-minute walk distance (6MWD) at six months in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). METHODS: We performed a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase II clinical trial of anastrozole in subjects with PAH at seven centers. Eighty-four post-menopausal women and men with PAH were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive anastrozole 1 mg or placebo by mouth daily, stratified by sex using permuted blocks of variable sizes. All subjects and study staff were masked. The primary outcome was the change from baseline in 6MWD at six months. Using intent-to-treat analysis, we estimated the treatment effect of anastrozole using linear regression models adjusted for sex and baseline 6MWD. Assuming 10% loss to follow-up, we anticipated having 80% power to detect a difference in the change in 6MWD of 22 meters. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Forty-one subjects were randomized to placebo and 43 to anastrozole and all received the allocated treatment. Three subjects in the placebo group and two in the anastrozole group discontinued study drug. There was no significant difference in the change in 6MWD at six months (placebo-corrected treatment effect -7.9 m, 95%CI -32.7 - 16.9, p = 0.53). There was no difference in adverse events between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: Anastrozole did not show a significant effect on 6MWD compared to placebo in post-menopausal women and men with PAH. Anastrozole was safe and did not show adverse effects. Clinical trial registration available at www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, ID: NCT03229499.

2.
Stat Med ; 43(8): 1627-1639, 2024 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38348581

RESUMEN

Both individually and cluster randomized study designs have been used for vaccine trials to assess the effects of vaccine on reducing the risk of disease or infection. The choice between individually and cluster randomized designs is often driven by the target estimand of interest (eg, direct versus total), statistical power, and, importantly, logistic feasibility. To combat emerging infectious disease threats, especially when the number of events from one single trial may not be adequate to obtain vaccine effect estimates with a desired level of precision, it may be necessary to combine information across multiple trials. In this article, we propose a model formulation to estimate the direct, indirect, total, and overall vaccine effects combining data from trials with two types of study designs: individual-randomization and cluster-randomization, based on a Cox proportional hazards model, where the hazard of infection depends on both vaccine status of the individual as well as the vaccine status of the other individuals in the same cluster. We illustrate the use of the proposed model and assess the potential efficiency gain from combining data from multiple trials, compared to using data from each individual trial alone, through two simulation studies, one of which is designed based on a cholera vaccine trial previously carried out in Matlab, Bangladesh.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra el Cólera , Cólera , Humanos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Cólera/prevención & control , Vacunación , Proyectos de Investigación
3.
N Engl J Med ; 390(3): 203-211, 2024 Jan 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38231621

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Testosterone treatment in men with hypogonadism improves bone density and quality, but trials with a sufficiently large sample and a sufficiently long duration to determine the effect of testosterone on the incidence of fractures are needed. METHODS: In a subtrial of a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial that assessed the cardiovascular safety of testosterone treatment in middle-aged and older men with hypogonadism, we examined the risk of clinical fracture in a time-to-event analysis. Eligible men were 45 to 80 years of age with preexisting, or high risk of, cardiovascular disease; one or more symptoms of hypogonadism; and two morning testosterone concentrations of less than 300 ng per deciliter (10.4 nmol per liter), in fasting plasma samples obtained at least 48 hours apart. Participants were randomly assigned to apply a testosterone or placebo gel daily. At every visit, participants were asked if they had had a fracture since the previous visit. If they had, medical records were obtained and adjudicated. RESULTS: The full-analysis population included 5204 participants (2601 in the testosterone group and 2603 in the placebo group). After a median follow-up of 3.19 years, a clinical fracture had occurred in 91 participants (3.50%) in the testosterone group and 64 participants (2.46%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.04 to 1.97). The fracture incidence also appeared to be higher in the testosterone group for all other fracture end points. CONCLUSIONS: Among middle-aged and older men with hypogonadism, testosterone treatment did not result in a lower incidence of clinical fracture than placebo. The fracture incidence was numerically higher among men who received testosterone than among those who received placebo. (Funded by AbbVie and others; TRAVERSE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03518034.).


