Estimated global and regional causes of deaths from diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years during 2000-21: a systematic review and Bayesian multinomial analysis.

BACKGROUND: Information on the causes of deaths from diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years is needed to design improved preventive and therapeutic approaches. We aimed to conduct a systematic analysis of studies to report estimates of the causes of deaths from diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years at global and regional levels during 2000-21. METHODS: For this systematic review and Bayesian multinomial analysis, we included 12 pathogens with the highest attributable incidence in the Global Enteric Multicenter Study. We searched PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Global Health Index Medicus, Global Health OVID, IndMed, Health Information Platform for the Americas (PLISA), Africa-Wide Information, and Cochrane Collaboration for articles published between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2020, using the search terms "child", "hospital", "diarrhea", "diarrhoea", "dysentery", "rotavirus", "Escherichia coli", "salmonella", "shigella", "campylobacter", "Vibrio cholerae", "cryptosporidium", "norovirus", "astrovirus", "sapovirus", and "adenovirus". To be included, studies had to have a patient population of children younger than 5 years who were hospitalised for diarrhoea (at least 90% of study participants), at least a 12-month duration, reported prevalence in diarrhoeal stools of at least two of the 12 pathogens, all patients with diarrhoea being included at the study site or a systematic sample, at least 100 patients with diarrhoea, laboratory tests done on rectal swabs or stool samples, and standard laboratory methods (ie, quantitative PCR [qPCR] or non-qPCR). Studies published in any language were included. Studies were excluded if they were limited to nosocomial, chronic, antibiotic-associated, or outbreak diarrhoea or to a specific population (eg, only children with HIV or AIDS). Each article was independently reviewed by two researchers; a third arbitrated in case of disagreement. If both reviewers identified an exclusion criterion, the study was excluded. Data sought were summary estimates. Data on causes from published studies were adjusted when necessary to account for the poor sensitivity of non-qPCR methods and for attributable fraction based on quantification of pathogens in children who are ill or non-ill. The causes of deaths from diarrhoea were modelled on the causes of hospitalisations for diarrhoea. We separately modelled studies reporting causes of diarrhoea in children who were hospitalised in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) and in high-income countries (HICs). FINDINGS: Of 74 282 papers identified in the initial database search, we included 138 studies (91 included data from LMICs and 47 included data from HICs) from 73 countries. We modelled estimates for 194 WHO member states (hereafter referred to as countries), including 42 HICs and 152 LMICs. We could attribute a cause to 1 003 448 (83·8%) of the estimated 1 197 044 global deaths from diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years in 2000 and 360 730 (81·3%) of the estimated 443 833 global deaths from diarrhoea in children younger than 5 years in 2021. The cause with the largest estimated global attribution was rotavirus; in LMICs, the proportion of deaths from diarrhoea due to rotavirus in children younger than 5 years appeared lower in 2021 (108 322 [24·4%] of 443 342, 95% uncertainty interval 21·6-29·5) than in 2000 (316 382 [26·5%] of 1 196 134, 25·7-28·5), but the 95% CIs overlapped. In 2000, the second largest estimated attribution was norovirus GII (95 817 [8·0%] of 1 196 134 in LMICs and 225 [24·7%] of 910 in HICs); in 2021, Shigella sp had the second largest estimated attribution in LMICs (36 082 [8·1%] of 443 342), but norovirus remained with the second largest estimated attribution in HICs (84 [17·1%] of 490). INTERPRETATION: Our results indicate progress in the reduction of deaths from diarrhoea caused by 12 pathogens in children younger than 5 years in the past two decades. There is a need to increase efforts for prevention, including with rotavirus vaccine, and treatment to eliminate further deaths. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation via Johns Hopkins University and the University of Virginia.

Early Initiation of Ceftaroline-Based Combination Therapy for Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia.

