Ethnicity-specific obesity cut-points in the development of Type 2 diabetes - a prospective study including three ethnic groups in the United Kingdom.

AIMS: Conventional definitions of obesity, e.g. body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m² or waist circumference cut-points of 102 cm (men) and 88 cm (women), may underestimate metabolic risk in non-Europeans. We prospectively identified equivalent ethnicity-specific obesity cut-points for the estimation of diabetes risk in British South Asians, African-Caribbeans and Europeans. METHODS: We studied a population-based cohort from London, UK (1356 Europeans, 842 South Asians, 335 African-Caribbeans) who were aged 40-69 years at baseline (1988-1991), when they underwent anthropometry, fasting and post-load (75 g oral glucose tolerance test) blood tests. Incident Type 2 diabetes was identified from primary care records, participant recall and/or follow-up biochemistry. Ethnicity-specific obesity cut-points in association with diabetes incidence were estimated using negative binomial regression. RESULTS: Diabetes incidence rates (per 1000 person years) at a median follow-up of 19 years were 20.8 (95% CI: 18.4, 23.6) and 12.0 (8.3, 17.2) in South Asian men and women, 16.5 (12.7, 21.4) and 17.5 (13.0, 23.7) in African-Caribbean men and women, and 7.4 (6.3, 8.7), and 7.2 (5.3, 9.8) in European men and women. For incidence rates equivalent to those at a BMI of 30 kg/m² in European men and women, age- and sex-adjusted cut-points were: South Asians, 25.2 (23.4, 26.6) kg/m²; and African-Caribbeans, 27.2 (25.2, 28.6) kg/m². For South Asian and African-Caribbean men, respectively, waist circumference cut-points of 90.4 (85.0, 94.5) and 90.6 (85.0, 94.5) cm were equivalent to a value of 102 cm in European men. Waist circumference cut-points of 84.0 (74.0, 90.0) cm in South Asian women and 81.2 (71.4, 87.4) cm in African-Caribbean women were equivalent to a value of 88 cm in European women. CONCLUSIONS: In prospective analyses, British South Asians and African-Caribbeans had equivalent diabetes incidence rates at substantially lower obesity levels than the conventional European cut-points.

Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype as a simple predictive marker of incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with prediabetes.

AIM: To determine prospectively the association of baseline hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype with incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with impaired glucose tolerance. METHODS: In a randomized 2-year diabetes prevention trial in 517 men with impaired glucose tolerance, 123 (23.8%) developed diabetes. Baseline anthropometric, metabolic and clinical variables were estimated. Associations of hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype (waist circumference ≥ 90cm and a serum triglyceride level of ≥ 1.7 mmol/l) with insulin resistance and incident diabetes were assessed using multiple linear regression and Cox's proportional hazard models, respectively. RESULTS: Men with an isolated enlarged waistline and hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype had significantly higher BMI and percentage of total body fat compared with the group with normal waistline and triglyceride levels and the group with isolated hypertriglyceridaemia. The men with hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype had higher insulin resistance (mean ± sd homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance value: 3.6 ± 1.5) compared with those in the isolated enlarged waistline, the isolated hypertriglyceridaemia or the normal waistline and triglyceride level groups (3.1 ± 1.4, 2.7 ± 1.0 and 2.5 ± 1.1, respectively, all P < 0.05 compared with hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype). Multiple linear regression analyses showed that hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype was significantly associated with insulin resistance after adjusting for age, BMI, family history, percentage of total body fat, smoking, alcohol intake, 2-h plasma glucose and HDL cholesterol level. Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype was independently associated with incident diabetes after adjusting for the above confounders and gamma-glutamyl transferase (hazard ratio 1.49, 95% CI 1.01-2.21; P = 0.047). The association of hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype with incident diabetes was abolished when insulin resistance was introduced into the model (hazard ratio 1.39, 95% CI 0.092-2.10; P=0.12). CONCLUSIONS: Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype is a simple clinical proxy measurement for insulin resistance and is strongly associated with incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with impaired glucose tolerance.