Asunto(s)
Fracturas Óseas , Hipogonadismo , Testosterona , Anciano , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Densidad Ósea/efectos de los fármacos , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Método Doble Ciego , Fracturas Óseas/epidemiología , Fracturas Óseas/etiología , Fracturas Óseas/prevención & control , Hipogonadismo/sangre , Hipogonadismo/complicaciones , Hipogonadismo/tratamiento farmacológico , Testosterona/administración & dosificación , Testosterona/efectos adversos , Testosterona/sangre , Testosterona/farmacología , Geles , Administración Tópica
4.
Anesthesiology ; 140(3): 375-386, 2024 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37831596

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The effects of spinal versus general anesthesia on long-term outcomes have not been well studied. This study tested the hypothesis that spinal anesthesia is associated with better long-term survival and functional recovery than general anesthesia. METHODS: A prespecified analysis was conducted of long-term outcomes of a completed randomized superiority trial that compared spinal anesthesia versus general anesthesia for hip fracture repair. Participants included previously ambulatory patients 50 yr of age or older at 46 U.S. and Canadian hospitals. Patients were randomized 1:1 to spinal or general anesthesia, stratified by sex, fracture type, and study site. Outcome assessors and investigators involved in the data analysis were masked to the treatment arm. Outcomes included survival at up to 365 days after randomization (primary); recovery of ambulation among 365-day survivors; and composite endpoints for death or new inability to ambulate and death or new nursing home residence at 365 days. Patients were included in the analysis as randomized. RESULTS: A total of 1,600 patients were enrolled between February 12, 2016, and February 18, 2021; 795 were assigned to spinal anesthesia, and 805 were assigned to general anesthesia. Among 1,599 patients who underwent surgery, vital status information at or beyond the final study interview (conducted at approximately 365 days after randomization) was available for 1,427 (89.2%). Survival did not differ by treatment arm; at 365 days after randomization, there were 98 deaths in patients assigned to spinal anesthesia versus 92 deaths in patients assigned to general anesthesia (hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.44, P = 0.59). Recovery of ambulation among patients who survived a year did not differ by type of anesthesia (adjusted odds ratio for spinal vs. general, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.67 to 1.14; P = 0.31). Other outcomes did not differ by treatment arm. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term outcomes were similar with spinal versus general anesthesia.


Asunto(s)
Anestesia Raquidea , Fracturas de Cadera , Humanos , Anestesia General , Canadá/epidemiología , Fracturas de Cadera/cirugía , Resultado del Tratamiento , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano
5.
Lancet Healthy Longev ; 4(10): e561-e572, 2023 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37804846

