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1.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38759869

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The hospital water environment is an important reservoir of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) and presents a risk for patient safety. We assessed the effectiveness of thermal and chemical interventions on sinks contaminated with MDRO in hospital setting. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional assessment of MDRO contamination of sinks and toilets in 26 clinical wards of a tertiary care hospital. MDRO-contaminated sink traps were then replaced and randomized (1:1:1) to receive chemical (sodium hypochlorite), thermal disinfection (steam), or no intervention. Interventions were repeated weekly for four weeks. Sinks were resampled seven days after the last intervention. The primary outcome was the proportion of decontaminated sinks. MDROs of interest were extended-spectrum beta-lactamase-producing and carbapenemase-producing s Enterobacterales, and non-fermentative Gram-negative bacilli. RESULTS: In the cross-sectional assessment, at least one MDRO was identified in 258 (36%) of the 748 samples and in 91 (47%) of the 192 water sources. In total, 57 (42%) of the 137 sinks and 34 (62%) of the 55 toilets were contaminated with 137 different MDRO. The most common MDRO were ESBL-producing Enterobacterales (69%, 95/137), followed by VIM-producing P. aeruginosa (9%, 12/137) and Citrobacter spp. (6%, 5/137). In the nested randomized trial, 5 of 16 sinks (31%) in the chemical disinfection group were decontaminated, compared to 8 of 18 (44%) in the control group (OR 0.58, 95%CI 0.14-2.32) and 9 of 17 (53%) in the thermal disinfection group (OR 1.40, 95%CI 0.37- 5.32). CONCLUSION: Our study failed to demonstrate an added benefit of repeated chemical or thermal disinfection, beyond changing sink traps, in the MDRO decontamination of sinks. Routine chlorine-based disinfection of sinks may need to be reconsidered.

4.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(6)2024 Mar 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38544272

RESUMEN

The adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies in manufacturing systems has accelerated in recent years, with a shift towards understanding operators' well-being and resilience within the context of creating a human-centric manufacturing environment. In addition to measuring physical workload, monitoring operators' cognitive workload is becoming a key element in maintaining a healthy and high-performing working environment in future digitalized manufacturing systems. The current approaches to the measurement of cognitive workload may be inadequate when human operators are faced with a series of new digitalized technologies, where their impact on operators' mental workload and performance needs to be better understood. Therefore, a new method for measuring and determining the cognitive workload is required. Here, we propose a new method for determining cognitive-workload indices in a human-centric environment. The approach provides a method to define and verify the relationships between the factors of task complexity, cognitive workload, operators' level of expertise, and indirectly, the operator performance level in a highly digitalized manufacturing environment. Our strategy is tested in a series of experiments where operators perform assembly tasks on a Wankel Engine block. The physiological signals from heart-rate variability and pupillometry bio-markers of 17 operators were captured and analysed using eye-tracking and electrocardiogram sensors. The experimental results demonstrate statistically significant differences in both cardiac and pupillometry-based cognitive load indices across the four task complexity levels (rest, low, medium, and high). Notably, these developed indices also provide better indications of cognitive load responding to changes in complexity compared to other measures. Additionally, while experts appear to exhibit lower cognitive loads across all complexity levels, further analysis is required to confirm statistically significant differences. In conclusion, the results from both measurement sensors are found to be compatible and in support of the proposed new approach. Our strategy should be useful for designing and optimizing workplace environments based on the cognitive load experienced by operators.


Asunto(s)
Industrias , Carga de Trabajo , Humanos , Carga de Trabajo/psicología , Frecuencia Cardíaca/fisiología , Tecnología , Cognición , Análisis y Desempeño de Tareas
5.
Frontline Gastroenterol ; 15(2): 117-123, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38486669

