Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms: a systematic review and prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The management of chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms includes conservative management, watchful waiting, endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) study investigates timing and intervention choice. OBJECTIVE: To describe pre- and post-intervention management of and outcomes for chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms. DESIGN: A systematic review of intervention effects; a Delphi study of 360 case scenarios based on aneurysm size, location, age, operative risk and connective tissue disorders; and a prospective cohort study of growth, clinical outcomes, costs and quality of life. SETTING: Thirty NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged > 17 years who had existing or new aneurysms of ≥ 4 cm in diameter in the arch, descending or thoracoabdominal aorta. INTERVENTIONS: Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement. MAIN OUTCOMES: Pre-intervention aneurysm growth, pre-/post-intervention survival, clinical events, readmissions and quality of life; and descriptive statistics for costs and quality-adjusted life-years over 12 months and value of information using a propensity score-matched subsample. RESULTS: The review identified five comparative cohort studies (endovascular stent grafting patients, n = 3955; open surgical replacement patients, n = 21,197). Pooled short-term all-cause mortality favoured endovascular stent grafting (odds ratio 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.51 to 0.98; no heterogeneity). Data on survival beyond 30 days were mixed. Fewer short-term complications were reported with endovascular stent grafting. The Delphi study included 20 experts (13 centres). For patients with aneurysms of ≤ 6.0 cm in diameter, watchful waiting was preferred. For patients with aneurysms of > 6.0 cm, open surgical replacement was preferred in the arch, except for elderly or high-risk patients, and in the descending aorta if patients had connective tissue disorders. Otherwise endovascular stent grafting was preferred. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited (watchful waiting, n = 489; conservative management, n = 112; endovascular stent grafting, n = 150; open surgical replacement, n = 135). Pre-intervention death rate was 8.6% per patient-year; 49.6% of deaths were aneurysm related. Death rates were higher for women (hazard ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.57; p = 0.001) and older patients (age 61-70 years: hazard ratio 2.50, 95% confidence interval 0.76 to 5.43; age 71-80 years: hazard ratio 3.49, 95% confidence interval 1.26 to 9.66; age > 80 years: hazard ratio 7.01, 95% confidence interval 2.50 to 19.62; all compared with age < 60 years, p < 0.001) and per 1-cm increase in diameter (hazard ratio 1.90, 95% confidence interval 1.65 to 2.18; p = 0.001). The results were similar for aneurysm-related deaths. Decline per year in quality of life was greater for older patients (additional change -0.013 per decade increase in age, 95% confidence interval -0.019 to -0.007; p < 0.001) and smokers (additional change for ex-smokers compared with non-smokers 0.003, 95% confidence interval -0.026 to 0.032; additional change for current smokers compared with non-smokers -0.034, 95% confidence interval -0.057 to -0.01; p = 0.004). At the time of intervention, endovascular stent grafting patients were older (age difference 7.1 years; 95% confidence interval 4.7 to 9.5 years; p < 0.001) and more likely to be smokers (75.8% vs. 66.4%; p = 0.080), have valve disease (89.9% vs. 71.6%; p < 0.0001), have chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (21.3% vs. 13.3%; p = 0.087), be at New York Heart Association stage III/IV (22.3% vs. 16.0%; p = 0.217), have lower levels of haemoglobin (difference -6.8 g/l, 95% confidence interval -11.2 to -2.4 g/l; p = 0.003) and take statins (69.3% vs. 42.2%; p < 0.0001). Ten (6.7%) endovascular stent grafting and 15 (11.1%) open surgical replacement patients died within 30 days of the procedure (p = 0.2107). One-year overall survival was 82.5% (95% confidence interval 75.2% to 87.8%) after endovascular stent grafting and 79.3% (95% confidence interval 71.1% to 85.4%) after open surgical replacement. Variables affecting survival were aneurysm site, age, New York Heart Association stage and time waiting for procedure. For endovascular stent grafting, utility decreased slightly, by -0.017 (95% confidence interval -0.062 to 0.027), in the first 6 weeks. For open surgical replacement, there was a substantial decrease of -0.160 (95% confidence interval -0.199 to -0.121; p < 0.001) up to 6 weeks after the procedure. Over 12 months endovascular stent grafting was less costly, with higher quality-adjusted life-years. Formal economic analysis was unfeasible. LIMITATIONS: The study was limited by small numbers of patients receiving interventions and because only 53% of patients were suitable for both interventions. CONCLUSIONS: Small (4-6 cm) aneurysms require close observation. Larger (> 6 cm) aneurysms require intervention without delay. Endovascular stent grafting and open surgical replacement were successful for carefully selected patients, but cost comparisons were unfeasible. The choice of intervention is well established, but the timing of intervention remains challenging. FUTURE WORK: Further research should include an analysis of the risk factors for growth/rupture and long-term outcomes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN04044627 and NCT02010892. FUNDING: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 26, No. 6. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