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Testosterone replacement therapy is known to improve sexual function in men younger than 40 years with pathological hypogonadism. However, the extent to which testosterone alleviates sexual dysfunction in older men and men with obesity is unclear, despite the fact that testosterone is being increasingly prescribed to these patient populations. We aimed to evaluate whether subgroups of men with low testosterone derive any symptomatic benefit from testosterone treatment. METHODS: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate characteristics associated with symptomatic benefit of testosterone treatment versus placebo in men aged 18 years and older with a baseline serum total testosterone concentration of less than 12 nmol/L. We searched major electronic databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Science Citation Index, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) and clinical trial registries for reports published in English between Jan 1, 1992, and Aug 27, 2018. Anonymised individual participant data were requested from the investigators of all identified trials. Primary (cardiovascular) outcomes from this analysis have been published previously. In this report, we present the secondary outcomes of sexual function, quality of life, and psychological outcomes at 12 months. We did a one-stage individual participant data meta-analysis with a random-effects linear regression model, and a two-stage meta-analysis integrating individual participant data with aggregated data from studies that did not provide individual participant data. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018111005. FINDINGS: 9871 citations were identified through database searches. After exclusion of duplicates and publications not meeting inclusion criteria, 225 full texts were assessed for inclusion, of which 109 publications reporting 35 primary studies (with a total 5601 participants) were included. Of these, 17 trials provided individual participant data (3431 participants; median age 67 years [IQR 60-72]; 3281 [97%] of 3380 aged ≥40 years) Compared with placebo, testosterone treatment increased 15-item International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF-15) total score (mean difference 5·52 [95% CI 3·95-7·10]; τ2=1·17; n=1412) and IIEF-15 erectile function subscore (2·14 [1·40-2·89]; τ2=0·64; n=1436), reaching the minimal clinically important difference for mild erectile dysfunction. These effects were not found to be dependent on participant age, obesity, presence of diabetes, or baseline serum total testosterone. However, absolute IIEF-15 scores reached during testosterone treatment were subject to thresholds in patient age and baseline serum total testosterone. Testosterone significantly improved Aging Males' Symptoms score, and some 12-item or 36-item Short Form Survey quality of life subscores compared with placebo, but it did not significantly improve psychological symptoms (measured by Beck Depression Inventory). INTERPRETATION: In men aged 40 years or older with baseline serum testosterone of less than 12 nmol/L, short-to-medium-term testosterone treatment could provide clinically meaningful treatment for mild erectile dysfunction, irrespective of patient age, obesity, or degree of low testosterone. However, due to more severe baseline symptoms, the absolute level of sexual function reached during testosterone treatment might be lower in older men and men with obesity. FUNDING: National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Technology Assessment Programme.


Asunto(s)
Disfunción Eréctil , Hipogonadismo , Humanos , Masculino , Disfunción Eréctil/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipogonadismo/tratamiento farmacológico , Obesidad/tratamiento farmacológico , Calidad de Vida , Testosterona/uso terapéutico
6.
Alzheimers Dement ; 19(9): 4008-4019, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37170754

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: The effect of spinal versus general anesthesia on the risk of postoperative delirium or other outcomes for patients with or without cognitive impairment (including dementia) is unknown. METHODS: Post hoc secondary analysis of a multicenter pragmatic trial comparing spinal versus general anesthesia for adults aged 50 years or older undergoing hip fracture surgery. RESULTS: Among patients randomized to spinal versus general anesthesia, new or worsened delirium occurred in 100/295 (33.9%) versus 107/283 (37.8%; odds ratio [OR] 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 to 1.19) among persons with cognitive impairment and 70/432 (16.2%) versus 71/445 (16.0%) among persons without cognitive impairment (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.71 to 1.47, p = 0.46 for interaction). Delirium severity, in-hospital complications, and 60-day functional recovery did not differ by anesthesia type in patients with or without cognitive impairment. DISCUSSION: Anesthesia type is not associated with differences in delirium and functional outcomes among persons with or without cognitive impairment.


Asunto(s)
Disfunción Cognitiva , Delirio , Fracturas de Cadera , Humanos , Delirio/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Disfunción Cognitiva/complicaciones , Anestesia General/efectos adversos , Fracturas de Cadera/complicaciones , Fracturas de Cadera/cirugía
8.
Clin Trials ; 20(4): 447-451, 2023 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37231737

RESUMEN

Clinical trials investigating novel or high risk interventions, or studying vulnerable participants, often use a data monitoring committee to oversee the progress of the trial. The data monitoring committee serves both an ethical and a scientific function, by protecting the interests of trial participants while ensuring the integrity of the trial results. A data monitoring committee charter, which typically describes the procedures by which data monitoring committees operate, contains details about the data monitoring committee's organizational structure, membership, meeting frequency, sequential monitoring guidelines, and the overall contents of data monitoring committee reports for interim review. These charters, however, are generally not reviewed by outside entities and are rarely publicly available. The result is that a key component of trial oversight remains in the dark. We recommend that ClinicalTrials.gov modify its system to allow uploading of data monitoring committee charters, as is already possible for other important study documents and that clinical trialists take advantage of this opportunity to voluntarily upload the data monitoring committee charter for trials that have one. The resulting cache of publicly available data monitoring committee charters should provide important insights for those interested in a particular trial, as well as for meta-researchers who wish to understand and potentially improve how this important component of trial oversight is actually being applied.


