ANOVA to Compare Three Methods to Track COVID-19 in Nine Countries / ANOVA en la comparación de tres métodos para rastrear COVID-19 en nueve países

ABSTRACT A new coronavirus denominated first 2019-nCoV and later SARS-CoV-2 was found in Wuhan, China in December of 2019. This paper compares three mathematical methods: nonlinear regression, SIR, and SEIR epidemic models, to track the covid-19 disease in nine countries affected by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, to help epidemiologists to know the disease trajectory, considering initial data in the pandemic, mainly 100 days from the beginning. To evaluate the results obtained with the three methods one-way ANOVA is applied. The average of predicted infected cases with SARS-CoV-2, obtained with the mentioned methods was: for United States of America 1,098,508, followed by Spain with 226,721, Italy with 202,953, France with 183,897 United Kingdom with 182,190, Germany with 159,407, Canada with 58,696, Mexico with 50,366 and Argentina with 4,860 in average. The one-way ANOVA does not show a significant difference among the results of the projected infected cases by SARS-CoV-2, using nonlinear regression, SIR, and SEIR epidemic methods. The above could mean that initially any method can be used to model the pandemic course.

RESUMEN Un nuevo coronavirus denominado primero 2019-nCoV y más tarde SARS-CoV-2 fue encontrado en Wuhan, China en diciembre de 2019. El objetivo de este trabajo es comparar tres métodos matemáticos: regresión no lineal, modelos epidemiológicos SIR y SEIR, para rastrear la enfermedad del COVID-19 en nueve países infectados por el virus SARS-CoV-2, con el propósito de ayudar al epidemiólogo a conocer el curso de la pandemia, considerando principalmente sus primeros 100 días. Para evaluar los resultados obtenidos de la aplicación de los tres métodos, se aplicó ANOVA de una vía. El número promedio de casos infectados con SARS-CoV-2, obtenidos con los tres métodos descritos son: para Estados Unidos 1,098,508, seguido de España con 226,721, Italia con 202,953, Francia con 183,897 Reino Unido con 182,190, Alemania con 159,407, Canadá con 58,696, México con 50,366 y Argentina con 4,860 en promedio. El ANOVA de una vía no muestra diferencias significativas entre los resultados de los casos infectados proyectados por SARS-CoV-2, utilizando la regresión no lineal y los métodos SIR and SEIR. Lo anterior podría señalar que cualquiera de los tres métodos estudiados puede modelar el curso de la pandemia en las condiciones descritas para cada uno.

Degradation of immobilized azo dyes by Klebsiella sp. UAP-b5 isolated from maize bioadsorbent.

The degradation of two immobilized dyes by Klebsiella sp. UAP-b5 was studied. In batch experiments, the azo dyestuffs Basic Blue 41 and Reactive Black 5 were immobilized onto corn cobs by adsorption, and the adsorption process was characterized by a pseudo-second-order kinetic equation. Klebsiella sp. UAP-b5 was previously isolated from the corn waste and shown to decolorize these dyes in liquid systems. Here, we demonstrate anaerobic decolorization and reductive biodegradation of these dyes by means of spectrophotometry, HPLC, and IR spectroscopy of the solid waste and desorption solutions. We also demonstrate adsorption of compounds that resemble known degradation products.

Chromatographic and electrochemical determination of quercetin and kaempferol in phytopharmaceuticals.

An NP-HPLC method both with diode-array (DAD) and electrochemical detection (ED) was developed and validated for the determination of quercetin and kaempferol, the principal active constituents in phytopharmaceuticals of Ginkgo Biloba. Calculated retention of the two flavonoids was contrasted with experimental values in five different reversed phase columns for methanol-water, acetonitrile-water, THF-water and dioxane-hexane binary mixtures as mobile phases. The capacity factor k, selectivity alpha and asymmetry factor F were evaluated and compared in DAD-RP-HPLC, DAD-NP-HPLC, ED-RP-HPLC and ED-NP-HPLC. The methods were used for the quantitative analysis of acid hydrolyzed extracts of tablet phytopharmaceuticals. Calibration curves were linear within the range 10 and 40 microg ml(-1) for the DAD and 10-270 microg ml(-1) for the ED, whereby limits of detection ranged from 0.5 microg ml(-1) (quercetin) to 0.1 microg ml(-1) (kaempferol). The electrochemical method based on differential pulse voltammetry (DPV) with a C-PVC electrode resolved the quercetin and kaempferol peaks and exhibited a two orders higher sensitivity in comparison with a carbon fiber electrode. DPV calibration curves were linear within the range 96-300 microg ml(-1) for quercetin and 68-960 microg ml(-1) for kaempferol. The respective oxidation peaks appeared at 462 and 518+/-2 mV and were used in the direct determination of quercetin in extracts of commercial phytopharmaceuticals.