Long-term cardiovascular risks and the impact of statin treatment on socioeconomic inequalities: a microsimulation model.

BACKGROUND: UK cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality have declined in recent decades but socioeconomic inequalities persist. AIM: To present a new CVD model, and project health outcomes and the impact of guideline-recommended statin treatment across quintiles of socioeconomic deprivation in the UK. DESIGN AND SETTING: A lifetime microsimulation model was developed using 117 896 participants in 16 statin trials, 501 854 UK Biobank (UKB) participants, and quality-of-life data from national health surveys. METHOD: A CVD microsimulation model was developed using risk equations for myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularisation, cancer, and vascular and non-vascular death, estimated using trial data. The authors calibrated and further developed this model in the UKB cohort, including further characteristics and a diabetes risk equation, and validated the model in UKB and Whitehall II cohorts. The model was used to predict CVD incidence, life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the impact of UK guideline-recommended statin treatment across socioeconomic deprivation quintiles. RESULTS: Age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular events were key CVD risk determinants. Model-predicted event rates corresponded well to observed rates across participant categories. The model projected strong gradients in remaining life expectancy, with 4-5-year (5-8 QALYs) gaps between the least and most socioeconomically deprived quintiles. Guideline-recommended statin treatment was projected to increase QALYs, with larger gains in quintiles of higher deprivation. CONCLUSION: The study demonstrated the potential of guideline-recommended statin treatment to reduce socioeconomic inequalities. This CVD model is a novel resource for individualised long-term projections of health outcomes of CVD treatments.

Characteristics of Radial Artery Coronary Bypass Graft Failure and Outcomes Following Subsequent Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: When patients with prior coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), targeting the native vessel is preferred. Studies informing such recommendations are based predominantly on saphenous vein graft (SVG) PCI. There are few data regarding arterial graft intervention, particularly to a radial artery (RA) graft. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to report the characteristics of arterial graft stenoses and evaluate the feasibility of RA PCI. METHODS: This study included 2,780 consecutive patients with prior CABG undergoing PCI between 2005 and 2018 who were prospectively enrolled in the MIG (Melbourne Interventional Group) registry. Data were stratified by PCI target vessel. RA graft PCI was compared with both native vessel (native PCI) and SVG PCI. Internal mammary graft PCI data were reported. The primary outcome was 3-year mortality. RESULTS: Overall, 1,928 patients (69.4%) underwent native PCI, 716 (25.6%) SVG PCI, 86 (3.1%) RA PCI, and 50 (1.8%) internal mammary graft PCI. Compared with SVG PCI, the RA PCI cohort presented earlier after CABG, less frequently had acute coronary syndrome, and more commonly had ostial or distal anastomosis intervention (P < 0.005 for all). Compared with patients who underwent native PCI, those who underwent RA PCI were more likely to have diabetes and peripheral vascular disease (P < 0.001 for both) and to present with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (P = 0.010). The RA PCI group had no perforations or in-hospital myocardial infarctions, though no significant difference was found in periprocedural outcomes compared with either native or SVG PCI. No differences were found between RA PCI and either native or SVG PCI in 30-day outcomes or 3-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Presenting and lesion characteristics differed between patients undergoing arterial compared with SVG PCI, implying a varied pathogenesis of graft stenosis. RA PCI appears feasible, safe, and where anatomically suitable, may be a viable alternative to native PCI.

Guideline-based audit of the hospital management of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure is a major burden in Australia in terms of morbidity, mortality and healthcare expenditure. Multiple evidence-based therapies are recommended for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), but data on physician adherence to therapy guidelines are limited. AIM: To compare use of HFrEF therapies against current evidence-based guidelines in an Australian hospital inpatient population. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients admitted with a principal diagnosis of HFrEF across six metropolitan hospitals in Sydney, Australia, between January 2015 and June 2016. Use of medical and device therapies was compared with guideline recommendations using individual patient indications/contraindications. Readmission and mortality data were collected for a 1-year period following the admission. RESULTS: Of the 1028 HFrEF patients identified, 39 were being managed with palliative intent, leaving 989 patients for the primary analysis. Use of beta-blockers (87.7% actual use/93.6% recommended use) and diuretics (88.4%/99.3%) was high among eligible patients. There were large evidence-practice gaps for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II receptor blockers (ACEI/ARB; 66.4%/89.0%) and aldosterone antagonists (41.0%/77.1%). In absolute terms, use of these therapies each increased by over 11% from admission. Ivabradine (11.5%/21.2%), automated internal cardiac defibrillators (29.5%/66.1%) and cardiac resynchronisation therapy (13.1%/28.7%) were used in a minority of eligible patients. Over the 1-year follow-up period, the mortality rate was 14.8%, and 44.2% of patients were readmitted to hospital at least once. CONCLUSION: Hospitalisation is a key mechanism for initiation of HFrEF therapies. The large evidence-practice gaps for ACEI/ARB and aldosterone antagonists represent potential avenues for improved HFrEF management.

