The Combined Effects of High Temperatures and Ozone Pollution on Medical Emergency Calls - Jinan City, Shandong Province, China, 2013-2019.

What is already known about this topic?: Studies have extensively documented the separate and independent effects of extreme temperature and ozone on morbidity and mortality associated with respiratory and circulatory diseases. What is added by this report?: The study revealed a significant association between elevated temperature, ozone pollution, and the combined effect of high temperature and ozone pollution with an increased risk of all-cause medical emergency calls (MECs) and MECs specifically related to neurological diseases. What are the implications for public health practice?: Interventional measures should be implemented to mitigate exposure to high temperatures and ozone levels. Specifically, during the warm season, it is crucial for relevant authorities to focus on disseminating scientific information regarding the health impacts of elevated temperatures and ozone pollution. Additionally, timely public health advisories should be issued to alert the public effectively.

Epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal aggregation of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jinan City, China, 2018-2022.

BACKGROUND: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) has become a significant public health issue in Jinan City. However, the analysis of epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal clustering of SFTS in Jinan has not been studied yet. METHODS: SFTS data from 2018-2022 in Jinan City were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention. Global spatial autocorrelation and local spatial autocorrelation analyses were performed using ArcGIS 10.2 software, and spatiotemporal hotspot area detection was carried out using SatScan 9.6 software. RESULTS: Between 2018 and 2022, 680 SFTS cases were reported in Jinan City, resulting in 53 deaths and an average case fatality rate of 7.8%. 99.0% of cases occurred between April and October, 91.9% individuals were over 50 years old, and 87.79% were primarily farmers. A positive spatial correlation of SFTS in Jinan was observed (Moran's I value between 0.135-0.197, P<0.001), indicating spatial aggregation, primarily in Licheng, Zhangqiu, Laiwu, and Gangcheng districts in southeastern Jinan. Spatiotemporal scanning detected one class I and two class II aggregation areas, with the class I aggregation area (RR = 5.66, LLR = 192.547, P<0.001) locating in southeastern Jinan City, comprising 31 towns/streets, and an aggregation time from 13 May 2020 to 13 October 2022. CONCLUSION: Spatial and temporal aggregation of SFTS is evident in Jinan. Based on the spatial and temporal distribution and epidemiological characteristics, prevention and control measures such as public education, monitoring, and training should target key populations in high-incidence epidemic areas.

Non-linear relationships and interactions of meteorological factors on mumps in Jinan, China.

Although vaccination is available, mumps remains a public health concern in many countries including China. Previous studies have indicated the impact of meteorological factors and mumps, but findings vary across different regions with limited evidence to inform local public health responses. We aim to examine the impacts of meteorological variables on mumps in Jinan, a temperate city of China, and explore the interactions of temperature with humidity or wind speed. Weekly meteorological data and notified cases of mumps in Jinan were collected for 2014-2018. Regression analyses using the generalized additive model were performed with considerations of multicollinearity, lag effects, school holidays, long-term trend, and seasonality. A stratification model was applied to investigate the interaction. We found a non-linear relationship between weekly mean temperature and the number of cases. Between 1.2 and 24.5 °C, the excess risk (ER) of mumps for a 1 °C increase in weekly mean temperature was 3.08% (95% CI 1.32 to 4.87%) at 0-week lag. The lagged effects could last for 3 weeks. There were interactions between mean temperature and relative humidity or wind speed. The effect of mean temperature was enhanced in days with low relative humidity or high wind speed. This study suggests that temperature is positively associated with mumps cases with thresholds in the temperate city of China, and the effect can be modified by relative humidity and wind speed and is independent of vaccine coverage. Findings could be integrated into current early warning systems of mumps in order to protect people's health from the risk of changing climate.

Exposure to air pollution and scarlet fever resurgence in China: a six-year surveillance study.

