Efficacy and safety of pembrolizumab in metastatic urothelial carcinoma: results from KEYNOTE-045 and KEYNOTE-052 after up to 5 years of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors are a standard therapy in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC). Long-term follow-up is necessary to confirm durability of response and identify further safety concerns. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In KEYNOTE-045, patients with metastatic UC that progressed on platinum-containing chemotherapy were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive pembrolizumab or investigator's choice of paclitaxel, docetaxel, or vinflunine. Primary endpoints were progression-free survival per RECIST version 1.1 by blinded independent central review (BICR) and overall survival. In KEYNOTE-052, cisplatin-ineligible patients with metastatic UC received first-line pembrolizumab. The primary endpoint was objective response rate per RECIST version 1.1 by BICR. RESULTS: A total of 542 patients (pembrolizumab, n = 270; chemotherapy, n = 272) were randomly assigned in KEYNOTE-045. The median follow-up was 62.9 months (range 58.6-70.9 months; data cut-off 1 October 2020). At 48 months, overall survival rates were 16.7% for pembrolizumab and 10.1% for chemotherapy; progression-free survival rates were 9.5% and 2.7%, respectively. The median duration of response (DOR) was 29.7 months (range 1.6+ to 60.5+ months) for pembrolizumab and 4.4 months (range 1.4+ to 63.1+ months) for chemotherapy; 36-month DOR rates were 44.4% and 28.3%, respectively. A total of 370 patients were enrolled in KEYNOTE-052. The median follow-up was 56.3 months (range 51.2-65.3 months; data cut-off 26 September 2020). The confirmed objective response rate was 28.9% (95% confidence interval 24.3-33.8), and the median DOR was 33.4 months (range 1.4+ to 60.7+ months); the 36-month DOR rate was 44.8%. Most treatment-related adverse events for pembrolizumab in either study were grade 1 or 2 and manageable, which is consistent with prior reports. CONCLUSION: With ∼5 years of follow-up, pembrolizumab monotherapy continued to demonstrate durable efficacy with no new safety signals in patients with platinum-resistant metastatic UC and as first-line therapy in cisplatin-ineligible patients. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY AND ID: With ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02256436 (KEYNOTE-045); https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02256436 and NCT02335424 (KEYNOTE-052); https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02335424.

Randomized phase III KEYNOTE-045 trial of pembrolizumab versus paclitaxel, docetaxel, or vinflunine in recurrent advanced urothelial cancer: results of >2 years of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Novel second-line treatments are needed for patients with advanced urothelial cancer (UC). Interim analysis of the phase III KEYNOTE-045 study showed a superior overall survival (OS) benefit of pembrolizumab, a programmed death 1 inhibitor, versus chemotherapy in patients with advanced UC that progressed on platinum-based chemotherapy. Here we report the long-term safety and efficacy outcomes of KEYNOTE-045. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients with histologically/cytologically confirmed UC whose disease progressed after first-line, platinum-containing chemotherapy were enrolled. Patients were randomly assigned 1 : 1 to receive pembrolizumab [200 mg every 3 weeks (Q3W)] or investigator's choice of paclitaxel (175 mg/m2 Q3W), docetaxel (75 mg/m2 Q3W), or vinflunine (320 mg/m2 Q3W). Primary end points were OS and progression-free survival (PFS) per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, version 1.1 (RECIST v1.1) by blinded independent central radiology review (BICR). A key secondary end point was objective response rate per RECIST v1.1 by BICR. RESULTS: A total of 542 patients were enrolled (pembrolizumab, n = 270; chemotherapy, n = 272). Median follow-up as of 26 October 2017 was 27.7 months. Median 1- and 2-year OS rates were higher with pembrolizumab (44.2% and 26.9%, respectively) than chemotherapy (29.8% and 14.3%, respectively). PFS rates did not differ between treatment arms; however, 1- and 2-year PFS rates were higher with pembrolizumab. The objective response rate was also higher with pembrolizumab (21.1% versus 11.0%). Median duration of response to pembrolizumab was not reached (range 1.6+ to 30.0+ months) versus chemotherapy (4.4 months; range 1.4+ to 29.9+ months). Pembrolizumab had lower rates of any grade (62.0% versus 90.6%) and grade ≥3 (16.5% versus 50.2%) treatment-related adverse events than chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term results (>2 years' follow-up) were consistent with those of previously reported analyses, demonstrating continued clinical benefit of pembrolizumab over chemotherapy for efficacy and safety for treatment of locally advanced/metastatic, platinum-refractory UC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02256436.

