CSF-Based Volumetric Imaging Biomarkers Highlight Incidence and Risk Factors for Cerebral Edema After Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral edema has primarily been studied using midline shift or clinical deterioration as end points, which only captures the severe and delayed manifestations of a process affecting many patients with stroke. Quantitative imaging biomarkers that measure edema severity across the entire spectrum could improve its early detection, as well as identify relevant mediators of this important stroke complication. METHODS: We applied an automated image analysis pipeline to measure the displacement of cerebrospinal fluid (ΔCSF) and the ratio of lesional versus contralateral hemispheric cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) volume (CSF ratio) in a cohort of 935 patients with hemispheric stroke with follow-up computed tomography scans taken a median of 26 h (interquartile range 24-31) after stroke onset. We determined diagnostic thresholds based on comparison to those without any visible edema. We modeled baseline clinical and radiographic variables against each edema biomarker and assessed how each biomarker was associated with stroke outcome (modified Rankin Scale at 90 days). RESULTS: The displacement of CSF and CSF ratio were correlated with midline shift (r = 0.52 and - 0.74, p < 0.0001) but exhibited broader ranges. A ΔCSF of greater than 14% or a CSF ratio below 0.90 identified those with visible edema: more than half of the patients with stroke met these criteria, compared with only 14% who had midline shift at 24 h. Predictors of edema across all biomarkers included a higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, a lower Alberta Stroke Program Early CT score, and lower baseline CSF volume. A history of hypertension and diabetes (but not acute hyperglycemia) predicted greater ΔCSF but not midline shift. Both ΔCSF and a lower CSF ratio were associated with worse outcome, adjusting for age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT score (odds ratio 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.2 per 21% ΔCSF). CONCLUSIONS: Cerebral edema can be measured in a majority of patients with stroke on follow-up computed tomography using volumetric biomarkers evaluating CSF shifts, including in many without visible midline shift. Edema formation is influenced by clinical and radiographic stroke severity but also by chronic vascular risk factors and contributes to worse stroke outcomes.

Imaging biomarkers of cerebral edema automatically extracted from routine CT scans of large vessel occlusion strokes.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Volumetric and densitometric biomarkers have been proposed to better quantify cerebral edema after stroke, but their relative performance has not been rigorously evaluated. METHODS: Patients with large vessel occlusion stroke from three institutions were analyzed. An automated pipeline extracted brain, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and infarct volumes from serial CTs. Several biomarkers were measured: change in global CSF volume from baseline (ΔCSF); ratio of CSF volumes between hemispheres (CSF ratio); and relative density of infarct region compared with mirrored contralateral region (net water uptake [NWU]). These were compared to radiographic standards, midline shift and relative hemispheric volume (RHV) and malignant edema, defined as deterioration resulting in need for osmotic therapy, decompressive surgery, or death. RESULTS: We analyzed 255 patients with 210 baseline CTs, 255 24-hour CTs, and 81 72-hour CTs. Of these, 35 (14%) developed malignant edema and 63 (27%) midline shift. CSF metrics could be calculated for 310 (92%), while NWU could only be obtained from 193 (57%). Peak midline shift was correlated with baseline CSF ratio (ρ = -.22) and with CSF ratio and ΔCSF at 24 hours (ρ = -.55/.63) and 72 hours (ρ = -.66/.69), but not with NWU (ρ = .15/.25). Similarly, CSF ratio was correlated with RHV (ρ = -.69/-.78), while NWU was not. Adjusting for age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, tissue plasminogen activator treatment, and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score, CSF ratio (odds ratio [OR]: 1.95 per 0.1, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.52-2.59) and ΔCSF at 24 hours (OR: 1.87 per 10%, 95% CI: 1.47-2.49) were associated with malignant edema. CONCLUSION: CSF volumetric biomarkers can be automatically measured from almost all routine CTs and correlate better with standard edema endpoints than net water uptake.

The relevance of rich club regions for functional outcome post-stroke is enhanced in women.

This study aimed to investigate the influence of stroke lesions in predefined highly interconnected (rich-club) brain regions on functional outcome post-stroke, determine their spatial specificity and explore the effects of biological sex on their relevance. We analyzed MRI data recorded at index stroke and ~3-months modified Rankin Scale (mRS) data from patients with acute ischemic stroke enrolled in the multisite MRI-GENIE study. Spatially normalized structural stroke lesions were parcellated into 108 atlas-defined bilateral (sub)cortical brain regions. Unfavorable outcome (mRS > 2) was modeled in a Bayesian logistic regression framework. Effects of individual brain regions were captured as two compound effects for (i) six bilateral rich club and (ii) all further non-rich club regions. In spatial specificity analyses, we randomized the split into "rich club" and "non-rich club" regions and compared the effect of the actual rich club regions to the distribution of effects from 1000 combinations of six random regions. In sex-specific analyses, we introduced an additional hierarchical level in our model structure to compare male and female-specific rich club effects. A total of 822 patients (age: 64.7[15.0], 39% women) were analyzed. Rich club regions had substantial relevance in explaining unfavorable functional outcome (mean of posterior distribution: 0.08, area under the curve: 0.8). In particular, the rich club-combination had a higher relevance than 98.4% of random constellations. Rich club regions were substantially more important in explaining long-term outcome in women than in men. All in all, lesions in rich club regions were associated with increased odds of unfavorable outcome. These effects were spatially specific and more pronounced in women.