RESUMEN

Objective: We aimed to investigate the clinical utility of follow-up oesophagogastroduodenoscopy (OGD2) in patients with severe oesophagitis (Los Angeles grades C or D) through evaluating the yield of Barrett's oesophagus (BO), cancer, dysplasia and strictures. Second, we aimed to determine if the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) may be used to identify patients to undergo OGD2s. Design/method: Patients in NHS Lothian with an index OGD (OGD1) diagnosis of severe oesophagitis between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2015 were identified. Univariate analysis identified factors associated with grade. Patients were stratified by frailty and a diagnosis of stricture, cancer, dysplasia and BO. Results: In total 964 patients were diagnosed with severe oesophagitis, 61.7% grade C and 38.3% grade D. The diagnostic yield of new pathology at OGD2 was 13.2% (n=51), new strictures (2.3%), dysplasia (0.5%), cancer (0.3%) and BO (10.1%). A total of 140 patients had clinical frailty (CFS score ≥5), 88.6% of which were deceased at review (median of 76 months). In total 16.4% of frail patients underwent OGD2s and five new pathologies were diagnosed, none of which were significantly associated with grade. Among non-frail patients at OGD2, BO was the only pathology more common (p=0.010) in patients with grade D. Rates of cancer, dysplasia and strictures did not vary significantly between grades. Conclusion: Our data demonstrate that OGD2s in patients with severe oesophagitis may be tailored according to clinical frailty and only be offered to non-frail patients. In non-frail patients OGD2s have similar pick-up rates of sinister pathology in both grades of severe oesophagitis.

6.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 45(1): 75-81, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37529850

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To compare clinical outcomes over time of inpatients with healthcare-associated coronavirus disease 2019 (HA-COVID-19) versus community-acquired COVID-19 (CA-COVID-19). DESIGN: We conducted a multicenter, prospective observational cohort study of inpatients with COVID-19. SETTING: The study was conducted across 16 acute-care hospitals in Switzerland. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: We compared HA-COVID-19 cases, defined as patients with a positive severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test > 5 days after hospital admission, with hospitalized CA-COVID-19 cases, defined as those who tested positive within 5 days of admission. The composite primary outcome was patient transfer to an intensive care unit (ICU) or an intermediate care unit (IMCU) and/or all-cause in-hospital mortality. We used cause-specific Cox regression and Fine-Gray regression to model the time to the composite clinical outcome, adjusting for confounders and accounting for the competing event of discharge from hospital. We compared our results to those from a conventional approach using an adjusted logistic regression model where time-varying effects and competitive risk were ignored. RESULTS: Between February 19, 2020, and December 31, 2020, we included 1,337 HA-COVID-19 cases and 9,068 CA-COVID-19 cases. HA-COVID-19 patients were significantly older: median, 80 (interquartile range [IQR], 71-87) versus median 70 (IQR, 57-80) (P < .001). A greater proportion of HA-COVID-19 patients had a Charlson comorbidity index ≥ 5 (79% vs 55%; P < .001) than did CA-COVID-19 patients. In time-varying analyses, between day 0 and 8, HA-COVID-19 cases had a decreased risk of death or ICU or IMCU transfer compared to CA-COVID-19 cases (cause-specific hazard ratio [csHR], 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-0.56). In contrast, from day 8 to 30, HA-COVID-19 cases had an increased risk of death or ICU or IMCU transfer (csHR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.20-1.85), with no significant effect on the rate of discharge (csHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.61-1.14). In the conventional logistic regression model, HA-COVID-19 was protective against transfer to an ICU or IMCU and/or all-cause in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.79, 95% CI, 0.67-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of adverse clinical outcomes for HA-COVID-19 cases increased substantially over time in hospital and exceeded that for CA-COVID-19. Using approaches that do not account for time-varying effects or competing events may not fully capture the true risk of HA-COVID-19 compared to CA-COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Pacientes Internos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Mortalidad Hospitalaria
7.
J Crohns Colitis ; 18(2): 286-290, 2024 Feb 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37615649