Scarlet fever has resurged in China starting in 2011, and the environment is one of the potential reasons. Nationwide data on 655,039 scarlet fever cases and six air pollutants were retrieved. Exposure risks were evaluated by multivariate distributed lag nonlinear models and a meta-regression model. We show that the average incidence in 2011-2018 was twice that in 2004-2010 [RR = 2.30 (4.40 vs. 1.91), 95% CI: 2.29-2.31; p < 0.001] and generally lower in the summer and winter holiday (p = 0.005). A low to moderate correlation was seen between scarlet fever and monthly NO2 (r = 0.21) and O3 (r = 0.11). A 10 µg/m3 increase of NO2 and O3 was significantly associated with scarlet fever, with a cumulative RR of 1.06 (95% CI: 1.02-1.10) and 1.04 (95% CI: 1.01-1.07), respectively, at a lag of 0 to 15 months. In conclusion, long-term exposure to ambient NO2 and O3 may be associated with an increased risk of scarlet fever incidence, but direct causality is not established.

Seasonal pattern of influenza and the association with meteorological factors based on wavelet analysis in Jinan City, Eastern China, 2013-2016.

BACKGROUND: Influenza is a disease under surveillance worldwide with different seasonal patterns in temperate and tropical regions. Previous studies have conducted modeling of influenza seasonality using climate variables. This study aimed to identify potential meteorological factors that are associated with influenza seasonality in Jinan, China. METHODS: Data from three influenza sentinel hospitals and respective climate factors (average temperature, relatively humidity (RH), absolute humidity (AH), sunshine duration, accumulated rainfall and speed of wind), from 2013 to 2016, were collected. Statistical and wavelet analyses were used to explore the epidemiological characteristics of influenza virus and its potential association with climate factors. RESULTS: The dynamic of influenza was characterized by annual cycle, with remarkable winter epidemic peaks from December to February. Spearman's correlation and wavelet coherence analysis illuminated that temperature, AH and atmospheric pressure were main influencing factors. Multiple wavelet coherence analysis showed that temperature and atmospheric pressure might be the main influencing factors of influenza virus A(H3N2) and influenza virus B, whereas temperature and AH might best shape the seasonality of influenza virus A(H1N1)pdm09. During the epidemic season, the prevalence of influenza virus lagged behind the change of temperature by 1-8 weeks and atmospheric pressure by 0.5-3 weeks for different influenza viruses. CONCLUSION: Climate factors were significantly associated with influenza seasonality in Jinan during the influenza epidemic season and the optional time for influenza vaccination is before November. These finding should be considered in influenza planning of control and prevention.

The short-term effects of air pollutants on influenza-like illness in Jinan, China.

BACKGROUND: There is valid evidence that air pollution is associated with respiratory disease. However, few studies have quantified the short-term effects of six air pollutants on influenza-like illness (ILI). This study explores the potential relationship between air pollutants and ILI in Jinan, China. METHODS: Daily data on the concentration of particulate matters < 2.5 µm (PM 2.5), particulate matters < 10 µm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O3) and ILI counts from 2016 to 2017 were retrieved. The wavelet coherence analysis and generalized poisson additive regression model were employed to qualify the relationship between air pollutants and ILI risk. The effects of air pollutants on different age groups were investigated. RESULTS: A total of 81,459 ILI counts were collected, and the average concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, O3, CO, SO2 and NO2 were 67.8 µg/m3, 131.76 µg/ m3, 109.85 µg/ m3, 1133 µg/ m3, 33.06 µg/ m3 and 44.38 µg/ m3, respectively. A 10 µg/ m3 increase in concentration of PM2.5, PM10, CO at lag0 and SO2 at lag01, was positively associated with a 1.0137 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.0083-1.0192), 1.0074 (95% CI: 1.0041-1.0107), 1.0288 (95% CI: 1.0127-1.0451), and 1.0008 (95% CI: 1.0003-1.0012) of the relative risk (RR) of ILI, respectively. While, O3 (lag5) was negatively associated with ILI (RR 0.9863; 95%CI: 0.9787-0.9939), and no significant association was observed with NO2, which can increase the incidence of ILI in the two-pollutant model. A short-term delayed impact of PM2.5, PM10, SO2 at lag02 and CO, O3 at lag05 was also observed. People aged 25-59, 5-14 and 0-4 were found to be significantly susceptible to PM2.5, PM10, CO; and all age groups were significantly susceptible to SO2; People aged ≥60 year, 5-14 and 0-4 were found to be significantly negative associations with O3. CONCLUSION: Air pollutants, especially PM2.5, PM10, CO and SO2, can increase the risk of ILI in Jinan. The government should create regulatory policies to reduce the level of air pollutants and remind people to practice preventative and control measures to decrease the incidence of ILI on pollution days.

