Criteria for Deployment of the United States National Guard to Domestic Sudden-Onset Natural Disasters: A Scoping Review.

INTRODUCTION: This study is a scoping review to identify literature pertinent to the question: "What are the criteria for deployment of the United States National Guard (USNG) to domestic sudden-onset natural disasters (SODs)?" As this question relies on factors across many disciplines-legal, medical, technical, cultural-and as there is no foundational body of academic literature or unified governmental or USNG policy addressing this question, a scoping review was designed to identify the body of literature on which further research and policy decisions surrounding this question may be based. MATERIALS AND METHODS: On January 23, 2023 a modified PRISMA-ScR search was performed using an online search engine of the following databases: Academic Search Premier, Google Scholar, JSTOR, PubMed, Web of Science, and WorldCat. The inclusion criteria included the involvement of the USNG response to U.S. domestic SOD. Non-SOD results were excluded. Results from all years and of any type of literature were considered and were limited to the English language. First, titles and abstracts were screened by 2 independent reviewers. Then, a full-text review was performed by 2 independent reviewers. Finally, data were extracted from included texts by 2 independent reviewers. A third reviewer resolved any discrepancies at each stage. This study did not require approval of an institutional review board. RESULTS: Out of the 886 results identified by the original search, after the complete review process, 34 sources were relevant to the research question. Fifteen criteria for the deployment of the USNG to SODs were identified. Overwhelmed local responders, utility failure, the need for the provision of security, and the need for logistical coordination were the most commonly identified criteria. Hurricanes were the most common SOD addressed in the included literature, and most results were event reports. CONCLUSIONS: This modified PRISMA-ScR identified a foundation on which elected officials, USNG leadership, and the larger disaster response community may develop policies and disaster response plans to optimize available resources through the activation of the USNG when responding to SODs.

Repeatability, reproducibility, and diagnostic accuracy of a commercial large language model (ChatGPT) to perform emergency department triage using the Canadian triage and acuity scale.

PURPOSE: The release of the ChatGPT prototype to the public in November 2022 drastically reduced the barrier to using artificial intelligence by allowing easy access to a large language model with only a simple web interface. One situation where ChatGPT could be useful is in triaging patients arriving to the emergency department. This study aimed to address the research problem: "can emergency physicians use ChatGPT to accurately triage patients using the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS)?". METHODS: Six unique prompts were developed independently by five emergency physicians. An automated script was used to query ChatGPT with each of the 6 prompts combined with 61 validated and previously published patient vignettes. Thirty repetitions of each combination were performed for a total of 10,980 simulated triages. RESULTS: In 99.6% of 10,980 queries, a CTAS score was returned. However, there was considerable variations in results. Repeatability (use of the same prompt repeatedly) was responsible for 21.0% of overall variation. Reproducibility (use of different prompts) was responsible for 4.0% of overall variation. Overall accuracy of ChatGPT to triage simulated patients was 47.5% with a 13.7% under-triage rate and a 38.7% over-triage rate. More extensively detailed text given as a prompt was associated with greater reproducibility, but minimal increase in accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the current ChatGPT large language model is not sufficient for emergency physicians to triage simulated patients using the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale due to poor repeatability and accuracy. Medical practitioners should be aware that while ChatGPT can be a valuable tool, it may lack consistency and may frequently provide false information.

ABSTRAIT: OBJECTIF: La sortie du prototype ChatGPT au public en novembre 2022 a considérablement réduit l'obstacle à l'utilisation de l'intelligence artificielle en permettant un accès facile à un grand modèle de langage avec une interface web simple. Une situation où ChatGPT pourrait être utile est de trier les patients qui arrivent au service d'urgence. Cette étude visait à résoudre le problème de la recherche : «Les médecins d'urgence peuvent-ils utiliser ChatGPT pour trier avec précision les patients à l'aide de l'Échelle canadienne de triage et d'acuité (ECTC) ?¼. MéTHODES: Six invites uniques ont été élaborées indépendamment par cinq urgentologues. Un script automatisé a été utilisé pour interroger ChatGPT avec chacune des six invites combinées à 61 vignettes de patients validées et précédemment publiées. Trente répétitions de chaque combinaison ont été réalisées pour un total de 10980 triages simulés. RéSULTATS: Dans 99.6 % des 10980 requêtes, un score CTAS a été obtenu. Cependant, il y a eu des variations considérables dans les résultats. La répétabilité (utilisation répétée de la même invite) était responsable de 21.0 % de la variation globale. La reproductibilité (utilisation de différentes invites) était responsable de 4.0 % de la variation globale. La précision globale de ChatGPT pour le triage des patients simulés était de 47.5 %, avec un taux de sous-triage de 13.7 % et un taux de triage supérieur de 38.7 %. Un texte plus détaillé donné à titre d'invite était associé à une plus grande reproductibilité, mais à une augmentation minimale de la précision. CONCLUSIONS: Cette étude suggère que le modèle actuel de ChatGPT en langage large n'est pas suffisant pour permettre aux médecins d'urgence de trier des patients simulés à l'aide de l'échelle canadienne de triage et d'acuité en raison de la faible répétabilité et de la faible précision. Les médecins doivent être conscients que, bien que ChatGPT puisse être un outil précieux, il peut manquer de cohérence et fournir fréquemment de fausses informations.