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In 2020 we reported the ACE Index in acute colitis which used biochemical and endoscopic parameters to predict steroid non-response on admission in patients with acute ulcerative colitis [UC]. We aimed to validate the ACE Index in an independent cohort. METHODS: The validation cohort comprised patients screened as eligible for inclusion in the CONSTRUCT study, a prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled trial which compared the effectiveness of treatment with infliximab vs ciclosporin in patients admitted with acute UC. The CONSTRUCT cohort database was reviewed at The Edinburgh IBD Unit and the same biochemical and endoscopic variables and cut-off values as those in the derivation cohort were applied to the validation cohort. RESULTS: In total, 800 patients were identified; 62.5% [55/88] of patients with a maximum ACE Index of 3 did not respond to intravenous [IV] steroids (positive predictive value [PPV] 62.5%, negative predictive value [NPV] 79.8%). Furthermore, 79.8% [158/198] of patients with an ACE Index of 0 responded to IV steroids [PPV 79.8%, NPV 62.5%]. Receiver operator characteristic [ROC] curve analysis produced an area under the curve [AUC] of 0.663 [p < 0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: We have now reported and externally validated the ACE Index in acute colitis in a combined cohort of over 1000 patients from across the UK. The ACE Index may be used in conjunction with clinical judgement to help identify patients admitted with active UC who are at high risk of not responding to IV steroids. Further studies are required to improve objectivity and accuracy of assessment.


Asunto(s)
Colitis Ulcerosa , Colitis , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Colitis Ulcerosa/diagnóstico , Colitis Ulcerosa/tratamiento farmacológico , Endoscopía Gastrointestinal , Albúminas , Esteroides/uso terapéutico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
9.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 10(11): ofad557, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38023546

RESUMEN

Background: Current US Food and Administration (FDA) guidance recommends that the primary efficacy endpoint for uncomplicated urinary tract infection (uUTI) clinical trials be a composite of clinical and microbiological responses. We applied these criteria to a previous clinical trial to determine the impact on treatment outcomes. Methods: We conducted a patient-level reanalysis of a randomized clinical trial of nitrofurantoin versus fosfomycin for treatment of uUTI in nonpregnant adult women. Women were included in the reanalysis if they had 2 or more signs/symptoms of uUTI and a single bacterial species isolated from baseline urine culture at ≥105 colony-forming units (CFU)/mL. The applied primary efficacy endpoint-therapeutic response-required both clinical resolution of signs/symptoms and reduction of the infecting bacterial pathogen to <103 CFU/mL at day 14 post-treatment completion. Results: Two hundred eleven of 513 (41%) patients were eligible for inclusion in the reanalysis. Among these patients, 74% (76/103) and 69% (75/108) in the nitrofurantoin and fosfomycin groups, respectively, achieved clinical resolution by day 14. Similarly, 70% (72/103) and 67% (72/108) in each group achieved microbiological success at day 14. As such, 59% (61/103) and 57% (62/108) of women in each group met the primary efficacy endpoint-therapeutic success-at day 14. In comparison, 75% and 66% of patients in each group achieved clinical resolution at day 14 in the initial clinical trial. Conclusions: Applying current FDA guidance resulted in lower composite efficacy rates than clinical resolution alone as observed in the initial clinical trial. This may limit the ability to compare antibiotic treatment effects between historical and future clinical trials.

11.
Antimicrob Resist Infect Control ; 12(1): 87, 2023 08 31.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37653559

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Intravascular catheter infections are associated with adverse clinical outcomes. However, a significant proportion of these infections are preventable. Evaluations of the performance of automated surveillance systems for adequate monitoring of central-line associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) or catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI) are limited. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the predictive performance of automated algorithms for CLABSI/CRBSI detection, and investigated which parameters included in automated algorithms provide the greatest accuracy for CLABSI/CRBSI detection. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis based on a systematic search of published studies in PubMed and EMBASE from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2021. We included studies that evaluated predictive performance of automated surveillance algorithms for CLABSI/CRBSI detection and used manually collected surveillance data as reference. We estimated the pooled sensitivity and specificity of algorithms for accuracy and performed a univariable meta-regression of the different parameters used across algorithms. RESULTS: The search identified five full text studies and 32 different algorithms or study populations were included in the meta-analysis. All studies analysed central venous catheters and identified CLABSI or CRBSI as an outcome. Pooled sensitivity and specificity of automated surveillance algorithm were 0.88 [95%CI 0.84-0.91] and 0.86 [95%CI 0.79-0.92] with significant heterogeneity (I2 = 91.9, p < 0.001 and I2 = 99.2, p < 0.001, respectively). In meta-regression, algorithms that include results of microbiological cultures from specific specimens (respiratory, urine and wound) to exclude non-CRBSI had higher specificity estimates (0.92, 95%CI 0.88-0.96) than algorithms that include results of microbiological cultures from any other body sites (0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.95). The addition of clinical signs as a predictor did not improve performance of these algorithms with similar specificity estimates (0.92, 95%CI 0.88-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: Performance of automated algorithms for detection of intravascular catheter infections in comparison to manual surveillance seems encouraging. The development of automated algorithms should consider the inclusion of results of microbiological cultures from specific specimens to exclude non-CRBSI, while the inclusion of clinical data may not have an added-value. Trail Registration Prospectively registered with International prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO ID CRD42022299641; January 21, 2022). https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42022299641.