An open-label, phase 2 trial of bicalutamide dose escalation from 50 mg to 150 mg in men with CAB and castration resistance. A Canadian Urology Research Consortium Study.

BACKGROUND: Bicalutamide is a widely used, relatively non-toxic anti-androgen, particularly when used in combination with androgen deprivation. In men on combined androgen blockade (CAB), the typical dose is 50 mg per day. For men receiving monotherapy with bicalutamide anti-androgen, the dose is 150 mg per day. The objective was to determine the PSA response rate to increasing bicalutamide to 150 mg per day in men who develop castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) on CAB with goserelin acetate and bicalutamide 50 mg per day. METHODS: A national, multicentre, phase 2, open-label study in men on CAB with a rising PSA>2.0. The primary end point of the trial was PSA response at 12 months, defined as a decline by 50% or more compared with baseline value. Partial response was defined as a PSA decline of 10-49%. Secondary end points were duration of PSA response, change in slope of serum PSA, change in ratio of free PSA: total PSA at 3 months, 6 months and 12 months as compared with baseline; duration of the bicalutamide withdrawal response after discontinuation; the rate of cardiovascular events; and toxicity. The study was initially planned to accrue 100 patients, but was closed early due to diminishing accrual. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients were accrued; 61 patients received trial treatment and constituted the intention-to-treat (ITT) cohort. 70% were M0. Among 59 evaluable ITT patients, 13 (22%) patients had a >50% PSA decline, 5 (8%) had a decline between 10 and 50%, 4 (7%) had stabilization and 37 (63%) had PSA progression. The median duration was 3.7 months (95% confidence interval of 0.92-6.21 months). CONCLUSION: In patients with early biochemical failure on CAB with bicalutamide 50 mg, an increase in dose to 150 mg of bicalutamide resulted in a PSA response of ⩾ 50% in 22% of patients. Toxicity was mild. Bicalutamide dose intensification may benefit a subset of patients with CRPC. We believe this relatively inexpensive approach warrants further evaluation.

Risk stratification of pT1-3N0 patients after radical cystectomy for adjuvant chemotherapy counselling.

BACKGROUND: In pT1-T3N0 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) patients, multi-modal therapy is inconsistently recommended. The aim of the study was to develop a prognostic tool to help decision-making regarding adjuvant therapy. METHODS: We included 2145 patients with pT1-3N0 UCB after radical cystectomy (RC), naive of neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy. The cohort was randomly split into development cohort based on the US patients (n=1067) and validation cohort based on the Europe patients (n=1078). Predictive accuracy was quantified using the concordance index. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 45 months, 5-year recurrence-free and cancer-specific survival estimates were 68% and 73%, respectively. pT-stage, ge, lymphovascular invasion, and positive margin were significantly associated with both disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality (P-values ≤ 0.005). The accuracies of the multivariable models at 2, 5, and 7 years for predicting disease recurrence were 67.4%, 65%, and 64.4%, respectively. Accuracies at 2, 5, and 7 years for predicting cancer-specific mortality were 69.3%, 66.4%, and 65.5%, respectively. We developed competing-risk, conditional probability nomograms. External validation revealed minor overestimation. CONCLUSION: Despite RC, a significant number of patients with pT1-3N0 UCB experience disease recurrence and ultimately die of UCB. We developed and externally validated competing-risk, conditional probability post-RC nomograms for prediction of disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality.

Long-term followup of a randomized trial of 0 versus 3 months of neoadjuvant androgen ablation before radical prostatectomy.

