Development and validation of a nomogram to predict allograft survival after pediatric liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation is the main treatment for cholestatic liver disease and some metabolic liver diseases in children. However, no accurate prediction model to determine the survival probability of grafts prior to surgery exists. This study aimed to develop an effective prognostic model for allograft survival after pediatric liver transplantation. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 2032 patients who underwent pediatric liver transplantation between January 1, 2006, and January 1, 2020. A nomogram was developed using Cox regression and validated based on bootstrap sampling. Predictive and discriminatory accuracies were determined using the concordance index and visualized using calibration curves; net benefits were calculated for model comparison. An online Shiny application was developed for easy access to the model. RESULTS: Multivariable analysis demonstrated that preoperative diagnosis, recipient age, body weight, graft type, preoperative total bilirubin, interleukin-1ß, portal venous blood flow direction, spleen thickness, and the presence of heart disease and cholangitis were independent factors for survival, all of which were selected in the nomogram. Calibration of the nomogram indicated that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year predicted survival rates agreed with the actual survival rate. The concordance indices for graft survival at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.776, 0.757, and 0.753, respectively, which were significantly higher than those of the Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease and Child-Pugh scoring systems. The allograft dysfunction risk of a recipient could be easily predicted using the following URL: https://aspelt.shinyapps.io/ASPELT/ / CONCLUSION: The allograft survival after pediatric liver transplantation (ASPELT) score model can effectively predict the graft survival rate after liver transplantation in children, providing a simple and convenient evaluation method for clinicians and patients.

Association of different central venous pressure levels with outcome of living-donor liver transplantation in children under 12 years.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric liver transplantation is an important modality for treating biliary atresia. The overall survival (OS) rate of pediatric liver transplantation has significantly improved compared with that of 20 years ago, but it is still unsatisfactory. The anesthesia strategy of maintaining low central venous pressure (CVP) has shown a positive effect on prognosis in adult liver transplantation. However, this relationship remains unclear in pediatric liver transplantation. Thus, this study was conducted to review the data of pediatric living-donor liver transplantation to analyze the associations of different CVP levels with the prognosis of recipients. METHODS: This was a retrospective study and the patients were divided into two groups according to CVP levels after abdominal closure: low CVP (LCVP) (≤ 10 cmH2O, n = 470) and high CVP (HCVP) (> 10 cmH2O, n = 242). The primary outcome measured in the study was the overall survival rate. The secondary outcomes included the duration of mechanical ventilation in the intensive care unit (ICU), length of stay in the ICU, and postoperative stay in the hospital. Patient demographic and perioperative data were collected and compared between the two groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to determine the associations of different CVP levels with the survival rate. RESULTS: In the study, 712 patients, including 470 in the LCVP group and 242 in the HCVP group, were enrolled. After propensity score matching, 212 pairs remained in the group. The LCVP group showed a higher overall survival rate than the HCVP group in the Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analyses (P = 0.018), and the HCVP group had a hazard ratio of 2.445 (95% confidence interval, 1.163-5.140). CONCLUSION: This study confirmed that a low-CVP level at the end of surgery is associated with improved overall survival and a shorter length of hospital stay.

Levels of blood lipid among children and adolescents aged 6-17 years in Jiangxi Province / 中国学校卫生

Objective@#To investigate blood lipid status among children and adolescents in Jiangxi Province, and to provide the basis for prevention and control of dyslipidemia.@*Methods@#Using the method of stratified cluster random sampling,a total of 14 535 children and adolescents aged 6-17 years old were selected from Jiangxi Province in 2019. With physical measurement and blood tests for fasting blood total cholesterol(TC), triglyceride(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C) levels, dyslipidemia was determined by the definition of dyslipidemia prevention consensus of specialists in Children and Adolescents.@*Results@#The dyslipidemia rate was 14.9%, and the abnormal rates of TC,TG, LDL-C and HDL-C were 5.9%,7.4%,2.9% and 3.4%, respectively.The prevalence of dyslipidemia was higher in female(15.7%) than in male(14.1%)(χ 2=8.01, P<0.01). The prevalence of dyslipidemia in primary school, middle school and high school students was 13.8%,15.5% and 17.3%, respectively(χ 2=21.14，P<0.01),and in students of normal weight, overweight and obesity was 12.8%, 21.9%, 30.0%, respectively(χ 2=297.20, P<0.01).@*Conclusion@#The prevalence of dyslipidemia among children and adolescents in Jiangxi Province is lower than the national level, but the current situation cannot be ignored.