Long-term mortality in asymptomatic patients with stable ischemic heart disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention.

OBJECTIVES: Patients with stable ischemic heart disease (SIHD) may present with a variety of symptoms including typical angina, angina equivalents such as dyspnea or no symptoms. We sought to determine whether symptom status affects periprocedural safety and long-term mortality in patients undergoing PCI. METHODS: Prospectively enrolled consecutive patients undergoing PCI for SIHD at six hospitals in Australia between 2005 to 2018 as part of the Melbourne Interventional Group registry. Symptom status was recorded at the time of PCI and patients undergoing staged PCI were excluded. RESULTS: Overall, 11,730 patients with SIHD were followed up for a median period of 5 years (maximum 14.0 years, interquartile range 2.2-9.0 years) with 1,317 (11.2%) being asymptomatic. Asymptomatic patients were older, and more likely to be male, have triple-vessel disease, with multiple comorbidities including renal failure, diabetes and heart failure (all P < .01). These patients had significantly higher rates of periprocedural complications and major adverse cardiovascular events at 30-days. Long-term mortality was significantly higher in asymptomatic patients (27.2% vs 18.0%, P < .001). On cox regression for long-term mortality, after adjustment for more important clinical variables, asymptomatic status was an independent predictor (Hazard ratio (HR) 1.39 95% CI 1.16-1.66, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world cohort of patients undergoing revascularization for SIHD, absence of symptoms was associated with higher rates of periprocedural complications and, after adjustment for more important clinical variables, was an independent predictor of long-term mortality. As the primary goal of revascularization in SIHD remains angina relief, the appropriateness of PCI in the absence of symptoms warrants justification.

Meta-analysis Comparing Valve-In-Valve Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation With Self-Expanding Versus Balloon-Expandable Valves.

Valve-in-valve (ViV) transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is an alternative to redo-surgery in patients with failed surgical bioprostheses. It remains unclear whether outcomes vary when using either self-expanding (SE) or balloon-expandable (BE) valves. The aim of this study was to compare outcomes between SE and BE transcatheter heart valves when used for ViV TAVI. A systematic review of PubMed, MEDLINE, and EMBASE was performed identifying studies reporting outcomes following ViV TAVI. Event rates were pooled for meta-analysis using a random-effects model. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 12 months. Secondary outcomes included 30-day and 3-year mortality in addition to standard safety outcomes after the procedure as per the Valve Academic Research Consortium criteria. Nineteen studies reporting outcomes for 1,772 patients were included: 924 in the SE group and 848 patients in the BE group. There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality at 12 months (SE 10.3% vs BE 12.6%, p = 0.165, I2 = 0%), or 3 years (SE 21.2% vs BE 31.2%, p = 0.407, I2 = 63.79). SE valves had lower transvalvular gradients after procedure and acute kidney injury, but higher rates of pacemaker insertion, moderate or severe paravalvular regurgitation and need for ≥2 valves (all p < 0.05). There were no differences in stroke, coronary obstruction, bleeding, or vascular complications. Despite significant differences in key procedural outcomes between SE and BE valves when used for ViV TAVI, we found no difference in 12-month mortality. Tailored device selection may further reduce the risk of adverse procedural outcomes, particularly over the longer term.

Intensive LDL cholesterol-lowering treatment beyond current recommendations for the prevention of major vascular events: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials including 327 037 participants.

