A risk score system to timely manage treatment in Crohn's disease: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Clinical severity and intestinal lesions of Crohn's disease (CD) usually progress over time and require a step up adjustment of the therapy either to prevent or to treat complications. The aim of the study was to  develop a simple risk scoring system to assess in individual CD patients the risk of disease progression and the need for more intensive treatment and monitoring. METHODS: Prospective cohort study (January 2002-September 2014) including 160 CD patients (93 female, median age 31 years; disease behavior (B)1 25%, B2 55.6%, B3 19.4%; location (L)1 61%, L3 31.9%, L2 6%; L4 0.6%; perianal disease 28.8%) seen at 6-12-month interval. Median follow-up 7.9 years (IQR: 4.3-10.5 years). Poisson models were used to evaluate predictors, at each clinical assessment, of having the following outcomes at the subsequent clinical assessment a) use of steroids; b) start of azathioprine; c) start of anti-TNF-α drugs; d) need of surgery. For each outcome 32 variables, including demographic and clinical characteristics of patients and assessment of CD intestinal lesions and complications, were evaluated as potential predictors. The predictors included in the model were chosen by a backward selection. Risk scores were calculated taking for each predictor the integer part of the Poisson model parameter. RESULTS: Considering 1464 clinical assessments 12 independent risk factors were identified, CD lesions, age at diagnosis < 40 years, stricturing behavior (B2), specific intestinal symptoms, female gender, BMI < 21, CDAI> 50, presence of inflammatory markers, no previous surgery or presence of termino-terminal anastomosis, current use of corticosteroid, no corticosteroid at first flare-up. Six of these predicted steroids use (score 0-9), three to start azathioprine (score 0-4); three to start anti-TNF-α drugs (score 0-4); six need of surgery (score 0-11). The predicted percentage risk to be treated with surgery within one year since the referral assessment varied from 1 to 28%; with azathioprine from 3 to 13%; with anti-TNF-α drugs from 2 to 15%. CONCLUSIONS: These scores may provide a useful clinical tool for clinicians in the prognostic assessment and treatment adjustment of Crohn's disease in any individual patient.

A survey on mortality from non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: Is the emergency referral system adequate?

BACKGROUND: Non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Little information is available on the clinical management of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Italy in relation to the current organization of the Italian Emergency Health Services into Level-I and Level-II Emergency Departments (ED), the latter being more complex structures with greater resources. METHODS: A retrospective survey on clinical, endoscopic, and survival data was conducted by the regional sections of the 3 main Italian gastroenterological societies, AIGO, SIED and SIGE, recording all consecutive episodes of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding referred to 7 centres (4 of which were Level-II Emergency Departments) in Rome, Italy, during a one-year period. A total of 624 consecutive patients (64% males, mean age 67.6 ± 16.2 years) were included. Thirty-day mortality was 4.6%. Main factors associated with survival at both univariate and multivariate analysis were the presence of full Rockall score <5 and the admission to a Level-II Emergency Departments (p<0.001). Level-I Emergency Departments admitted patients with a full Rockall score ≥ 5 (p=0.02) more frequently than patients with negative endoscopic findings (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Referral of non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients to Emergency Departments with more resources (Level-II) is associated with reduced mortality. Yet, unfortunately, high-risk patients were more often admitted to Level-I Emergency Departments, which suggests the need for a better organization of the emergency referral system.

Ultrasonographic detection and assessment of the severity of Crohn's disease recurrence after ileal resection.