Epidemiology study of pediatric primary intussusception aged ≤24 months in pre-rotavirus vaccine era of Jinan, China.

INTRODUCTION: Few studies have reported on the epidemiological characteristics of pediatric primary intussusception in the pre-rotavirus vaccine era of China. It is important to complementary baseline data before rotavirus vaccine introduction in China. This study conduct a retrospective investigation and evaluated the incidence rate, described the epidemiology of pediatric primary intussusception aged ≤24 months. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective investigation in all secondary- and tertiary-hospitals in Jinan. Pediatric primary intussusception inpatients aged ≤24 months were identified depending on ICD-10 discharge code from a total of 63 hospitals from 2011 to 2015. Demographic and clinical information were extracting from the electronic clinical record systems. RESULTS: A total of 575 pediatric primary intussusception inpatients were identified with average annual incidence of 86.5 per 100,000. A significantly higher incidence was observed in males (χ2 = 13.8, P < 0.01), in the ≤12 months old age group (χ2 = 19.5, P < 0.01) and from the urban areas (χ2 = 63.31, P < 0.001). No clear seasonality found. Abdominal pain (80.9%) and vomiting (63.3%) were the most frequently reported. Most intussusception cases occurred in ileo-cecum. Over 92% of intussusception cases were diagnosed by ultrasound alone and 77.4% was successfully treated by air enema. 99.7% were cured. The median time of hospitalization was 2 days (range: 0-35 days). CONCLUSION: This retrospective study provides baseline information of incidence, epidemiologyand clinical characteristics of pediatric primary intussusception in Jinan City during 2011-2016 before the introduction of rotavirus vaccine. It will be important for evaluating safety of rotavirus vaccine if it will be introduced to the routine immunization program in China.

Resurgence of scarlet fever in China: a 13-year population-based surveillance study.

BACKGROUND: A re-emergence of scarlet fever has been noted in Hong Kong, South Korea, and England, UK, since 2008. China also had a sudden increase in the incidence of the disease in 2011. In this study, we aimed to assess the epidemiological changes before and after the upsurge. We also aimed to explore the reasons for the upsurge in disease in 2011, the epidemiological factors that contributed to it, and assess how these could be managed to prevent future epidemics. METHODS: In this observational study, we extracted the epidemiological data for all cases of scarlet fever between 2004 and 2016 in China from the Chinese Public Health Science Data Center, the official website of National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, and the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System. These data had been collected from 31 provinces and regions in China and included geographical, seasonal, and patient demographic information. We used descriptive statistical methods and joinpoint regression to examine the spatiotemporal patterns and annual percentage change in incidence of the upsurge of disease across China. FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2004, and Dec 31, 2016, 502 723 cases of scarlet fever, with ten fatalities, were reported in China, resulting in an annualised average incidence of 2·8807 per 100 000 people. The annual average incidence increased from 1·457 per 100 000 people in 2004 to 4·7638 per 100 000 people in 2011 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 3·27, 95% CI 3·22-3·32; p<0·0001), peaking in 2015 (5·0092 per 100 000 people). The annual incidence after the 2011 upsurge of scarlet fever, between 2011 and 2016, was twice the average annual incidence reported between 2004 and 2010 (4·0125 vs 1·9105 per 100 000 people; IRR 2·07, 95% CI 2·06-2·09; p<0·0001). Most cases were distributed in the north, northeast, and northwest of the country. Semi-annual patterns were observed in May-June and November-December. The median age at onset of disease was 6 years, with the annual highest incidence observed in children aged 6 years (49·4675 per 100 000 people). The incidence among boys and men was 1·54 greater than that among girls and women before the upsurge, and 1·51 times greater after the upsurge (p<0·0001 for both). The median time from disease onset to reporting of the disease was shorter after the upsurge in disease than before (3 days vs 4 days; p=0·001). INTERPRETATION: To our knowledge, this is the largest epidemiological study of scarlet fever worldwide. The patterns of infection across the country were similar before and after the 2011 upsurge, but the incidence of disease was substantially higher after 2011. Prevention and control strategies being implemented in response to this threat include improving disease surveillance and emergency response systems. In particular, the school absenteeism and symptom monitoring and early-warning system will contribute to the early diagnosis and report of the scarlet fever. This approach will help combat scarlet fever and other childhood infectious diseases in China. FUNDING: National Key R&D Plan of China Science and key epidemiological disciplines of Zhejiang Provincial Health of China.