Asunto(s)
Catéteres Venosos Centrales , Sepsis , Humanos , Algoritmos , Recolección de Datos
13.
Inflamm Bowel Dis ; 29(4): 665-668, 2023 04 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35867335

RESUMEN

We assessed the impact of a dedicated inflammatory bowel disease flare clinic. Attenders had more changes to maintenance medications made and less steroid use than inflammatory bowel disease patients reviewed at the Acute Receiving Unit. This model of care may potentially reduce hospital admissions.


Asunto(s)
Colitis Ulcerosa , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino , Humanos , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Inflamatorias del Intestino/terapia , Colitis Ulcerosa/terapia
14.
Fam Syst Health ; 41(2): 182-191, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35679216

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: Screening for adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) is increasingly recommended in medical settings; however, there is more to learn about which patients experience negative outcomes following ACEs and how to intervene. This study sought to determine whether psychological flexibility moderated the relationship between ACEs and 2 important health outcomes: depression and elevated body mass index (BMI). Specifically, we hypothesized that as psychological flexibility increased, the relationship between ACEs and these mental and physical health outcomes would weaken. METHOD: Exposure to ACEs, psychological flexibility (AFQ-Y8), depressive symptoms (PHQ9a), and BMI percentiles were assessed using validated, self-report rating scales during adolescent well-child checks in urban primary care practices. A total sample of 402 predominately Black (72.6%), publicly insured (81.8%), and female (63.4%) adolescents with complete data were included in analysis. RESULTS: Psychological flexibility moderated the relationship between self-reported ACEs and depressive symptoms. Patients with high psychological flexibility reported fewer depressive symptoms when they experienced more ACEs, those with average psychological flexibility demonstrated no relationship between ACEs and depressive symptoms, and those with low psychological flexibility reported more depressive symptoms when experiencing higher numbers of ACEs. ACEs were only related to BMIs greater than 99th percentile in this study and moderation was not supported. CONCLUSIONS: Psychological flexibility was helpful in differentiating those who experience increased depressive symptoms following ACE exposure in a primary care setting. Psychological flexibility is a modifiable process and may represent an important population health variable to develop prior to exposure or reduce negative outcomes following ACEs. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).


Asunto(s)
Experiencias Adversas de la Infancia , Humanos , Adolescente , Femenino , Autoinforme , Atención Primaria de Salud , Depresión/psicología
15.
Viruses ; 14(12)2022 12 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36560760

RESUMEN

We aimed to describe adverse pregnancy outcomes among women who had symptomatic, RT-PCR-confirmed ZIKV infection and early childhood outcomes among their infants. We enrolled pregnant women with symptomatic, RT-PCR-confirmed ZIKV infection in a prospective cohort study, and their infants in a prospective pediatric cohort study. We defined adverse pregnancy and early childhood outcomes based on selected neurologic, ophthalmologic, auditory, musculoskeletal, and anthropometric abnormalities. We used RT-PCR and serologic tests to determine the ZIKV infection status of the child. Between 10 March and 24 November 2016, we enrolled 546 pregnant women with RT-PCR-confirmed ZIKV infection. The overall risk of adverse pregnancy and early childhood outcomes possibly related to in utero ZIKV exposure was 15.7% (95% CI: 12.8-19.0), distributed as follows: 3.6% (95% CI: 2.3-5.6) severe sequelae or fatality; 2.7% (95% CI: 1.6-4.5) major abnormalities; 9.4% (95% CI:7.1-12.2) mild abnormalities. The risk of severe sequelae or fatality was higher when ZIKV infection occurred during the first trimester (7.0%), compared to the second (2.7%) or third trimester (1.4%) (p = 0.02). Among the infants for whom ZIKV infection status could be determined, the vertical transmission rate was 3.0% (5/167) (95% CI: 1.1-7.2). Among pregnant women with symptomatic, RT-PCR-confirmed ZIKV infection, severe or major pregnancy or early childhood outcomes were present in 6.3% of fetuses and infants. Severe outcomes occurred more frequently in fetuses and infants whose mothers had been infected in the first trimester.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo , Infección por el Virus Zika , Virus Zika , Preescolar , Lactante , Humanos , Embarazo , Femenino , Niño , Virus Zika/genética , Infección por el Virus Zika/complicaciones , Infección por el Virus Zika/diagnóstico , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Resultado del Embarazo
16.
World J Gastroenterol ; 28(38): 5515-5529, 2022 Oct 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36304087