BACKGROUND: The benefits of LDL cholesterol-lowering treatment for the prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease are well established. However, the extent to which these effects differ by baseline LDL cholesterol, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk, and the presence of comorbidities remains uncertain. METHODS: We did a systematic literature search (MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, from inception up to June 15, 2019) for randomised controlled trials of statins, ezetimibe, and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors with at least 1000 patient-years of follow-up. Random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regressions were done to assess for risk of major vascular events (a composite of cardiovascular mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischaemic stroke, or coronary revascularisation) per 1 mmol/L (38·7 mg/dL) reduction in LDL cholesterol concentrations. FINDINGS: 327 037 patients from 52 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Each 1 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol was associated with a 19% relative risk (RR) reduction for major vascular events (RR 0·81 [95% CI 0·78-0·84]; p<0·0001). Similar reductions (per 1 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol) were found in trials with participants with LDL cholesterol 2·60 mmol/L or lower, 2·61-3·40 mmol/L, 3·41-4·10 mmol/L, and more than 4·1 mmol/L (p=0·232 for interaction); and in a subgroup of patients who all had a baseline LDL cholesterol less than 2·07 mmol/L (80 mg/dL; RR 0·83 [95% CI 0·75-0·92]; p=0·001). We found greater RR reductions in patients at lower 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk (change in RR per 10% lower 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease 0·97 [95% CI 0·95-0·98]; p<0·0001) and in patients at younger age across a mean age of 50-75 years (change in RR per 10 years younger age 0·92 [0·83-0·97]; p=0·015). We found no difference in RR reduction for participants with or without diabetes (p=0·878 for interaction) and chronic kidney disease (p=0·934 for interaction). INTERPRETATION: For each 1 mmol/L LDL cholesterol lowering, the risk reduction of major vascular events is independent of the starting LDL cholesterol or the presence of diabetes or chronic kidney disease. Patients at lower cardiovascular risk and younger age might have a similar relative reduction in risk with LDL-cholesterol lowering therapies and future studies should investigate the potential benefits of earlier intervention. FUNDING: None.

Suggested clinical approach for the diagnosis and management of 'statin intolerance' with an emphasis on muscle-related side-effects.

Hyperlipidaemia is a major risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme-A reductase inhibitors ('statins') are first-line therapies for hyperlipidaemia. For each 1.0 mmoL/L reduction in low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol, statins reduce the risk of major vascular events by 21% and all-cause mortality by 9%. Owing to their clinical effectiveness and excellent safety profile, many Australians are prescribed statins. There has been widespread reporting of possible side-effects, particularly muscle pains. Conversely, statin cessation relating to possible side-effects exposes patients to increased risk of vascular events and death. Although there is clinical consensus for diagnosing rare side-effects (e.g. myopathy or rhabdomyolysis), confirming that statins cause other less common side-effects (e.g. memory impairment) is difficult as strong randomised trial evidence related to statins and non-muscle-related side-effects is lacking. A stepwise approach to possible statin intolerance, consistent definitions and a simple flowchart may improve diagnosis and management. An increasing array of potential treatments is emerging, including intermittent statin dosing, new LDL-lowering drugs, LDL apheresis and supplements. Optimal statin use and management of statin intolerance should improve cardiovascular care and clinical outcomes.

Tricuspid regurgitation is associated with increased mortality independent of pulmonary pressures and right heart failure: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Aims: To undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the influence of tricuspid regurgitation (TR) severity on mortality. Methods and results: We performed a systematic search for studies reporting clinical outcomes of patients with TR. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality and secondary endpoints were cardiac mortality and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Overall risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were derived for each endpoint according to the severity of TR by meta-analysing the effect estimates of eligible studies. Seventy studies totalling 32 601 patients were included in the analysis, with a mean (±SD) follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.1 years. Moderate/severe TR was associated with a two-fold increased mortality risk compared to no/mild TR (RR 1.95, 95% CI 1.75-2.17). Moderate/severe TR remained associated with higher all-cause mortality among 13 studies which adjusted for systolic pulmonary arterial pressures (RR 1.85, 95% CI 1.44-2.39), and 15 studies, which adjusted for right ventricular (RV) dysfunction (RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.49-2.13). Moderate/severe TR was also associated with increased cardiac mortality (RR 2.56, 95% CI 1.84-3.55) and HF hospitalization (RR 1.73, 95% CI 1.14-2.62). Compared to patients with no TR, patients with mild, moderate, and severe TR had a progressively increased risk of all-cause mortality (RR 1.25, 1.61, and 3.44, respectively; P < 0.001 for trend). Conclusions: Moderate/severe TR is associated with an increased mortality risk, which appears to be independent of pulmonary pressures and RV dysfunction.