A holistic assessment of bariatric surgical outcomes in a Northern Irish cohort.

The King's Obesity Staging system was developed to evaluate the effect of obesity treatments in multiple physical, psychological and functional domains. In this prospective cohort study, a Northern Irish cohort was scored using the King's Obesity Staging system before and 1 year after bariatric surgery. 71 individuals underwent surgery and 31 (44%) had type 2 diabetes. Bariatric surgery improved each health domain (p < 0.05). A subgroup with type 2 diabetes showed a significantly greater improvement in gonadal disease (polycystic ovarian syndrome and sub-fertility) (p = 0.02), and a trend towards greater improvement in cardiovascular disease (p = 0.07) compared with the non-diabetic subgroup. Half of those with pre-diabetes were normoglycaemic postoperatively (p < 0.05). The King's Obesity Staging system can be used to holistically evaluate the outcomes of bariatric surgery. Patients benefit from bariatric surgery in many ways, but those with diabetes may benefit more.

A history of previous gestational diabetes mellitus is associated with adverse changes in insulin secretion and VLDL metabolism independently of increased intrahepatocellular lipid.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We have previously reported a high prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among women with previous gestational diabetes mellitus (pGDM). We wanted to confirm that intrahepatocellular lipid (IHCL) is associated with pGDM independently of adiposity and determine: (1) if VLDL metabolism is dysregulated; and (2) the extent to which NAFLD and IHCL account for the dysmetabolic phenotype in pGDM. METHODS: We analysed data from a cohort of 234 women (114 with pGDM) and identified effects of pGDM on lipid and glucoregulation that were independent of ultrasound-diagnosed NAFLD. We then measured IHCL by MR spectroscopy in a representative subgroup (n = 36) and conducted detailed metabolic studies (IVGTT, VLDL apolipoprotein B [apoB] kinetics and palmitate turnover) and measurement of regional body fat by MRI to demonstrate effects of IHCL that were independent of a history of pGDM. RESULTS: pGDM was associated with increased IHCL (p = 0.04) after adjustment for adiposity. Independently of IHCL, pGDM was associated with a lower IVGTT disposition index (p = 0.02) and acute insulin response to glucose (pGDM+/NAFLD-, 50% lower; pGDM+/NAFLD+, 36% lower; effect of pGDM, p = 0.03), increased VLDL apoB pool size (pGDM+/NAFLD-, 3.1-fold higher; pGDM+/NAFLD+, 1.2-fold higher; effect of pGDM, p = 0.02) and, at borderline significance (p = 0.05), increased rate of VLDL apoB synthesis. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: pGDM is associated with increased IHCL independently of adiposity. The increased liver fat contributes to the phenotype, but pGDM status is independently associated with diminished insulin secretion and (shown for the first time) augmented VLDL metabolism. IHCL with pGDM may compound a dysmetabolic phenotype.

IRS1 gene variants, dysglycaemic metabolic changes and type-2 diabetes risk.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A recent genome-wide association study identified rs2943641C > T, 500 kb from the insulin receptor substrate-1 gene (IRS1), as a type-2 diabetes (T2D) susceptibility locus. We aimed to replicate this association by meta-analysis and examine whether common variants within IRS1, present on the HumanCVD BeadChip, were associated with T2D risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We genotyped rs2943641 in 2389 prevalent or incident T2D patients and 6494 controls from two prospective and three case studies based in UK and in the European Atherosclerosis Research Study-II (EARSII; n = 714). Thirty-three IRS1 variants had been genotyped in the prospective Whitehall-II study (n = 4752) using the HumanCVD BeadChip. In a fixed-effects meta-analysis of the UK study cohorts rs2943641T allele was associated with 6% lower risk of T2D (p = 0.18), with T-allele carriers having an odds ratio (OR) of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.80-1.00, p = 0.056) compared to CC subjects. The T-allele was also associated with lower fasting insulin and homeostasis model assessment index of insulin resistance in Whitehall-II and with lower post-load insulin after an oral glucose tolerance test in EARSII (all p < 0.05). None of the IRS1 variants on the chip showed linkage disequilibrium with rs2943641. In silico analysis with follow-up genotyping (total n = 9313) identified that the rare allele of the IRS1 promoter variant rs6725556A > G showed association with reduced T2D risk (OR per G-allele: 0.82, 95%CI: 0.69-0.96, p = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: We confirm the association of rs2943641T with T2D protection. There is a possible independent effect on risk of a putative IRS1 promoter variant.

