Use of big data from health insurance for assessment of cardiovascular outcomes.

Outcome research that supports guideline recommendations for primary and secondary preventions largely depends on the data obtained from clinical trials or selected hospital populations. The exponentially growing amount of real-world medical data could enable fundamental improvements in cardiovascular disease (CVD) prediction, prevention, and care. In this review we summarize how data from health insurance claims (HIC) may improve our understanding of current health provision and identify challenges of patient care by implementing the perspective of patients (providing data and contributing to society), physicians (identifying at-risk patients, optimizing diagnosis and therapy), health insurers (preventive education and economic aspects), and policy makers (data-driven legislation). HIC data has the potential to inform relevant aspects of the healthcare systems. Although HIC data inherit limitations, large sample sizes and long-term follow-up provides enormous predictive power. Herein, we highlight the benefits and limitations of HIC data and provide examples from the cardiovascular field, i.e. how HIC data is supporting healthcare, focusing on the demographical and epidemiological differences, pharmacotherapy, healthcare utilization, cost-effectiveness and outcomes of different treatments. As an outlook we discuss the potential of using HIC-based big data and modern artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to guide patient education and care, which could lead to the development of a learning healthcare system and support a medically relevant legislation in the future.

Machine Learning Identifies New Predictors on Restenosis Risk after Coronary Artery Stenting in 10,004 Patients with Surveillance Angiography.

OBJECTIVE: Machine learning (ML) approaches have the potential to uncover regular patterns in multi-layered data. Here we applied self-organizing maps (SOMs) to detect such patterns with the aim to better predict in-stent restenosis (ISR) at surveillance angiography 6 to 8 months after percutaneous coronary intervention with stenting. METHODS: In prospectively collected data from 10,004 patients receiving percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for 15,004 lesions, we applied SOMs to predict ISR angiographically 6-8 months after index procedure. SOM findings were compared with results of conventional uni- and multivariate analyses. The predictive value of both approaches was assessed after random splitting of patients into training and test sets (50:50). RESULTS: Conventional multivariate analyses revealed 10, mostly known, predictors for restenosis after coronary stenting: balloon-to-vessel ratio, complex lesion morphology, diabetes mellitus, left main stenting, stent type (bare metal vs. first vs. second generation drug eluting stent), stent length, stenosis severity, vessel size reduction, and prior bypass surgery. The SOM approach identified all these and nine further predictors, including chronic vessel occlusion, lesion length, and prior PCI. Moreover, the SOM-based model performed well in predicting ISR (AUC under ROC: 0.728); however, there was no meaningful advantage in predicting ISR at surveillance angiography in comparison with the conventional multivariable model (0.726, p = 0.3). CONCLUSIONS: The agnostic SOM-based approach identified-without clinical knowledge-even more contributors to restenosis risk. In fact, SOMs applied to a large prospectively sampled cohort identified several novel predictors of restenosis after PCI. However, as compared with established covariates, ML technologies did not improve identification of patients at high risk for restenosis after PCI in a clinically relevant fashion.

Network reconstruction for trans acting genetic loci using multi-omics data and prior information.

BACKGROUND: Molecular measurements of the genome, the transcriptome, and the epigenome, often termed multi-omics data, provide an in-depth view on biological systems and their integration is crucial for gaining insights in complex regulatory processes. These data can be used to explain disease related genetic variants by linking them to intermediate molecular traits (quantitative trait loci, QTL). Molecular networks regulating cellular processes leave footprints in QTL results as so-called trans-QTL hotspots. Reconstructing these networks is a complex endeavor and use of biological prior information can improve network inference. However, previous efforts were limited in the types of priors used or have only been applied to model systems. In this study, we reconstruct the regulatory networks underlying trans-QTL hotspots using human cohort data and data-driven prior information. METHODS: We devised a new strategy to integrate QTL with human population scale multi-omics data. State-of-the art network inference methods including BDgraph and glasso were applied to these data. Comprehensive prior information to guide network inference was manually curated from large-scale biological databases. The inference approach was extensively benchmarked using simulated data and cross-cohort replication analyses. Best performing methods were subsequently applied to real-world human cohort data. RESULTS: Our benchmarks showed that prior-based strategies outperform methods without prior information in simulated data and show better replication across datasets. Application of our approach to human cohort data highlighted two novel regulatory networks related to schizophrenia and lean body mass for which we generated novel functional hypotheses. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that existing biological knowledge can improve the integrative analysis of networks underlying trans associations and generate novel hypotheses about regulatory mechanisms.

Identification of the Transcription Factor ATF3 as a Direct and Indirect Regulator of the LDLR.

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a complex, multifactorial disease caused, in particular, by inflammation and cholesterol metabolism. At the molecular level, the role of tissue-specific signaling pathways leading to CAD is still largely unexplored. This study relied on two main resources: (1) genes with impact on atherosclerosis/CAD, and (2) liver-specific transcriptome analyses from human and mouse studies. The transcription factor activating transcription factor 3 (ATF3) was identified as a key regulator of a liver network relevant to atherosclerosis and linked to inflammation and cholesterol metabolism. ATF3 was predicted to be a direct and indirect (via MAF BZIP Transcription Factor F (MAFF)) regulator of low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR). Chromatin immunoprecipitation DNA sequencing (ChIP-seq) data from human liver cells revealed an ATF3 binding motif in the promoter regions of MAFF and LDLR. siRNA knockdown of ATF3 in human Hep3B liver cells significantly upregulated LDLR expression (p < 0.01). Inflammation induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation resulted in significant upregulation of ATF3 (p < 0.01) and subsequent downregulation of LDLR (p < 0.001). Liver-specific expression data from human CAD patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery (STARNET) and mouse models (HMDP) confirmed the regulatory role of ATF3 in the homeostasis of cholesterol metabolism. This study suggests that ATF3 might be a promising treatment candidate for lowering LDL cholesterol and reducing cardiovascular risk.