Asunto(s)
Comités de Monitoreo de Datos de Ensayos Clínicos , Humanos
10.
J Gen Intern Med ; 38(2): 399-405, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35581446

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials are needed to study topics relevant to older adults with serious illness. Investigators conducting clinical trials with this population are challenged by how to appropriately define, classify, report, and monitor serious and non-serious adverse events (SAEs/AEs), given that some traditionally reported AEs (pressure ulcers, delirium) and SAEs (death, hospitalization) are common in persons with serious illness, and may be consistent with their goals of care. OBJECTIVES: A multi-stakeholder group convened to establish greater clarity on and new approaches to address this critical issue. PARTICIPANTS: Thirty-two study investigators, members of regulatory and sponsor agencies, and patient stakeholders took part. APPROACH: The group met virtually four times and, using a collaborative approach, conducted a survey, select interviews, and reviewed regulatory guidance to collectively define the problem and identify a new approach. RESULTS: SAE/AE challenges fell into two areas: (1) definitions and classifications, including (a) implausible relationships, (b) misalignment with patient-centered care goals, and (c) well-known associations, and (2) reporting and monitoring, including (a) limited guidance, (b) inconsistent standards across regulators, and (c) Data Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) member knowledge gaps. Problems largely reflected practice norms rather than regulatory requirements that already support context-specific and aggregate reporting. Approaches can be improved by adopting principles that better align strategies for addressing adverse events with the type of intervention being tested, favoring routine and aggregate over expedited reporting, and prioritizing how SAE/AEs relate to patient-centered care goals. Reporting plans and decisions should follow an algorithm underpinned by these principles. CONCLUSIONS: Adoption of the proposed approach-and supporting it with education and better alignment with regulatory guidance and procedures-could improve the quality and efficiency of clinical trials' safety involving older adults with serious illness and other vulnerable populations.


Asunto(s)
Atención Dirigida al Paciente , Humanos , Anciano
11.
NEJM Evid ; 2(3): EVIDctcs2200301, 2023 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38320019

RESUMEN

Monitoring U.S. Government-Supported Covid-19 Vaccine TrialsOperation Warp Speed was a partnership created to accelerate the development of Covid-19 vaccines. The National Institutes of Health oversaw one data and safety monitoring board to review/monitor all Operation Warp Speed trials. This article describes the challenges faced in monitoring these trials and provides ideas for future similar endeavors.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Comités de Monitoreo de Datos de Ensayos Clínicos , National Institutes of Health (U.S.)
12.
Clin Trials ; 19(6): 647-654, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35866633

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The threat of a possible Marburg virus disease outbreak in Central and Western Africa is growing. While no Marburg virus vaccines are currently available for use, several candidates are in the pipeline. Building on knowledge and experiences in the designs of vaccine efficacy trials against other pathogens, including SARS-CoV-2, we develop designs of randomized Phase 3 vaccine efficacy trials for Marburg virus vaccines. METHODS: A core protocol approach will be used, allowing multiple vaccine candidates to be tested against controls. The primary objective of the trial will be to evaluate the effect of each vaccine on the rate of virologically confirmed Marburg virus disease, although Marburg infection assessed via seroconversion could be the primary objective in some cases. The overall trial design will be a mixture of individually and cluster-randomized designs, with individual randomization done whenever possible. Clusters will consist of either contacts and contacts of contacts of index cases, that is, ring vaccination, or other transmission units. RESULTS: The primary efficacy endpoint will be analysed as a time-to-event outcome. A vaccine will be considered successful if its estimated efficacy is greater than 50% and has sufficient precision to rule out that true efficacy is less than 30%. This will require approximately 150 total endpoints, that is, cases of confirmed Marburg virus disease, per vaccine/comparator combination. Interim analyses will be conducted after 50 and after 100 events. Statistical analysis of the trial will be blended across the different types of designs. Under the assumption of a 6-month attack rate of 1% of the participants in the placebo arm for both the individually and cluster-randomized populations, the most likely sample size is about 20,000 participants per arm. CONCLUSION: This event-driven design takes into the account the potentially sporadic spread of Marburg virus. The proposed trial design may be applicable for other pathogens against which effective vaccines are not yet available.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes , Enfermedad del Virus de Marburg , Marburgvirus , Vacunas , Animales , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/prevención & control , Enfermedad del Virus de Marburg/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2
14.
Lancet Healthy Longev ; 3(6): e381-e393, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35711614