Simple indices of inflammation as predictors of death from cancer or cardiovascular disease in a prospective cohort after two decades of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have identified sub-clinical inflammation as a potential factor in the pathogenesis of cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) but the possibility that simple, readily measured indices of sub-clinical inflammation might predict both CVD and cancer has not been tested in the context of a single, prospective analysis. AIM: To evaluate simply measured indices of inflammation as long-term predictors of death from either cancer or CVD. DESIGN: Prospective open cohort study. METHODS: A total of 1192 white males received measurements of a range of risk markers including the inflammation indices white blood cell count (WBC), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and serum globulin concentrations. Inflammation marker clustering was quantified as a factor-analysis-derived inflammation score and survival time to death from any cancer or CVD was modeled on baseline measures using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 1010 participants met inclusion criteria, of whom 94 died of cancer and 67 of CVD. Mean follow-up times among cases and survivors ranged from 18.2-21.9 years. Independently of established risk factors [age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, alcohol and exercise], WBC, ESR and globulin levels were all individually predictive of both cancer (hazard ratio 1.43, P = 0.002; 1.27, P = 0.02; 1.26, P = 0.02, respectively) and CVD mortality (1.29, P = 0.06; 1.43, P = 0.007; 1.50, P = 0.001). The inflammation score predicted both cancer mortality (1.35, P = 0.003) and CVD mortality (1.46, P = 0.002). Risks associated with high inflammation score were equivalent to and independent of smoking cigarettes for cancer or, for CVD, having a serum cholesterol concentration ≥6.2 mmol/l. CONCLUSIONS: Simple indices of inflammation predict death from cancer or CVD two decades later as strongly as smoking predicts cancer or cholesterol predicts CVD. Their measurement could contribute to evaluation of both cancer and CVD risk.

The effects of rosiglitazone on atherosclerotic progression in patients with Type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk.

AIMS: Cardiovascular mortality remains high despite intensive treatment of people with Type 2 diabetes mellitus. Meta-analyses on rosiglitazone have raised concerns regarding its cardiovascular safety. We studied the effects of rosiglitazone on ultrasonic indices of carotid arterial disease and inflammatory markers in a group of Type 2 diabetic patients at high cardiovascular risk. METHODS: A trial of rosiglitazone in Type 2 diabetic patients with high cardiovascular risk and internal carotid artery plaque compared changes in carotid ultrasound intima-media thickness (IMT), plaque thickness, arterial stiffness and compliance, and inflammatory markers at baseline, 26 and 52 weeks. RESULTS: In the rosiglitazone group (n=28), carotid artery plaque thickness was reduced by 0.08 mm, compared with an increase of 0.19 mm (P=0.075) in the placebo group (n=29). There were no significant differences in changes of IMT, carotid wall compliance and stiffness between the two groups. Glycated haemoglobin reduced by -0.9 vs. 0.1% (-7 vs. 2 mmol/mol), (P<0.001); insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) reduced by -37.6 vs. -1.1% (P=0.016); and B cell function (HOMA-B) increased by 36.8 vs. 0.7% (P=0.009). Non-esterified fatty acids reduced by -23.5 vs. 7.9% (P=0.005); tissue plasminogen activator reduced by -25.0 vs. 0.6% (P=0.001); and plasminogen activator inhibitor activity reduced by -57.4 vs. -34.6% (P=0.052). CONCLUSIONS: Rosiglitazone reduced carotid artery plaque thickness, though not significantly, and there was no significant change in intima media thickness or other ultrasonic indices of carotid arterial disease. There were significant improvements in glycaemic control, insulin sensitivity and fibrinolytic, but not inflammatory, markers. There was no evidence in this study of any adverse effects on progression of carotid arterial disease.