Purpose: Monotherapy with vancomycin or daptomycin remains guideline-based care for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (MRSA-B) despite concerns regarding efficacy. Limited data support potential benefit of combination therapy with ceftaroline as initial therapy. We present an assessment of outcomes of patients initiated on early combination therapy for MRSA-B. Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective study of adult patients admitted with MRSA-B between July 1, 2017 and April 31, 2023. During this period, there was a change in institutional practice from routine administration of monotherapy to initial combination therapy for most patients with MRSA-B. Combination therapy included vancomycin or daptomycin plus ceftaroline within 72 hours of index blood culture and monotherapy was vancomycin or daptomycin alone. The primary outcome was a composite of persistent bacteremia, 30-day all-cause mortality, and 30-day bacteremia recurrence. Time to microbiological cure and safety outcomes were assessed. All outcomes were assessed using propensity score-weighted logistic regression. Results: Of 213 patients included, 118 received monotherapy (115 vancomycin, 3 daptomycin) and 95 received combination therapy with ceftaroline (76 vancomycin, 19 daptomycin). The mean time from MRSA-positive molecular diagnostic blood culture result to combination therapy was 12.1 hours. There was no difference between groups for the primary composite outcome (OR 1.58, 95% CI 0.60, 4.18). Time to microbiological cure was longer with combination therapy (mean difference 1.50 days, 95% CI 0.60, 2.41). Adverse event rates were similar in both groups. Conclusions: Early initiation of ceftaroline-based combination therapy did not improve outcomes for patients with MRSA-B in comparison to monotherapy therapy.

Population Enumeration and Household Utilization Survey Methods in the Enterics for Global Health (EFGH): Shigella Surveillance Study.

Background: Accurate estimation of diarrhea incidence from facility-based surveillance requires estimating the population at risk and accounting for case patients who do not seek care. The Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella surveillance study will characterize population denominators and healthcare-seeking behavior proportions to calculate incidence rates of Shigella diarrhea in children aged 6-35 months across 7 sites in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Methods: The Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella surveillance study will use a hybrid surveillance design, supplementing facility-based surveillance with population-based surveys to estimate population size and the proportion of children with diarrhea brought for care at EFGH health facilities. Continuous data collection over a 24 month period captures seasonality and ensures representative sampling of the population at risk during the period of facility-based enrollments. Study catchment areas are broken into randomized clusters, each sized to be feasibly enumerated by individual field teams. Conclusions: The methods presented herein aim to minimize the challenges associated with hybrid surveillance, such as poor parity between survey area coverage and facility coverage, population fluctuations, seasonal variability, and adjustments to care-seeking behavior.

Data Management in Multicountry Consortium Studies: The Enterics For Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance Study Example.

Background: Rigorous data management systems and planning are essential to successful research projects, especially for large, multicountry consortium studies involving partnerships across multiple institutions. Here we describe the development and implementation of data management systems and procedures for the Enterics For Global Health (EFGH) Shigella surveillance study-a 7-country diarrhea surveillance study that will conduct facility-based surveillance concurrent with population-based enumeration and a health care utilization survey to estimate the incidence of Shigella--associated diarrhea in children 6 to 35 months old. Methods: The goals of EFGH data management are to utilize the knowledge and experience of consortium members to collect high-quality data and ensure equity in access and decision-making. During the planning phase before study initiation, a working group of representatives from each EFGH country site, the coordination team, and other partners met regularly to develop the data management systems for the study. Results: This resulted in the Data Management Plan, which included selecting REDCap and SurveyCTO as the primary database systems. Consequently, we laid out procedures for data processing and storage, study monitoring and reporting, data quality control and assurance activities, and data access. The data management system and associated real-time visualizations allow for rapid data cleaning activities and progress monitoring and will enable quicker time to analysis. Conclusions: Experiences from this study will contribute toward enriching the sparse landscape of data management methods publications and serve as a case study for future studies seeking to collect and manage data consistently and rigorously while maintaining equitable access to and control of data.

Impact of azithromycin and nitazoxanide on the enteric infections and child growth: Findings from the Early Life Interventions for Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) trial.

BACKGROUND: Early childhood enteric infection with Shigella/EIEC, enteroaggregative E. coli (EAEC), Campylobacter, and Giardia has been associated with reduced child growth, yet a recent randomized trial of antimicrobial therapy to reduce these infections did not improve growth outcomes. To interrogate this discrepancy, we measured the enteric infections from this study. METHODS: We leveraged the Early Life Interventions for Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) trial, a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial of antimicrobial therapy with azithromycin and nitazoxanide provided quarterly to infants from 6 to 15 months of age. We tested 5,479 stool samples at time points across the study for 34 enteropathogens using quantitative PCR. RESULTS: There was substantial carriage of enteropathogens in stool. Azithromycin administration led to reductions in Campylobacter jejuni/coli, enteroaggregative E. coli, and Shigella/EIEC (absolute risk difference ranged from -0.06 to 0.24) 2 weeks after treatment however there was no effect after 3 months. There was no difference in Giardia after nitazoxanide administration (ARR 0.03 at the 12 month administration). When examining the effect of azithromycin versus placebo on the subset of children infected with specific pathogens at the time of treatment, a small increase in weight-for-age Z score was seen only in those infected with Campylobacter jejuni/coli (0.10 Z score, 95% CI -0.01-0.20; length-for-age Z score 0.07, 95% CI -0.06-0.20). CONCLUSION: The antimicrobial intervention of quarterly azithromycin plus or minus nitazoxanide led to only transient decreases in enteric infections with Shigella/EIEC, enteroaggregative E. coli (EAEC), Campylobacter, and Giardia. There was a trend towards improved growth in children infected with Campylobacter that received quarterly azithromycin.