RESUMEN

Background: Testosterone is the standard treatment for male hypogonadism, but there is uncertainty about its cardiovascular safety due to inconsistent findings. We aimed to provide the most extensive individual participant dataset (IPD) of testosterone trials available, to analyse subtypes of all cardiovascular events observed during treatment, and to investigate the effect of incorporating data from trials that did not provide IPD. Methods: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials including IPD. We searched MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, MEDLINE Epub Ahead of Print, Embase, Science Citation Index, the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Database of Abstracts of Review of Effects for literature from 1992 onwards (date of search, Aug 27, 2018). The following inclusion criteria were applied: (1) men aged 18 years and older with a screening testosterone concentration of 12 nmol/L (350 ng/dL) or less; (2) the intervention of interest was treatment with any testosterone formulation, dose frequency, and route of administration, for a minimum duration of 3 months; (3) a comparator of placebo treatment; and (4) studies assessing the pre-specified primary or secondary outcomes of interest. Details of study design, interventions, participants, and outcome measures were extracted from published articles and anonymised IPD was requested from investigators of all identified trials. Primary outcomes were mortality, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular events at any time during follow-up. The risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. We did a one-stage meta-analysis using IPD, and a two-stage meta-analysis integrating IPD with data from studies not providing IPD. The study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018111005. Findings: 9871 citations were identified through database searches and after exclusion of duplicates and of irrelevant citations, 225 study reports were retrieved for full-text screening. 116 studies were subsequently excluded for not meeting the inclusion criteria in terms of study design and characteristics of intervention, and 35 primary studies (5601 participants, mean age 65 years, [SD 11]) reported in 109 peer-reviewed publications were deemed suitable for inclusion. Of these, 17 studies (49%) provided IPD (3431 participants, mean duration 9·5 months) from nine different countries while 18 did not provide IPD data. Risk of bias was judged to be low in most IPD studies (71%). Fewer deaths occurred with testosterone treatment (six [0·4%] of 1621) than placebo (12 [0·8%] of 1537) without significant differences between groups (odds ratio [OR] 0·46 [95% CI 0·17-1·24]; p=0·13). Cardiovascular risk was similar during testosterone treatment (120 [7·5%] of 1601 events) and placebo treatment (110 [7·2%] of 1519 events; OR 1·07 [95% CI 0·81-1·42]; p=0·62). Frequently occurring cardiovascular events included arrhythmia (52 of 166 vs 47 of 176), coronary heart disease (33 of 166 vs 33 of 176), heart failure (22 of 166 vs 28 of 176), and myocardial infarction (10 of 166 vs 16 of 176). Overall, patient age (interaction 0·97 [99% CI 0·92-1·03]; p=0·17), baseline testosterone (interaction 0·97 [0·82-1·15]; p=0·69), smoking status (interaction 1·68 [0·41-6·88]; p=0.35), or diabetes status (interaction 2·08 [0·89-4·82; p=0·025) were not associated with cardiovascular risk. Interpretation: We found no evidence that testosterone increased short-term to medium-term cardiovascular risks in men with hypogonadism, but there is a paucity of data evaluating its long-term safety. Long-term data are needed to fully evaluate the safety of testosterone. Funding: National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment Programme.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Hipogonadismo , Infarto del Miocardio , Anciano , Humanos , Masculino , Revisiones Sistemáticas como Asunto , Testosterona
15.
Ann Intern Med ; 175(7): 952-960, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35696684

