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1.
BJU Int ; 133(6): 717-724, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38293778

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether extended surveillance with repeated computed tomography (CT) scans for patients with clinical stage IIA (CS IIA; <2 cm abdominal node involvement) and negative markers (Mk-) non-seminomatous germ cell tumours (NSGCTs) can identify those with true CS I. To assess the rate of benign lymph nodes, teratoma, and viable cancer in retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND) histopathology for patients with CS IIA Mk- NSGCT. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Observational prospective population-based study of patients diagnosed 2008-2019 with CS IIA Mk- NSGCT in the Swedish and Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group (SWENOTECA) registry. Patients were managed with surveillance, with CT scans, and tumour markers every sixth week for a maximum of 18 weeks. Patients with radiological regression were treated as CS I, if progression with chemotherapy, and remaining CS IIA Mk- disease with RPLND. The end-point was the number and percentage of patients down-staged to CS I on surveillance and rate of RPLND histopathology presented as benign, teratoma, or viable cancer. RESULTS: Overall, 126 patients with CS IIA Mk- NSGCT were included but 41 received therapy upfront. After surveillance for a median (range) of 6 (6-18) weeks, 23/85 (27%) patients were in true CS I and four (5%) progressed. Of the remaining 58 patients with lasting CS IIA Mk- NSGCT, 16 received chemotherapy and 42 underwent RPLND. The RPLND histopathology revealed benign lymph nodes in 11 (26%), teratoma in two (6%), and viable cancer in 29 (70%) patients. CONCLUSIONS: Surveillance with repeated CT scans can identify patients in true CS I, thus avoiding overtreatment. The RPLND histopathology in patients with CS IIA Mk- NSGCT had a high rate of cancer and a low rate of teratoma.


Asunto(s)
Estadificación de Neoplasias , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias , Neoplasias Testiculares , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/patología , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/terapia , Neoplasias Testiculares/patología , Neoplasias Testiculares/diagnóstico por imagen , Neoplasias Testiculares/terapia , Estudios Prospectivos , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático , Biomarcadores de Tumor , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adolescente , Metástasis Linfática , Suecia/epidemiología
2.
Eur Urol Open Sci ; 57: 37-44, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38020529

RESUMEN

Background: There is limited information on the distribution of retroperitoneal lymph node metastases (LNMs) in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). Objective: To investigate the location of LNMs in UTUC of the renal pelvis or proximal ureter and short-term complications after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) with lymph node dissection (LND). Design setting and participants: This was a prospective Nordic multicenter study (four university hospitals, two county hospitals). Patients with clinically suspected locally advanced UTUC (stage >T1) and/or clinical lymph node-positive (cN+) disease were invited to participate. Participants underwent RNU and fractionated retroperitoneal LND using predefined side-specific templates. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: The location of LNMs in the LND specimen and retroperitoneal lymph node recurrences during follow-up was recorded. Postoperative complications within 90 d of surgery were ascertained from patient charts. Descriptive statistics were used. Results and limitations: LNMs were present in the LND specimen in 23/100 patients, and nine of 100 patients experienced a retroperitoneal recurrence. Distribution per side revealed LNMs in the LND specimen in 11/38 (29%) patients with right-sided tumors, for whom the anatomically larger, right-sided template was used, in comparison to 12/62 (19%) patients with left-sided tumors, for whom a more limited template was used. High-grade complications (Clavien grade ≥3) within 90 d of surgery were registered for 13/100 patients. The study is limited in size and not powered to assess survival estimates. Conclusions: The suggested templates that we prospectively applied for right-sided and left-sided LND in patients with advanced UTUC included the majority of LNMs. High-grade complications directly related to the LND part of the surgery were limited. Patient summary: This study describes the location of lymph node metastases in patients with cancer in the upper urinary tract who underwent surgery to remove the affected kidney and ureter. The results show that most metastases occur within the template maps for lymph node surgery that we investigated, and that this surgery can be performed with few severe complications.