Real-time sewage surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 in Dhaka, Bangladesh versus clinical COVID-19 surveillance: a longitudinal environmental surveillance study (December, 2019-December, 2021).

BACKGROUND: Clinical surveillance for COVID-19 has typically been challenging in low-income and middle-income settings. From December, 2019, to December, 2021, we implemented environmental surveillance in a converging informal sewage network in Dhaka, Bangladesh, to investigate SARS-CoV-2 transmission across different income levels of the city compared with clinical surveillance. METHODS: All sewage lines were mapped, and sites were selected with estimated catchment populations of more than 1000 individuals. We analysed 2073 sewage samples, collected weekly from 37 sites, and 648 days of case data from eight wards with varying socioeconomic statuses. We assessed the correlations between the viral load in sewage samples and clinical cases. FINDINGS: SARS-CoV-2 was consistently detected across all wards (low, middle, and high income) despite large differences in reported clinical cases and periods of no cases. The majority of COVID-19 cases (26 256 [55·1%] of 47 683) were reported from Ward 19, a high-income area with high levels of clinical testing (123 times the number of tests per 100 000 individuals compared with Ward 9 [middle-income] in November, 2020, and 70 times the number of tests per 100 000 individuals compared with Ward 5 [low-income] in November, 2021), despite containing only 19·4% of the study population (142 413 of 734 755 individuals). Conversely, a similar quantity of SARS-CoV-2 was detected in sewage across different income levels (median difference in high-income vs low-income areas: 0·23 log10 viral copies + 1). The correlation between the mean sewage viral load (log10 viral copies + 1) and the log10 clinical cases increased with time (r = 0·90 in July-December, 2021 and r=0·59 in July-December, 2020). Before major waves of infection, viral load quantity in sewage samples increased 1-2 weeks before the clinical cases. INTERPRETATION: This study demonstrates the utility and importance of environmental surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 in a lower-middle-income country. We show that environmental surveillance provides an early warning of increases in transmission and reveals evidence of persistent circulation in poorer areas where access to clinical testing is limited. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Association of Circulating Biomarkers with Growth and Cognitive Development in Rural Tanzania: A Secondary Analysis of the Early Life Interventions in Childhood Growth and Development In Tanzania (ELICIT) Study.

BACKGROUND: Children in low-resource areas experience nutritional and infection challenges delaying growth and cognitive development. OBJECTIVES: Our goal was to assess for associations of circulating biomarkers related to nutrition and inflammation, with growth and developmental outcomes among children in a birth cohort in a resource-poor area in rural Tanzania. METHODS: We assessed data from 1,120 children participating in the Early Life Interventions for Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) study. At age 12 and 18 mo, participants had blood tests performed for hemoglobin, collagen-X, insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1), fibroblast growth factor-21 (FGF21), thyroglobulin, ferritin, soluble transferrin receptor (sTFR), retinol binding protein-4 (RBP4), C-reactive protein (CRP), α1-acid glycoprotein (AGP), and CD14. At 18 mo, participants had anthropometry measured and converted to z-scores for length-for-age (LAZ), weight-for-age (WAZ) and head-circumference-for-age (HCZ) and had the Malawi Developmental Assessment Tool (MDAT) performed to evaluate cognitive development. We performed linear regression assessing biomarkers (predictor variable) on anthropometry and MDAT scores (dependent variables), adjusted for sex, socioeconomic status, and baseline values. RESULTS: There was a high degree of intrafactor correlation between 12 and 18 mo and interfactor correlation between biomarkers. IGF-1 and sTFR were positively and FGF21 and ferritin negatively associated with LAZ at 18 mo, whereas collagen-X and CD14 were additionally associated with recent linear growth. Only markers predominantly related to nutrition were consistently linked with WAZ at 18 mo, while RBP4 and AGP were additionally associated with recent change in WAZ. IGF-1 was positively and thyroglobulin, RBP4, and CD14 negatively linked to MDAT scores. IGF-1 was the only factor linked to both 18-mo LAZ and MDAT. CONCLUSIONS: Individual biomarkers were consistently linked to growth and cognitive outcomes, providing support for relationships between nutrition and inflammation in early child development. Further research is needed to assess overlaps in how biomarker-related processes interact with both growth and learning. REGISTERED AT CLINICALTRIALS.GOV: NCT03268902.

