RESUMEN
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The elderly population typically suffer from a variety of diseases that mostly reflect the degenerative changes linked with the aging process. These diseases may be exacerbated by acute pain or by an abrupt aggravation of previously stable chronic pain. RECENT FINDINGS: Physical and psychological changes associated with aging may influence one's experience of pain and, as a result, the severity of pain. Pain treatment in the elderly can be complex and is often a budgetary burden on the nation's health care system. These difficulties arise, in part, because of unanticipated pharmacodynamics, changed pharmacokinetics, and polypharmacy interactions. Therefore, it is critical to integrate a multidisciplinary team to develop a management strategy that incorporates medical, psychological, and surgical methods to control persistent pain conditions. It is in this critical process that pain prediction models can be of great use. The purpose of pain prediction models for the elderly is the use of mathematical models to predict the occurrence and intensity of pain and pain-related conditions. These mathematical models employ a vast quantity of data to ascertain the many risk factors for the development of pain problems in the elderly, whether said risks are adjustable or not. These models will pave the way for more informed medical decision making that are based on the findings of thousands of patients who have previously experienced the same illness and related pain conditions. However, future additional research needs to be undertaken to build prediction models that are not constrained by substantial legal or methodological limitations.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Existing data are controversial regarding the incidence of hepatitis C (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following directly acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. This prospective study aimed to assess incidence, and risk factorss of HCC following DAA therapy in patients with HCV-related advanced fibrosis (F3) and cirrhosis (F4). METHODS: Incidence of HCC was calculated in 1,630 patients with HCV-related F3 and F4 treated with DAA prospectively followed for up to 43 months in a single tertiary referral center and compared to historical controls. Risk factors of incident HCC were also determined. RESULTS: The crude outcome rate was 2.15/100 person-years, significantly lower than a similar historical cohort (5.57/100 person-years). Risk of developing HCC was higher with the presence of cirrhosis (F4 vs F3, AHR 3.59) and treatment failure (vs achieving SVR, AHR 3.37). Presence of decompensated cirrhosis, platelet count <100×103/mL, and high AFP were independent risk factors of developing HCC. CONCLUSION: Incidence of HCC was significantly lower in patients with HCV-related advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis treated with DAAs than in a historical cohort of untreated patients. Decompensated cirrhosis, baseline AFP ≥10 ng/mL, diabetes, and nonresponse to DAA were independent risk factors of incident HCC.