PURPOSE: In 1992 we initiated a national randomized prospective trial of 3 months of cyproterone acetate before radical prostatectomy compared to prostatectomy alone. Initial results indicated a 50% decrease in the rate of positive surgical margins. This decrease did not translate into a difference in prostate specific antigen (PSA) progression at 3 years. This report is on the long-term outcome (median followup 6 years) of this cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective, randomized, open label trial compared 100 mg cyproterone acetate 3 times daily for 3 months before surgery to surgery alone. Randomization occurred between January 1993 and April 1994. Patients were stratified according to clinical stage, baseline serum PSA and Gleason sum. A total of 213 patients were accrued. Biochemical progression was defined as 2 consecutive detectable PSAs (greater than 0.2 ng/ml) at least 4 weeks apart, re-treatment or death from prostate cancer. RESULTS: A total of 34 (33.6%) patients undergoing surgery only and 42 (37.5%) patients given neoadjuvant hormone therapy (NHT) had biochemical recurrence during the median followup of 6 years. Despite the significant pathological down staging in this study, there was no significant difference in number of patients with no evidence of biochemical disease (bNED) survival (p = 0.732). A bNED survival benefit favoring NHT was seen in men with a baseline PSA greater than 20 (p = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: After 6 years of followup there was no overall benefit with 3 months of NHT. Improved bNED survival was seen in the highest risk PSA group (PSA greater than 20). The possibility that high risk patients may benefit from NHT warrants further investigation.

Duration of neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy before radical prostatectomy and disease-free survival in men with prostate cancer.

There is little evidence that neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) of 3 months' duration before radical prostatectomy (RP) favorably influences disease-free survival. However, recent data suggest that prolonged treatment may improve outcome. We conducted a prospective cohort study to determine whether ADT of either standard or prolonged duration before RP influences the risk of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure. We followed 756 men treated for prostate cancer by RP between 1991 and 1998 in Quebec City. Of these, 240 received combined neoadjuvant ADT for either /=93 days (111 men), and 516 were treated by RP alone. Multivariate Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of PSA failure (>0.3 ng/mL) associated with treatment regimen controlling for age, clinical stage, grade, and initial PSA level. The median duration of follow-up was 4 years. Compared with men treated by RP alone, those who received neoadjuvant ADT for >/=93 days had an HR of PSA failure of 0.60. The inverse association with the risk of PSA failure became statistically significant from the third year on, reached its greatest magnitude after 4 years, and was still present 8 years after RP. No association was observed for ADT of

Expression of p21 predicts PSA failure in locally advanced prostate cancer treated by prostatectomy.

The management of prostate cancer is based on several clinicopathological criteria. The ability to determine the tumor's biological potential is one goal of tumor markers in order to identify patients who may require more intensive treatment strategies. The purpose of our study was to determine if p21/(WAF1/CIP1) expression can predict biochemical failure in patients with locally advanced prostate cancer treated by radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP). We used immunohistochemistry to analyze patterns of p21 expression in a population of 296 patients with locally advanced (pT3) prostate cancer treated by RRP. Results were correlated with clinicopathological parameters and time to PSA failure. For the entire cohort of 296 patients, after adjustment for prognostic factors, p21 expression was associated with an increased risk of PSA failure (relative risk [RR] = 1.48) of statistical significance at a median follow-up of 54.5 months. Other parameters that independently predicted the risk of PSA failure included lymph node metastasis and seminal vesicle involvement. Because neoadjuvant hormonal therapy (NHT) is known to lead to involutional changes in prostatic carcinoma, we performed multivariate analyses after stratifying for NHT prior to surgery. Among the 172 patients treated by RRP alone, p21 expression was an independent predictor of PSA failure (RR = 2.30), as were lymph node metastases (RR = 3.19) and pathological grade 5-7 and 8-10 (RR = 2.87 and 3.50, respectively). p21 over-expression is an independent predictor of PSA failure in pT3 patients treated by radical prostatectomy, especially if they did not receive NHT. This tumor marker may help clinicians identify patients who may require adjuvant treatment strategies following radical prostatectomy.

p53 immunohistochemistry as a prognostic marker in bladder cancer. Playground for urology scientists?