Frequency of bystander exposure to antibiotics for enteropathogenic bacteria among young children in low-resource settings.

Children in low-resource settings carry enteric pathogens asymptomatically and are frequently treated with antibiotics, resulting in opportunities for pathogens to be exposed to antibiotics when not the target of treatment (i.e., bystander exposure). We quantified the frequency of bystander antibiotic exposures for enteric pathogens and estimated associations with resistance among children in eight low-resource settings. We analyzed 15,697 antibiotic courses from 1,715 children aged 0 to 2 y from the MAL-ED birth cohort. We calculated the incidence of bystander exposures and attributed exposures to respiratory and diarrheal illnesses. We associated bystander exposure with phenotypic susceptibility of E. coli isolates in the 30 d following exposure and at the level of the study site. There were 744.1 subclinical pathogen exposures to antibiotics per 100 child-years. Enteroaggregative Escherichia coli was the most frequently exposed pathogen, with 229.6 exposures per 100 child-years. Almost all antibiotic exposures for Campylobacter (98.8%), enterotoxigenic E. coli (95.6%), and typical enteropathogenic E. coli (99.4%), and the majority for Shigella (77.6%), occurred when the pathogens were not the target of treatment. Respiratory infections accounted for half (49.9%) and diarrheal illnesses accounted for one-fourth (24.6%) of subclinical enteric bacteria exposures to antibiotics. Bystander exposure of E. coli to class-specific antibiotics was associated with the prevalence of phenotypic resistance at the community level. Antimicrobial stewardship and illness-prevention interventions among children in low-resource settings would have a large ancillary benefit of reducing bystander selection that may contribute to antimicrobial resistance.

Burden, Clinical Characteristics, Risk Factors, and Seasonality of Adenovirus 40/41 Diarrhea in Children in Eight Low-Resource Settings.

Background: The application of molecular diagnostics has identified enteric group adenovirus serotypes 40 and 41 as important causes of diarrhea in children. However, many aspects of the epidemiology of adenovirus 40/41 diarrhea have not been described. Methods: We used data from the 8-site Etiology, Risk Factors, and Interactions of Enteric Infections and Malnutrition and the Consequences for Child Health and Development Project birth cohort study to describe site- and age-specific incidence, risk factors, clinical characteristics, and seasonality. Results: The incidence of adenovirus 40/41 diarrhea was substantially higher by quantitative polymerase chain reaction than enzyme immunoassay and peaked at ∼30 episodes per 100 child-years in children aged 7-15 months, with substantial variation in incidence between sites. A significant burden was also seen in children 0-6 months of age, higher than other viral etiologies with the exception of rotavirus. Children with adenovirus 40/41 diarrhea were more likely to have a fever than children with norovirus, sapovirus, and astrovirus (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.62; 95% CI, 1.16-2.26) but less likely than children with rotavirus (aOR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.49-0.91). Exclusive breastfeeding was strongly protective against adenovirus 40/41 diarrhea (hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.48-0.85), but no other risk factors were identified. The seasonality of adenovirus 40/41 diarrhea varied substantially between sites and did not have clear associations with seasonal variations in temperature or rainfall. Conclusions: This study supports the situation of adenovirus 40/41 as a pathogen of substantial importance, especially in infants. Fever was a distinguishing characteristic in comparison to other nonrotavirus viral etiologies, and promotion of exclusive breastfeeding may reduce the high observed burden in the first 6 months of life.

Sex Differences in Early Childhood Growth in a Resource-Limited Setting: A Secondary Analysis of the Early Life Interventions in Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) Study.