Radiomics-Derived Brain Age Predicts Functional Outcome After Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: While chronological age is one of the most influential determinants of poststroke outcomes, little is known of the impact of neuroimaging-derived biological "brain age." We hypothesized that radiomics analyses of T2-FLAIR images texture would provide brain age estimates and that advanced brain age of patients with stroke will be associated with cardiovascular risk factors and worse functional outcomes. METHODS: We extracted radiomics from T2-FLAIR images acquired during acute stroke clinical evaluation. Brain age was determined from brain parenchyma radiomics using an ElasticNet linear regression model. Subsequently, relative brain age (RBA), which expresses brain age in comparison with chronological age-matched peers, was estimated. Finally, we built a linear regression model of RBA using clinical cardiovascular characteristics as inputs and a logistic regression model of favorable functional outcomes taking RBA as input. RESULTS: We reviewed 4,163 patients from a large multisite ischemic stroke cohort (mean age = 62.8 years, 42.0% female patients). T2-FLAIR radiomics predicted chronological ages (mean absolute error = 6.9 years, r = 0.81). After adjustment for covariates, RBA was higher and therefore described older-appearing brains in patients with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, a history of smoking, and a history of a prior stroke. In multivariate analyses, age, RBA, NIHSS, and a history of prior stroke were all significantly associated with functional outcome (respective adjusted odds ratios: 0.58, 0.76, 0.48, 0.55; all p-values < 0.001). Moreover, the negative effect of RBA on outcome was especially pronounced in minor strokes. DISCUSSION: T2-FLAIR radiomics can be used to predict brain age and derive RBA. Older-appearing brains, characterized by a higher RBA, reflect cardiovascular risk factor accumulation and are linked to worse outcomes after stroke.

Contribution of Common Genetic Variants to Risk of Early Onset Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Current genome-wide association studies of ischemic stroke have focused primarily on late onset disease. As a complement to these studies, we sought to identifythe contribution of common genetic variants to risk of early onset ischemic stroke. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of early onset stroke (EOS), ages 18-59, using individual level data or summary statistics in 16,730 cases and 599,237 non-stroke controls obtained across 48 different studies. We further compared effect sizes at associated loci between EOS and late onset stroke (LOS) and compared polygenic risk scores for venous thromboembolism between EOS and LOS. RESULTS: We observed genome-wide significant associations of EOS with two variants in ABO, a known stroke locus. These variants tag blood subgroups O1 and A1, and the effect sizes of both variants were significantly larger in EOS compared to LOS. The odds ratio (OR) for rs529565, tagging O1, 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85-0.91) in EOS vs 0.96 (95% CI: 0.92-1.00) in LOS, and the OR for rs635634, tagging A1, was 1.16 (1.11-1.21) for EOS vs 1.05 (0.99-1.11) in LOS; p-values for interaction = 0.001 and 0.005, respectively. Using polygenic risk scores, we observed that greater genetic risk for venous thromboembolism, another prothrombotic condition, was more strongly associated with EOS compared to LOS (p=0.008). DISCUSSION: The ABO locus, genetically predicted blood group A, and higher genetic propensity for venous thrombosis are more strongly associated with EOS than with LOS, supporting a stronger role of prothrombotic factors in EOS.

Deep profiling of multiple ischemic lesions in a large, multi-center cohort: Frequency, spatial distribution, and associations to clinical characteristics.

Background purpose: A substantial number of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) experience multiple acute lesions (MAL). We here aimed to scrutinize MAL in a large radiologically deep-phenotyped cohort. Materials and methods: Analyses relied upon imaging and clinical data from the international MRI-GENIE study. Imaging data comprised both Fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) for white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden estimation and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) sequences for the assessment of acute stroke lesions. The initial step featured the systematic evaluation of occurrences of MAL within one and several vascular supply territories. Associations between MAL and important imaging and clinical characteristics were subsequently determined. The interaction effect between single and multiple lesion status and lesion volume was estimated by means of Bayesian hierarchical regression modeling for both stroke severity and functional outcome. Results: We analyzed 2,466 patients (age = 63.4 ± 14.8, 39% women), 49.7% of which presented with a single lesion. Another 37.4% experienced MAL in a single vascular territory, while 12.9% featured lesions in multiple vascular territories. Within most territories, MAL occurred as frequently as single lesions (ratio ∼1:1). Only the brainstem region comprised fewer patients with MAL (ratio 1:4). Patients with MAL presented with a significantly higher lesion volume and acute NIHSS (7.7 vs. 1.7 ml and 4 vs. 3, p FDR < 0.001). In contrast, patients with a single lesion were characterized by a significantly higher WMH burden (6.1 vs. 5.3 ml, p FDR = 0.048). Functional outcome did not differ significantly between patients with single versus multiple lesions. Bayesian analyses suggested that the association between lesion volume and stroke severity between single and multiple lesions was the same in case of anterior circulation stroke. In case of posterior circulation stroke, lesion volume was linked to a higher NIHSS only among those with MAL. Conclusion: Multiple lesions, especially those within one vascular territory, occurred more frequently than previously reported. Overall, multiple lesions were distinctly linked to a higher acute stroke severity, a higher total DWI lesion volume and a lower WMH lesion volume. In posterior circulation stroke, lesion volume was linked to a higher stroke severity in multiple lesions only.