BACKGROUND: Recurrence and severity of Crohn's disease mucosal lesions after "curative" ileal resection is assessed at endoscopy. Intramural lesions can be detected as increased wall thickness at Small Intestine Contrast Ultrasonography (SICUS). AIMS: To assess after ileal resection whether: 1) SICUS detects recurrence of Crohn's disease lesions, 2) the intestinal wall thickness measured at the level of ileo-colonic anastomosis predicts the severity of endoscopic lesions, 3) the extension of intramural lesions of the neo-terminal ileum is useful for grading severity of the recurrence, 4) the combined measures of wall thickness of the ileo-colonic anastomosis and of the extension of intramural lesions at level of the neo-terminal ileum may predict the endoscopic Rutgeerts score METHODS: Fifty eight Crohn's disease patients (M 37, age range 19-75 yrs) were prospectively submitted at 6-12 months intervals after surgery to endoscopy and SICUS for a total of 111 observations. RESULTS: Six months or more after surgery wall thickness of ileo-colonic anastomosis > 3.5 mm identified 100% of patients with endoscopic lesions (p < 0.0001). ROC curve analysis, combining wall thickness of ileo-colonic anastomosis and the extension of intramural lesions of neo-terminal ileum, discriminated (0.95) patients with, from those without, endoscopic lesions. Performing two multiple logistic regression analyses only wall thickness of ileo-colonic anastomosis and extension of neo-terminal ileum intramural lesions were significantly associated with absence or presence of endoscopic lesions. An ordinal polychotomus logistic model, considering all investigated variables, confirmed that only SICUS variables were associated with endoscopic grading of severity. CONCLUSIONS: In patients submitted to ileal resection for Crohn's disease non-invasive Small Intestine Contrast Ultrasonography 1) by assessing thickness of ileo-colonic anastomosis accurately detects initial, minimal Crohn's disease recurrence, and 2) by assessing both thickness of ileo-colonic anastomosis and extension of intramural lesions of neo-terminal ileum grades the severity of the post-surgical recurrence.

Predicting mortality in non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeders: validation of the Italian PNED Score and Prospective Comparison with the Rockall Score.

OBJECTIVES: We sought (i) to validate a new prediction rule of mortality (Progetto Nazionale Emorragia Digestiva (PNED) score) on an independent population with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and (ii) to compare the accuracy of the Italian PNED score vs. the Rockall score in predicting the risk of death. METHODS: We conducted prospective validation of analysis of consecutive patients with UGIB at 21 hospitals from 2007 to 2008. Outcome measure was 30-day mortality. All the variables used to calculate the Rockall score as well as those identified in the Italian predictive model were considered. Calibration of the model was tested using the chi2 goodness-of-fit and performance characteristics with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to quantify the diagnostic accuracy of the two predictive models. RESULTS: Over a 16-month period, data on 1,360 patients were entered in a national database and analyzed. Peptic ulcer bleeding was recorded in 60.7% of cases. One or more comorbidities were present in 66% of patients. Endoscopic treatment was delivered in all high-risk patients followed by high-dose intravenous proton pump inhibitor in 95% of them. Sixty-six patients died (mortality 4.85%; 3.54-5.75). The PNED score showed a high discriminant capability and was significantly superior to the Rockall score in predicting the risk of death (AUC 0.81 (0.72-0.90) vs. 0.66 (0.60-0.72), P<0.000). Positive likelihood ratio for mortality in patients with a PNED risk score >8 was 16.05. CONCLUSIONS: The Italian 10-point score for the prediction of death was successfully validated in this independent population of patients with non-variceal gastrointestinal bleeding. The PNED score is accurate and superior to the Rockall score. Further external validation at the international level is needed.