The aorta is the main artery that carries oxygen-rich blood from the heart to the body. An aneurysm is a swelling or bulging in a blood vessel, which usually occurs where the wall has become weak and has lost its elastic properties, which means that it does not return to its normal shape after the blood has passed through. A thoracic aortic aneurysm, or TAA for short, is an aneurysm in the section of the aorta in the chest (www.bhf.org.uk/informationsupport/conditions/thoracic-aortic-aneurysms). The Effective Treatments for Thoracic Aortic Aneurysms (ETTAA) study aimed to investigate aneurysm growth rates, patient outcomes, quality of life and costs, including those from surgery. Surgical treatments include open heart surgery, in which the section of the aorta that contains the aneurysm is removed and replaced by a new aorta made from a synthetic material, and stent grafting, in which tubes are inserted into arteries to allow blood to flow freely, using less invasive 'keyhole' surgery. The existing research evidence was reviewed, but data comparing the effectiveness of these two approaches were sparse or of limited quality, and outdated. Between 2014 and 2018, clinical experts were surveyed and 886 NHS patients with chronic thoracic aortic aneurysms (≥ 4 cm in diameter) were observed to monitor aneurysm growth and patient outcomes. If patients were unfit or unwilling to have surgery, they had conservative management with medication and lifestyle changes. For small aneurysms, experts recommended watchful waiting, with regular monitoring, until the aneurysm grew to about 6 cm in diameter. Open surgery was preferred for larger arch aneurysms and for descending aneurysms in patients with genetic disorders. Otherwise, stent grafting was preferred. The observational study recruited 321 women and 565 men with an average age of 71 years from 30 English hospitals. A total of 489 patients underwent watchful waiting and 112 received conservative management. Without surgery, death rates were higher for women and older patients, while the risk of dying doubled for each centimetre of aneurysm diameter at baseline. Of the remaining patients, 150 underwent stent grafting and 135 had open surgery. One-year overall survival was 83% after stent grafting and 79% after open surgery but the difference could be due to chance. The factors affecting survival after stent grafting or open surgery were aneurysm location, age, breathlessness and time waiting for a procedure. Small aneurysms are low risk, so blood pressure management and smoking cessation are recommended. For larger aneurysms, it is important that surgery is not delayed, as a longer waiting time to surgery means that outcomes are poorer. Only about half of patients who had surgery were considered suitable for both stent grafting and open surgery, which limited the ability to determine the best use of NHS resources. No comparative cost-effectiveness analysis was feasible. The main cost in a stent grafting procedure was the stent graft, and the main cost in an open surgery procedure was days in an intensive care unit.

Aneurysm growth, survival, and quality of life in untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms: the effective treatments for thoracic aortic aneurysms study.