Can protein biomarkers provide an index of coronary artery calcification in patients with Type 2 diabetes?

OBJECTIVES: By exploring differences between patients with high and low coronary artery calcification score (CACS), a plasma protein biomarker might be identified as an alternative to CACS screening. METHODS: We selected stored samples (12 per group) from a cohort study of patients with Type 2 diabetes and CACS >1000 or <100 Agatston units, with matching for age, BMI, blood pressure, lipids and lipoproteins and fibrinogen. Multiplex, immunobead-based assay or ELISA measured 18 cardiovascular-related protein biomarkers. SELDI-TOF mass spectrometry (MS) screened for proteins differing significantly between high and low CACS. RESULTS: Only monocyte chemotactic protein-1 was higher in the high compared with the low CACS group but concentrations overlapped appreciably. On SELDI-TOF MS, several mass/charge ratio peak intensities significantly discriminated high and low CACS but these differences were not confirmed in larger samples from the cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma protein biomarkers are unlikely to provide an effective alternative to measurement of CACS.

Long-term changes and variability in diabetes risk factors prior to the development of impaired glucose homeostasis.

AIMS: To determine whether rate of change and variability in risk factors provides insight into the development of impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) or Type 2 diabetes (DM). METHODS: In a nested case-control study, repeated risk factor measurements (mean number 4.3, duration 11.4 years) culminated in 59 men developing IFG (n = 37), IGT (n = 14) and/or DM (n = 11). For each case, two control subjects were matched for age and equivalence of follow-up. Rates of change and variability in diabetes risk factors prior to diagnosis were quantified by regression analysis. Changes between penultimate and diagnostic visits were also analysed. RESULTS: The age-related rise in body mass index (BMI) was attenuated prior to IFG compared with control subjects (+0.102 vs. +0.772 kg/m2/decade, P = 0.02). There was also some evidence for this prior to IGT and DM (IGT: -1.530 vs. +0.158 kg/m2/decade, P = 0.09; DM: -1.146 vs. +0.332 kg/m2/decade, non-significant). Prior to onset, IGT cases were distinguished by higher inflammatory marker levels, a decline in insulinogenic index and greater variability in oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) insulin, and DM cases by lower insulin sensitivity and higher liver enzyme activities. Fasting and OGTT glucose levels changed little during the mean 8.9 years prior to onset of IFG, IGT or DM. The transition to IGT or DM was accompanied by a fall in insulin sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: Except for BMI, change or variability in risk factor levels appears relatively unimportant in the development of clinically elevated glucose levels. Deterioration in glucose levels to IGT or DM occurs as a rapid, incremental increase accompanied by a decline in insulin sensitivity.

Coronary calcification, homocysteine, C-reactive protein and the metabolic syndrome in Type 2 diabetes: the Prospective Evaluation of Diabetic Ischaemic Heart Disease by Coronary Tomography (PREDICT) Study.

AIMS: The PREDICT Study aims to determine: (i) the association between cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery calcification score (CACS) obtained by electron beam tomography and (ii) the predictive value of CACS for coronary heart disease (CHD) events in Type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Having previously reported relationships between CACS and conventional risk factors, we have now studied the novel risk factors, plasma high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP) and homocysteine, insulin resistance, serum apoprotein A1 and B concentrations, the serum triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and metabolic syndrome (International Diabetes Federation definition) in 573 subjects of the PREDICT Type 2 diabetes cohort. RESULTS: In univariate analyses, the only significant positive novel correlate of CACS was homocysteine (P = 0.0004). CRP was increased in those with detectable calcification, but decreased with increasing calcification score (P = 0.006). In a multivariate model that included all significant univariate correlates, CACS was independently associated with age (P < 0.0001), waist-hip ratio (P < 0.02), male gender (P < 0.05) and duration of diabetes (P < 0.05), but the association with homocysteine was no longer significant. The negative association between CACS and CRP remained in multivariate analysis, and was independent of statin use. CONCLUSIONS: Age was the major factor influencing CACS in Type 2 diabetes, with weaker contributions from waist hip-ratio and duration of diabetes. Other novel cardiovascular risk factors appear to have little positive effect.