BACKGROUND: In population-based growth surveys in sub-Saharan Africa, boys have higher rates of growth failure than girls. OBJECTIVES: Our goal was to assess for the presence, timing, and potential etiology of sex-based differences in length-for-age z score (LAZ), weight-for-age z score (WAZ), and head circumference-for-age z score (HCZ) in a birth cohort in rural Tanzania. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of randomized controlled trial data on 1084 children followed from age <2 wk to 18 mo, assessing anthropometry (measured every 3 mo), illness (hospitalization and monthly maternal report of symptoms), and feeding [monthly maternal report of exclusive breastfeeding (EBF) and complementary solids and liquids (CSLs)]. We used linear regression to assess sex differences in LAZ, WAZ, and HCZ over time. RESULTS: Although male and female infants had similar anthropometry measures at study entry, males exhibited poorer growth through 6 mo (e.g., 3-mo mean LAZ: males -0.94, females -0.74, P < 0.01; 3-mo mean WAZ: males -0.63, females -0.48, P < 0.05), without significant worsening from 6 to 18 mo. Males had lower HCZ only at 9 mo. In evaluating possible etiologies, mediation analysis failed to identify illness or hospitalization as mediators of poorer growth among males, although at age 3 mo, males with recently reported illness exhibited greater decline in WAZ than females with illness (ΔWAZ: males -0.24, females 0.03, heterogeneity test P = 0.01). Differences in EBF and introduction of CSL did not explain the sex-based growth outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In longitudinal analysis, males exhibited more severe growth failure by 3 mo than girls and did not exhibit catchup growth between 6 and 18 mo. Reported symptoms of illness and early introduction of CSL did not appear to be mediators of these sex-based differences, although likely not all sickness was captured by monthly maternal report. Given the early nature of these deficits, LAZ and WAZ measures at 6 mo may be good outcomes for intervention studies targeting improvements in early childhood growth and thriving.

Cognitive Outcomes at 18 Months: Findings from the Early Life Interventions for Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) Trial.

Micronutrient deficiencies and enteric infections negatively impact child growth and development. We enrolled children shortly after birth in a randomized, placebo-controlled, 2 × 2 factorial interventional trial in Haydom, Tanzania, to assess nicotinamide and/or antimicrobials (azithromycin and nitazoxanide) effect on length at 18 months of age. Cognitive score at 18 months using the Malawi Developmental Assessment Tool (MDAT), which includes gross motor, fine motor, language, and social assessments, was a secondary outcome. Here, we present the MDAT results of 1,032 children. There was no effect of nicotinamide (change in development-for-age Z score [DAZ] -0.08; 95% CI: -0.16, 0) or antimicrobials (change in DAZ 0.04; 95% CI: -0.06, 0.13) on overall MDAT score. The interventions had no effect on cognitive outcomes in subgroups defined by gender, socioeconomic status, birthweight, and birth season or on MDAT subscores. Further analyses are needed to identify targetable risk factors for impaired cognitive development in these settings.

Effect of scheduled antimicrobial and nicotinamide treatment on linear growth in children in rural Tanzania: A factorial randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Stunting among children in low-resource settings is associated with enteric pathogen carriage and micronutrient deficiencies. Our goal was to test whether administration of scheduled antimicrobials and daily nicotinamide improved linear growth in a region with a high prevalence of stunting and enteric pathogen carriage. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We performed a randomized, 2 × 2 factorial, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in the area around Haydom, Tanzania. Mother-child dyads were enrolled by age 14 days and followed with monthly home visits and every 3-month anthropometry assessments through 18 months. Those randomized to the antimicrobial arm received 2 medications (versus corresponding placebos): azithromycin (single dose of 20 mg/kg) at months 6, 9, 12, and 15 and nitazoxanide (3-day course of 100 mg twice daily) at months 12 and 15. Those randomized to nicotinamide arm received daily nicotinamide to the mother (250 mg pills months 0 to 6) and to the child (100 mg sachets months 6 to 18). Primary outcome was length-for-age z-score (LAZ) at 18 months in the modified intention-to-treat group. Between September 5, 2017 and August 31, 2018, 1,188 children were randomized, of whom 1,084 (n = 277 placebo/placebo, 273 antimicrobial/placebo, 274 placebo/nicotinamide, and 260 antimicrobial/nicotinamide) were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. The study was suspended for a 3-month period by the Tanzanian National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) because of concerns related to the timing of laboratory testing and the total number of serious adverse events (SAEs); this resulted in some participants receiving their final study assessment late. There was a high prevalence of stunting overall (533/1,084, 49.2%). Mean 18-month LAZ did not differ between groups for either intervention (mean LAZ with 95% confidence interval [CI]: antimicrobial: -2.05 CI -2.13, -1.96, placebo: -2.05 CI -2.14, -1.97; mean difference: 0.01 CI -0.13, 0.11, p = 0.91; nicotinamide: -2.06 CI -2.13, -1.95, placebo: -2.04 CI -2.14, -1.98, mean difference 0.03 CI -0.15, 0.09, p = 0.66). There was no difference in LAZ for either intervention after adjusting for possible confounders (baseline LAZ, age in days at 18-month measurement, ward, hospital birth, birth month, years of maternal education, socioeconomic status (SES) quartile category, sex, whether the mother was a member of the Datoga tribe, and mother's height). Adverse events (AEs) and SAEs were overall similar between treatment groups for both the nicotinamide and antimicrobial interventions. Key limitations include the absence of laboratory measures of pathogen carriage and nicotinamide metabolism to provide context for the negative findings. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that neither scheduled administration of azithromycin and nitazoxanide nor daily provision of nicotinamide was associated with improved growth in this resource-poor setting with a high force of enteric infections. Further research remains critical to identify interventions toward improved early childhood growth in challenging conditions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03268902.

