RESUMEN
Mold breakout is one of the significant problems in a continuous casting machine (caster). It represents one of the key areas within the steel production facilities of a steel plant. A breakout event on a caster will always cause safety hazards, high repair costs, loss of production, and shutdown of the caster for a short while. In this paper, a logic-judgment-based mold breakout prediction system has been developed for a continuous casting machine. This system developed new algorithms to detect the different sticker behaviors. With more algorithms running, each algorithm is more specialized in the other behaviors of stickers. This new logic-based breakout prediction system (BOPS) not only detects sticker breakouts but also detects breakouts that takes place due to variations in casting speed, mold level fluctuation, and taper/mold problems. This system also finds the exact location of the breakout in the mold and reduces the number of false alarms. The task of the system is to recognize a sticker and prevent a breakout. Moreover, the breakout prediction system uses an online thermal map of the mold for process visualization and assisting breakout prediction. This is done by alerting the operating staff or automatically reducing the cast speed according to the location of alarmed thermocouples, the type of steel, the tundish temperature, and the size of the cold slab width. By applying the proposed model in an actual steel plant, field application results show that it could timely detect all 13 breakouts with a detection ratio of 100%, and the frequency of false alarms was less than 0.056% times/heat. It has the additional advantage of not needing a lot of learning data, as most neural networks do. Thus, this new logical BOPS system should not only detect the sticker breakouts but also detect breakouts taking place due to variations in casting speed and mold level fluctuation.
RESUMEN
Breakout is one of the major accidents that often arise in the continuous casting shops of steel slabs in Bokaro Steel Plant, Jharkhand, India. Breakouts cause huge capital loss, reduced productivity, and create safety hazards. The existing system is not capable of predicting breakout accurately, as it considers only one process parameter, i.e., thermocouple temperature. The system also generates false alarms. Several other process parameters must also be considered to predict breakout accurately. This work has considered multiple process parameters (casting speed, mold level, thermocouple temperature, and taper/mold) and developed a breakout prediction system (BOPS) for continuous casting of steel slabs. The BOPS is modeled using an artificial neural network with a backpropagation algorithm, which further has been validated by using the Keras format and TensorFlow-based machine learning platforms. This work used the Adam optimizer and binary cross-entropy loss function to predict the liquid breakout in the caster and avoid operator intervention. The experimental results show that the developed model has 100% accuracy for generating an alarm during the actual breakout and thus, completely reduces the false alarm. Apart from the simulation-based validation findings, the investigators have also carried out the field application-based validation test results. This validation further unveiled that this breakout prediction method has a detection ratio of 100%, the frequency of false alarms is 0.113%, and a prediction accuracy ratio of 100%, which was found to be more effective than the existing system used in continuous casting of steel slab. Hence, this methodology enhanced the productivity and quality of the steel slabs and reduced substantial capital loss during the continuous casting of steel slabs. As a result, the presented hybrid algorithm of artificial neural network with backpropagation in breakout prediction does seem to be a more viable, efficient, and cost-effective method, which could also be utilized in the more advanced automated steel-manufacturing plants.