Gender differences in the insulin-like growth factor axis response to a glucose load.

AIMS: The insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) are thought to contribute to glucose homeostasis. The aim of our study was to examine the response of the IGFs and their binding proteins to an intravenous load of glucose in a cohort of young men and women with normal glucose tolerance. METHODS: The intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) was used to quantify insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion in 160 adults aged 20-21 years in Adelaide, Australia. Serum IGF-I, IGF-II, IGF-binding protein (IGFBP)-1 and IGFBP-3 were measured during the IVGTT. RESULTS: Women were less insulin sensitive than men with higher fasting insulin (women 55.6 +/- 4.4, men 44.1 +/- 3.6 pmol L(-1), P = 0.001) and first phase insulin secretion (women 3490 +/- 286, men 3038 +/- 271 pmol L(-1) min, P = 0.042). Women showed lower fasting free IGF-I (women 0.29 +/- 0.02, men 0.36 +/- 0.02 mug L(-1), P = 0.004) but higher IGFBP-3 (women 46.3 +/- 0.53, men 43.3 +/- 0.58 mg dL(-1), P = 0.001) and higher IGFBP-1 concentrations (women 37.0 +/- 2.9, men 24.8 +/- 2.3 mug L(-1), P = 0.012). IGFBP-1 fell by 5 min and remained suppressed. IGFBP-3 and total IGF-I fell until 60 min rising again by 2 h. IGF and IGFBP values were all higher in women. IGFBP-1 showed a negative association with fasting and stimulated insulin concentrations in both genders. First phase insulin secretion however showed positive correlations with IGFBP-3 (r = 0.321, P = 0.004) and IGF-I (r = 0.339 P = 0.002) in men but not women. CONCLUSION: Our data show that IGFBP-1, IGFBP-3 and IGF-I show acute changes following a glucose load and there are marked gender differences in these responses.

The impact of ethnicity on glucose regulation and the metabolic syndrome following gestational diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We assessed the impact of ethnic origin on metabolism in women following gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Glucose regulation and other features of the metabolic syndrome were studied at 20.0 (18.2-22.1) months (geometric mean [95% CI]) post-partum in women with previous GDM (185 European, 103 Asian-Indian, 80 African-Caribbean). They were compared with the same features in 482 normal control subjects who had normal glucose regulation during and following pregnancy. RESULTS: Impaired glucose regulation or diabetes by WHO criteria were present in 37% of women with previous GDM (diabetes in 17%), especially in those of African-Caribbean and Asian-Indian origin (50 and 44%, respectively vs 28% in European, p=0.009). BMI, waist circumference, diastolic blood pressure, fasting triglyceride and insulin levels, and insulin resistance by homeostatic model assessment (HOMA), were increased following GDM (p<0.001 for all, vs control subjects). Where glucose regulation was normal following GDM, basal insulin secretion (by HOMA) was high (p<0.001 vs control subjects). Irrespective of glucose regulation in pregnancy, Asian-Indian origin was associated with high triglyceride and low HDL cholesterol levels, and African-Caribbean with increased waist circumference, blood pressure, and insulin levels, together with insulin resistance and low triglyceride concentrations. Nonetheless, the GDM-associated features were consistent within each ethnic group. The metabolic syndrome by International Diabetes Federation criteria was present in 37% of women with previous GDM, especially in non-Europeans (Asian-Indian 49%, African-Caribbean 43%, European 28%, p=0.001), and in 10% of controls. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Following GDM, abnormal glucose regulation and the metabolic syndrome are common, especially in non-European women, indicating a need for diabetes and cardiovascular disease prevention strategies.

Oestrogens and insulin secretion.

