Developing Clinical Risk Prediction Models for Worsening Heart Failure Events and Death by Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction.

Background There is a need to develop electronic health record-based predictive models for worsening heart failure (WHF) events across clinical settings and across the spectrum of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods and Results We studied adults with heart failure (HF) from 2011 to 2019 within an integrated health care delivery system. WHF encounters were ascertained using natural language processing and structured data. We conducted boosted decision tree ensemble models to predict 1-year hospitalizations, emergency department visits/observation stays, and outpatient encounters for WHF and all-cause death within each LVEF category: HF with reduced ejection fraction (EF) (LVEF <40%), HF with mildly reduced EF (LVEF 40%-49%), and HF with preserved EF (LVEF ≥50%). Model discrimination was evaluated using area under the curve and calibration using mean squared error. We identified 338 426 adults with HF: 61 045 (18.0%) had HF with reduced EF, 49 618 (14.7%) had HF with mildly reduced EF, and 227 763 (67.3%) had HF with preserved EF. The 1-year risks of any WHF event and death were, respectively, 22.3% and 13.0% for HF with reduced EF, 17.0% and 10.1% for HF with mildly reduced EF, and 16.3% and 10.3% for HF with preserved EF. The WHF model displayed an area under the curve of 0.76 and mean squared error of 0.13, whereas the model for death displayed an area under the curve of 0.83 and mean squared error of 0.076. Performance and predictors were similar across WHF encounter types and LVEF categories. Conclusions We developed risk prediction models for 1-year WHF events and death across the LVEF spectrum using structured and unstructured electronic health record data and observed no substantial differences in model performance or predictors except for death, despite differences in underlying HF cause.

Association between serum albumin and outcomes in heart failure and secondary mitral regurgitation: the COAPT trial.

AIMS: Low serum albumin levels are associated with poor prognosis in numerous chronic disease states but the relationship between albumin and outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) and secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR) has not been described. METHODS AND RESULTS: The randomized COAPT trial evaluated the safety and effectiveness of transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) with the MitraClipTM plus guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) versus GDMT alone in patients with symptomatic HF and moderate-to-severe or severe SMR. Baseline serum albumin levels were measured at enrolment. Among 614 patients enrolled in COAPT, 559 (91.0%) had available baseline serum albumin levels (median 4.0 g/dl, interquartile range 3.7-4.2 g/dl). Patients with albumin <4.0 g/dl compared with ≥4.0 g/dl were older and more likely to have ischaemic cardiomyopathy and a hospitalization within the year prior to enrolment. After multivariable adjustment, patients with albumin <4.0 g/dl had higher 4-year rates of all-cause death (63.7% vs. 47.6%; adjusted hazard ratio 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.02-1.74; p = 0.032), but there were no significant differences in HF hospitalizations (HFH) or all-cause hospitalizations according to baseline serum albumin level. The relative effectiveness of TEER plus GDMT versus GDMT alone was consistent in patients with low and high albumin levels (pinteraction  = 0.19 and 0.35 for death and HFH, respectively). CONCLUSION: Low baseline serum albumin levels were independently associated with reduced 4-year survival in patients with HF and severe SMR enrolled in the COAPT trial, but not with HFH. Patients treated with TEER derived similarly robust reductions in both death and HFH regardless of baseline albumin level.

Combining donor derived cell free DNA and gene expression profiling for non-invasive surveillance after heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Donor-derived cell free DNA (dd-cfDNA) and gene expression profiling (GEP) offer noninvasive alternatives to rejection surveillance after heart transplantation; however, there is little evidence on the paired use of GEP and dd-cfDNA for rejection surveillance. METHODS: A single center, retrospective analysis of adult heart transplant recipients. A GEP cohort, transplanted from January 1, 2015 through December 31, 2017 and eligible for rejection surveillance with GEP was compared to a paired testing cohort, transplanted July 1, 2018 through June 30, 2020, with surveillance from both dd-cfDNA and GEP. The primary outcomes were survival and rejection-free survival at 1 year post-transplant. RESULTS: In total 159 patients were included, 95 in the GEP and 64 in the paired testing group. There were no differences in baseline characteristics, except for less use of induction in the paired testing group (65.6%) compared to the GEP group (98.9%), P < .01. At 1-year, there were no differences between the paired testing and GEP groups in survival (98.4% vs. 94.7%, P = .23) or rejection-free survival (81.3% vs. 73.7% P = .28). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to post-transplant rejection surveillance with GEP alone, pairing dd-cfDNA and GEP testing was associated with similar survival and rejection-free survival at 1 year while requiring significantly fewer biopsies.