AIMS: To observe, describe, and evaluate management and timing of intervention for patients with untreated thoracic aortic aneurysms. METHODS AND RESULTS: Prospective study of UK National Health Service (NHS) patients aged ≥18 years, with new/existing arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms of ≥4 cm diameter, followed up until death, intervention, withdrawal, or July 2019. Outcomes were aneurysm growth, survival, quality of life (using the EQ-5D-5L utility index), and hospital admissions. Between 2014 and 2018, 886 patients were recruited from 30 NHS vascular/cardiothoracic units. Maximum aneurysm diameter was in the descending aorta in 725 (82%) patients, growing at 0.2 cm (0.17-0.24) per year. Aneurysms of ≥4 cm in the arch increased by 0.07 cm (0.02-0.12) per year. Baseline diameter was related to age and comorbidities, and no clinical correlates of growth were found. During follow-up, 129 patients died, 64 from aneurysm-related events. Adjusting for age, sex, and New York Heart Association dyspnoea index, risk of death increased with aneurysm size at baseline [hazard ratio (HR): 1.88 (95% confidence interval: 1.64-2.16) per cm, P < 0.001] and with growth [HR: 2.02 (1.70-2.41) per cm, P < 0.001]. Hospital admissions increased with aneurysm size [relative risk: 1.21 (1.05-1.38) per cm, P = 0.008]. Quality of life decreased annually for each 10-year increase in age [-0.013 (-0.019 to -0.007), P < 0.001] and for current smoking [-0.043 (-0.064 to -0.023), P = 0.004]. Aneurysm size was not associated with change in quality of life. CONCLUSION: International guidelines should consider increasing monitoring intervals to 12 months for small aneurysms and increasing intervention thresholds. Individualized decisions about surveillance/intervention should consider age, sex, size, growth, patient characteristics, and surgical risk.

Systematic review of endovascular stent grafting versus open surgical repair for the elective treatment of arch/descending thoracic aortic aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: To review comparisons of the effectiveness of endovascular stent grafting (ESG) against open surgical repair (OSR) for treatment of chronic arch or descending thoracic aortic aneurysms (TAA). DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, WHO International Clinical Trials Routine data collection, current controlled trials, clinical trials and the NIHR portfolio were searched from January 1994 to March 2020. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTIVE STUDIES: All identified studies that compared ESG and OSR, including randomised controlled trials (RCTs), quasi-randomised and non-RCTs, comparative cohort studies and case-control studies matched on main outcomes were sought. Participants had to receive elective treatments for arch/descending (TAA). Studies were excluded where other thoracic aortic conditions (eg, rupture or dissection) were reported, unless results for patients receiving elective treatment for arch/descending TAA reported separately. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Data were extracted by one reviewer and checked by another. Risk of Bias was assessed using the ROBINS-I tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using random effects. Where meta-analysis not appropriate, results were reported narratively. RESULTS: Five comparative cohort studies met inclusion criteria, reporting 3955 ESG and 21 197 OSR patients. Meta-analysis of unadjusted short-term (30 day) all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.75; 95% CI 0.55 to 1.03)). Heterogeneity identified between larger and smaller studies. Sensitivity analysis of four studies including only descending TAA showed no statistical significance (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.45 to 1.18)), moderate heterogeneity. Meta-analysis of adjusted short-term all-cause mortality favoured ESG (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.98)), no heterogeneity. Longer-term (beyond 30 days) survival from all-cause mortality favoured OSR in larger studies and ESG in smaller studies. Freedom from reintervention in the longer-term favoured OSR. Studies reporting short-term non-fatal complications suggest fewer events following ESG. CONCLUSIONS: There is limited and increasingly dated evidence on the comparison of ESG and OSR for treatment of arch/descending TAA. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42017054565.

MesoTRAP: a feasibility study that includes a pilot clinical trial comparing video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy decortication with indwelling pleural catheter in patients with trapped lung due to malignant pleural mesothelioma designed to address recruitment and randomisation uncertainties and sample size requirements for a phase III trial.

Introduction: One of the most debilitating symptoms of malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is dyspnoea caused by pleural effusion. MPM can be complicated by the presence of tumour on the visceral pleura preventing the lung from re-expanding, known as trapped lung (TL). There is currently no consensus on the best way to manage TL. One approach is insertion of an indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) under local anaesthesia. Another is video-assisted thoracoscopic partial pleurectomy/decortication (VAT-PD). Performed under general anaesthesia, VAT-PD permits surgical removal of the rind of tumour from the visceral pleura thereby allowing the lung to fully re-expand. Methods and analysis: MesoTRAP is a feasibility study that includes a pilot multicentre, randomised controlled clinical trial comparing VAT-PD with IPC in patients with TL and pleural effusion due to MPM. The primary objective is to measure the SD of visual analogue scale scores for dyspnoea following randomisation and examine the patterns of change over time in each treatment group. Secondary objectives include documenting survival and adverse events, estimating the incidence and prevalence of TL in patients with MPM, examining completion of alternative forms of data capture for economic evaluation and determining the ability to randomise 38 patients in 18 months. Ethics and dissemination: This study was approved by the East of England-Cambridge Central Research Ethics Committee and the Health Research Authority (reference number 16/EE/0370). We aim to publish the outputs of this work in international peer-reviewed journals compliant with an Open Access policy. Trial registration: NCT03412357.