There is a persistent perception that oestrogens have an adverse effect on carbohydrate metabolism. It might therefore be expected that their use would result in a corresponding increase in the incidence of diabetes. Recent evidence from clinical trials suggesting that women on postmenopausal oestrogen hormone replacement therapy (HRT) have a reduced incidence of type 2 diabetes therefore appears paradoxical. Short-term supraphysiological oestrogen administration has an adverse effect on glucose tolerance, resulting from suppression of first-phase insulin secretion and increased insulin resistance. Oestrogen-induced increases in glucocorticoid activity could account for these effects. Oestrogen-induced deterioration in glucose tolerance is, however, accompanied by a reduction in fasting glucose, an effect that could be accounted for by glucagon antagonism. These short-term effects contrast with long-term preservation of insulin secretion and glucose homeostasis by oestrogens. In animal studies, ovariectomy is associated with decreased insulin secretion and increased risk of diabetes, whereas oestrogen administration protects against diabetes and increases the insulin response to glucose. The mechanism is uncertain, but direct effects on the pancreas via steroid receptors or indirect effects via oestrogen-induced glucagon antagonism and subclinical increases in glucocorticoids and growth hormone could all contribute. Recent evidence that HRT increases the risk of cardiovascular disease suggests that it should not be used for the prevention of diabetes, but the mechanism responsible for this benefit merits further investigation and might lead to new therapies.

Optimizing insulin sensitivity assessment using the minimal model in chronic heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Minimal model analysis of the intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) has been used successfully to demonstrate that patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) are insulin-resistant. Continuing experience in minimal model methodology has raised questions about how best to assign basal glucose concentrations during such analyses. METHODS AND RESULTS: IVGTT data from randomly selected patients with CHF (n = 15) and controls (n = 15) were analysed using the minimal model, with the basal glucose concentration (G (b)) assigned the value of fasting plasma glucose concentration (G (fast)), or the value of plasma glucose concentration 180 minutes after the start of the IVGTT (G (180)). Insulin sensitivity (S (I)) was significantly higher with G (b) = G (fast), than with G (b) = G (180) (controls: 5.60 +/- 0.78 vs. 3.36 +/- 0.25/min/muU/ml x 10 (4), p = 0.0017; patients 4.19 +/- 0.54 vs. 2.36 +/- 0.15/min/microU/ml x 10 (4), p = 0.0004). At G (b) = G (fast), CHF patients showed a non-significant 25 % reduction in S (I) in comparison to controls (p = 0.15). In contrast, at G (b) = G (180), CHF patients showed a significant 30 % reduction of S (I) in comparison to controls (p = 0.0018). S (I) estimates derived at G (b) = G (fast) exhibited twice the variability of those estimated using G (b) = G (180) (coefficients of variation of S (I) in patients with CHF were 50.0 % and 24.8 %, respectively). CONCLUSION: In studies of patients with CHF, greater precision and discriminatory power of insulin sensitivity estimates is obtained when the basal glucose concentration is taken as the plasma glucose concentration 180 minutes after the start of the IVGTT.

Metabolic syndrome and coronary heart disease in South Asians, African-Caribbeans and white Europeans: a UK population-based cross-sectional study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to study differences in the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome and its associations with prevalent CHD according to ethnicity and sex. METHODS: We performed a combined analysis of two population-based cross-sectional studies conducted between 1988 and 1991 that followed identical protocols. Participants (aged 40-69 years) comprised 2,346 Europeans (76% male), 1,711 South Asians (83% male) and 803 African-Caribbeans (57% male) resident in west London. Fasting blood, overnight urine collection, clinical and anthropometric measurements were performed. Clinical history or major ECG changes defined prevalent CHD. The metabolic syndrome was defined according to the criteria recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) and the National Cholesterol Education Programme (NCEP). RESULTS: The prevalence of the metabolic syndrome was highest in South Asians (WHO, men 46%, women 31%; NCEP, men 29%, women 32%) and lowest in European women (WHO, 9%; NCEP, 14%). The prevalence of CHD was 10% in South Asian men, 9% in European men, 5-6% in African-Caribbeans and European women, and 2% in South Asian women. The metabolic syndrome was associated with prevalent CHD in European men [NCEP, odds ratio (OR)=1.6, 95% CI 1.2-2.4; WHO, OR=1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.5] and South Asian men (NCEP, OR=2.1, 95% CI 1.5-3.1; WHO, OR=1.6, 95% CI 1.1-2.3). Associations with CHD were weaker in African-Caribbeans and were inconsistent among European women. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The current definitions of the metabolic syndrome give an inconsistent picture of cardiovascular disease risk when applied to different ethnic groups within the UK. Prospective studies are needed to validate workable ethnic-specific definitions.