Impact of using higher-risk donor hearts for candidates with pre-transplant mechanical circulatory support.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated post-heart transplant (HTx) outcomes after use of higher-risk donor hearts for candidates supported with pre-HTx mechanical circulatory support (MCS). METHODS: In this retrospective analysis of the national United Network for Organ Sharing registry, a total of 9,915 adult candidates on MCS underwent HTx from January 1, 2010 to March 31, 2019. Multi-organ, re-transplant, and congenital heart disease patients were excluded. Higher-risk donor organs met at least one of the following criteria: left ventricular ejection fraction <50%, donor to recipient predicted heart mass ratio <0.86, donor age >55 years, or ischemic time >4 hours. Primary outcome was 1 year post-transplant survival. RESULTS: Among HTx recipients, 3688 (37.2%) received higher-risk donor hearts. Candidates supported with pre-HTx extracorporeal membrane oxygenation or biventricular assist device (n = 374, 3.8%) who received higher-risk donor hearts had comparable 1 year survival (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: [0.67-1.93], p = 0.64) to recipients of standard-risk donor hearts, when adjusted for recipient age and sex. In candidates supported with intra-aortic balloon pump (n = 1391, 14.6%), transplantation of higher-risk donor hearts did not adversely affect 1 year survival (HR: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.52-1.22], p = 0.30). Patients on durable left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) who received higher-risk donor hearts had comparable 1 year survival to continued LVAD support on the waitlist, but mortality was increased compared to those who received standard-risk donor hearts (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: [1.11-1.70], p = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Patients requiring pre-HTx temporary MCS who received higher-risk donor hearts had comparable 1 year post-transplant survival to those who received standard-risk donor hearts. Stable patients on durable LVADs may benefit from waiting for standard-risk donor hearts.

Reasons for hospitalizations in patients with type 2 diabetes in the CANVAS programme: A secondary analysis.

AIM: To determine the reasons for hospitalizations in the CANagliflozin cardioVascular Assessment Study (CANVAS) programme and the effects of the sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor canagliflozin on hospitalization. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A secondary analysis was performed on the CANVAS programme that included 10 142 participants with type 2 diabetes randomized to canagliflozin or placebo. The primary outcome was the rate of total (first plus all recurrent) all-cause hospitalizations (ACH). Secondary outcomes were total hospitalizations categorized by the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities hierarchy at the system organ class level, reported by investigators at each centre. Outcomes were assessed using negative binomial models. RESULTS: Of the 7115 hospitalizations reported, the most common reasons were cardiac disorders (23.7%), infections and infestations (15.0%), and nervous system disorders (9.0%). The rate of total ACH was lower in the canagliflozin group (n = 5795) compared with the placebo group (n = 4347): 197.9 versus 215.8 participants per 1000 patient-years, respectively (rate ratio [RR] 0.92; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.86, 0.98). Canagliflozin reduced the rate of total hospitalizations because of cardiac disorders (RR 0.81; 95% CI 0.75, 0.88). There was no significant difference between the canagliflozin and placebo groups in the rates of total hospitalizations because of infections and infestations (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.86, 1.02) or nervous system disorders (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.88, 1.05). CONCLUSIONS: In the CANVAS programme, the most common reasons for hospitalization were cardiac disorders, infections and infestations, and nervous system disorders. Canagliflozin, compared with placebo, reduced the rate of total ACH.

Impact of diabetes mellitus on clinical outcomes after heart transplantation.