Exposure to fine particulate matter during pregnancy and risk of term low birth weight in Jinan, China, 2014-2016.

BACKGROUND: Existing studies exploring the association between low birth weight (LBW) and maternal fine particulate matter (aerodynamic diameter<2.5µm, PM2.5) exposure have presented equivocal results, and one of the possible reasons for this finding might be due to relatively low maternal exposures. In addition, relatively narrow maternal exposure windows to PM2.5 have not been well established for LBW. METHODS: We employed a nested matched case-control design among 43,855 term births in a large maternity and child care hospital in Jinan, China. A total of 369 cases were identified, and four controls per case matched by maternal age were randomly selected among those with normal birth weight (n=1,476) from 2014 to 2016. Ambient air monitoring data on continuous measures of PM2.5, nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulfur dioxide (SO2) (24-h average concentrations) from 2013 to 2016 were collected from thirteen local monitoring stations. An inverse distance weighting method based on both home and work addresses was adopted to estimate the individual daily exposures to these air pollutants during pregnancy by weighting the average of the twelve nearest monitoring stations within 30km of each 100m×100m grid cell by an inverse squared distance, and then the average exposure concentrations for gestational months, trimesters and the entire pregnancy were calculated. Adjusted conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) per 10µg/m3 increment in PM2.5 and by PM2.5 quartiles during different gestational periods. RESULTS: In this study, the estimated mean values of PM2.5, NO2, and SO2 exposure during the entire pregnancy were 88.0, 54.6, and 63.1µg/m3, respectively. Term low birth weight (TLBW) increased in association with per 10µg/m3 increment in PM2.5 for the 8th month [OR=1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.04, 1.22], the 9th month (OR=1.06, 95% CI: 0.99, 1.15), the third trimester (OR=1.17, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.29), and the entire pregnancy (OR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.77) in models adjusted for one pollutant (PM2.5). In models categorizing the PM2.5 exposure by quartiles, comparing the second, third, and highest with the lowest PM2.5 exposure quartile, the PM2.5 was positively associated with TLBW during the 8th month (OR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.09, 2.88; OR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.03, 3.04; OR: 1.92, 95% CI: 1.04, 3.55, respectively) and for the 9th month, only association for exposure in the third versus the lowest quartile was significant (OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.58). CONCLUSIONS: The study provides evidence that exposure to PM2.5 during pregnancy might be associated with the risk of TLBW in the context of very high pollution level of PM2.5, and the 8th and 9th months were identified as potentially relevant exposure windows.

Molecular epidemiology of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis caused by coxsackie A type 24 variant in China, 2004-2014.