Hemostatic risk factors and insulin sensitivity, regional body fat distribution, and the metabolic syndrome.

Disturbances in the thrombotic and fibrinolytic systems are a feature of insulin resistance, obesity, and the metabolic syndrome. However, there are few studies in which these relationships have been explored in mainly asymptomatic individuals using sophisticated measures of insulin sensitivity and regional adiposity. Variables of the hemostatic system were measured in 106 men (aged 32-68 yr; body mass index, 20-34 kg/m(2)). Insulin sensitivity was measured by minimal model analysis and regional adiposity by dual energy x-ray absorptiometry. Clustering of intercorrelated variables was assessed by the statistical technique of factor analysis. Plasma levels of procoagulant factors VII and X, anticoagulant proteins C and S, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 correlated positively with total and percent central body fat (r = 0.25-0.38; P < 0.05) and negatively with insulin sensitivity (except protein S; r = -0.24 to -0.35; P < 0.05). On factor analysis, procoagulant factors VII and X, proteins C and S, and plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 were components of the cluster of variables that explained the greatest proportion of the variance in the data (39.2%). Other variables included in this cluster were those typical of the metabolic syndrome and also serum gamma-glutamyl transferase activity. These results suggest that factors VII and X and proteins C and S are features of the intercorrelated disturbances of the metabolic syndrome. Associations with adiposity and liver enzyme activity suggest the involvement of hepatic fat deposition.

The association of coronary calcium score and conventional cardiovascular risk factors in Type 2 diabetic subjects asymptomatic for coronary heart disease (The PREDICT Study).

AIM: To determine the association between coronary calcification score (CACS) obtained by electron beam computed tomography (EBCT) and cardiovascular risk factors in Type 2 diabetic subjects entered into a prospective cohort study. METHODS: Type 2 diabetic subjects attending routine hospital diabetic clinics without known coronary heart disease (CHD) underwent EBCT to measure CACS. Demographic data were obtained and conventional cardiovascular risk factors were measured at baseline. RESULTS: Four hundred and ninety-five subjects were assessed of whom 67.7% were male. They had a mean (SD) age of 62.9 (7.1) years, with median (inter-quartile range) duration of diabetes of 8 (4-13) years. None had a history of coronary artery disease. Forty-five per cent were receiving lipid-lowering agents (including 36% statins). In a univariate analysis, there were significant associations between increased CACS and age, duration of diabetes, male gender, waist-hip ratio (WHR), systolic blood pressure, and the use of statins. In a multivariate model adjusting for the possible interaction of these and other factors, the significant association between CACS and WHR, systolic blood pressure, male gender and statin use remained. CONCLUSIONS: The close association between CACS and WHR and the association with systolic blood pressure suggest that coronary calcification may be particularly linked to the metabolic syndrome in Type 2 diabetes.

Loss of beta cell function as fasting glucose increases in the non-diabetic range.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Our aim was to define the level of glycaemia at which pancreatic insulin secretion, particularly first-phase insulin release, begins to decline. METHODS: Plasma glucose and insulin concentrations were measured during an IVGTT in 553 men with non-diabetic fasting plasma glucose concentrations. In 466 of the men C-peptide was also estimated. IVGTT insulin secretion in first and late phases was assessed by: (i) the circulating insulin response; (ii) population parameter deconvolution analysis of plasma C-peptide concentrations; and (iii) a combined model utilising both insulin and C-peptide concentrations. Measurements of insulin sensitivity and elimination were also derived by modelling analysis. RESULTS: As fasting plasma glucose (FPG) increased, IVGTT first-phase insulin secretion declined by 73%, 71% and 68% for the three methods respectively. The FPG values at which this decline began, determined by change point regression, were 4.97, 5.16 and 5.42 mmol/l respectively. The sensitivity of late-phase insulin secretion to glucose declined at FPG concentrations above 6.0 mmol/l. Insulin elimination, but not insulin sensitivity, varied with FPG. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: The range of FPG over which progressive loss of the first-phase response begins may be as low as 5.0 to 5.4 mmol/l, with late-phase insulin responses declining at FPG concentrations above 6.0 mmol/l.

