A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype.

Background: Occult atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the major causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Knowing the underlying etiology of an ESUS will reduce stroke recurrence and/or unnecessary use of anticoagulants. Understanding cardioembolic strokes (CES), whose main cause is AF, will provide tools to select patients who would benefit from anticoagulants among those with ESUS or AF. We aimed to discover novel loci associated with CES and create a polygenetic risk score (PRS) for a more efficient CES risk stratification. Methods: Multitrait analysis of GWAS (MTAG) was performed with MEGASTROKE-CES cohort (n = 362,661) and AF cohort (n = 1,030,836). We considered significant variants and replicated those variants with MTAG p-value < 5 × 10-8 influencing both traits (GWAS-pairwise) with a p-value < 0.05 in the original GWAS and in an independent cohort (n = 9,105). The PRS was created with PRSice-2 and evaluated in the independent cohort. Results: We found and replicated eleven loci associated with CES. Eight were novel loci. Seven of them had been previously associated with AF, namely, CAV1, ESR2, GORAB, IGF1R, NEURL1, WIPF1, and ZEB2. KIAA1755 locus had never been associated with CES/AF, leading its index variant to a missense change (R1045W). The PRS generated has been significantly associated with CES improving discrimination and patient reclassification of a model with age, sex, and hypertension. Conclusion: The loci found significantly associated with CES in the MTAG, together with the creation of a PRS that improves the predictive clinical models of CES, might help guide future clinical trials of anticoagulant therapy in patients with ESUS or AF.

Validation of a clinical-genetics score to predict hemorrhagic transformations after rtPA.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the Genot-PA score, a clinical-genetic logistic regression score that stratifies the thrombolytic therapy safety, in a new cohort of patients with stroke. METHODS: We enrolled 1,482 recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA)-treated patients with stroke in Spain and Finland from 2003 to 2016. Cohorts were analyzed on the basis of ethnicity and therapy: Spanish patients treated with IV rtPA within 4.5 hours of onset (cohort A and B) or rtPA in combination with mechanical thrombectomy within 6 hours of onset (cohort C) and Finnish participants treated with IV rtPA within 4.5 hours of onset (cohort D). The Genot-PA score was calculated, and hemorrhagic transformation (HT) and parenchymal hematoma (PH) risks were determined for each score stratum. RESULTS: Genot-PA score was tested in 1,324 (cohort A, n = 726; B, n = 334; C, n = 54; and D, n = 210) patients who had enough information to complete the score. Of these, 213 (16.1%) participants developed HT and 85 (6.4%) developed PH. In cohorts A, B, and D, HT occurrence was predicted by the score (p = 2.02 × 10-6, p = 0.023, p = 0.033); PH prediction was associated in cohorts A through C (p = 0.012, p = 0.034, p = 5.32 × 10-4). Increased frequency of PH events from the lowest to the highest risk group was found (cohort A 4%-15.7%, cohort B 1.5%-18.2%, cohort C 0%-100%). The best odds ratio for PH prediction in the highest-risk group was obtained in cohort A (odds ratio 5.16, 95% confidence interval 1.46-18.08, p = 0.009). CONCLUSION: The Genot-PA score predicts HT in patients with stroke treated with IV rtPA. Moreover, in an exploratory study, the score was associated with PH risk in mechanical thrombectomy-treated patients.

MRI predicts intracranial hemorrhage in patients who receive long-term oral anticoagulation.

OBJECTIVE: We tested the hypothesis that the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with cardioembolic ischemic stroke who are treated with oral anticoagulants (OAs) can be predicted by evaluating surrogate markers of hemorrhagic-prone cerebral angiopathies using a baseline MRI. METHODS: Patients were participants in a multicenter and prospective observational study. They were older than 64 years, had a recent cardioembolic ischemic stroke, and were new users of OAs. They underwent a baseline MRI analysis to evaluate microbleeds, white matter hyperintensities, and cortical superficial siderosis. We collected demographic variables, clinical characteristics, risk scores, and therapeutic data. The primary endpoint was ICH that occurred during follow-up. We performed bivariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: We recruited 937 patients (aged 77.6 ± 6.5 years; 47.9% were men). Microbleeds were detected in 207 patients (22.5%), moderate/severe white matter hyperintensities in 419 (45.1%), and superficial siderosis in 28 patients (3%). After a mean follow-up of 23.1 ± 6.8 months, 18 patients (1.9%) experienced an ICH. In multivariable analysis, microbleeds (hazard ratio 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-7, p = 0.034) and moderate/severe white matter hyperintensities (hazard ratio 5.7, 95% CI 1.6-20, p = 0.006) were associated with ICH (C index 0.76, 95% CI 0.66-0.85). Rate of ICH was highest in patients with both microbleed and moderate/severe WMH (3.76 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 1.62-7.4). CONCLUSION: Patients taking OAs who have advanced cerebral small vessel disease, evidenced by microbleeds and moderate to severe white matter hyperintensities, had an increased risk of ICH. Our results should help to determine the risk of prescribing OA for a patient with cardioembolic stroke. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: NCT02238470.

Statins do not increase Markers of Cerebral Angiopathies in patients with Cardioembolic Stroke.