To understand control interventions, the molecular epidemiology of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC) was investigated from 2004 to 2014.A total of 613,485 AHC cases (annualized cases 55,771) with two deaths were included. Our findings showed that AHC was reported in all provinces, predominantly in Southern and Eastern China. The incidence rates were highest in 2007 (5.65/100,000) and 2010 (21.78/100,000) respectively. A clear seasonal pattern was identified with a peak from August to October. AHC cases occurred in all age groups; however, five to 14 years was the predominant group [23.06%, 133, 510/578,909]. The median age was 24 years (one month~97 years). The median duration from onset to diagnosis was 1.5 days, and there was no difference between the <15, 15~60 and >60-year-old patients [p = 0.0653]. The phylogenetic analysis of 100 nonstructural proteins (3C) and 84 structural proteins (VP1) revealed that AHC outbreaks were caused by Coxsackievirus A24 variant. Genotypes G4-c5a, G4-c5b, and G4-c3 co-circulated with both temporal and geographical overlaps. In conclusion, despite the overall steady decline in the number of AHC cases since the peak in 2010, it still remains a serious public health problem in Southern and Eastern China that targets on the school aged children under 15 years old.

Genetic polymorphism of MTHFR C677T with preterm birth and low birth weight susceptibility: a meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: This study aimed at clarifying the association of maternal and neonatal methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T polymorphisms with preterm birth (PTB) and low birth weight (LBW) susceptibility, respectively. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic search of Embase, Medline, China Biological Medicine Database (CBM), Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang Database was performed before June, 2016. The frequencies of maternal and neonatal MTHFR C677T genotypes in the cases and controls and other information were extracted by two independent investigators. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were adopted to estimate the relationships between MTHFR C677T polymorphisms and PTB as well as LBW by random or fixed effect models. RESULTS: Twenty-five studies from 20 articles concerning maternal and neonatal MTHFR C677T gene polymorphism with PTB and LBW were included in this study. Maternal MTHFR C677T polymorphism was associated with PTB risk under allele contrast (T vs. C, OR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.02-1.81), homozygote (TT vs. CC, OR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.07-2.68), and recessive (TT vs. CT + CC, OR = 1.49, 95% CI 1.00-2.22) model, but not dominant or heterozygote model. Maternal MTHFR C677T polymorphism was also associated with LBW risk under allele contrast (OR = 1.69, 95% CI 1.25-2.28), homozygote (OR = 2.26, 95% CI 1.44-3.54), dominant (OR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.19-2.47), recessive (OR = 1.79, 95% CI 1.42-2.26) model, but not heterozygote model. No associations between neonatal MTHFR C677T polymorphism and PTB or LBW were found under all genetic models. CONCLUSIONS: Identification of maternal MTHFR C677T mutation may play a key role for primary prevention of PTB as well as LBW and screening pregnant women of high risk in developing countries.

Fatality risks for nosocomial outbreaks of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus in the Middle East and South Korea.

Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) was first isolated in 2012. The largest known outbreak outside the Middle East occurred in South Korea in 2015. As of 29 June 2016, 1769 laboratory-confirmed cases (630 deaths; 35.6 % case fatality rate [CFR]) had been reported from 26 countries, particularly in the Middle East. However, the CFR for hospital outbreaks was higher than that of family clusters in the Middle East and Korea. Here, we compared the mortality rates for 51 nosocomial outbreaks in the Middle East and one outbreak of MERS-CoV in South Korea. Our findings showed the CFR in the Middle East was much higher than that in South Korea (25.9 % [56/216] vs. 13.8 % [24/174], p = 0.003). Infected individuals who died were, on average, older than those who survived in both the Middle East (64 years [25-98] vs. 46 years [2-85], p = 0.000) and South Korea (68 years [49-82] vs. 53.5 years [16-87], p = 0.000). Similarly, the co-morbidity rates for the fatal cases were statistically higher than for the nonfatal cases in both the Middle East (64.3 % [36/56] vs. 28.1 % [45/160], p = 0.000) and South Korea (45.8 % [11/24] vs. 12.0 % [18/150], p = 0.000). The median number of days from onset to confirmation of infection in the fatal cases was longer than that for survivors from the Middle East (8 days [1-47] vs. 4 days [0-14], p = 0.009). Thus, older age, pre-existing concurrent diseases, and delayed confirmation increase the odds of a fatal outcome in nosocomial MERS-CoV outbreaks in the Middle East and South Korea.