Predictors of successful chronic total occlusion percutaneous coronary interventions: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify positive and negative predictors of technical and clinical success for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of chronic total occlusions (CTO). METHODS: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published between 2000 and 2016 analysing rates of CTO PCI success with respect to demographic and angiographic characteristics. Crude ORs and 95% CIs for each predictor were calculated using a random effects model. Predictors of technical and clinical success were assessed among 28 demographic and 31 angiographic variables. Clinical success was defined as technical success without major adverse cardiac events. RESULTS: A total of 61 studies, totalling 69 886 patients were included in this analysis. The major demographic characteristics associated with a 20% or greater reduction in the odds of technical and clinical success were a history of myocardial infarction, PCI, coronary artery bypass grafting, stroke/transient ischaemic attack and peripheral vascular disease. Angiographic factors were generally stronger predictors of reduced technical and clinical success. Those associated with >20% odds reduction included non-left anterior descending CTOs, multivessel disease, presence of bridging collaterals, moderate-to-severe calcification, >45 degree vessel bending, tortuous vessel, blunt stump and ostial lesions. Of these, novel predictors included prior PCI, prior stroke, peripheral vascular disease, presence of multivessel disease and bridging collaterals. CONCLUSION: The present study has identified strong negative predictors for clinical success for CTO PCI, which will aid in patient selection for this procedure.

Impact of renal function on the effects of LDL cholesterol lowering with statin-based regimens: a meta-analysis of individual participant data from 28 randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Statin therapy is effective for the prevention of coronary heart disease and stroke in patients with mild-to-moderate chronic kidney disease, but its effects in individuals with more advanced disease, particularly those undergoing dialysis, are uncertain. METHODS: We did a meta-analysis of individual participant data from 28 trials (n=183 419), examining effects of statin-based therapy on major vascular events (major coronary event [non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary death], stroke, or coronary revascularisation) and cause-specific mortality. Participants were subdivided into categories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at baseline. Treatment effects were estimated with rate ratio (RR) per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol. FINDINGS: Overall, statin-based therapy reduced the risk of a first major vascular event by 21% (RR 0·79, 95% CI 0·77-0·81; p<0·0001) per mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol. Smaller relative effects on major vascular events were observed as eGFR declined (p=0·008 for trend; RR 0·78, 99% CI 0·75-0·82 for eGFR ≥60 mL/min per 1·73 m(2); 0·76, 0·70-0·81 for eGFR 45 to <60 mL/min per 1·73 m(2); 0·85, 0·75-0·96 for eGFR 30 to <45 mL/min per 1·73 m(2); 0·85, 0·71-1·02 for eGFR <30 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) and not on dialysis; and 0·94, 0·79-1·11 for patients on dialysis). Analogous trends by baseline renal function were seen for major coronary events (p=0·01 for trend) and vascular mortality (p=0·03 for trend), but there was no significant trend for coronary revascularisation (p=0·90). Reducing LDL cholesterol with statin-based therapy had no effect on non-vascular mortality, irrespective of eGFR. INTERPRETATION: Even after allowing for the smaller reductions in LDL cholesterol achieved by patients with more advanced chronic kidney disease, and for differences in outcome definitions between dialysis trials, the relative reductions in major vascular events observed with statin-based treatment became smaller as eGFR declined, with little evidence of benefit in patients on dialysis. In patients with chronic kidney disease, statin-based regimens should be chosen to maximise the absolute reduction in LDL cholesterol to achieve the largest treatment benefits. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, Cancer Research UK, European Community Biomed Programme, Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, Australian National Heart Foundation.

Optical coherence tomography for serial in vivo imaging of aortic plaque in the rabbit: a preliminary experience.

BACKGROUND: In this pilot feasibility study, we aimed to establish a reproducible means of performing serial optical coherence tomography (OCT) procedures in the abdominal aorta of the cholesterol-fed rabbit. METHODS: Eight cholesterol-fed New Zealand White rabbits were assigned to abdominal aortic balloon injury at baseline (n=6) or as controls (n=2). Three of the balloon injured rabbits received statins from weeks 6 to 12 post balloon injury. OCT of the abdominal aorta in each rabbit was performed at baseline±week 6±week 12 via alternate vascular access points (left or right femoral artery or left carotid artery). OCT sequences were analysed to derive an indexed plaque volume and other OCT measures of plaque complexity, and results were compared between groups. Histopathological correlations with OCT images were made following terminal procedures. RESULTS: Of the 16 OCT procedures in these rabbits (6 at baseline, 4 at 6 weeks, 6 at 12 weeks), excellent and analysable images were obtained on 15 occasions (94%). Inability to obtain adequate arterial access for the OCT catheter was the major experimental limitation encountered in the early part of our experience. Balloon injured rabbits developed larger volume and more complex plaque than non-balloon injured rabbits on all OCT indices measured (eg, both mean plaque volume and lumen stenosis were approximately double in the balloon injured group, p<0.0001). A significant correlation between 12 week measures of plaque area by OCT and histology was demonstrated (Pearson correlation coefficient: 0.992, p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Our preliminary experience suggests that serial OCT of the abdominal aorta in the New Zealand White rabbit is feasible and a potentially promising means of performing serial studies of aortic atherosclerosis.