3.
J Clin Oncol ; 41(34): 5296-5305, 2023 Dec 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37656935

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: No consensus exists on the management of men with nonseminoma and viable nonteratomatous germ cell tumor in the postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (pcRPLND) specimen after first-line chemotherapy. We analyzed surveillance versus different adjuvant chemotherapy regimens and the influence of time to pcRPLND on oncologic outcomes. METHODS: Data on 117 men treated with cisplatin-based first-line chemotherapy between 1990 and 2018 were collected from 13 institutions. All patients had viable nonteratomatous germ cell tumor in the pcRPLND specimen. Surgery was performed after a median of 57 days, followed by either surveillance (n = 64) or adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 53). Primary end points were progression-free survival (PFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: After controlling for International Germ Cell Cancer Cooperative Group risk group and percent of viable malignant cells found at RPLND, no difference was observed between men managed with surveillance or adjuvant chemotherapy regarding PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.72 [95% CI, 0.32 to 1.6]; P = .4), CSS (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.20 to 2.39; P = .6), and OS (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.25 to 2.44]; P = .7). No statistically significant differences for PFS, CSS, or OS were observed on the basis of chemotherapy regimen or in men treated with pcRPLND ≤57 versus >57 days after first-line chemotherapy. Residual disease with <10% versus ≥10% viable cancer cells were associated with a longer PFS (HR, 3.22 [95% CI, 1.29 to 8]; P = .012). Relapse in the retroperitoneum was observed in 34 (29%) men. CONCLUSION: Men with a complete resection at pcRPLND and <10% viable cells have favorable outcomes without further treatment. Complete retroperitoneal resection seems more important than early pcRPLND.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias , Neoplasias Testiculares , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirugía , Neoplasias Testiculares/patología , Neoplasia Residual , Estudios Retrospectivos , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/cirugía , Espacio Retroperitoneal/patología , Factores de Riesgo , Recurrencia , Resultado del Tratamiento
4.
BJU Int ; 132(3): 329-336, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37129962

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To validate Vergouwe's prediction model using the Swedish and Norwegian Testicular Cancer Group (SWENOTECA) RETROP database and to define its clinical utility. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Vergouwe's prediction model for benign histopathology in post-chemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (PC-RPLND) uses the following variables: presence of teratoma in orchiectomy specimen; pre-chemotherapy level of alpha-fetoprotein; ß-Human chorionic gonadotropin and lactate dehydrogenase; and lymph node size pre- and post-chemotherapy. Our validation cohort consisted of patients included in RETROP, a prospective population-based database of patients in Sweden and Norway with metastatic nonseminoma, who underwent PC-RPLND in the period 2007-2014. Discrimination and calibration analyses were used to validate Vergouwe's prediction model results. Calibration plots were created and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test was calculated. Clinical utility, expressed as opt-out net benefit (NBopt-out ), was analysed using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 284 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 130 (46%) had benign histology after PC-RPLND. Discrimination analysis showed good reproducibility, with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.77-0.87) compared to Vergouwe's prediction model (AUC between 0.77 and 0.84). Calibration was acceptable with no recalibration. Using a prediction threshold of 70% for benign histopathology, NBopt-out was 0.098. Using the model and this threshold, 61 patients would have been spared surgery. However, only 51 of 61 were correctly classified as benign. CONCLUSIONS: The model was externally validated with good reproducibility. In a clinical setting, the model may identify patients with a high chance of benign histopathology, thereby sparing patients of surgery. However, meticulous follow-up is required.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias , Neoplasias Testiculares , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirugía , Neoplasias Testiculares/patología , Estudios Prospectivos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Espacio Retroperitoneal/cirugía , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático/métodos , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/patología , Fibrosis
5.
Scand J Urol ; 58: 4-10, 2023 Apr 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37096322