Mini-Stern Trial: A randomized trial comparing mini-sternotomy to full median sternotomy for aortic valve replacement.

OBJECTIVE: Aortic valve replacement (AVR) can be performed either through full median sternotomy (FS) or upper mini-sternotomy (MS). The Mini-Stern trial aimed to establish whether MS leads to quicker postoperative recovery and shorter hospital stay after first-time isolated AVR. METHODS: This pragmatic, open-label, parallel randomized controlled trial (RCT) compared MS with FS for first-time isolated AVR in 2 United Kingdom National Health Service hospitals. Primary endpoints were duration of postoperative hospital stay and the time to fitness for discharge from hospital after AVR, analyzed in the intent-to-treat population. RESULTS: In this RCT, 222 patients were recruited and randomized (n = 118 in the MS group; n = 104 in the FS group). Compared with the FS group, the MS group had a longer hospital length of stay (mean, 9.5 days vs 8.6 days) and took longer to achieve fitness for discharge home (mean, 8.5 days vs 7.5 days). Adjusting for valve type, sex, and surgeon, hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox models did not show a statistically significant effect of MS (relative to FS) on either hospital stay (HR, 0.874; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.668-1.143; P = .3246) or time to fitness for discharge (HR, 0.907; 95% CI, 0.688-1.197; P value = .4914). During a mean follow-up of 760 days (745 days for the MS group and 777 days for the FS group), 12 patients (10%) in the MS group and 7 patients (7%) in the FS group died (HR, 1.871; 95% CI, 0.723-4.844; P = .1966). Average extra cost for MS was £1714 during the first 12 months after AVR. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with FS for AVR, MS did not result in shorter hospital stay, faster recovery, or improved survival and was not cost-effective. The MS approach is not superior to FS for performing AVR.

Histologic analysis of the right atrioventricular junction in the adult human heart.

BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: The human tricuspid valve is conventionally thought to have a fibrous annulus in the septal region. The study aim was to conduct morphological and histological analyses of the right atrioventricular junction (RAVJ), in particular to investigate the fibrous/collagenous content of this structure in the adult human heart. METHODS: Twelve human hearts from patients who died after cardiac surgery and underwent autopsy were included in the study. Rigid exclusion criteria were practiced to ensure that the hearts studied were not subject to ventricular dilatation or hypertrophy prior to surgery, or had undergone valvular surgery. Gross examination of the RAVJ was performed and the entire circumference of the RAVJ sectioned longitudinally at 5 mm intervals; the tissues were then fixed in 10% neutral buffered formalin for 24 h. All sections were then stained with hematoxylin and eosin and elastic van Geison stains. RESULTS: There were no significant amounts of fibrous or collagenous structures along the free wall segment of the RAVJ. Muscular bars, measuring about 2-4 mm in diameter, were seen to run between the wall of the right ventricle and the RAVJ on its ventricular aspect. The relationship between the base of the tricuspid valve leaflet to the right atrial and right ventricular muscle head varied significantly within, and between, hearts. CONCLUSION: While the septal aspect of the RAVJ has scant fibrous tissue, the majority of its free wall segment is devoid of fibrous tissue. Right ventricular muscle bridges are inserted into the RAVJ, the functional significance of which, both in normal hearts and in the pathogenesis of functional tricuspid regurgitation, requires further investigation.

Occupational practices and the making of health news: a national survey of US Health and medical science journalists.