OBJECTIVES: Anomalies of the p53 tumor suppressor gene have been reported for a variety of different tumor types. Also in urothelial cancer accumulation of the P53 protein has been linked with an unfavorable prognosis of the patients. Despite the growing number of publications confusion remains because key questions regarding p53 accumulation in bladder cancer are still unanswered. The objective of this manuscript was to review all published literature on the association of p53 accumulation and prognosis of patients with bladder cancer. Furthermore, putative reasons for the conflicting results should be defined as a basis for future research. METHODS: The entry criteria for the analysis were met by 43 trials comprising 3,764 patients out of 138 publications found through Medline search. RESULTS: Comparison between the trials yielded considerable differences obviously due to technical aspects, e.g. the selection of the antibody and the use of different cut-off values, study design and patient selection. CONCLUSIONS: From this analysis it becomes evident that further retrospective investigations will not contribute to the solution of the problem and thus are obsolete. There is an obvious need for standardization of the assay procedure and the assessment of the specimens as well as for the initiation of a prospective multicenter trial to provide definite answers.

Placebo-associated remissions in a multicentre, randomized, double-blind trial of interferon gamma-1b for the treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma. The Canadian Urologic Oncology Group.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the validity of using an historical maximum spontaneous regression rate (reportedly 0-1.1% in those with lung metastases after nephrectomy) in clinical trials of treatments for patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC), as the eligibility criteria for most studies will select patients with better performance status (and thus excluding those who are unlikely to respond) and more modern staging methods would potentially reduce the number of false-positives. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A multicentre randomized,placebo-controlled, double-blind trial was recently completed in which 197 patients with metastatic RCC from 17 study centres across Canada were randomized to receive placebo or recombinant interferon gamma-1b (60 microg/m2) subcutaneously once every 7 days until disease progression. All tumour responses were validated by an independent response committee unaware of the treatment. RESULTS: The median (95% confidence interval) overall response rate (complete, CR, and partial, PR) for those on interferon-gamma was 4 (1.4-11.5)% and for those on placebo was 6 (2. 5-13.2)% (P = 0.75). In the six patients who were receiving placebo the CR and PR (three each) was considered to represent spontaneous remission. Of these six patients (aged 44-64 years) five had undergone nephrectomy, one a tumour embolization, four had clear cell carcinoma and one an adenocarcinoma, and all had regression of lung and/or lymph node metastases. CONCLUSION: The lack of efficacy of interferon-gamma in this trial underlines the importance of continued research to identify alternative therapeutic agents or combinations of agents in phase II studies. However, the threshold response rate for initiating phase III trials should be increased to 18% in the phase II trials, i.e. three times the response rate on placebo.

Lifetime occupational physical activity and incidental prostate cancer (Canada).

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to assess the risk of incidental prostate cancer associated with occupational physical activity in a population of patients treated for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) by transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP). METHODS: This case-control study was conducted in men aged 45 and over referred for TURP to relieve the symptoms of BPH in one of the eight hospitals of the Quebec City area between October 1990 and December 1992. Cases (n = 64) were all men incidentally diagnosed with prostate cancer and controls were the 546 patients with solely a histological diagnosis of BPH. At the time of their interview, the patients completed a diet history questionnaire and a general questionnaire including a lifetime occupational history. Physical activity was estimated for each job according to data from the US Department of Labor. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) of incidental prostate cancer associated with occupational physical activity while adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: A positive association was observed between "ever having a job with sedentary/light work" and incidental prostate cancer (OR = 1.9; 95% CI = 1.1-3.3). ORs for prostate cancer associated with 0%, 1-49%, and > or =50% of life spent in jobs with sedentary/light work were 1.0, 1.6 (95% CI = 0.8-3.1), and 2.5 (95% CI = 1.2-5.2), respectively (p-value for trend = 0.01). Occupational physical activity in the job held during the longest period was inversely associated with prostate cancer: ORs were 1.0, 0.5 (95% CI = 0.2-1.2), 0.4 (95% CI = 0.2-0.9) and 0.2 (95% CI = 0.1-0.7) for sedentary, light, moderate, and high/very high levels, respectively (p-value for trend = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that physical activity at work could have a beneficial effect on the occurrence of prostate cancer.