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To report population-based clinical presentation and outcomes in patients with urosymphyseal fistula (USF) after pelvic radiotherapy (RT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective chart review was performed in 33 consecutive patients diagnosed with suspicion of USF in a tertial referral center from 2014-2022 to ascertain information about diagnostic delay, clinical presentation, precipitating causes, treatments received and outcomes during the median 22 months follow-up. Out of 33 consecutive patients with suspicion of USF, one female with vesicovaginal fistula, one patient developing RT-associated bladder angiosarcoma, four patients with short follow-up (<3 months), and three patients that during chart review not were considered to have a USF were excluded. RESULTS: In all, 24 males with a median age of 77 years were diagnosed with USF. Local pain was the predominating symptom in 17/24 (71%) patients. Endourologic manipulations preceded the diagnosis of USF in 16 patients. Five patients had a diagnostic delay of more than 3 months. At diagnosis, 20/24 patients had radiological signs of osteomyelitis, and five had a concomitant rectourethral fistula. Due to comorbidity, five patients were not amenable to any other interventions than urinary catheter or suprapubic tube in conjunction with long-term antibiotics, of which three died from infections related to the USF. Out of the remaining 19 patients receiving some form of urinary diversion, five had recurrent osteomyelitis, of which four did not undergo cystectomy in conjunction with surgery for the USF. CONCLUSIONS: Urethral endourologic interventions in patients previously subjected to pelvic RT should be performed cautiously.


Asunto(s)
Osteomielitis , Derivación Urinaria , Fístula Urinaria , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Anciano , Estudios Retrospectivos , Diagnóstico Tardío/efectos adversos , Fístula Urinaria/etiología , Derivación Urinaria/efectos adversos , Comorbilidad , Osteomielitis/complicaciones , Osteomielitis/cirugía
7.
Eur Urol Oncol ; 5(2): 235-243, 2022 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33750683

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The distribution of retroperitoneal lymph node metastases for patients with nonseminoma and a residual tumour of 10-49 mm in a population-based setting is unknown. This information is needed to justify selection of patients for a unilateral template resection. OBJECTIVE: To describe the location of retroperitoneal metastases and recurrences in patients with nonseminoma germ cell tumour (NSGCT) with a residual tumour of 10-49 mm. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: RETROP is a population-based prospective observational mapping study of 213 patients in Sweden and Norway with a retroperitoneal residual tumour of 10-49 mm who underwent postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection for metastatic NSGCT during 2007-2014 with median follow-up of 100 mo. Patients were classified according to the testis primary tumour and the distribution of unilateral or bilateral lymph node metastases (with reference to the aorta) present on pre- and/or postchemotherapy computed tomography (CT) scans. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The distribution and rate of teratoma or cancer in unilateral or bilateral retroperitoneal fields and the location and rate of retroperitoneal recurrence were measured. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 65% of the patients had unilateral retroperitoneal lymph node metastases (RLNMs) on CT scans. Patients with unilateral RLNMs had a low risk of contralateral teratoma or cancer (1.6% for right- and 2.6% for left-sided NSGCT) or retroperitoneal recurrence (0% for right- and 4% for left-sided NSGCT). A weakness of the study is that the pathology specimen could not be fully designated to one specific area for some of the patients. CONCLUSIONS: Men with postchemotherapy residual disease of 10-49 mm and unilateral metastases on pre- and postchemotherapy CT scans have a low risk of contralateral disease and should be considered for a unilateral template resection. PATIENT SUMMARY: The surgeon can use computed tomography (CT) scans in deciding on the extent of lymph node dissection in patients with testicular cancer.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias , Neoplasias Retroperitoneales , Teratoma , Neoplasias Testiculares , Humanos , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático/métodos , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Neoplasia Residual/cirugía , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/cirugía , Neoplasias Retroperitoneales/cirugía , Suecia/epidemiología , Teratoma/cirugía , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Testiculares/patología , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirugía
8.
Eur Urol Oncol ; 3(3): 382-389, 2020 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31506250