Comparison of the first three waves of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus circulation in the mainland of the People's Republic of China.

BACKGROUND: H7N9 human cases were first detected in mainland China in March 2013. Circulation of this virus has continued each year shifting to typical winter months. We compared the clinical and epidemiologic characteristics for the first three waves of virus circulation. METHODS: The first wave was defined as reported cases with onset dates between March 31-September 30, 2013, the second wave was defined as October 1, 2013-September 30, 2014 and the third wave was defined as October 1, 2014-September 30, 2015. We used simple descriptive statistics to compare characteristics of the three distinct waves of virus circulation. RESULTS: In mainland China, 134 cases, 306 cases and 219 cases were detected and reported in first three waves, respectively. The median age of cases was statistically significantly older in the first wave (61 years vs. 56 years, 56 years, p < 0.001) compared to the following two waves. Most reported cases were among men in all three waves. There was no statistically significant difference between case fatality proportions (33, 42 and 45%, respectively, p = 0.08). There were no significant statistical differences for time from illness onset to first seeking healthcare, hospitalization, lab confirmation, initiation antiviral treatment and death between the three waves. A similar percentage of cases in all waves reported exposure to poultry or live poultry markets (87%, 88%, 90%, respectively). There was no statistically significant difference in the occurrence of severe disease between the each of the first three waves of virus circulation. Twenty-one clusters were reported during these three waves (4, 11 and 6 clusters, respectively), of which, 14 were considered to be possible human-to-human transmission. CONCLUSION: Though our case investigation for the first three waves found few differences between the epidemiologic and clinical characteristics, there is continued international concern about the pandemic potential of this virus. Since the virus continues to circulate, causes more severe disease, has the ability to mutate and become transmissible from human-to-human, and there is limited natural protection from infection in communities, it is critical that surveillance systems in China and elsewhere are alert to the influenza H7N9 virus.

Coverage estimates and patterns of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) use prior to and during the polio eradication endgame, Jinan City, China, 2010-2015.

BACKGROUND: Use of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) in Jinan during the polio eradication endgame has not been previously documented. Two IPV-containing vaccines were made available as an option for Jinan parents in 2009. We describe coverage levels and patterns of use of IPV over time using data from the Jinan Childhood Immunization Information Management System (JNCIIMS). METHODS: Children born between January 2010 and December 2014 who were registered in JNCIIMS were included in this study. Vaccination records were obtained from JNCIIMS on April 30, 2015. JNCIIMS distinguishes among available poliovirus vaccines; doses administered data were used to describe IPV usage over time. We identified the polio vaccination sequences used by children in the 2012 and 2013 birth cohorts. Coverage estimates were analyzed by birth cohort and migration status. We developed 3 categories for analysis: "resident child," "migrant child" and "other child" according to migration status. RESULTS: In total, 12,354 (11.7%) IPV, 5,893(5.6%) DTP-IPV-Hib vaccine and 87,054(82.7%) OPV doses were administered to children in the 2010 to 2014 birth cohorts. The proportion of children using an IPV-only schedule increased each year, consistent with the introduction of IPV that is called for by the Polio Eradication Endgame Strategic Plan 2013-2018. During this time, 4.7% children used a schedule containing both IPV and oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV). In the 2012 to 2013 birth cohorts, 14.4% children used an IPV-only schedule; 5.7% children used a sequential schedule, and 79.9% used OPV-only schedule. Use of IPV only schedules was higher among migrant children than among resident children. Among those sequential schedule using both IPV and OPV, 87.2% children used IPV for the first dose and 12.8% used OPV for the first dose. CONCLUSIONS: JNCIIMS provided a mechanism for tracking IPV and OPV vaccination patterns, and showed areas in need of improvement. Ensuring appropriately sequenced IPV and OPV supports reduction of risk of vaccine associated paralytic polio.