[International Prostate Symptom Scale. Evaluation of the usefulness of a French version]. / L'Echelle Internationale de Cotation des Symptômes Prostatiques. Evaluation de la réactivité d'une adaptation française.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the usefulness of a French-language version of the International Prostate Symptom Scale (I-PSS) by measuring, on this scale and on the quality of life index, the scores of patients with benign prostatic hyperplasia before and after prostate surgery. METHOD: The questionnaire was completed by 14 men, mostly between 60 and 80 years old, 24 hours before surgery and 1 month and 3 months after surgery. RESULTS: The French-language scale worked well. Scores changed from 19.1 before surgery to 7.5 3 months after surgery for prostate symptoms and from 8.5 to 4.5 for quality of life. CONCLUSION: This version of the questionnaire is a valid tool for evaluating prostate symptoms reported by French-speaking people.

Can biological markers predict recurrence and progression of superficial bladder cancer?

Biological markers that are predictive of recurrence and progression of superficial bladder tumors must provide additional information to that provided by multiplicity, size and grade. Field anomalies in normal appearing urothelium of patients with papillary superficial transitional cell carcinoma have been associated with tumor antigens and chromosome 9 deletions. Also, primary tumors with chromosome 9 deletions are associated with a higher risk of recurrence. Abnormal expression of p53, p21 and Ki-67 cell cycle markers have little predictive value for recurrence. However, p53 overexpression or mutation and decreased expression of p27 are associated with cancer progression and survival. New markers, such as mutations in the fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 gene (found in 30% of tumors), anomalies of the PTEN gene and vascular endothelial growth factor expression, may have potential and require further evaluation. Molecular fingerprints of superficial tumors with distinct clinical behavior are being rapidly unravelled. Large-scale clinical studies are urgently needed to provide supportive evidence for their incorporation in clinical management.

Reproducibility of p53 immunohistochemistry in bladder tumors. National Cancer Institute, Bladder Tumor Marker Network.

The National Cancer Institute Bladder Tumor Marker Network conducted a study to evaluate the reproducibility of immunohistochemistry for measuring p53 expression in bladder tumors. Fifty paraffin blocks (10 from each of the five network institutions) were chosen at random from among high-grade invasive primary bladder tumors. Two sections from each block were sent to each laboratory for staining and scoring, and then all sections were randomly redistributed among the laboratories for a second scoring. Intra- and interlaboratory reproducibility was assessed with regard to both staining and scoring. For overall assessments of p53 positivity, the results demonstrated that intralaboratory reproducibility was quite good. Concordance across the five participating laboratories was high for specimens exhibiting no or minimal nuclear immunostaining of tumor cells or high percentages of tumor cells with nuclear immunoreactivities. However, there was a reduced level of concordance on specimens with percentages of stained tumor cells in an intermediate range. The discordancies were due mainly to staining differences in one of the five laboratories and scoring differences in another laboratory. These results indicate that some caution must be used in comparing results across studies from different groups. Standardization of staining protocols and selection of a uniform threshold for binary interpretation of results may improve assay reproducibility between laboratories.

Tumorigenic pathways in low-stage bladder cancer based on p53, MDM2 and p21 phenotypes.

Our aim was to determine whether the pattern of expression of the interrelated proteins p53, MDM2 and p21 could shed light on the etiopathogenic mechanisms of superficial bladder tumors. Protein expression was detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) using monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) Pab 1801 for p53, IF2 for MDM2 and EA10 for p21 on 269 newly diagnosed bladder tumors (214 pTa and 55 pT1; 93 grade I, 145 grade 2 and 31 grade 3). While no p21 immunoreactivity was found in normal urothelium, 85% of tumors were strongly p21-positive. MDM2 was overexpressed in 44% of tumors, almost all being also positive for p21. p53 was overexpressed in 20% of cases: 66% of p53-positive tumors were also MDM2 positive, compared with only 38% of p53-negative tumors. p53 mutations were studied by direct DNA sequencing in a subset of 24 high-grade tumors. Both MDM2 and p21 were less frequently expressed in p53 mutated tumors compared with tumors with a wild-type gene. Distinct phenotypes were correlated with the frequency of poorly differentiated (grade 3) tumors. The most common phenotypes were p21+/MDM2-/p53- and p21+/MDM2+/p53- observed in 38% and 29% of tumors, respectively. Grade 3 tumors were found in 4% and 8% of these 2 groups, in contrast with 30% frequency in p21+/p53+ tumors (p = 0.002) regardless of their MDM2 phenotype. Four of the 5 (80%) tumors that were p53-positive but negative for p21 were grade 3. Our data suggest that several tumorigenic pathways for superficial bladder tumors can be reflected by the expression pattern of these 3 proteins.