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Reports on perioperative complications after postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (PC-RPLND) for nonseminoma germ cell tumour (NSGCT) are from experienced single centres, with a lack of population-based studies. OBJECTIVE: To assess the complications of bilateral and unilateral PC-RPLND. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A prospective, population-based, observational multicentre study included all patients with NSGCT who underwent PC-RPLND in Norway and Sweden during 2007-2014. Of a total of 318 patients, 87 underwent bilateral PC-RPLND and 231 underwent unilateral PC-RPLND. The median follow-up was 6 yr. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Bilateral and unilateral PC-RPLND were compared for the outcomes of intra- and postoperative complications (graded by Clavien-Dindo) and retrograde ejaculation (with or without nerve-sparing surgery). Complications were reported as absolute counts and percentages. The χ2 test was used for comparisons. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The incidence of intraoperative complications was higher for bilateral PC-RPLND than for unilateral PC-RPLND (14% vs 4.3%, p = 0.003), with ureteral injury as the most frequent reported complication (2% of the patients). Postoperative complications were more common after bilateral than after unilateral PC-RPLND (45% vs 25%, p = 0.001) with Clavien ≥3b reported in 8.3% and 2.2%, respectively (p = 0.009). Lymphatic leakage was the most common complication occurring in 11% of the patients. Retrograde ejaculation occurred more frequently after bilateral than after unilateral surgery (59% vs 32%, p < 0.001). Limitations of the study include reporting of retrograde ejaculation, which was based on a chart review. CONCLUSIONS: Intra- and postoperative complications including retrograde ejaculation are more frequent after bilateral PC-RPLND than after unilateral PC-RPLND. PATIENT SUMMARY: Lymph node dissection in patients with testicular cancer puts them at risk of complications. In this study, we present the complications after lymph node dissection.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones Intraoperatorias/epidemiología , Escisión del Ganglio Linfático/métodos , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/cirugía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Neoplasias Testiculares/cirugía , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias de Células Germinales y Embrionarias/tratamiento farmacológico , Noruega , Estudios Prospectivos , Espacio Retroperitoneal , Suecia , Neoplasias Testiculares/tratamiento farmacológico , Adulto Joven
9.
Oncotarget ; 9(5): 5778-5785, 2018 Jan 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29464033

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether anthropometric parameters add to PSA measurements in middle-aged men for risk assessment of prostate cancer (PCa) diagnosis and death. RESULTS: After adjusting for PSA, both BMI and weight were significantly associated with an increased risk of PCa death with the odds of a death corresponding to a 10 kg/m2 or 10 kg increase being 1.58 (95% CI 1.10, 2.28; p = 0.013) and 1.14 (95% CI 1.02, 1.26; p = 0.016) times greater, respectively. AUCs did not meaningfully increase with the addition of weight or BMI to prediction models including PSA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 1974 to 1986, 22,444 Swedish men aged 44 to 50 enrolled in Malmö Preventive Project, Sweden, and provided blood samples and anthropometric data. Rates of PSA screening in the cohort were very low. Documentation of PCa diagnosis and disease-specific death up to 2014 was retrieved through national registries. Among men with anthropometric measurements available at baseline, a total of 1692 men diagnosed with PCa were matched to 4190 controls, and 464 men who died of disease were matched to 1390 controls. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to determine whether diagnosis or death from PCa were associated with weight and body mass index (BMI) at adulthood after adjusting for PSA. CONCLUSIONS: Men with higher BMI and weight at early middle age have an increased risk of PCa diagnosis and death after adjusting for PSA. However, in a multi-variable numerical statistical model, BMI and weight do not importantly improve the predictive accuracy of PSA. Risk-stratification of screening should be based on PSA without reference to anthropometrics.