News media coverage of health topics can frame and heighten the salience of health-related issues, thus influencing the public's beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors. Through their routine coverage of scientific developments, news media are a critical intermediary in translating research for the public, patients, practitioners, and policymakers. Until now, little was known about how health and medical science reporters and editors initiate, prioritize, and develop news stories related to health and medicine. We surveyed 468 reporters and editors representing 463 local and national broadcast and print media outlets to characterize individual characteristics and occupational practices leading to the development of health and medical science news. Our survey revealed that 70% of respondents had bachelor's degrees; 8% were life sciences majors in college. Minorities are underrepresented in health journalism; 97% of respondents were non-Hispanic and 93% were White. Overall, initial ideas for stories come from a "news source" followed by press conferences or press releases. Regarding newsworthiness criteria, the "potential for public impact" and "new information or development" are the major criteria cited, followed by "ability to provide a human angle" and "ability to provide a local angle." Significant differences were seen between responses from reporters vs. editors and print vs. broadcast outlets.

A study to assess changes in myocardial perfusion after treatment with spinal cord stimulation and percutaneous myocardial laser revascularisation; data from a randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: Spinal cord stimulation (SCS) and percutaneous myocardial laser revascularisation (PMR) are treatment modalities used to treat refractory angina pectoris, with the major aim of such treatment being the relief of disabling symptoms. This study compared the change in myocardial perfusion following SCS and PMR treatment. METHODS: Subjects with Canadian Cardiovascular Society class 3/4 angina and reversible perfusion defects as assessed by single-photon emission computed tomographic myocardial perfusion scintigraphy were randomised to SCS (34) or PMR (34). Twenty-eight subjects in each group underwent repeat myocardial perfusion imaging 12 months post intervention. Visual scoring of perfusion images was performed using a 20-segment model and a scale of 0 to 4. RESULTS: The mean (standard deviation) baseline summed rest score (SRS) and stress scores (SSS) were 4.6 (5.7) and 13.6 (9.0) in the PMR group and 6.1 (7.4) and 16.8 (11.6) in the SCS group. At 12 months, SRS was 5.5 (6.0) and SSS 15.3 (11.3) in the PMR group and 6.9 (8.2) and 15.1 (10.9) in the SCS group. There was no significant difference between the two treatment groups adjusted for baseline (p = 1.0 for SRS, p = 0.29 for SSS). CONCLUSION: There was no significant difference in myocardial perfusion one year post treatment with SCS or PMR.

Evaluation of the clinical effectiveness of the Ventricular Assist Device Program in the United Kingdom (EVAD UK).

BACKGROUND: The UK Government funds ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation as bridge to transplantation (BTT) at three centers. Results from this program have not been published. METHODS: All 70 VAD implants for BTT, 71 inotrope-dependent and 179 non-VAD transplant candidates, accepted for transplantation between April 2002 and December 2004, were prospectively monitored for survival to transplantation, survival overall and quality of life. RESULTS: Of the 70 VAD patients, 31 (44%) survived to heart transplantation, 4 (6%) were bridged to recovery and 5 remained on support at the end of the study. Thirty patients (43%) died while on support. Overall survival from VAD implant was 52% at 1 year. Ten percent of non-VAD inotrope-dependent patients and 9% of routine transplant candidates died while on the waiting list. For transplant recipients, 12-month post-operative survival was 84%, 85% and 84%, respectively, for VAD, inotrope-dependent and routine transplant candidates. VAD and non-VAD patients had similar post-transplant adverse event rates. CONCLUSIONS: There was a role for VAD bridge to transplant for selected patients in the UK, despite the availability of an effective urgent transplant list. VAD patients who underwent transplantation had survival rates similar to other transplant candidates.

Cost-effectiveness of ventricular assist device use in the United Kingdom: results from the evaluation of ventricular assist device programme in the UK (EVAD-UK).