Nerve growth factor modulates the proliferative capacity of the intrahepatic biliary epithelium in experimental cholestasis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We evaluated the expression of neurotrophins in rat cholangiocytes and the role and mechanisms by which nerve growth factor (NGF) modulates cholangiocyte proliferation. METHODS: The expression of neurotrophins and their receptors was investigated by immunohistochemistry in liver sections and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction and immunoblots in isolated cholangiocytes. In vitro, the effect of NGF on cholangiocyte proliferation and signal transduction was investigated by immunoblotting for proliferating cell nuclear antigen, phosphorylated AKT (p-AKT), phosphorylated extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 (p-ERK1/2), phosphorylated c-jun-N-terminal kinase, and phosphorylated p38. In vivo, rats that had undergone bile duct ligation (BDL) were treated with an anti-NGF antibody to immunoneutralize NGF and bile duct mass, proliferation, apoptosis, and inflammation were investigated by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: NGF and its TrkA receptor were expressed by normal rat cholangiocytes and up-regulated following BDL. Cholangiocytes secrete NGF, and secretion is increased in proliferating BDL cholangiocytes. In vitro, NGF stimulated cholangiocyte proliferation, which was associated with enhanced p-AKT and p-ERK1/2 expression. NGF proliferation in vitro was partially blocked by the MEK inhibitor (UO126) and completely ablated by the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase inhibitor (wortmannin). In vitro, NGF and estrogens have an additive effect on cholangiocyte proliferation by acting on phosphorylated TrkA and p-ERK1/2. In vivo, immunoneutralization of NGF decreased bile duct mass in BDL rats, which was associated with depressed proliferation and enhanced apoptosis and with increased portal inflammation. CONCLUSIONS: Cholangiocytes secrete NGF and express NGF receptors. NGF induces cholangiocyte proliferation by activating the ERK and, predominantly, the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase pathway and exerts an additive effect in combination with estrogens on proliferation.

Effect of ovariectomy on the proliferative capacity of intrahepatic rat cholangiocytes.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We evaluated the effects of ovariectomy (OVX) and estrogen replacement treatment on cholangiocyte proliferation induced by bile duct ligation (BDL). METHODS: BDL (2 weeks) was performed in ovariectomized rats and the proliferative and apoptotic activity compared with normal, with BDL control rats, and with BDL +/- OVX rats treated with 17-beta estradiol. RESULTS: OVX induced a significant (P < 0.01) reduction of bile duct mass in BDL rats. The reduction of bile duct mass induced by OVX was associated with a decreased expression of estrogen receptor (ER)-alpha (2.5-fold) and, mainly, ER-beta (35-fold). Proliferating cellular nuclear antigen (PCNA) expression in cholangiocytes was impaired by OVX, indicating depression of proliferation, whereas terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated deoxyuridine triphosphate nick-end labeling (TUNEL) and Fas positivity were markedly enhanced, indicating activation of Fas-mediated apoptosis. Administration of 17-beta estradiol during BDL in OVX rats induced a normalization of bile duct mass, ER expression, cholangiocyte proliferation, and apoptosis (Fas and TUNEL) in comparison with untreated BDL rats. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the role of endogenous estrogens in sustaining the enhanced proliferative and secretory activities of cholangiocytes in cholestasis. On the basis of these data, the hypothesis of an estrogenic functional deficiency in chronic cholestatic liver diseases should merit careful attention.

Corticosteroids modulate the secretory processes of the rat intrahepatic biliary epithelium.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We investigated the expression of glucocorticoid receptors (GcRs) in the intrahepatic biliary epithelium and the role of corticosteroids in the regulation of cholangiocyte secretion. METHODS: GcR was studied by immunohistochemistry, reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction, and Western blots. The effects of dexamethasone and budesonide on biliary bicarbonate excretion and H+/HCO3- transport processes were investigated in bile fistula rats, isolated intrahepatic bile duct units (IBDUs), and purified cholangiocytes. RESULTS: GcRs were expressed by rat cholangiocytes. Although acute administration of corticosteroids showed no effect, treatment for 2 days with dexamethasone or budesonide increased (P < 0.05) biliary bicarbonate concentration and secretion, which were blocked by the specific GcR antagonist, RU-486. IBDUs isolated from rats treated with dexamethasone or budesonide showed an increased (P < 0.05) activity of the Na+/H+ exchanger (NHE1 isoform) and Cl-/HCO3- exchanger (AE2 member), which was blocked by RU-486. Protein expression of NHE1 and AE2 and messenger RNA for NH1 but not AE2 were increased (P < 0.05) in isolated cholangiocytes by dexamethasone treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The intrahepatic biliary epithelium expresses GcR and responds to corticosteroids by increasing bicarbonate excretion in bile. This is caused by corticosteroid-induced enhanced activities and protein expression of transport processes driving bicarbonate excretion in the biliary epithelium.