We investigated whether pre-treatment with statins is associated with surrogate markers of amyloid and hypertensive angiopathies in patients who need to start long-term oral anticoagulation therapy. A prospective multicenter study of patients naive for oral anticoagulants, who had an acute cardioembolic stroke. MRI was performed at admission to evaluate microbleeds, leukoaraiosis and superficial siderosis. We collected data on the specific statin compound, the dose and the statin intensity. We performed bivariate analyses and a logistic regression to investigate variables associated with microbleeds. We studied 470 patients (age 77.5 ± 6.4 years, 43.7% were men), and 193 (41.1%) of them received prior treatment with a statin. Microbleeds were detected in 140 (29.8%), leukoaraiosis in 388 (82.5%) and superficial siderosis in 20 (4.3%) patients. The presence of microbleeds, leukoaraiosis or superficial siderosis was not related to pre-treatment with statins. Microbleeds were more frequent in patients with prior intracerebral hemorrhage (OR 9.7, 95% CI 1.06-90.9) and in those pre-treated antiplatelets (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.09-2.53). Prior treatment with statins was not associated with markers of bleeding-prone cerebral angiopathies in patients with cardioembolic stroke. Therefore, previous statin treatment should not influence the decision to initiate or withhold oral anticoagulation if these neuroimaging markers are detected.

GRECOS Project (Genotyping Recurrence Risk of Stroke): The Use of Genetics to Predict the Vascular Recurrence After Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Vascular recurrence occurs in 11% of patients during the first year after ischemic stroke (IS) or transient ischemic attack. Clinical scores do not predict the whole vascular recurrence risk; therefore, we aimed to find genetic variants associated with recurrence that might improve the clinical predictive models in IS. METHODS: We analyzed 256 polymorphisms from 115 candidate genes in 3 patient cohorts comprising 4482 IS or transient ischemic attack patients. The discovery cohort was prospectively recruited and included 1494 patients, 6.2% of them developed a new IS during the first year of follow-up. Replication analysis was performed in 2988 patients using SNPlex or HumanOmni1-Quad technology. We generated a predictive model using Cox regression (GRECOS score [Genotyping Reurrence Risk of Stroke]) and generated risk groups using a classification tree method. RESULTS: The analyses revealed that rs1800801 in the MGP gene (hazard ratio, 1.33; P=9×10-03), a gene related to artery calcification, was associated with new IS during the first year of follow-up. This polymorphism was replicated in a Spanish cohort (n=1.305); however, it was not significantly associated in a North American cohort (n=1.683). The GRECOS score predicted new IS (P=3.2×10-09) and could classify patients, from low risk of stroke recurrence (1.9%) to high risk (12.6%). Moreover, the addition of genetic risk factors to the GRECOS score improves the prediction compared with previous Stroke Prognosis Instrument-II score (P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The use of genetics could be useful to estimate vascular recurrence risk after IS. Genetic variability in the MGP gene was associated with vascular recurrence in the Spanish population.

Association of a genetic variant in the ALOX5AP with higher risk of ischemic stroke: a case-control, meta-analysis and functional study.

BACKGROUND: Variants in the 5-lipoxygenase-activating protein (ALOX5AP) and phosphodiesterase 4D (PDE4D) genes have first been associated with ischemic stroke (IS) through whole-genome linkage screens. However, association studies obtained conflicting results. We aimed to investigate the contribution of selected single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in these genes for the first time in a large Iberian population. METHODS: A case-control design was used to analyze one SNP in ALOX5AP and five SNPs in PDE4D in a total of 1,092 IS patients and 781 healthy controls of two different subsets from Spain and Portugal. The analysis was adjusted for confounding variables and the results were integrated in a meta-analysis of all case-control studies. In addition, ALOX5AP gene expression levels were determined in controls and IS cases. RESULTS: A first meta-analysis of both subsets showed that the T allele of the SG13S114 SNP in ALOX5AP was a risk factor for IS after Bonferroni correction [OR = 1.22 (1.06-1.40); p = 0.006]. A second meta-analysis of white populations confirmed these results [OR = 1.18 (1.07-1.31); p = 0.001]. ALOX5AP gene expression analysis in a subset of controls and cases revealed that the SG13S114 genotypes modulate mRNA levels of ALOX5AP (p = 0.001) and mRNA levels were higher in IS cases (2.8 +/- 2.4%) than in controls (1.4 +/- 1.3%; p = 0.003). No association of the variants in PDE4D with IS was observed in our study. CONCLUSIONS: The ALOX5AP SG13S114 variant is an independent risk factor for IS in the Iberian population and is associated with ALOX5AP expression levels. The role of this gene in stroke merits further investigation.

KCNK17 genetic variants in ischemic stroke.

BACKGROUND: Genetic factors contribute to the development of ischemic stroke (IS). In order to identify susceptibility variants, we analyzed single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that had been previously linked to stroke in a genome-wide association study. METHODS: We analyzed 12 SNPs in a White population comprising IS patients and healthy controls. The analysis was adjusted for confounding variables and stratified by stroke etiology. Functional studies were then performed to elucidate the role of these variants in IS. RESULTS: In a preliminary analysis of 268 controls and 531 IS cases, the rs10947803 SNP of KCNK17 (p=0.012) and the rs7506045 of IMPA2 (p=0.040) were associated with IS, although only the KCNK17 gene was an independent risk factor for IS. In a second phase, analysis of 271 new IS cases revealed that the A allele of rs10947803 was associated with stroke after correction for Bonferroni (OR=1.48; 95% CI, 1.14-1.91, p=0.003). Gene expression analysis revealed that KCNK17 mRNA levels were higher in the IS cases in the acute phase than in controls (14+/-78% vs. 91+/-41, p=0.002) but not in the chronic phase (56+/-57%; p=0.230). Moreover, RNA levels depended on the alleles of the rs10947803 SNP in the control group (p=0.021) and in the chronic phase (p=0.033). CONCLUSIONS: The A allele of the rs10947803 variant of KCNK17 was associated with increased risk of IS and increased levels of KCNK17 gene expression. The role of this potassium channel gene in IS opens diagnostic and therapeutic expectations and merits further investigation.