PURPOSE: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is common among recipients of heart transplantation (HTx) but its impact on clinical outcomes is unclear. We evaluated the associations between pretransplant DM and posttransplant DM (PTDM) and outcomes among adults receiving HTx at a single center. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study (range 01/2008 - 07/2018), n = 244. The primary outcome was survival; secondary outcomes included acute rejection, cardiac allograft vasculopathy, infection requiring hospitalization, macrovascular events, and dialysis initiation post-transplant. Comparisons were performed using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Pretransplant DM was present in 75 (30.7%) patients and was associated with a higher risk for infection requiring hospitalization (p < 0.05), but not with survival or other outcomes. Among the 144 patients without pretransplant DM surviving to 1 year, 29 (20.1%) were diagnosed with PTDM at the 1-year follow-up. After multivariable adjustment, PTDM diagnosis at 1-year remained associated with worse subsequent survival (hazard ratio 2.72, 95% confidence interval 1.03-7.16). Predictors of PTDM at 1-year included cytomegalovirus seropositivity and higher prednisone dose (> 5 mg/day) at 1-year follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to HTx recipients without baseline DM, those with baseline DM have a higher risk for infections requiring hospitalization, and those who develop DM after HTx have worse survival.

The effects of canagliflozin on heart failure and cardiovascular death by baseline participant characteristics: Analysis of the CREDENCE trial.

Heart failure is prevalent in those with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, and is associated with significant mortality and morbidity. In the CREDENCE trial, canagliflozin reduced the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) or cardiovascular (CV) death by 31%. In the current analysis we sought to determine whether the effect of canagliflozin on HHF/CV death differed in subgroups defined by key baseline participant characteristics. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Canagliflozin was associated with a reduction in the relative risk of HHF/CV death regardless of age, sex, history of heart failure or CV disease, and the use of loop diuretics or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (all pinteraction > .114). The absolute benefit of canagliflozin was greater in those at highest baseline risk, such as those with CV disease (50 fewer events/1000 patients treated over 2.5 years vs. 20 fewer events in those without CV disease) or advanced kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] 30-45 mL/min/1.73m2 : 61 events prevented/1000 patients treated over 2.5 years vs. 23 events in eGFR 60-90 mL/min/1.73m2 ). Canagliflozin consistently reduces the proportional risk of HHF/CV death across a broad range of subgroups with greater absolute benefits in those at highest baseline risk.

Peginterferon Lambda-1a for treatment of outpatients with uncomplicated COVID-19: a randomized placebo-controlled trial.

Type III interferons have been touted as promising therapeutics in outpatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We conducted a randomized, single-blind, placebo-controlled trial (NCT04331899) in 120 outpatients with mild to moderate COVID-19 to determine whether a single, 180 mcg subcutaneous dose of Peginterferon Lambda-1a (Lambda) within 72 hours of diagnosis could shorten the duration of viral shedding (primary endpoint) or symptoms (secondary endpoint). In both the 60 patients receiving Lambda and 60 receiving placebo, the median time to cessation of viral shedding was 7 days (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56 to 1.19). Symptoms resolved in 8 and 9 days in Lambda and placebo, respectively, and symptom duration did not differ significantly between groups (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.64 to 1.39). Both Lambda and placebo were well-tolerated, though liver transaminase elevations were more common in the Lambda vs. placebo arm (15/60 vs 5/60; p = 0.027). In this study, a single dose of subcutaneous Peginterferon Lambda-1a neither shortened the duration of SARS-CoV-2 viral shedding nor improved symptoms in outpatients with uncomplicated COVID-19.

Greater Pain Severity Is Associated with Worse Outcomes in Patients with Heart Failure.

We examined the relationship between pain severity and outcomes in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in the HF-ACTION randomized controlled trial. Trends of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measures grouped by patients' self-reported baseline bodily pain severity were compared using correlation tests, and the association between pain severity and clinical outcomes (including a primary composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and all-cause hospitalization) was assessed using multivariable adjusted analyses. Of the 2310 patients, 22.9% reported no pain, 45.8% very mild/mild, 24.9% moderate, and 6.4% severe/very severe. Greater pain severity was associated with worse HRQoL measures (EuroQoL-5D-3L and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire; both p < 0.0001). Compared to those reporting no pain, patients reporting severe/very severe pain had greater risk for the primary endpoint (adjusted hazard ratio 1.42, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.83, p = 0.01). In patients with HFrEF, greater pain severity was associated with worse HRQoL and clinical outcomes. Trial Registration: NCT00047437.