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The REGAIN (Regional versus General Anesthesia for Promoting Independence after Hip Fracture) trial found similar ambulation and survival at 60 days with spinal versus general anesthesia for hip fracture surgery. Trial outcomes evaluating pain, prescription analgesic use, and patient satisfaction have not yet been reported. OBJECTIVE: To compare pain, analgesic use, and satisfaction after hip fracture surgery with spinal versus general anesthesia. DESIGN: Preplanned secondary analysis of a pragmatic randomized trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02507505). SETTING: 46 U.S. and Canadian hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 50 years or older undergoing hip fracture surgery. INTERVENTION: Spinal or general anesthesia. MEASUREMENTS: Pain on postoperative days 1 through 3; 60-, 180-, and 365-day pain and prescription analgesic use; and satisfaction with care. RESULTS: A total of 1600 patients were enrolled. The average age was 78 years, and 77% were women. A total of 73.5% (1050 of 1428) of patients reported severe pain during the first 24 hours after surgery. Worst pain over the first 24 hours after surgery was greater with spinal anesthesia (rated from 0 [no pain] to 10 [worst pain imaginable]; mean difference, 0.40 [95% CI, 0.12 to 0.68]). Pain did not differ across groups at other time points. Prescription analgesic use at 60 days occurred in 25% (141 of 563) and 18.8% (108 of 574) of patients assigned to spinal and general anesthesia, respectively (relative risk, 1.33 [CI, 1.06 to 1.65]). Satisfaction was similar across groups. LIMITATION: Missing outcome data and multiple outcomes assessed. CONCLUSION: Severe pain is common after hip fracture. Spinal anesthesia was associated with more pain in the first 24 hours after surgery and more prescription analgesic use at 60 days compared with general anesthesia. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute.


Asunto(s)
Anestesia Raquidea , Fracturas de Cadera , Anciano , Analgésicos/uso terapéutico , Anestesia General/efectos adversos , Anestesia Raquidea/efectos adversos , Canadá , Femenino , Fracturas de Cadera/cirugía , Humanos , Masculino , Dolor , Dolor Postoperatorio/tratamiento farmacológico , Satisfacción del Paciente
16.
PLoS One ; 17(5): e0268528, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35588434

RESUMEN

There is growing evidence that racial and ethnic minorities bear a disproportionate burden from COVID-19. Temporal changes in the pandemic epidemiology and diversity in the clinical course require careful study to identify determinants of poor outcomes. We analyzed 6255 hospitalized individuals with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from one of 5 hospitals in the University of Pennsylvania Health System between March 2020 and March 2021, using electronic health records to assess risk factors and outcomes through 8 weeks post-admission. Discharge, readmission and mortality outcomes were analyzed in a multi-state model with multivariable Cox models for each transition. Mortality varied markedly over time, with cumulative incidence (95% CI) 30 days post-admission of 19.1% (16.9, 21.3) in March-April 2020, 5.7% (4.2, 7.5) in July-October 2020 and 10.5% (9.1,12.0) in January-March 2021; 26% of deaths occurred after discharge. Average age (SD) at admission varied from 62.7 (17.6) to 54.8 (19.9) to 60.5 (18.1); mechanical ventilation use declined from 21.3% to 9-11%. Compared to Caucasian, Black race was associated with more severe disease at admission, higher rates of co-morbidities and residing in a low-income zip code. Between-race risk differences in mortality risk diminished in multivariable models; while admitting hospital, increasing age, admission early in the pandemic, and severe disease and low blood pressure at admission were associated with increased mortality hazard. Hispanic ethnicity was associated with fewer baseline co-morbidities and lower mortality hazard (0.57, 95% CI: 0.37, .087). Multi-state modeling allows for a unified framework to analyze multiple outcomes throughout the disease course. Morbidity and mortality for hospitalized COVID-19 patients varied over time but post-discharge mortality remained non-trivial. Black race was associated with more risk factors for morbidity and with treatment at hospitals with lower mortality. Multivariable models suggest there are not between-race differences in outcomes. Future work is needed to better understand the identified between-hospital differences in mortality.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Cuidados Posteriores , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/terapia , Hospitales , Humanos , Alta del Paciente , SARS-CoV-2
18.
J Clin Endocrinol Metab ; 107(5): 1257-1269, 2022 04 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35041751