Comparison of molecular and conventional strategies for followup of superficial bladder cancer using decision analysis.

PURPOSE: Patients with superficial bladder cancer require long-term surveillance for recurrence. We compared the cost of cystoscopy and cytology (standard care) to that of urinary markers (modified care) for patients with a history of superficial bladder cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We constructed a decision analysis model that compared the 2 strategies for a hypothetical followup interval of 3 years. Probabilities required for the decision tree were based on a cohort of 361 patients diagnosed with superficial bladder cancer from 1987 to 1997. Sensitivity analyses were used to determine whether test sensitivity and specificity would affect cost thresholds. Costs for each strategy were then applied to actual practice patterns. RESULTS: The cost of modified care ranged from $158 to $228 for each followup visit when using a urinary marker with a sensitivity and specificity of 95% and 77%, respectively. The cost of standard care was $240 for each followup visit. Based on sensitivity analyses the probability of disease recurrence and urinary marker accuracy were important determinants of expected costs. Mean number of followup assessments for patients followed more than 3 years was 4.3, 2.2 and 1.5 for years 1, 2 and 3, respectively. Cumulative costs of modified care were lower than those of standard care. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary marker testing for followup of patients with superficial bladder cancer is less expensive than the standard method of cystoscopy and urinary cytology based on our model. Future studies will be required to consider other factors that could affect the cost advantage of urinary markers, including indirect costs, the psychosocial impact of testing and different surveillance frequencies.

Use of markers in defining urothelial premalignant and malignant conditions.

Markers have revealed the presence of phenotypically abnormal areas in histologically benign urothelium in bladders containing transitional cell carcinomas. This finding strongly suggests that at least some bladder cancers are associated with changes in the field and that markers can detect these lesions before they reach a grossly malignant stage. Markers have been used clinically for the detection of cancer in patients who are under regular surveillance for recurrence of bladder cancer. Much less information is available regarding the use of markers to detect bladder cancer without a prior history of the disease and for the prediction of which tumors are biologically more aggressive. However, ongoing clinical trials are addressing the latter issue. The type of specimen and its preparation will determine what type of markers can be analyzed. Although marker performance is based upon sensitivity and specificity, the prevalence of bladder cancer in the population being tested will dramatically affect the positive predictive value of an assay. Markers with high positive predictive value are indicators for interventions, such as biopsy, while markers with high negative specific values are useful for avoiding interventions. Cytology is used to detect occult high-grade neoplasms such as carcinoma in situ. While not yet clinically validated, tests with high negative predictive value could be used to decrease the frequency of cystoscopic evaluation. Markers must be validated by testing them prospectively using previously defined cut-off values. Furthermore, markers that will be used to alter treatment should be tested prospectively to determine the safety and cost-effectiveness of this strategy. Recommendations for future work include: (1) evaluation of markers in patients with dysplasia defined by the current pathologic classification; (2) evaluation of markers as indicators of tumor recurrence; (3) evaluation of markers as indicators of tumor progression; and (4) evaluation of markers in chemoprevention studies.

Chromosome 9 deletions and recurrence of superficial bladder cancer: identification of four regions of prognostic interest.