Reviewing the Health Care Impacts of Attacks on Critical Infrastructure.

INTRODUCTION: Health care provision depends on reliable critical infrastructure (CI) to power equipment and to provide water for medication and sanitation. Attacks on CI limiting such functions can have a profound and prolonged influence on delivery of care. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) was performed of all attacks occurring from 1970-2020. Data were filtered using the internal database search function for all events where the primary target was "Utilities," "Food or Water Supply," and "Telecommunications." For the purposes of this study, the subtype "Food Supply" was excluded. Events were collated based on year, country, region, and numbers killed and wounded. RESULTS: The GTD listed 7,813 attacks on CI, with 6,280 of those attacks targeting utilities, leading to 1,917 persons directly killed and 1,377 persons wounded. In total, there were 1,265 attacks targeting telecommunications causing 205 direct deaths and 510 wounded. Lastly, 268 attacks targeted the water supply with 318 directly killed and 261 wounded. Regionally, South America had the most attacks with 2,236, followed by Central America and the Caribbean with 1,390. Based on infrastructure type, the most attacks on utilities occurred in El Salvador (1,061), and the most attacks on telecommunications were in India (140). Peru (46) had the most attacks on its water supply. CONCLUSION: The regions with the highest number of total attacks targeting CI have historically been in South America, with more attacks against power and utilities than other infrastructure. Although the numbers of persons directly killed and wounded in these attacks were lower than with other target types, the true impacts on lack of health care delivery are not accounted for in these numbers. By understanding the pattern and scope of these attacks, Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) initiatives can be created to target-harden health care-related infrastructure.

Factors associated with international humanitarian aid appeal for disasters from 1995 to 2015: A retrospective database study.

INTRODUCTION: International humanitarian aid during disasters should be needs-based and coordinated in response to appeals from affected governments. We identify disaster and population factors associated with international aid appeal during disasters and hence guide preparation by international humanitarian aid providers. METHODS: In this retrospective database analysis, we searched the Emergency Events Database for all disasters from 1995 to 2015. Disasters with and without international aid appeals were compared by location, duration, type of disaster, deaths, number of people affected, and total estimated damage. Logistic regression was used to examine the association of each factor with international aid appeal. RESULTS: Of 13,961 disasters recorded from 1995 to 2015, 168 (1.2%) involved international aid appeals. Aid appeals were more likely to be triggered by disasters which killed more people (OR 1.29 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.64] log10 persons), affected more people (OR 1.85 [95%CI 1.57-2.18] / log10 persons), and occurred in Africa (OR 1.67 [95%CI 1.06-2.62). Earthquakes (OR 4.07 [95%CI 2.16-7.67]), volcanic activity (OR 6.23 [95%CI 2.50-15.53]), and insect infestations (OR 12.14 [95%CI 3.05-48.35]) were more likely to trigger international aid appeals. International aid appeals were less likely to be triggered by disasters which occurred in Asia (OR 0.46 [95%CI 0.29-0.73]) and which were transport accidents (OR 0.12 [95%CI 0.02-0.89]). CONCLUSION: International aid appeal during disasters was associated with greater magnitude of damage, disasters in Africa, and specific types of disasters such as earthquakes, volcanic activity, and insect infestations. Humanitarian aid providers can focus preparation on these identified factors.

Descriptive Analysis of the Healthcare Aspects of Industrial Disasters Around the World.