Genetic variation influencing DNA methylation provides insights into molecular mechanisms regulating genomic function.

We determined the relationships between DNA sequence variation and DNA methylation using blood samples from 3,799 Europeans and 3,195 South Asians. We identify 11,165,559 SNP-CpG associations (methylation quantitative trait loci (meQTL), P < 10-14), including 467,915 meQTL that operate in trans. The meQTL are enriched for functionally relevant characteristics, including shared chromatin state, High-throuhgput chromosome conformation interaction, and association with gene expression, metabolic variation and clinical traits. We use molecular interaction and colocalization analyses to identify multiple nuclear regulatory pathways linking meQTL loci to phenotypic variation, including UBASH3B (body mass index), NFKBIE (rheumatoid arthritis), MGA (blood pressure) and COMMD7 (white cell counts). For rs6511961 , chromatin immunoprecipitation followed by sequencing (ChIP-seq) validates zinc finger protein (ZNF)333 as the likely trans acting effector protein. Finally, we used interaction analyses to identify population- and lineage-specific meQTL, including rs174548 in FADS1, with the strongest effect in CD8+ T cells, thus linking fatty acid metabolism with immune dysregulation and asthma. Our study advances understanding of the potential pathways linking genetic variation to human phenotype.

Vascular Tissue Specific miRNA Profiles Reveal Novel Correlations with Risk Factors in Coronary Artery Disease.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Non-coding RNAs have already been linked to CVD development and progression. While microRNAs (miRs) have been well studied in blood samples, there is little data on tissue-specific miRs in cardiovascular relevant tissues and their relation to cardiovascular risk factors. Tissue-specific miRs derived from Arteria mammaria interna (IMA) from 192 coronary artery disease (CAD) patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) were analyzed. The aims of the study were 1) to establish a reference atlas which can be utilized for identification of novel diagnostic biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets, and 2) to relate these miRs to cardiovascular risk factors. Overall, 393 individual miRs showed sufficient expression levels and passed quality control for further analysis. We identified 17 miRs-miR-10b-3p, miR-10-5p, miR-17-3p, miR-21-5p, miR-151a-5p, miR-181a-5p, miR-185-5p, miR-194-5p, miR-199a-3p, miR-199b-3p, miR-212-3p, miR-363-3p, miR-548d-5p, miR-744-5p, miR-3117-3p, miR-5683 and miR-5701-significantly correlated with cardiovascular risk factors (correlation coefficient >0.2 in both directions, p-value (p < 0.006, false discovery rate (FDR) <0.05). Of particular interest, miR-5701 was positively correlated with hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes. In addition, we found that miR-629-5p and miR-98-5p were significantly correlated with acute myocardial infarction. We provide a first atlas of miR profiles in IMA samples from CAD patients. In perspective, these miRs might play an important role in improved risk assessment, mechanistic disease understanding and local therapy of CAD.

Risk Prediction of Cardiovascular Events by Exploration of Molecular Data with Explainable Artificial Intelligence.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) annually take almost 18 million lives worldwide. Most lethal events occur months or years after the initial presentation. Indeed, many patients experience repeated complications or require multiple interventions (recurrent events). Apart from affecting the individual, this leads to high medical costs for society. Personalized treatment strategies aiming at prediction and prevention of recurrent events rely on early diagnosis and precise prognosis. Complementing the traditional environmental and clinical risk factors, multi-omics data provide a holistic view of the patient and disease progression, enabling studies to probe novel angles in risk stratification. Specifically, predictive molecular markers allow insights into regulatory networks, pathways, and mechanisms underlying disease. Moreover, artificial intelligence (AI) represents a powerful, yet adaptive, framework able to recognize complex patterns in large-scale clinical and molecular data with the potential to improve risk prediction. Here, we review the most recent advances in risk prediction of recurrent cardiovascular events, and discuss the value of molecular data and biomarkers for understanding patient risk in a systems biology context. Finally, we introduce explainable AI which may improve clinical decision systems by making predictions transparent to the medical practitioner.

Inferring Interaction Networks From Multi-Omics Data.

A major goal in systems biology is a comprehensive description of the entirety of all complex interactions between different types of biomolecules-also referred to as the interactome-and how these interactions give rise to higher, cellular and organism level functions or diseases. Numerous efforts have been undertaken to define such interactomes experimentally, for example yeast-two-hybrid based protein-protein interaction networks or ChIP-seq based protein-DNA interactions for individual proteins. To complement these direct measurements, genome-scale quantitative multi-omics data (transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics, etc.) enable researchers to predict novel functional interactions between molecular species. Moreover, these data allow to distinguish relevant functional from non-functional interactions in specific biological contexts. However, integration of multi-omics data is not straight forward due to their heterogeneity. Numerous methods for the inference of interaction networks from homogeneous functional data exist, but with the advent of large-scale paired multi-omics data a new class of methods for inferring comprehensive networks across different molecular species began to emerge. Here we review state-of-the-art techniques for inferring the topology of interaction networks from functional multi-omics data, encompassing graphical models with multiple node types and quantitative-trait-loci (QTL) based approaches. In addition, we will discuss Bayesian aspects of network inference, which allow for leveraging already established biological information such as known protein-protein or protein-DNA interactions, to guide the inference process.