Large hospital outbreak of KPC-2-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae: investigating mortality and the impact of screening for KPC-2 with polymerase chain reaction.

BACKGROUND: Multi-drug-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC)-2-producing K. pneumoniae are an increasing cause of healthcare-associated infections worldwide. AIMS: To investigate the impact of clinical infection on mortality, and examine the effect of use of KPC-2-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) on the time to contact isolation during an outbreak. METHODS: Cases were defined as patients clinically infected or colonized with KPC-2-producing K. pneumoniae between June 2010 and July 2012. Cases were described by demographic and health characteristics, and the association between infection and mortality, adjusted for comorbidities and demographic characteristics, was determined using Poisson regression with robust standard errors. A comparison was made between the time to contact isolation with a culture-based method and PCR using Wilcoxon's rank sum test. FINDINGS: Of 72 cases detected, 17 (24%) had undergone transplantation and 21 (29%) had a malignancy. Overall, 35 (49%) cases were clinically infected, with pneumonia and sepsis being the most common infections. Infection was an independent risk factor for mortality (risk ratio 1.67, 95% confidence interval 0.99-2.82). The median time to contact isolation was 1.5 days (range 0-21 days) using PCR and 5.0 days (range 0-39 days) using culture-based methods (P = 0.003). Intermittent negative tests were observed in 48% (14/29) of cases tested using culture-based methods. CONCLUSION: KPC-2-producing K. pneumoniae mainly affect severely ill patients. Half of the cases developed clinical infection, associated with increased risk of death. As PCR accelerates isolation and provides the opportunity for preventive measures in colonized cases, its use should be implemented promptly during outbreaks. Further studies are needed to enhance knowledge about KPC detection patterns and to adjust screening guidelines.

From irreversibility to participation: towards a participatory foresight for the governance of collective environmental risks.

This paper presents a reflection on the introduction of methods and tools of "participative foresight" for scientific and technology policy as well as environmental policy fields. Future studies have recently made a comeback under the label of foresight. Future technology studies no longer claim to forecast the future, but are presented as a strategic tool for improving interaction between key actors and for anticipatory policy making. They can be defined as a "process by which one comes to a fuller understanding of the forces shaping the long term future which should be taken into account in policy formulation, planning and decision-making" [Foresight in Federal Government Policymaking, Futures Res. Quart. (1985) 29]. We discuss applications of this approach for perspectives on environmental policy and sustainable development. Foresight opens up the possibility of negotiating a new and more fruitful relationship or 'social contract' between science and technology, on the one hand, and society on the other. The focus has moved from merely scientific and industrial insights to social demand, thus emphasizing the importance of both the production and "supply" of innovation, and the "demand" as signaled in the views of citizens.