RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Glomerular Research And Clinical Experiments-IgA Nephropathy in Indians (GRACE-IgANI) is the first prospective South Asian IgA nephropathy (IgAN) cohort with prespecified objectives, protocolized longitudinal follow-up, and extensive biosample collection. The baseline risk scores predicted high risk of kidney disease progression. METHODS: A total of 195 of 201 patients (97%) completed 3-year follow-up in September 2020. All patients received optimized supportive care, and those at high risk of progression were offered systemic corticosteroids. RESULTS: A total of 76 patients (76 of 193, 39.4%) had rapid progression in 3 years (≥5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] per year). A total of 72 patients (72 of 195, 36.9%) experienced the composite outcome (CO), defined as ≥50% fall in eGFR, eGFR < 15 ml/min per 1.73 m2, commenced kidney replacement therapy or death, in 3 years. At each scheduled follow-up, achievement of proteinuria level < 1 g/d significantly delayed the time to the CO. The receiver operating characteristic curve of average annual decline in eGFR ≥ 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 had 86% sensitivity and 89% specificity for CO in 3 years and had good discrimination from 1 year onwards (area under the curve 0.8, SE 0.04, 95% CI 0.7-0.9, P < 0.0001). The significant predictors of CO by Cox proportional-hazards model were as follows: baseline MEST-T2 score (hazard ratio [HR] 3.3, 95% CI 1.7-6.5, P < 0.001), along with 24-hour urine protein level ≥ 1 g/d (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-3.9, P = 0.02), eGFR < 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.1-7.6, P = 0.03), and rate of eGFR decline ≥ 5 ml/min per 1.73 m2/yr (HR 2.7, 95% CI 1.6-4.8, P < 0.001) all measured at 6 months. Mortality was 11 of 195 (5.6%). CONCLUSION: We identified longitudinal clinical variables measured at 6 months and ≥5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 annual fall in eGFR after kidney biopsy as important predictors for composite outcome in addition to baseline histology.
RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Glomerular Research And Clinical Experiments-IgA Nephropathy in Indians (GRACE-IgANI) is the first prospective South Asian IgAN cohort with protocolized follow-up and extensive biosample collection. Here we report the baseline clinical, biochemical, and histopathologic characteristics of GRACE IgANI and calculate baseline risk of progression for the cohort. METHODS: 201 incident adults with kidney biopsy-proven primary IgAN were recruited into GRACE-IgANI between March 2015 and September 2017. As of April 30, 2020, the cohort had completed a median follow-up of 30 months (interquartile range [IQR] 16-39). RESULTS: The commonest clinical presentation in GRACE IgANI was hypertension, with or without proteinuria, and nephrotic-range proteinuria was present in 34%, despite <10 months of lead time to kidney biopsy. The GRACE-IgANI kidney biopsy data demonstrated a disproportionate absence of active glomerular lesions and overrepresentation of segmental sclerosing lesions and tubulointerstitial fibrosis at presentation, often coexistent with relatively well-preserved estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and low levels of proteinuria, especially in males. Baseline risk of progression was calculated for each evaluable patient using 2 different risk prediction tools. The median 5-year absolute risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) was 19.8% (IQR 2.7-57.4) and median 5-year risk of progression to the combined endpoint of 50% decline in eGFR or ESKD was 35.5% using the 2 tools. CONCLUSIONS: The predicted risk of progression in this cohort was considerable. Over the next 5 years, we will dissect the pathogenic pathways that underlie this severe South Asian IgAN phenotype.
