Global, regional, and national prevalence of hearing loss from 1990 to 2019: A trend and health inequality analyses based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

As a severe public health issue, hearing loss has caused an increasingly disease burden, especially in the elderly population. Hearing loss may inevitably induce asymmetric hearing, which makes it difficult for elderly individuals to locate sound sources, therefore resulting in increased postural instability and falling risk. To emphasize the public health emergence of hearing loss, we investigated the temporal trend of prevalence of hearing loss over the last 30 years and further predicted its changes in the next 20 years, decomposed the trend according to demographic factors and epidemiological changes, and quantified the cross-country healthy inequalities, using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. In 2019, there were more than 140 million cases of hearing loss worldwide, a 93.89% increase from 70 million cases in 1990. The age-standardized rate (ASR) also increased with an estimated annual percentage change of 0.08% per year. Population growth and aging are the major drivers contributing to the changes, accounting for 60.83% and 35.35%. Of note, the contribution of aging varies showing a gradual increasing trend with sociodemographic index (SDI) elevating. Also notable, there were significant health inequalities across 204 countries and territories, with slope index of inequality rising over time. Projection of the global burden of hearing loss from 2020 to 2040 indicated progressive increases in both case number and ASR. These reflect the heavy disease burden of hearing loss that needed more targeted and efficient strategies in its prevention and management.

A machine learning model for distinguishing Kawasaki disease from sepsis.

KD is an acute systemic vasculitis that most commonly affects children under 5 years old. Sepsis is a systemic inflammatory response syndrome caused by infection. The main clinical manifestations of both are fever, and laboratory tests include elevated WBC count, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin. However, the two treatments are very different. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a dynamic nomogram based on clinical data to help clinicians make timely diagnoses and decision-making. In this study, we analyzed 299 KD patients and 309 sepsis patients. We collected patients' age, sex, height, weight, BMI, and 33 biological parameters of a routine blood test. After dividing the patients into a training set and validation set, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method, support vector machine and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to select significant factors and construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by discrimination and calibration. The decision curve analysis was used to assess the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. This nomogram shows that height, WBC, monocyte, eosinophil, lymphocyte to monocyte count ratio (LMR), PA, GGT and platelet are independent predictors of the KD diagnostic model. The c-index of the nomogram in the training set and validation is 0.926 and 0.878, which describes good discrimination. The nomogram is well calibrated. The decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram has better clinical application value and decision-making assistance ability. The nomogram has good performance of distinguishing KD from sepsis and is helpful for clinical pediatricians to make early clinical decisions.

A global assessment of incidence trends of autoimmune diseases from 1990 to 2019 and predicted changes to 2040.

AIM: To analyze the global incidence trends for four autoimmune diseases (ADs) including rheumatoid arthritis (RA), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), multiple sclerosis (MS) and psoriasis from 1990 to 2019, and further predict their changes to 2040 at global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: The estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for case number and agestandardized incidence rate (ASIR) of RA, IBD, MS and psoriasis were derived from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was utilized to quantify the global incidence trends for RA, IBD, MS and psoriasis from 1990 to 2019. Furthermore, a log-linear age-period-cohort model was adopted to predict the new case number and incidence rates for these four ADs through 2040. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global ASIR rose significantly for RA (EAPC = 0.30%, 95% CI: 0.26 to 0.34) whereas declined significantly for IBD (EAPC = -0.60%, 95% CI: -0.72 to - 0.48), MS (EAPC = -0.19%, 95% CI: -0.24 to -0.13) and psoriasis (EAPC = -0.77%, 95% CI: -0.78 to -0.76). From 2020 to 2040, the global ASIR of RA, IBD, and psoriasis was predicted to decrease whereas the global ASIR of MS was predicted to increase, with continuous increasing case number of all these diseases. Furthermore, the predicted incidence trends of these four ADs varied significantly across 195 countries and territories, with a prominent higher burden in high-income North America and Western Europe. CONCLUSIONS: There are strong heterogeneities in the global incidence trends (1990-2019) and predicted changes (2020-2040) of ADs across the world, highlighting prominent challenges in the control of ADs, including both growing case number and distributive disparities of these diseases worldwide, which may be instructive for better public health policy establishment and healthcare resource allocation.

Effectiveness of the recurrent laryngeal nerve monitoring during endoscopic thyroid surgery: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Thyroid disease is a common endocrine disorder, and thyroid surgeries and postoperative complications have increased recently. This study aimed to explore the effectiveness of intraoperative nerve monitoring (IONM) in endoscopic thyroid surgery using subgroup analysis and determine confounding factors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Two researchers individually searched for relevant studies published till November 2022 in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases. Eventually, eight studies met the inclusion criteria. Heterogeneity was assessed using the Cochran's Q test, and a funnel plot was implemented to evaluate publication bias. The odds ratio or risk difference were calculated using fixed-effects models. The weighted mean difference of continuous variables was calculated. Subgroup analysis was performed according to the disease type. RESULTS: Eight eligible papers included 915 patients and 1242 exposed nerves. The frequencies of transient, permanent and total recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) palsy were 2.64, 0.19 and 2.83%, respectively, in the IONM group and 6.15, 0.75 and 6.90%, respectively, in the conventional exposure group. In addition, analysis of the secondary outcome indicators for the average total length of surgery, localisation time of the RLN, recognition rate of the superior laryngeal nerve and length of incision revealed that IONM reduced the localisation time of the RLN and increased the identification rate of the superior laryngeal nerve. Subgroup analysis showed that IONM significantly reduced the incidence of RLN palsy in patients with malignancies. CONCLUSIONS: The use of IONM significantly reduced the incidence of transient RLN palsy during endoscopic thyroid surgery, but it did not significantly reduce the incidence of permanent RLN palsy. However, the reduction in the total RLN palsy was statistically significant. In addition, IONM can effectively reduce the location time of the RLN and increase the recognition rate of the superior laryngeal nerve. Therefore, the application of IONM for malignant tumours is recommended.