Association between the incidence of varicella and meteorological conditions in Jinan, Eastern China, 2012-2014.

BACKGROUND: Varicella remains an important public health issue in China. In this study we explored the effect of weather conditions on the incidence of varicella in the temperate city of Jinan, Eastern China during 2012-2014 to inform public health prevention and control measures. METHODS: Data on reported cases of varicella were obtained from National Notifiable Disease Report System. Meteorological data for the same time period were obtained from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau. A negative binomial regression model was used to assess the relationships between meteorological variables and the incidence of varicella. Given collinearity between average temperature and atmospheric pressure, separate models were constructed: one including average temperature without atmospheric pressure, the other including atmospheric pressure but without average temperature. Both models included relative humidity, wind velocity, rainfall, sunshine, and year as independent variables. RESULTS: Annual incidence rates of varicella were 44.47, 53.69, and 46.81 per 100,000 for 2012, 2013, and 2014, respectively. Each increase of 100 Pa (hPa) in atmospheric pressure was estimated to be associated with an increase in weekly incidence of 3.35 % (95 % CI = 2.94-3.67 %), while a 1 °C rise in temperature was associated with a decrease of 3.44 % (95 % CI = -3.73-3.15 %) in the weekly incidence of varicella. Similarly, a 1 % rise in relative humidity corresponded to a decrease of 0.50 % or 1.00 %, a 1 h rise in sunshine corresponded to an increase of 1.10 % or 0.50 %, and a 1 mm rise in rainfall corresponded to an increase of 0.20 % or 0.30 %, in the weekly incidence of varicella cases, depending on the variable considered in the model. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that weather factors have a significant influence on the incidence of varicella. Meteorological conditions should be considered as important predictors of varicella incidence in Jinan, Eastern China.

Comparative Epidemiology of Human Infections with Middle East Respiratory Syndrome and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronaviruses among Healthcare Personnel.

The largest nosocomial outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) occurred in South Korea in 2015. Health Care Personnel (HCP) are at high risk of acquiring MERS-Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infections, similar to the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)-Coronavirus (SARS-CoV) infections first identified in 2003. This study described the similarities and differences in epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 183 confirmed global MERS cases and 98 SARS cases in Taiwan associated with HCP. The epidemiological findings showed that the mean age of MERS-HCP and total MERS cases were 40 (24~74) and 49 (2~90) years, respectively, much older than those in SARS [SARS-HCP: 35 (21~68) years, p = 0.006; total SARS: 42 (0~94) years, p = 0.0002]. The case fatality rates (CFR) was much lower in MERS-HCP [7.03% (9/128)] or SARS-HCP [12.24% (12/98)] than the MERS-non-HCP [36.96% (34/92), p<0.001] or SARS-non-HCP [24.50% (61/249), p<0.001], however, no difference was found between MERS-HCP and SARS-HCP [p = 0.181]. In terms of clinical period, the days from onset to death [13 (4~17) vs 14.5 (0~52), p = 0.045] and to discharge [11 (5~24) vs 24 (0~74), p = 0.010] and be hospitalized days [9.5 (3~22) vs 22 (0~69), p = 0.040] were much shorter in MERS-HCP than SARS-HCP. Similarly, days from onset to confirmation were shorter in MERS-HCP than MERS-non-HCP [6 (1~14) vs 10 (1~21), p = 0.044]. In conclusion, the severity of MERS-HCP and SARS-HCP was lower than that of MERS-non-HCP and SARS-non-HCP due to younger age and early confirmation in HCP groups. However, no statistical difference was found in MERS-HCP and SARS-HCP. Thus, prevention of nosocomial infections involving both novel Coronavirus is crucially important to protect HCP.