OBJECTIVE: Industrial disasters can have a myriad of repercussions ranging from deaths, injuries, and long-term adverse health impacts on nearby populations, to political fallout and environmental damage. This is a descriptive epidemiological analysis of industrial disasters occurring between 1995 and 2021 which may provide useful insight for health-care systems and disaster medicine specialists to better prevent and mitigate the effects of future industrial disasters. METHODS: Data were collected using a retrospective database search of the Emergency Events Database (EM-DATS) for all industrial disasters occurring between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 2021. RESULTS: A total of 1054 industrial disasters were recorded from 1995 to 2021. Most of these disasters occurred in Asia (720; 68.3%), with 131 (12.4%) in Africa, 107 (10.2%) in Europe, 94 (8.9%) in the Americas, and 2 (0.2%) in Oceania. Half of these disasters were explosions (533; 50.6%), 147 (13.9%) were collapses, 143 (13.6%) were fires, 46 (4.4%) were chemical spills, 41 (3.9%) were gas leaks, and 34 (3.2%) were poisonings. There were 6 (0.6%) oil spills and 3 (0.3%) radiation events. CONCLUSIONS: A total of 29,708 deaths and 57,605 injuries were recorded as a result of industrial disasters, and they remain a significant contributor to the health-care risks of both workers and regional communities. The need for specialized emergency response training, the potential devastation of an industrial accident, and the vulnerability of critical infrastructure as terror targets highlight the need to better understand the potential immediate and long-term consequences of such events and to improve health-care responses in the future.

A Descriptive Analysis of the Use of Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Weapons by Violent Non-State Actors and the Modern-Day Environment of Threat.

INTRODUCTION: The use of chemical, biological, radiation, and nuclear (CBRN) weapons is not new, and though rare, it is an issue of concern around the world due to their ability to cause large-scale mass-casualty events and their potential threat to global stability. The purpose of this study is to explore the use of CBRN weapons by non-state actors through analysis of the Violent Non-State Actor (VNSA) CBRN Event database, and aims to better inform health care systems of the potential risks and consequences of such events. METHODS: Data collection was performed using a retrospective database search through the VNSA CBRN Event database. RESULTS: A total of 565 events were recorded. Five hundred and five (505) events (89.4%) involved single agents while 60 events (10.6%) involved multiple agents. Fatalities numbered 965 for chemical agents, 19 for biological agents, and none for radiological and nuclear events. Injuries numbered 7,540 for chemical agents, 59 for biological agents, 50 for radiological events, and none for nuclear attacks. Fatality and injury per attack was 2.22 and 17.37, respectively, for chemical event agents and 0.15 and 0.48, respectively, for biological event agents. CONCLUSION: Violent Non-State Actors were responsible for 565 unique events around the world involving the use of CBRN weapons from 1990-2020. The United States (118), Russia (49), and Iraq (43) accounted for the top three countries where these events occurred. While CBRN events remain relatively rare, technological advances have the potential to facilitate the use of such weapons as part of a hybrid warfare strategy with significant repercussions for civilian health and health care systems.

Cyberthreats: A primer for healthcare professionals.

INTRODUCTION: Cyberattacks are one of the most widespread, damaging, and disruptive forms of action against healthcare entities. Data breaches, ransomware attacks, and other intrusions can lead to significant cost both in monetary and personal harm to those affected and may result in large payouts to cyber criminals, crashes of information technology systems, leaks of protected health and personal information, as well as fines and lawsuits. This study is a descriptive analysis of healthcare-related cyber breaches affecting 500 or more individuals in the past decade in the United States. METHODS: The publicly available U.S. breach report database was downloaded in the Microsoft Excel (Microsoft, Redmond, Washington, USA) format and searched for all reported breaches occurring between January 1, 2011 - December 31, 2021 (10 years). Breaches were subdivided by category and analyzed by states, breach submission dates, types of breach, location of breached information, entity type, and individuals affected. All subcategories were predefined by the breach report. RESULTS: There were a total of 3822 PHI breaches that affected 283,335,803 people in the United States from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2021. Of the 3822 PHI breaches, 1593 (41.7%) were hacking/ IT related, 1055 (27.6%) were listed as unknown, 819 (21.4%) were theft related, 194 (5.1%) were loss related, 97 (2.5%) were related to improper disposal and 64 (1.7%) were listed as "others". Year 2020 saw the most breaches with 631 and California was the state with the highest number of breaches at 403. CONCLUSION: Cyberattacks and healthcare breaches are one of the most costly and disruptive situations facing healthcare today. A total of 3822 breaches affecting 283,335,803 people in the United States were recorded from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2021. By understanding the extent of cyberthreats this will better prepare healthcare organizations and providers to mitigate, respond, and recover from these devastating attacks.

Terrorism-Related Attacks in East Asia from 1970 through 2020.