10.
Eur Urol ; 71(1): 46-52, 2017 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27084245

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Current prostate cancer screening guidelines conflict with respect to the age at which to initiate screening. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening versus zero screening, starting at age 50-54 yr, on prostate cancer mortality. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a population-based cohort study comparing 3479 men aged 50 yr through 54 yr randomized to PSA-screening in the Göteborg population-based prostate cancer screening trial, initiated in 1995, versus 4060 unscreened men aged 51-55 yr providing cryopreserved blood in the population-based Malmö Preventive Project in the pre-PSA era, during 1982-1985. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Cumulative incidence and incidence rate ratios of prostate cancer diagnosis, metastasis, and prostate cancer death. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: At 17 yr, regular PSA-screening in Göteborg of men in their early 50s carried a more than two-fold higher risk of prostate cancer diagnosis compared with the unscreened men in Malmö (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 2.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.18, 3.02), but resulted in a substantial decrease in the risk of metastases (IRR 0.43, 95% CI 0.22, 0.79) and prostate cancer death (IRR 0.29, 95% CI 0.11, 0.67). There were 57 fewer prostate cancer deaths per 10000 men (95% CI 22, 92) in the screened group. At 17 yr, the number needed to invite to PSA-screening and the number needed to diagnose to prevent one prostate cancer death was 176 and 16, respectively. The study is limited by lack of treatment information and the comparison of the two different birth cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: PSA screening for prostate cancer can decrease prostate cancer mortality among men aged 50-54 yr, with the number needed to invite and number needed to detect to prevent one prostate cancer death comparable to those previously reported from the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer for men aged 55-69 yr, at a similar follow-up. Guideline groups could consider whether guidelines for PSA screening should recommend starting no later than at ages 50-54 yr. PATIENT SUMMARY: Guideline recommendations about the age to start prostate-specific antigen screening could be discussed.


Asunto(s)
Tamizaje Masivo/normas , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/normas , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Neoplasias de la Próstata/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Conducta de Reducción del Riesgo
11.
Eur Urol ; 68(6): 1076-82, 2015 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25794458

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of prostate cancer (PCa) risk and anthropometrics (ie, body measurements) were based on single measurements or obtained over limited time spans. OBJECTIVE: To study the association between anthropometrics measured at multiple time points in life and their relation to later diagnosis, metastasis, or death from PCa. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This case-control study includes 27 167 Swedish men enrolled in two population-based projects from 1974 to 1996. PCa diagnosis up to December 31, 2006, disease information, gestation time, and anthropometrics at birth, military conscript testing, and adulthood were collected. A total of 1355 PCa cases were matched with 5271 controls. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Univariate conditional logistic regression was used to determine whether clinical diagnosis, metastasis, or PCa death was associated with low birth weight (weight <2500 g); with small size for gestational age; or with weight, length, or body mass index (BMI) at birth, adolescence (aged 16-22 yr), or early middle age (aged 44-50 yr). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Apart from weight at adolescence, which was associated with an increased risk of PCa diagnosis (odds ratio [OR] per 5 kg: 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.09; p=0.026), preadulthood measurements were not associated with any PCa end point. Adulthood parameters were not associated with diagnosis. In contrast, weight and BMI at early middle age were significantly associated with metastasis (OR per 5 kg: 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.20; p<0.0001, and OR: 1.09; 95% CI, 1.05-1.14; p<0.0001) and death (OR per 5 kg: 1.11 (95% CI, 1.03-1.19; p=0.005, and OR: 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.13; p=0.003), respectively. It remains unclear whether these results apply to men of nonwhite origin, to populations with active PCa screening programs, or to countries without socialized health care. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses of these large data sets demonstrate that significant effects of body characteristics (with links to metabolic syndrome) measured at early middle age are associated with PCa disease severity, metastatic progression, and outcome. Conversely, measurements at birth and adolescence are not associated with PCa prevalence or outcome. PATIENT SUMMARY: Increased weight and body mass index in adults is associated with a higher risk of prostate cancer metastasis and death.