Erythrocyte-derived measures of membrane lipid composition in healthy men: associations with arachidonic acid at low to moderate but not high insulin sensitivity.

The lipid composition of erythrocyte membranes was explored as a surrogate for that of skeletal muscle in investigations into the influence of membrane fatty acid composition on insulin sensitivity. In a preliminary study (study 1), erythrocyte and monocyte/platelet membrane fatty acid percentages were compared with those of muscle membrane in 10 otherwise healthy men undergoing orthopedic surgery. In a further study (study 2), relationships between erythrocyte membrane fatty acid concentrations and insulin sensitivity, S(I), measured using the intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT), were evaluated in 30 asymptomatic men. In study 1, significant positive correlations were found between muscle and erythrocyte membrane fatty acid percentages for 16:0 saturated fatty acid (r = 0.92, P <.001), and for the 18:2n-6, 20:4n-6, 20:5n-3, and 22:5n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) (r = 0.67 to 0.83, P <.05 to.01). There were fewer and weaker associations between muscle and monocyte/platelet membrane fatty acid compositions. In study 2, highly insulin-sensitive individuals (n = 8) had significantly lower erythrocyte membrane fatty acid concentrations than those with low/normal S(I). Among those with low/normal S(I) (n = 22), S(I) correlated positively with erythrocyte membrane arachidonic acid concentration (r = 0.57, P <.01) and with total PUFAs (r = 0.46, P <.05). Indices of delta 6 and delta 5 desaturase activities were significantly higher and lower, respectively, in high compared with low/normal S(I) individuals. For a range of fatty acids, erythrocyte membrane fatty acid composition shows close associations with that of muscle membranes. Measurements in erythrocyte membranes support a role for membrane arachidonic acid content in the modulation of insulin sensitivity, specifically at low/normal insulin sensitivities.

Effects of low and high dose oestradiol and dydrogesterone therapy on insulin and lipoprotein metabolism in healthy postmenopausal women.

OBJECTIVE: Menopause diminishes insulin secretion and elimination, increases risk of diabetes and adversely affects lipoprotein metabolism. This study was undertaken to establish whether oral oestradiol plus dydrogesterone postmenopausal hormone therapy can modify these changes. DESIGN: Randomized prospective trial of postmenopausal women taking low dose therapy (1 mg/day oestradiol-17 beta with 5 or 10 mg/day dydrogesterone for days 17-28 of each cycle, n = 15) or high dose therapy (2 mg/day oestradiol-17 beta with 10 or 20 mg/day orally administered dydrogesterone, n = 9). MEASUREMENTS: Patients underwent measurement of glucose, insulin and C-peptide in the fasting state and during an intravenous glucose tolerance test (IVGTT) at baseline and after 12 and 24 cycles of treatment. Modelling analysis was used to derive measures of insulin secretion, elimination and sensitivity. Fasting serum lipids, lipoproteins and apolipoproteins were also measured. RESULTS: In both groups there were significant reductions in fasting glucose, insulin and C-peptide. Pancreatic insulin secretion during the IVGTT was increased by treatment (ranging from 45% to 92%, P < 0.01). Insulin elimination was increased at both the peripheral (16% to 43%, P < 0.05) and hepatic (18% to 31%, P < 0.05) levels. Insulin sensitivity was unaffected. Low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol was reduced and high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol increased with treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Postmenopausal hormone therapy with oestradiol plus dydrogesterone can favourably affect lipoprotein concentrations and can reverse menopause-associated changes in insulin secretion and elimination.