Monocyte distribution width (MDW) and DECAF: two simple tools to determine the prognosis of severe COPD exacerbation.

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) has been associated with inflammation and poor prognosis in various acute diseases. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations (ECOPD) are associated with mortality. The objective of this study was to evaluate the utility of the MDW as a predictor of ECOPD prognosis. This retrospective study included patient admissions for ECOPD. Demographic, clinical and biochemical information; intensive care unit (ICU) admissions; and mortality during admission were recorded. A total of 474 admissions were included. MDW was positively correlated with the DECAF score (r = 0.184, p < 0.001) and C-reactive protein (mg/dL) (r = 0.571, p < 0.001), and positively associated with C-RP (OR 1.115 95% CI 1.076-1.155, p < 0.001), death (OR 9.831 95% CI 2.981- 32.417, p < 0.001) and ICU admission (OR 11.204 95% CI 3.173-39.562, p < 0.001). High MDW values were independent risk factors for mortality (HR 3.647, CI 95% 1.313-10.136, p = 0.013), ICU admission (HR 2.550, CI 95% 1.131-5.753, p = 0.024), or either mortality or ICU admission (HR 3.084, CI 95% 1.624-5.858, p = 0.001). In ROC analysis, a combined MDW-DECAF score had better diagnostic power (AUC 0.777 95% IC 0.708-0.845, p < 0.001) than DECAF (p = 0.023), MDW (p = 0.026) or C-RP (p = 0.002) alone. MDW is associated with ECOPD severity and predicts mortality and ICU admission with a diagnostic accuracy similar to that of DECAF and C-RP. The MDW- DECAF score has better diagnostic accuracy than MDW or DECAF alone in identifying mortality or ICU admission.

Alterations in circulating mitochondrial signals at hospital admission for COPD exacerbation.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation (ECOPD) alters the natural course of the disease. To date, only C-reactive protein has been used as a biomarker in ECOPD, but it has important limitations. The mitochondria release peptides (Humanin (HN), FGF-21, GDF-15, MOTS-c and Romo1) under certain metabolic conditions. Here, we aimed to evaluate the pathophysiologic, diagnostic and prognostic value of measuring serum mitochondrial peptides at hospital admission in patients with ECOPD. METHODS: A total of 51 consecutive patients admitted to our hospital for ECOPD were included and followed for 1 year; in addition, 160 participants with stable COPD from our out-patient clinic were recruited as controls. RESULTS: Serum FGF-21 (p < .001), MOTS-c (p < .001) and Romo1 (p = .002) levels were lower, and GDF-15 (p < .001) levels were higher, in patients with ECOPD than stable COPD, but no differences were found in HN. In receiver operating characteristic analysis, MOTS-c (AUC 0.744, 95% CI 0.679-0.802, p < .001) and GDF-15 (AUC 0.735, 95% CI 0.670-0.793, p < .001) had the best diagnostic power for ECOPD, with a diagnostic accuracy similar to that of C-RP (AUC 0.796 95% IC 0.735-0.848, p < .001). FGF-21 (AUC 0.700, 95% CI 0.633-0.761, p < .001) and Romo1 (AUC 0.645 95% CI 0.573-0.712, p = .001) had lower diagnostic accuracy. HN levels did not differentiate patients with ECOPD versus stable COPD (p = .557). In Cox regression analysis, HN (HR 2.661, CI95% 1.009-7.016, p = .048) and MOTS-c (HR 3.441, CI95% 1.252-9.297, p = .016) levels exceeding mean levels were independent risk factors for re-admission. CONCLUSIONS: Most mitochondrial peptides are altered in ECOPD, as compared with stable COPD. MOTS-c and GDF15 levels have a diagnostic accuracy similar to C-RP for ECOPD. HN and MOTS-c independently predict future re-hospitalization.