Asunto(s)
Pesos y Medidas Corporales , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Adolescente , Adulto , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto Joven
12.
BMJ ; 346: f2023, 2013 Apr 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23596126

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between concentration of prostate specific antigen (PSA) at age 40-55 and subsequent risk of prostate cancer metastasis and mortality in an unscreened population to evaluate when to start screening for prostate cancer and whether rescreening could be risk stratified. DESIGN: Case-control study with 1:3 matching nested within a highly representative population based cohort study. SETTING: Malmö Preventive Project, Sweden. PARTICIPANTS: 21,277 Swedish men aged 27-52 (74% of the eligible population) who provided blood at baseline in 1974-84, and 4922 men invited to provide a second sample six years later. Rates of PSA testing remained extremely low during median follow-up of 27 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Metastasis or death from prostate cancer ascertained by review of case notes. RESULTS: Risk of death from prostate cancer was associated with baseline PSA: 44% (95% confidence interval 34% to 53%) of deaths occurred in men with a PSA concentration in the highest 10th of the distribution of concentrations at age 45-49 (≥ 1.6 µg/L), with a similar proportion for the highest 10th at age 51-55 (≥ 2.4 µg/L: 44%, 32% to 56%). Although a 25-30 year risk of prostate cancer metastasis could not be ruled out by concentrations below the median at age 45-49 (0.68 µg/L) or 51-55 (0.85 µg/L), the 15 year risk remained low at 0.09% (0.03% to 0.23%) at age 45-49 and 0.28% (0.11% to 0.66%) at age 51-55, suggesting that longer intervals between screening would be appropriate in this group. CONCLUSION: Measurement of PSA concentration in early midlife can identify a small group of men at increased risk of prostate cancer metastasis several decades later. Careful surveillance is warranted in these men. Given existing data on the risk of death by PSA concentration at age 60, these results suggest that three lifetime PSA tests (mid to late 40s, early 50s, and 60) are probably sufficient for at least half of men.


Asunto(s)
Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/mortalidad , Adulto , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Metástasis de la Neoplasia , Neoplasias de la Próstata/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Suecia/epidemiología
13.
Eur Urol ; 62(1): 78-84, 2012 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22306323

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is little consensus on a standard approach to analysing bone scan images. The Bone Scan Index (BSI) is predictive of survival in patients with progressive prostate cancer (PCa), but the popularity of this metric is hampered by the tedium of the manual calculation. OBJECTIVE: Develop a fully automated method of quantifying the BSI and determining the clinical value of automated BSI measurements beyond conventional clinical and pathologic features. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We conditioned a computer-assisted diagnosis system identifying metastatic lesions on a bone scan to automatically compute BSI measurements. A training group of 795 bone scans was used in the conditioning process. Independent validation of the method used bone scans obtained ≤3 mo from diagnosis of 384 PCa cases in two large population-based cohorts. An experienced analyser (blinded to case identity, prior BSI, and outcome) scored the BSI measurements twice. We measured prediction of outcome using pretreatment Gleason score, clinical stage, and prostate-specific antigen with models that also incorporated either manual or automated BSI measurements. MEASUREMENTS: The agreement between methods was evaluated using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Discrimination between prognostic models was assessed using the concordance index (C-index). RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Manual and automated BSI measurements were strongly correlated (ρ=0.80), correlated more closely (ρ=0.93) when excluding cases with BSI scores≥10 (1.8%), and were independently associated with PCa death (p<0.0001 for each) when added to the prediction model. Predictive accuracy of the base model (C-index: 0.768; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.702-0.837) increased to 0.794 (95% CI, 0.727-0.860) by adding manual BSI scoring, and increased to 0.825 (95% CI, 0.754-0.881) by adding automated BSI scoring to the base model. CONCLUSIONS: Automated BSI scoring, with its 100% reproducibility, reduces turnaround time, eliminates operator-dependent subjectivity, and provides important clinical information comparable to that of manual BSI scoring.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Óseas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Óseas/secundario , Huesos/patología , Interpretación de Imagen Asistida por Computador/métodos , Neoplasias de la Próstata/patología , Medronato de Tecnecio Tc 99m , Imagen de Cuerpo Entero/métodos , Anciano , Neoplasias Óseas/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Masculino , Clasificación del Tumor , Pronóstico , Antígeno Prostático Específico/sangre , Neoplasias de la Próstata/diagnóstico por imagen , Cintigrafía , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
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