Efficacy and safety of LDL-lowering therapy among men and women: meta-analysis of individual data from 174,000 participants in 27 randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Whether statin therapy is as effective in women as in men is debated, especially for primary prevention. We undertook a meta-analysis of statin trials in the Cholesterol Treatment Trialists' (CTT) Collaboration database to compare the effects of statin therapy between women and men. METHODS: We performed meta-analyses on data from 22 trials of statin therapy versus control (n=134,537) and five trials of more-intensive versus less-intensive statin therapy (n=39,612). Effects on major vascular events, major coronary events, stroke, coronary revascularisation and mortality were weighted per 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol and effects in men and women compared with a Cox model that adjusted for non-sex differences. For subgroup analyses, we used 99% CIs to make allowance for the multiplicity of comparisons. FINDINGS: 46,675 (27%) of 174,149 randomly assigned participants were women. Allocation to a statin had similar absolute effects on 1 year lipid concentrations in both men and women (LDL cholesterol reduced by about 1.1 mmol/L in statin vs control trials and roughly 0.5 mmol/L for more-intensive vs less-intensive therapy). Women were generally at lower cardiovascular risk than were men in these trials. The proportional reductions per 1.0 mmol/L reduction in LDL cholesterol in major vascular events were similar overall for women (rate ratio [RR] 0.84, 99% CI 0.78-0.91) and men (RR 0.78, 99% CI 0.75-0.81, adjusted p value for heterogeneity by sex=0.33) and also for those women and men at less than 10% predicted 5 year absolute cardiovascular risk (adjusted heterogeneity p=0.11). Likewise, the proportional reductions in major coronary events, coronary revascularisation, and stroke did not differ significantly by sex. No adverse effect on rates of cancer incidence or non-cardiovascular mortality was noted for either sex. These net benefits translated into all-cause mortality reductions with statin therapy for both women (RR 0.91, 99% CI 0.84-0.99) and men (RR 0.90, 99% CI 0.86-0.95; adjusted heterogeneity p=0.43). INTERPRETATION: In men and women at an equivalent risk of cardiovascular disease, statin therapy is of similar effectiveness for the prevention of major vascular events. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, European Community Biomed Program.

Is it time to repair a Fairly Fast SAAB Convertible? Testing an evidence-based mnemonic for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVES: Optimising secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease has the greatest potential to reduce recurrent events, yet despite major guidelines there are ongoing treatment gaps. FFSAABC (Fish oils, Fibrates, Statins, Aspirin, Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin 2 receptor antagonists, Beta blockers and Clopidogrel) is one mnemonic previously adopted to assist clinicians in remembering medications for use in secondary prevention. The aim of this narrative review is to examine the current evidence base for medications recommended for patients with established cardiovascular disease and the current applicability of this, or a revised mnemonic for their use. STUDY DESIGN: Randomised controlled trials and systematic reviews were sought examining Fish oils, Fibrates, Statins, Aspirin, Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin 2 receptor antagonists, Beta blockers or Clopidogrel vs placebo in secondary prevention. The emerging evidence base for other contemporary therapies including the P2Y12 inhibitors (ticagrelor and prasugrel) and aldosterone antagonists was also reviewed. RESULTS: Definitive evidence supports the use of statins, aspirin, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin 2 receptor antagonists, and P2Y12 antagonists (clopidogrel, ticagrelor or prasugrel) for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease. Aldosterone antagonists have strong evidence in the presence of systolic heart failure. There is a weaker evidence base for the routine use of omega-3 fatty acid supplementation although this therapy carries minimal harms. Fenofibrate reduces cardiovascular events in dyslipidaemic patients, with additional benefits in patients with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Mnemonic upgrading from a Fairly Fast SAAB Convertible to a Fairly Fast SA(2)A(2)B (Fish oils, Fibrate, Statin, Antiplatelets (Aspirin+Other), ACE/ARB, Aldosterone Antagonist, Beta-blocker) may help to ensure patients receive best practice evidence-based pharmacotherapies for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease.