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1.
Med. intensiva (Madr., Ed. impr.) ; 44(6): 325-332, ago.-sept. 2020. tab, graf
Artículo en Español | IBECS | ID: ibc-194811

RESUMEN

OBJETIVO: Evaluar la capacidad de los modelos TRISS y PS14 para predecir la probabilidad de supervivencia en nuestro sistema de salud y población. DISEÑO: Desarrollamos un estudio observacional retrospectivo durante un periodo de 66 meses. ÁMBITO: El estudio se llevó a cabo en una UCI especializada en traumatología en un hospital urbano de alta complejidad. PACIENTES: Se incluyeron en el estudio los pacientes mayores de 14 años con traumatismo grave (definido como ISS ≥ 16 y/o RTS < 12). VARIABLES DE INTERÉS: Se calculó el estadístico W (diferencia entre la mortalidad -hospitalaria o a los 30 días para los modelos TRISS o PS14 respectivamente- calculada y observada por cada 100 pacientes) y su nivel de significación para cada modelo. Se realizó un análisis por subgrupos. La calibración y discriminación se evaluaron por medio del test de Hosmer-Lemeshoy y cinturón GiViTI y curvas ROC respectivamente. RESULTADOS: Se incluyeron 1.240 pacientes. La supervivencia global al alta fue de 81,9%. El estadístico W para los modelos TRISS, TRISS2010 y PS14 fue respectivamente +6,72 (p < 0,01), +1,48 (p = 0,08) y +2,74 (p < 0,01). El AUROC para los citados modelos fue respectivamente 0,915, 0,919 y 0,914, sin que se encontraran diferencias significativas entre ellos. Tanto el test de Hosmer-Lemeshow como el cinturón de calibración GiViTI mostraron escasa calibración en los 3 modelos. CONCLUSIONES: Estos modelos son una herramienta adecuada para la evaluación de la calidad asistencial en una UCI de traumatismo. En nuestro centro las tasas de supervivencia fueron mayores de lo predicho por los modelos


OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the ability of the TRISS and PS14 models to predict mortality rates in our medical system and population. DESIGN: A retrospective observational study was carried out over a 66-month period. BACKGROUND: The study was conducted in the Trauma Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of a third level hospital. PATIENTS: All severe trauma patients (Injury Severity Score ≥ 16 and/or Revised Trauma Score < 12) aged > 14 years were included. Variables of interest: Medical care data were prospectively recorded. The "W" statistic (difference between expected and observed mortality for every 100 patients) and its significance were calculated for each model. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and GiViTI calibration belt, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1240 patients were included. Survival at hospital discharge was 81.9%. The "W" scores for the TRISS, TRISS 2010 and PS14 models were +6.72 (P < .01), +1.48 (P = .08) and +2.74 (P < .01) respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed significant favorable results for some populations. The areas under the ROC curve for the TRISS, TRISS 2010 and PS14 models were 0.915, 0.919 and 0.914, respectively. There were no significant differences among them (P > .05). Both the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and GiViTI calibration belt demonstrated poor calibration for the three models. CONCLUSIONS: These models are suitable tools for assessing quality of care in a Trauma ICU, affording excellent discrimination but poor calibration. In our institution, survival rates higher than expected were observed


Asunto(s)
Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Adolescente , Adulto Joven , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Garantía de la Calidad de Atención de Salud/métodos , Índices de Gravedad del Trauma , Heridas y Lesiones/mortalidad , Tasa de Supervivencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/organización & administración , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/normas , Intervalos de Confianza , Heridas y Lesiones/clasificación
2.
Med Intensiva (Engl Ed) ; 44(6): 325-332, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés, Español | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30902398

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the ability of the TRISS and PS14 models to predict mortality rates in our medical system and population. DESIGN: A retrospective observational study was carried out over a 66-month period. BACKGROUND: The study was conducted in the Trauma Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of a third level hospital. PATIENTS: All severe trauma patients (Injury Severity Score≥16 and/or Revised Trauma Score <12) aged> 14 years were included. VARIABLES OF INTEREST: Medical care data were prospectively recorded. The "W" statistic (difference between expected and observed mortality for every 100 patients) and its significance were calculated for each model. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and GiViTI calibration belt, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1240 patients were included. Survival at hospital discharge was 81.9%. The "W" scores for the TRISS, TRISS 2010 and PS14 models were+6.72 (P<.01), +1.48 (P=.08) and +2.74 (P<.01) respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed significant favorable results for some populations. The areas under the ROC curve for the TRISS, TRISS 2010 and PS14 models were 0.915, 0.919 and 0.914, respectively. There were no significant differences among them (P>.05). Both the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and GiViTI calibration belt demonstrated poor calibration for the three models. CONCLUSIONS: These models are suitable tools for assessing quality of care in a Trauma ICU, affording excellent discrimination but poor calibration. In our institution, survival rates higher than expected were observed.

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