Etiology and Incidence of Moderate-to-Severe Diarrhea in Young Children in Niger.

BACKGROUND: High-resolution data on the etiology of childhood diarrhea in countries with the highest burden and mortality remain sparse and are needed to inform burden estimates and prioritize interventions. METHODS: We tested stool specimens collected between October 2014 and December 2017 from children under 2 years of age from the per-protocol population of a placebo-controlled clinical trial of a bovine rotavirus pentavalent vaccine (Rotasiil) in Niger. We tested 1729 episodes of moderate-to-severe diarrhea (Vesikari score ≥ 7) using quantitative PCR and estimated pathogen-specific burdens by age, season, severity, and trial intervention arm. RESULTS: The 4 pathogens with the highest attributable incidence of diarrhea were Shigella (7.2 attributable episodes per 100 child-years; 95% confidence interval: 5.2, 9.7), Cryptosporidium (6.5; 5.8, 7.2), rotavirus (6.4; 5.9, 6.7), and heat-stabile toxin-producing enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ST-ETEC) (6.2; 3.1, 7.7). Cryptosporidium was the leading etiology of severe diarrhea (Vesikari score ≥ 11) and diarrhea requiring hospitalization. Shigella was the leading etiology of diarrhea in children 12-23 months of age but also had a substantial burden in the first year of life, with 60.5% of episodes of severe shigellosis occurring in infants. Shigella, Cryptosporidium, and ST-ETEC incidence peaked during the warmer and wetter period and coincided with peak all-cause diarrhea incidence. CONCLUSIONS: In this high-burden setting, the leading diarrheal pathogens were Shigella, Cryptosporidium, rotavirus, and ST-ETEC, and each was disproportionately seen in infants. Vaccine development should target these pathogens, and the impact of vaccine schedule on diarrhea burden in the youngest children will need to be considered.

A Cross-Sectional Study on the Affordable Care Act from the Perspective of People Living with HIV: The Interplay between Knowledge, Stigma, Trust, and Attitudes.

BACKGROUND: Many AIDS Drug Assistance Programs (ADAPs) purchased Affordable Care Act (ACA) Qualified Health Plans (QHPs) for low-income people living with HIV (PLWH). To date, little has been published about PLWH's perspective on the ACA. We explored ACA knowledge, HIV stigma, trust in the healthcare system, and ACA attitudes among PLWH with ADAP-funded QHPs in Virginia. METHODS: Participants were surveyed about demographic characteristics, ACA knowledge, HIV stigma, trust in various healthcare and government entities, and attitudes toward the ACA. Descriptive statistics were used. We assessed for associations (1) between baseline characteristics and correct ACA knowledge, HIV-related stigma, trust, and ACA attitudes and (2) between correct ACA knowledge and the following data: sources of ACA knowledge, HIV stigma, and trust. RESULTS: Participants (n = 53) were a vulnerable population based on the assessment of social determinants of health, and 30% had correct ACA knowledge. Almost three-fourths of participants used HIV clinic case managers for ACA information. Participants who used websites for ACA information had correct ACA knowledge more often compared to those that did not (71% vs. 15%; p = 0.001). Those with correct ACA knowledge had lower stigma scores compared to those without correct ACA knowledge (93.8; SD: 15.4 vs. 108; SD: 20.3; p = 0.01). Participants trusted HIV clinicians more than general clinicians and insurance companies. No association was found between having correct ACA knowledge and endorsing having enough information about the ACA to understand how it will impact their HIV care. CONCLUSIONS: Websites imparted accurate ACA information. HIV clinic case managers were the most used source, and HIV clinicians were a trusted source of information. HIV clinicians and case managers should consider disseminating information about the ACA and its impact on HIV care delivery via internet videos. Lack of internet and stigma are a threat to PLWH gaining actionable healthcare information.