BACKGROUND: The UK Department of Health funds ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation as a bridge to transplantation (BTT) at three centers. The cost-effectiveness of this program has not been established. METHODS: All 70 VAD implants for BTT and a consecutive cohort of 71 inotrope-dependent transplant candidates, between April 2002 and December 2004, were prospectively monitored for survival, transplantation, quality of life and resource use. Costs and quality-adjusted life-years were estimated for these groups, and for a hypothetical scenario in which VAD patients would die within 30 days in the absence of the program. RESULTS: Mean quality-adjusted life-years for a VAD patient was 3.27 at a lifetime cost of 173,841 pounds (316,078 US dollars). The majority of the cost was attributable to the VAD implant (63,830 pounds, 116,056 US dollars) and the initial hospital stay in the ITU and ward (14,500 pounds, 26,364 US dollars). Inotrope-dependent transplant candidates had mean quality-adjusted life-years of 4.99 at a lifetime cost of 130,905 pounds (238,011 US dollars). The worst clinical scenario resulted in a lifetime cost of 14,400 pounds (26,182 US dollars), based on 1 month in the ICU (mean 15 days). These figures were robust to a range of plausible assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: A lifetime model based on current UK practice demonstrates that BTT VAD patients had significant quality-adjusted life-years, but treatment was expensive when compared with the worst clinical scenario. If device technology improves, costs are reduced, or referral practice changes, results should be re-assessed.

An open label, single-centre, randomized trial of spinal cord stimulation vs. percutaneous myocardial laser revascularization in patients with refractory angina pectoris: the SPiRiT trial.

AIMS: Refractory angina pectoris leads to significant morbidity. Treatment options include percutaneous myocardial laser revascularization (PMR) and spinal cord stimulation (SCS). This study was designed to compare these two treatments. METHODS AND RESULTS: Subjects with Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) class 3/4 angina and reversible perfusion defects were randomized to SCS (34) or PMR (34). The primary outcome was to compare exercise treadmill time on a modified Bruce protocol over 12 months. Thirty subjects in both groups completed 12-month follow-up. The mean total exercise time was 6.38 +/- 3.45 min in the SCS group and 7.41+/-3.68 min in the PMR group at baseline and 7.08 +/- 0.67 min in the SCS group and 7.12 +/-0.71 min in the PMR group at 12 months (95% confidence limits for the difference between the groups -1.02 to + 2.2 min, P = 0.466). There were no differences in angina-free exercise capacity, CCS class, and quality of life between treatments. SCS patients had more adverse events in the first 12 months, mainly angina or SCS system related (P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: There was little evidence of a difference in effectiveness between SCS and PMR in patients with refractory angina.

Attrition and bias in the MRC cognitive function and ageing study: an epidemiological investigation.

BACKGROUND: Any hypothesis in longitudinal studies may be affected by attrition and poor response rates. The MRC Cognitive Function and Ageing study (MRC CFAS) is a population based longitudinal study in five centres with identical methodology in England and Wales each recruiting approximately 2,500 individuals. This paper aims to identify potential biases in the two-year follow-up interviews. METHODS: Initial non-response: Those not in the baseline interviews were compared in terms of mortality to those who were in the baseline interviews at the time of the second wave interviews (1993-1996). Longitudinal attrition: Logistic regression analysis was used to examine baseline differences between individuals who took part in the two-year longitudinal wave compared with those who did not. RESULTS: Initial non-response: Individuals who moved away after sampling but before baseline interview were 1.8 times more likely to die by two years (95% Confidence interval(CI) 1.3-2.4) compared to respondents, after adjusting for age. The refusers had a slightly higher, but similar mortality pattern to responders (Odds ratio 1.2, 95%CI 1.1-1.4). Longitudinal attrition: Predictors for drop out due to death were being older, male, having impaired activities of daily living, poor self-perceived health, poor cognitive ability and smoking. Similarly individuals who refused were more likely to have poor cognitive ability, but had less years of full-time education and were more often living in their own home though less likely to be living alone. There was a higher refusal rate in the rural centres. Individuals who moved away or were uncontactable were more likely to be single, smokers, demented or depressed and were less likely to have moved if in warden-controlled accommodation at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal estimation of factors mentioned above could be biased, particularly cognitive ability and estimates of movements from own home to residential homes. However, these differences could also affect other investigations, particularly the estimates of incidence and longitudinal effects of health and psychiatric diseases, where the factors shown here to be associated with attrition are risk factors for the diseases. All longitudinal studies should investigate attrition and this may help with aspects of design and with the analysis of specific hypotheses.

Going round in circles.

With today's fast-paced focus on quality, does anyone actually have time to stop the merry-go-round and assess exactly where it is they are going, what they want to achieve and whether they are being successful or not?