AIM: This study aims to analyze and describe terrorism-related attacks in East Asia from 1970 through 2020. BACKGROUND: East Asia consists of South Korea, North Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, China, Japan, Taiwan, and Macao. According to the Global Terrorism Index (GTI) 2022, the impact of terrorism in East Asia is very low. However, the assassination of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on July 8, 2022 demonstrates that East Asia is not safe from terrorist attacks. This descriptive analysis of terrorist attacks in East Asia will help first responders, Emergency Medical Services (EMS), hospital-based medical providers, and policymakers establish a more refined hazard vulnerability assessment (HVA) framework and develop a Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery plan. METHODS: This is a descriptive observational study drawing data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) from January 1, 1970 through December 31, 2020. Epidemiology outcomes included primary weapon type, primary target type, the country where the incident occurred, and the number of total deaths and injured collected. Data from 2021 were not yet available at the time of this study. Results were exported into an Excel spreadsheet (Microsoft Corp.; Redmond, Washington USA) for analysis. RESULTS: There were 779 terrorism-related events in East Asia from 1970 through 2020. In total, the attacks resulted in 1,123 deaths and 9,061 persons injured. The greatest number of attacks (371; 47.63%) occurred in Japan and the second most occurred in China (268; 34.4%). Explosives were the most used primary weapon type (308; 39.54%) in the region, followed by incendiary devices (260; 33.38%). Terrorist attacks drastically diminished from their peak of 92 in 1990, but there were additional peaks of 88 in 1996, 18 in 2000, 20 in 2008, and 36 attacks in 2014. CONCLUSIONS: A total of 779 terrorist attacks occurred from 1970 through 2020 in East Asia, resulting in 1,123 deaths and 9,061 injuries. Of those, 82.03% attacks occurred in Japan and China. Terrorist attacks drastically diminished since their peak in 1996, but there is an overall uptrend in attacks since 1999.

Terrorist Attacks in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1970 through 2020: Analysis and Impact from a Counter-Terrorism Medicine Perspective.

BACKGROUND: Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has become a hotspot for global terrorism, with nearly 50% of global terror-related deaths occurring in SSA in 2021. With a large population and complex geopolitical and social climate, terrorist activity further burdens an already strained medical system. This study provides a retrospective descriptive analysis of terrorist-related activity in SSA from 1970-2020. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) was performed for the region of SSA from 1970-2020. Data were filtered using the internal database search function for all events in the following countries: Angola, Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, People's Republic of the Congo, Republic of the Congo, Rhodesia, Rwanda, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Swaziland, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, Zaire, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. Number of attacks, deaths, and injuries, as well as primary weapons types, country where attacks occurred, and primary target types, were collated and analyzed. RESULTS: A total 19,320 attacks were recorded, resulting in 77,565 deaths and 52,986 injuries. Firearms were the most frequent weapons used (8,745), followed by explosives (6,031), unknown (2,615), and incendiary (1,246), with all others making up the remainder (683.) Private citizens and property were the most frequently targeted entities (8,031), followed by general government facilities (2,582), police (1,854), business (1,446), military (805), diplomatic government facilities (741), and religious figures/institution (678), with all other targets making up the remainder (3,183). CONCLUSION: The majority of deaths from terrorism in SSA are the result of firearm attacks and explosions. Nigeria, Somalia, South Africa, The Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Sudan have had the largest number of attacks since 1970, and Nigeria has the largest number of people killed and injured. The health implications of terrorist attacks are often compounded by violence and pose unique challenges to governments, populations, and aid organizations. By understanding the impact and scope of terrorist activity in SSA, Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) initiatives can be employed to improve health care outcomes.

Threat awareness training for non-governmental organizations deploying humanitarian aid workers into conflict environments.

INTRODUCTION: The current war in Ukraine and the subsequent deployment of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) from around the world has highlighted the many potential dangers faced by humanitarian aid workers operating in conflict zones. Humanitarian aid workers may face both direct and indirect threats and aggression while on deployment, and given the rising number of global conflicts, the authors postulate a need to incorporate threat awareness training as part of pre-deployment training. METHODS: A list of the top 22 rated NGOs providing international aid was obtained from CharityWatch. All 22 were contacted via their public email addresses or website contact pages to find out if they provide any form of security, tactical or threat awareness training. RESULTS: Of the 13 NGOs that responded, 7 did not deploy staff into recent conflict zones or surroundings. All 6 NGOs who deployed staff into Ukraine or surrounding border countries, provided either security, tactical or threat awareness training to their staff. CONCLUSION: With the rising number of conflicts and disasters around the world, humanitarian aid workers are increasingly exposed to hostile environments and there is a compelling need for NGOs to ensure staff are adequately trained and prepared to handle any dangers and threats they may face. In this study, all 6 of the studied NGOs which deployed staff to the conflict zone confirmed some type of security or threat awareness training ranging from in-house security briefs to extensive, multi-day, commercially run courses such as Hostile Environment Awareness Training course.