Baseline Characteristics of Study Participants in the Early Life Interventions for Childhood Growth and Development in Tanzania (ELICIT) Trial.

Recurrent enteric infections and micronutrient deficiencies, including deficiencies in the tryptophan-kynurenine-niacin pathway, have been associated with environmental enteric dysfunction, potentially contributing to poor child growth and development. We are conducting a randomized, placebo-controlled, 2 × 2 factorial interventional trial in a rural population in Haydom, Tanzania, to determine the effect of 1) antimicrobials (azithromycin and nitazoxanide) and/or 2) nicotinamide, a niacin vitamer, on attained length at 18 months. Mother/infant dyads were enrolled within 14 days of the infant's birth from September 2017 to September 2018, with the follow-up to be completed in February 2020. Here, we describe the baseline characteristics of the study cohort, risk factors for low enrollment weight, and neonatal adverse events (AEs). Risk factors for a low enrollment weight included being a firstborn child (-0.54 difference in weight-for-age z-score [WAZ] versus other children, 95% CI: -0.71, -0.37), lower socioeconomic status (-0.28, 95% CI: -0.43, -0.12 difference in WAZ), and birth during the preharvest season (November to March) (-0.22, 95% CI: -0.33, -0.11 difference in WAZ). The most common neonatal serious AEs were respiratory tract infections and neonatal sepsis (2.2 and 1.4 events per 100 child-months, respectively). The study cohort represents a high-risk population for whom interventions to improve child growth and development are urgently needed. Further analyses are needed to understand the persistent impacts of seasonal malnutrition and the interactions between seasonality, socioeconomic status, and the study interventions.

Epidemiology of Shigella infections and diarrhea in the first two years of life using culture-independent diagnostics in 8 low-resource settings.

Culture-independent diagnostics have revealed a larger burden of Shigella among children in low-resource settings than previously recognized. We further characterized the epidemiology of Shigella in the first two years of life in a multisite birth cohort. We tested 41,405 diarrheal and monthly non-diarrheal stools from 1,715 children for Shigella by quantitative PCR. To assess risk factors, clinical factors related to age and culture positivity, and associations with inflammatory biomarkers, we used log-binomial regression with generalized estimating equations. The prevalence of Shigella varied from 4.9%-17.8% in non-diarrheal stools across sites, and the incidence of Shigella-attributable diarrhea was 31.8 cases (95% CI: 29.6, 34.2) per 100 child-years. The sensitivity of culture compared to qPCR was 6.6% and increased to 27.8% in Shigella-attributable dysentery. Shigella diarrhea episodes were more likely to be severe and less likely to be culture positive in younger children. Older age (RR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.70, 1.81 per 6-month increase in age), unimproved sanitation (RR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.29), low maternal education (<10 years, RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.26), initiating complementary foods before 3 months (RR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.20), and malnutrition (RR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.88, 0.95 per unit increase in weight-for-age z-score) were risk factors for Shigella. There was a linear dose-response between Shigella quantity and myeloperoxidase concentrations. The burden of Shigella varied widely across sites, but uniformly increased through the second year of life and was associated with intestinal inflammation. Culture missed most clinically relevant cases of severe diarrhea and dysentery.

Facilitators and Barriers: Clients' Perspective on the Virginia AIDS Drug Assistance Program's Affordable Care Act Implementation.