RESUMEN

Schizophrenia is a severe mental illness which can have a devastating impact on an individual's quality of life. Comorbidities are high amongst patients and life expectancy is approximately 15 years less than the general population. Despite the well-known increased mortality, little is known about the impact of gastrointestinal and liver disease on patients with schizophrenia. We aimed to review the literature and to make recommendations regarding future care. Literature searches were performed on PubMed to identify studies related to gastrointestinal and liver disease in patients with schizophrenia. High rates of chronic liver disease were reported, with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease being of particular concern; antipsychotics and metabolic syndrome were contributing factors. Rates of acute liver failure were low but have been associated with antipsychotic use and paracetamol overdose. Coeliac disease has historically been linked to schizophrenia; however, recent research suggests that a causal link is yet to be proven. Evidence is emerging regarding the relationships between schizophrenia and peptic ulcer disease, inflammatory bowel disease and irritable bowel syndrome; clinical vigilance regarding these conditions should be high. Patients with schizophrenia poorly engage with bowel cancer screening programmes, leading to late diagnosis and increased mortality. Clozapine induced constipation is a significant issue for many patients and requires close monitoring. There is a significant burden of gastrointestinal and liver disease amongst patients with schizophrenia. Better levels of support from all members of the medical team are essential to ensure that appropriate, timely care is provided.


Asunto(s)
Antipsicóticos , Hepatopatías , Esquizofrenia , Humanos , Esquizofrenia/complicaciones , Esquizofrenia/tratamiento farmacológico , Esquizofrenia/epidemiología , Calidad de Vida , Antipsicóticos/efectos adversos , Estreñimiento/tratamiento farmacológico , Hepatopatías/diagnóstico , Hepatopatías/epidemiología , Hepatopatías/complicaciones
17.
JAMA Ophthalmol ; 140(10): 994-1001, 2022 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36048466

RESUMEN

Importance: Most ocular lesions have been described for children with congenital Zika syndrome. The frequency of finding ocular abnormalities is unknown among children exposed to Zika virus (ZIKV) during pregnancy. This study was conducted on newborns whose mothers were positive for ZIKV, confirmed with reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing. Objective: To report ocular fundus manifestations in newborns with congenital ZIKV exposure in French Guiana, Martinique, and Guadeloupe, French West Indies, to assess its prevalence. Risk factors, such as the presence of extraocular fetopathies and the gestational term at infection, were sought. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a cross-sectional multicentric study, conducted from August 1, 2016, to April 30, 2019, for which data were collected prospectively. The study inception was at the beginning of 2016 from the onset of the ZIKV epidemic in the French West Indies. Newborns whose mothers tested positive (by RT-PCR) for ZIKV during pregnancy were included. Interventions: Fundus examination was performed using widefield retinal imaging after pupil dilation. Infection date, delivery mode, and newborn measurements were collected. Main Outcomes and Measures: Anomalies of the vitreous, choroid, retina, and optic disc. Results: A total of 330 children (mean [SD] age, 68 [IQR, 22-440] days; 170 girls [51.5%]) were included. Eleven children (3.3%) had perivascular retinal hemorrhages, and 3 (0.9%) had lesions compatible with congenital ZIKV infection: 1 child had torpedo maculopathy, 1 child had a chorioretinal scar with iris and lens coloboma, and 1 child had a chorioretinal scar. Retinal hemorrhages were found at childbirth during early screening. Lesions compatible with congenital ZIKV infection were not associated with the presence of extraocular fetopathy. Microcephaly was not associated with lesions compatible with congenital ZIKV infection (odds ratio [OR], 9.1; 95% CI, 0.8-105.3; P = .08), but severe microcephaly was associated with an OR of 81 (95% CI, 5.1-1297.8; P = .002). Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this cross-sectional study suggest that the ocular anomalies found may be associated with ZIKV in 0.9% of the exposed population. Ocular lesions were rare, affected mostly the choroid and retina, and seemed to be associated with choroiditis-related scarring that developed during fetal growth.