Pediatric living donor liver transplantation decade progress in Shanghai: Characteristics and risks factors of mortality.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) has become the gold standard for patients with end-stage liver disease. With improvements in organ preservation, immunosuppression, surgical and anesthesia techniques, the survival rates and long-term outcomes of patients after LDLT have significantly improved worldwide. However, data on anesthetic management and postoperative survival rate of pediatric LDLT in China are rare. AIM: To review the status of pediatric LDLT in Shanghai and investigate the factors related to anesthetic management and survival rate in pediatric LDLT. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study to investigate the status of pediatric LDLT in Shanghai by reviewing 544 records of patients who underwent pediatric LDLT since the first operation on October 21, 2006 until August 10, 2016 at Renji Hospital and Huashan Hospital. RESULTS: The 30-d, 90-d, 1-year, and 2-year survival rates were 95.22%, 93.38%, 91.36%, and 89.34%, respectively. The 2-year patient survival rate after January 1, 2011 significantly improved compared with the previous period (74.47% vs 90.74%; hazard ratio: 2.92; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.16-14.14; P = 0.0004). Median duration of mechanical ventilation in the intensive care unit (ICU) was 18 h [interquartile range (IQR), 15.25-20.25], median ICU length of stay was 6 d (IQR: 4.80-9.00), and median postoperative length of stay was 24 d (IQR: 18.00-34.00). Forty-seven (8.60%) of 544 patients did not receive red blood cell transfusion during the operation. CONCLUSION: Pediatric end-stage liver disease (PELD) score, anesthesia duration, operation duration, intraoperative blood loss, and ICU length of stay were independent predictive factors of in-hospital patient survival. Pediatric end-stage liver disease score, operation duration, and ICU length of stay were independent predictive factors of 1-year and 3-year patient survival.

[Immunologic mechanisms of Yinhua Pinggan granule and San-ao decoction against influenza virus in vivo].

This paper aimed to investigate the effect of Yinhua Pinggan granule and San-ao decoction on the immunologic mechanisms of influenza viral pneumonia mice in vivo, in order to study the activity of the combined administration of different formulas on influenza A/H1N1 virus. The model of pneumonia was established in mice through nasal dropping influenza virus, and then divided randomly into five groups: normal control group, influenza virus model group, oseltamivir control group, Yinhua Pinggan granule group, and San-ao decoction group. The animals were put to death at the 5th day after gavage administration with the corresponding drugs. The contents in mice serum of TNF-α, IL-6 and IFN-γ were respectively measured by ELISA. The mRNA expressions of TLR3/7, MyD88, JNK, p38MAPK and NF-κB p65 in lung tissues were respectively detected by RT-PCR. The protein expressions of JNK, p38MAPK and NF-κB p65 in lung tissues were determined by immunohistochemical analysis, respectively. According to the results, Yinhua Pinggan granule and San-ao decoction could significantly decrease the levels of TNF-α and IL-6, increase the level of IFN-γ in mice serum of lung tissues, significantly reduce the gene expressions of TLR3/7, MyD88, JNK, p38MAPK and NF-κB p65 in influenza virus-infected mice lung tissues, and significantly reduce the protein expressions of JNK, p38MAPK and NF-κB p65 in lung tissues. Furthermore, the regulatory effect of Yinhua Pinggan granule was superior to that of San-ao decoction. In conclusion, Yinhua Pingan granule and San-ao decoction have the therapeutic effect on pneumonia mice infected by H1N1 virus in vivo. The anti-influenza mechanisms of Yinhua Pinggan granule and San-ao decoction may be the results of interactions by regulating the immunologic function of influenza virus-infected mice and TLR3/7 signaling pathway with multiple links of the gene and protein expressions. Moreover, the combined administration of warm-natured and cold-natured Yinhua Pinggan granule with the effects of detoxification and exhalation has a better effect than the single administration of warm-natured San-ao decoction.

[Study on the application of empirical mode decomposition to noninvasive hemoglobin measurement by NIRS].

To increase the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of human near infrared (NIR) spectra, so as to improve the stability and precision of calibration model, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method was applied. Eighty-one fingertip absorption curves were collected, with the corresponding clinical examination results obtained immediately. By means of outliers detection and removal, finally 78 samples were determined as the research objects. A three-layer back-propagation artificial neutron network (BP-ANN) model was established and worked for prediction. The results turned out that, through EMD method, the prediction correlation coefficient increased greatly from 0.74 to 0.87. RMSEP was reduced from 12.85 to 8.08 g x L(-1). Other indexes were also obviously improved. The overall results sufficiently demonstrate that it is feasible to use EMD method forhigh SNR pulse wave signals, thus improving the performance of noninvasive hemoglobin calibration models. The application of EMD method can help promote the development of noninvasive hemoglobin monitoring technology.