Many AIDS drug assistance programs (ADAPs) purchased Affordable Care Act (ACA) qualified health plans (QHPs) for low-income people living with HIV. To date, little has been written about this from the client perspective. The study's objective was to gain information about the experience of Virginia ADAP-funded QHP enrollment and the impact of this change. English-speaking clients who were eligible for ADAP-funded QHPs were recruited at three HIV clinics in Virginia. The goal was to enroll ≥5% of those who were eligible for ADAP-funded QHPs in two Virginia Department of Health planning districts. Participants were surveyed about demographic characteristics, and semi-structured interviews were performed. Descriptive analyses were performed for cohort characteristics. Using an open coding strategy, codebooks were generated for the interviews and themes were identified. The cohort (n = 53) met our recruitment goal. Two-thirds gained their ACA knowledge at HIV clinics from case managers and social workers. Many barriers to enrollment were identified, including internet access/literacy. Almost 9 out of 10 participants had concerns about privacy, which centered on QHP's mandated use of mail-order pharmacies. Except for medication concerns, most participants had positive perceptions of the impact of QHP enrollment on their health care. HIV clinic case managers and social workers are often the primary source of knowledge for patients about insurance options and their assistance is crucial for QHP enrollment. Our findings indicate that reducing identified barriers and addressing privacy concerns by allowing people to opt out of mail order pharmacies may encourage QHP enrollment.

Global avian influenza surveillance in wild birds: a strategy to capture viral diversity.

Wild birds play a major role in the evolution, maintenance, and spread of avian influenza viruses. However, surveillance for these viruses in wild birds is sporadic, geographically biased, and often limited to the last outbreak virus. To identify opportunities to optimize wild bird surveillance for understanding viral diversity, we reviewed responses to a World Organisation for Animal Health-administered survey, government reports to this organization, articles on Web of Knowledge, and the Influenza Research Database. At least 119 countries conducted avian influenza virus surveillance in wild birds during 2008-2013, but coordination and standardization was lacking among surveillance efforts, and most focused on limited subsets of influenza viruses. Given high financial and public health burdens of recent avian influenza outbreaks, we call for sustained, cost-effective investments in locations with high avian influenza diversity in wild birds and efforts to promote standardized sampling, testing, and reporting methods, including full-genome sequencing and sharing of isolates with the scientific community.

Integrating invasion and disease in the risk assessment of live bird trade.

AIM: International trade in plants and animals generates significant economic benefits. It also leads to substantial unintended impacts when introduced species become invasive, causing environmental disturbance or transmitting diseases that affect people, livestock, other wildlife or the environment. Policy responses are usually only implemented after these species become established and damages are already incurred. International agreements to control trade are likewise usually based on selection of species with known impacts. We aim to further develop quantitative invasive species risk assessment for bird imports and extend the tool to explicitly address disease threats. LOCATION: United States of America. METHODS: We use a two-step approach for rapid risk assessment based on the expected biological risks due to both the environmental and health impact of a potentially invasive wildlife species in trade. We assess establishment probability based on a model informed by historical observations and then construct a model of emerging infectious disease threat based on economic and ecological characteristics of the exporting country. RESULTS: We illustrate how our rapid assessment tool can be used to identify high-priority species for regulation based on a combination of the threat they pose for becoming established and vectoring emerging infectious diseases. MAIN CONCLUSIONS: Our approach can be executed for a species in a matter of days and is nested in an economic decision-making framework for determining whether the biological risk is justified by trade benefits.

Economic optimization of a global strategy to address the pandemic threat.

Emerging pandemics threaten global health and economies and are increasing in frequency. Globally coordinated strategies to combat pandemics, similar to current strategies that address climate change, are largely adaptive, in that they attempt to reduce the impact of a pathogen after it has emerged. However, like climate change, mitigation strategies have been developed that include programs to reduce the underlying drivers of pandemics, particularly animal-to-human disease transmission. Here, we use real options economic modeling of current globally coordinated adaptation strategies for pandemic prevention. We show that they would be optimally implemented within 27 y to reduce the annual rise of emerging infectious disease events by 50% at an estimated one-time cost of approximately $343.7 billion. We then analyze World Bank data on multilateral "One Health" pandemic mitigation programs. We find that, because most pandemics have animal origins, mitigation is a more cost-effective policy than business-as-usual adaptation programs, saving between $344.0.7 billion and $360.3 billion over the next 100 y if implemented today. We conclude that globally coordinated pandemic prevention policies need to be enacted urgently to be optimally effective and that strategies to mitigate pandemics by reducing the impact of their underlying drivers are likely to be more effective than business as usual.