Asunto(s)
Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo , Infección por el Virus Zika , Virus Zika , Embarazo , Femenino , Niño , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Anciano , Infección por el Virus Zika/diagnóstico , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Estudios Transversales , Guadalupe/epidemiología , Martinica/epidemiología , Cicatriz , Hemorragia Retiniana/complicaciones , Guyana Francesa/epidemiología , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/diagnóstico , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Indias Occidentales/epidemiología
18.
Frontline Gastroenterol ; 13(3): 218-224, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35493619

RESUMEN

Objective: Increases in incidence of collagenous colitis (CC) have been documented across Europe; however, previous data from NHS Lothian (1998-2003) demonstrated this to be a low-prevalence area. We aimed to assess incidence of CC in NHS Lothian over time by comparing a more recent cohort (2013-2018) with our existing cohort. Methods: All histologically confirmed diagnoses of CC between 2013 and 2018 were obtained from the NHS Lothian colorectal pathology department (Western General Hospital, Edinburgh). Case record review was performed to obtain relevant demographic and clinical data. Data were also collected regarding the availability of colonoscopy in NHS Lothian. Results: 224 cases of CC were diagnosed between 2013 and 2018, compared with 25 between 1998 and 2003. Mean annual incidence rose from 0.5/100 000 population to 4.3/100 000 population. Incidence in females ≥60 years old rose from 2.3/100 000 population to 22.4/100 000 population (p<0.001). The total number of colonoscopies performed increased by 179.1% from 15 262 (1998-2003) to 42 600 (2013-2018), with the number of CC cases per 1000 colonoscopies performed rising from 1.7 to 5.3 (p<0.001). Conclusion: We describe the increasing incidence of CC in Southeast Scotland, with temporal trends comparable to other European countries. The increase is particularly marked in older females and parallels increasing numbers of colonoscopies being performed.

20.
Frontline Gastroenterol ; 13(2): 111-118, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35295750

RESUMEN

Objective: Debate is ongoing regarding the need for universal endoscopic follow-up to ensure gastric ulcer healing. We aimed to assess the value of follow-up oesophago-gastro-duodenoscopies (OGDs) for gastric ulcer healing and stratify patients according to risk of malignancy by developing a risk score. Design/method: All patients in National Health Service (NHS) Lothian with an index OGD and a diagnosis of gastric ulcer between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2018 were identified. Data were analysed with logistic regression to identify factors significantly associated with a diagnosis of cancer; a risk score was derived and externally validated. Results: 778 patients were identified and 60.3% (469/778) of patients had a follow-up OGD. 8.6% (66/778) of patients were diagnosed with cancer. No cases of cancer were found on follow-up OGD of a benign appearing ulcer with negative biopsies. Macroscopic suspicion of malignancy was present at index OGD in 100% (3/3) of those diagnosed with cancer on subsequent OGDs. Older age (p=0.014), increased ulcer size (p<0.001) and non-antral location (p=0.030) were significantly associated with malignancy. A risk score (area under the curve (AUC) 0.868, p<0.001, minimum score=0, maximum score=6) was derived from these variables. 78.0% of patients with malignant ulcers scored ≥3, only 15.8% with benign ulcers scored ≥3 (negative predictive value (NPV) 97.4%). External validation yielded an AUC of 0.862 (p<0.001) and NPV of 98.6%; 84.0% of those with malignant ulcers scored ≥3. Conclusion: Ulcers with a combination of macroscopically benign appearances, at least six negative biopsies and a low risk score do not necessarily need endoscopic follow-up.

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