In a previous study, loss of heterozygosity (LOH) of 28 chromosome 9 microsatellite markers was assessed on 139 Ta/T1 bladder tumors. LOH at one or more loci was detected in 67 tumors, 62 presenting subchromosomal deletions. One hundred and thirty-three of these patients have now been followed for up to 8 years. The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the potential biological significance of chromosome 9 deletions in superficial bladder tumors at initial diagnosis. High grade was associated with LOH (P=0.004). Large tumors carried more frequently 9p deletions (P=0.022). Female patients had more chromosome 9q LOH than male patients did (P=0.010). Chromosome 9 LOH at all loci was associated with an elevated risk of recurrence but four regions were associated with a particularly high risk of recurrence. Multivariate analysis taking into account grade, stage, size and number of tumors showed that tumors deleted in the regions 9ptr-p22, 9q22.3, 9q33, and 9q34 recurred significantly more rapidly than those without deletions (Recurrence rate ratio=2.32, 2.53, 2.52 and 2.43 respectively). Log-rank statistics comparing Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the same chromosomal regions confirmed the correlation (P=0.0002, 0.010, 0.002 and 0.009 respectively). Only four patients progressed to muscle-invasive disease. They all had extensive deletions on 9q but none had deletions at 9ptr-p22. This study suggests a link between chromosome 9 anomalies and recurrence of superficial bladder cancer.

P53 point mutations in initial superficial bladder cancer occur only in tumors from current or recent cigarette smokers.

Sequencing of p53 exons 5-8 was carried out on 51 initial superficial bladder tumors selected on the basis of high grade and/or p53 overexpression (immunohistochemistry without antigen retrieval). Fourteen point mutations in 13 tumors and one 21 bp deletion in another tumor were identified. In addition, a germ-line mutation corresponding to a previously described polymorphism was detected in exon 6, in two tumors. Mostly G-->A transitions (10) were found. Only three occurred at CpG sites, suggesting a major role for exogenous carcinogens in bladder tumorigenesis. Immunostaining for p53 and MDM2, using antigen retrieval, was carried out on the same tumors. A correlation was found between the percentage of p53-positive cells and the presence of p53 mutations (P = 0.005). No correlation was found between overexpression of p53 and MDM2 in this selected cohort of mostly high grade tumors. The presence of p53 mutations was also analyzed as a function of the smoking habits of the patients. A significant association was found between the presence of p53 point mutations and the number of years of smoking (P = 0.043). All patients with tumors carrying missense or nonsense p53 mutations had smoked for >/=30 years and if former smokers, had stopped for

Neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before radical prostatectomy and risk of prostate specific antigen failure.

PURPOSE: To date there is little information on the long-term effect of neoadjuvant hormonal therapy on prostate cancer progression. We performed a prospective study to determine whether patients with prostate cancer receiving neoadjuvant hormonal therapy before radical prostatectomy (hormonal therapy group) have a lower risk of prostate specific antigen (PSA) failure than those treated with radical prostatectomy alone (prostatectomy group). We also evaluated whether type of neoadjuvant hormonal therapy and duration were associated with the risk of PSA failure. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We followed 680 men initially treated for prostate cancer with radical prostatectomy between January 1988 and December 1997 at our university hospital. Of the patients 292 received neoadjuvant hormonal therapy. Median followup was 38 months. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association between neoadjuvant hormonal therapy and PSA failure (greater than 0.3 ng./ml.) controlling for age, clinical stage, grade, initial PSA and adjuvant therapies. RESULTS: Surgical margins were positive less often in the hormonal therapy (25%) than the prostatectomy (47%) group (p = 0.0001). PSA failure was observed in 163 patients and the 5-year failure rate was 33%. No difference in risk of PSA failure was observed overall between the hormonal therapy and prostatectomy groups (hazards ratio 0.94, 95% confidence interval 0.68 to 1.30). Treatments with antiandrogen alone for any duration, and those combining antiandrogen and luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone analogue for 3 months or less were not associated with improved survival. However, patients receiving combined therapy for more than 3 months had a significantly lower risk of PSA failure than those treated with radical prostatectomy alone (hazards ratio 0.52, 95% confidence interval 0.29 to 0.93). CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged neoadjuvant hormonal therapy combining antiandrogen and luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone analogue may improve disease-free survival after radical prostatectomy.