RESUMEN

CONTEXT: Many effects of testosterone are mediated through dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and estradiol. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative contributions of each hormone to the observed effects of testosterone treatment in older men with hypogonadism. METHODS: Using data from the Testosterone Trials, we assessed the association of changes in total testosterone, estradiol, and DHT levels over 12 months of testosterone treatment with hemoglobin, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) of lumbar spine, sexual desire, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA). We used random forests to model the associations of predicted mean changes in outcomes with change in each hormone at low, mean, or high change in the other 2 hormones. Stepwise regression models were run to confirm the findings of random forests. RESULT: Predicted increases in hemoglobin and sexual desire were greater with larger increases in estradiol and were larger with high change in DHT compared with low change in DHT. Greater increases in estradiol were associated with larger decreases in HDL cholesterol; this association did not vary according to changes in DHT or testosterone. Change in vBMD was most robustly associated with change in estradiol and was greater with high change in testosterone and DHT. There was no consistent relation between change in PSA and change in any hormone. CONCLUSION: Change in estradiol level was the best predictor not only of the change in vBMD and sexual desire but also of the changes in hemoglobin and HDL cholesterol. Consideration of testosterone, estradiol, and DHT together offers a superior prediction of treatment response in older hypogonadal men than testosterone alone.


Asunto(s)
Dihidrotestosterona , Testosterona , Anciano , HDL-Colesterol , Estradiol , Humanos , Masculino , Antígeno Prostático Específico , Testosterona/uso terapéutico
19.
Pain ; 163(6): 1006-1018, 2022 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34510135

RESUMEN

ABSTRACT: Chronic pain clinical trials have historically assessed benefit and risk outcomes separately. However, a growing body of research suggests that a composite metric that accounts for benefit and risk in relation to each other can provide valuable insights into the effects of different treatments. Researchers and regulators have developed a variety of benefit-risk composite metrics, although the extent to which these methods apply to randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of chronic pain has not been evaluated in the published literature. This article was motivated by an Initiative on Methods, Measurement, and Pain Assessment in Clinical Trials consensus meeting and is based on the expert opinion of those who attended. In addition, a review of the benefit-risk assessment tools used in published chronic pain RCTs or highlighted by key professional organizations (ie, Cochrane, European Medicines Agency, Outcome Measures in Rheumatology, and U.S. Food and Drug Administration) was completed. Overall, the review found that benefit-risk metrics are not commonly used in RCTs of chronic pain despite the availability of published methods. A primary recommendation is that composite metrics of benefit-risk should be combined at the level of the individual patient, when possible, in addition to the benefit-risk assessment at the treatment group level. Both levels of analysis (individual and group) can provide valuable insights into the relationship between benefits and risks associated with specific treatments across different patient subpopulations. The systematic assessment of benefit-risk in clinical trials has the potential to enhance the clinical meaningfulness of RCT results.


Asunto(s)
Dolor Crónico , Dolor Crónico/diagnóstico , Dolor Crónico/terapia , Humanos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Dimensión del Dolor/métodos , Medición de Riesgo
20.
NEJM Evid ; 1(7): EVIDctw2100020, 2022 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38319261

RESUMEN

Early Termination of Clinical Trials for FutilityClinical trials may be stopped for futility if there is little or no chance of demonstrating the hoped-for effect. Reasons include evidence of no treatment effect, substantial missing data that would unacceptably undermine trial conclusions, or event rates too low to support meaningful comparisons. This review examines issues faced by DSMBs in such settings.

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