Cangrelor in clinical use.

Inadequate antiplatelet effects can result in substantial morbidity and mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Cangrelor is a rapid onset and potent intravenous P2Y12 inhibitor that has been shown in large randomized controlled trials to reduce periprocedural complications for PCI compared with clopidogrel, the most commonly used P2Y12 inhibitor. Cangrelor should be considered in the setting of PCI to reduce the risk of periprocedural complications such as myocardial infarction, repeat coronary revascularization and stent thrombosis in patients not yet treated with another P2Y12 inhibitor or glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor. In this review, the importance of adequate P2Y12 inhibition, cangrelor's pharmacology and clinical profiles, and future directions for the cangrelor are discussed.

Best Practices for Prognostic Evaluation of a Patient With Transthyretin Amyloid Cardiomyopathy.

Transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) has emerged as an increasingly identified etiology of heart failure. Fortunately, the disease now has an approved therapy, with many others under development. Assessment of prognosis in ATTR-CM is critical to inform patients about the disease course and guide clinical decisions. This review discusses the evidence behind clinical, biomarker, and imaging findings that inform prognosis in patients with ATTR-CM and can assist providers in the shared decision-making process during management of this disease.

Trans-radial versus trans-femoral access in patients with end-stage liver disease undergoing cardiac catheterization.

Cardiac catheterization has been increasingly utilized to evaluate coronary artery disease in patients with end stage liver disease (ESLD). It is known in other populations that radial access reduces access site complications;however, there is a paucity of data in ESLD patients. We investigated vascular and bleeding complications rates between trans-femoral and trans-radial cardiac catheterizations in this high risk population. In this retrospective cohort study, three hundred and thirty four ESLD patients were identified between August 2004 and December 2012 who had undergone trans-femoral (femoral group) or trans-radial (radial group) cardiac catheterizations at our institution. The radial group was not significantly different from the femoral group in age (p = 0.056), proportions of genders (p = 0.85), and weight (p = 0.19); however, compared to the femoral group, the radial group had significantly lower blood pressure (p < 0.0001), hemoglobin (10.4 ± 1.9 vs 11.1 ± 2.02 g/dL, p = 0.001), and hematocrit (30.3 ± 5.7% vs 32.6 ± 6.0%, p < 0.0006), and had a significantly higher INR (1.94 ± 1.16 vs 1.59 ± 0.62, p = 0.0001). In terms of vascular complications, the radial group had a significantly lower rate of pseudoaneurysms (0% vs 3.7%, p = 0.019) than the femoral group. While there were no bleeding complications in either group or differences in transfusion requirements, there was a significantly lower percentage drop in hematocrit in the radial group compared to the femoral group (5.4% vs 7.8%, p = 0.039). In conclusion, trans-radial catheterization is associated with lower rates of vascular access site complications compared to trans-femoral catheterization.

High femoral artery bifurcation predicts contralateral high bifurcation: implications for complex percutaneous cardiovascular procedures requiring large caliber and/or dual access.

Recent advances in technology have led to an increase in the use of bilateral femoral artery access and the requirement for large-bore access. Optimal access is in the common femoral artery (CFA), rather than higher (in the external iliac artery) or lower (in one of the branches of the CFA). However, there is a paucity of data in the literature about the relationship between bifurcation level of one CFA and the contralateral CFA. To define the prevalence of high bifurcation of the CFA and the relationship between bifurcation level on both sides, we performed a retrospective analysis of all patients with bilateral femoral angiography. From 4880 femoral angiograms performed at UCSF cardiac catheterization laboratory between 2005-2013, a total of 273 patients had bilateral femoral angiograms. The prevalence of low/normal, high, and very-high femoral bifurcations was 70%, 26%, and 4%, respectively, with no difference between sides. A high or very-high bifurcation significantly increased the likelihood of a high bifurcation on the contralateral side (odds ratio >3.0). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed age, gender, self-reported race, height, weight, and body mass index were not predictive of high or very-high bifurcations on either side. In conclusion, high femoral artery bifurcations are common and increase the likelihood of a high bifurcation of the contralateral femoral artery.