A Polygenic Risk Score Based on a Cardioembolic Stroke Multitrait Analysis Improves a Clinical Prediction Model for This Stroke Subtype.

Background: Occult atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the major causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Knowing the underlying etiology of an ESUS will reduce stroke recurrence and/or unnecessary use of anticoagulants. Understanding cardioembolic strokes (CES), whose main cause is AF, will provide tools to select patients who would benefit from anticoagulants among those with ESUS or AF. We aimed to discover novel loci associated with CES and create a polygenetic risk score (PRS) for a more efficient CES risk stratification. Methods: Multitrait analysis of GWAS (MTAG) was performed with MEGASTROKE-CES cohort (n = 362,661) and AF cohort (n = 1,030,836). We considered significant variants and replicated those variants with MTAG p-value < 5 × 10-8 influencing both traits (GWAS-pairwise) with a p-value < 0.05 in the original GWAS and in an independent cohort (n = 9,105). The PRS was created with PRSice-2 and evaluated in the independent cohort. Results: We found and replicated eleven loci associated with CES. Eight were novel loci. Seven of them had been previously associated with AF, namely, CAV1, ESR2, GORAB, IGF1R, NEURL1, WIPF1, and ZEB2. KIAA1755 locus had never been associated with CES/AF, leading its index variant to a missense change (R1045W). The PRS generated has been significantly associated with CES improving discrimination and patient reclassification of a model with age, sex, and hypertension. Conclusion: The loci found significantly associated with CES in the MTAG, together with the creation of a PRS that improves the predictive clinical models of CES, might help guide future clinical trials of anticoagulant therapy in patients with ESUS or AF.

Association of Stroke Lesion Pattern and White Matter Hyperintensity Burden With Stroke Severity and Outcome.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To examine whether high white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden is associated with greater stroke severity and worse functional outcomes in lesion pattern-specific ways. METHODS: MR neuroimaging and NIH Stroke Scale data at index stroke and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 3-6 months after stroke were obtained from the MRI-Genetics Interface Exploration study of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Individual WMH volume was automatically derived from fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images. Stroke lesions were automatically segmented from diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) images, parcellated into atlas-defined brain regions and further condensed to 10 lesion patterns via machine learning-based dimensionality reduction. Stroke lesion effects on AIS severity and unfavorable outcomes (mRS score >2) were modeled within purpose-built Bayesian linear and logistic regression frameworks. Interaction effects between stroke lesions and a high vs low WMH burden were integrated via hierarchical model structures. Models were adjusted for age, age2, sex, total DWI lesion and WMH volumes, and comorbidities. Data were split into derivation and validation cohorts. RESULTS: A total of 928 patients with AIS contributed to acute stroke severity analyses (age: 64.8 [14.5] years, 40% women) and 698 patients to long-term functional outcome analyses (age: 65.9 [14.7] years, 41% women). Stroke severity was mainly explained by lesions focused on bilateral subcortical and left hemispherically pronounced cortical regions across patients with both a high and low WMH burden. Lesions centered on left-hemispheric insular, opercular, and inferior frontal regions and lesions affecting right-hemispheric temporoparietal regions had more pronounced effects on stroke severity in case of high compared with low WMH burden. Unfavorable outcomes were predominantly explained by lesions in bilateral subcortical regions. In difference to the lesion location-specific WMH effects on stroke severity, higher WMH burden increased the odds of unfavorable outcomes independent of lesion location. DISCUSSION: Higher WMH burden may be associated with an increased stroke severity in case of stroke lesions involving left-hemispheric insular, opercular, and inferior frontal regions (potentially linked to language functions) and right-hemispheric temporoparietal regions (potentially linked to attention). Our findings suggest that patients with specific constellations of WMH burden and lesion locations may have greater benefits from acute recanalization treatments. Future clinical studies are warranted to systematically assess this assumption and guide more tailored treatment decisions.

Automated Measurement of Net Water Uptake From Baseline and Follow-Up CTs in Patients With Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke.

Quantifying the extent and evolution of cerebral edema developing after stroke is an important but challenging goal. Lesional net water uptake (NWU) is a promising CT-based biomarker of edema, but its measurement requires manually delineating infarcted tissue and mirrored regions in the contralateral hemisphere. We implement an imaging pipeline capable of automatically segmenting the infarct region and calculating NWU from both baseline and follow-up CTs of large-vessel occlusion (LVO) patients. Infarct core is extracted from CT perfusion images using a deconvolution algorithm while infarcts on follow-up CTs were segmented from non-contrast CT (NCCT) using a deep-learning algorithm. These infarct masks were flipped along the brain midline to generate mirrored regions in the contralateral hemisphere of NCCT; NWU was calculated as one minus the ratio of densities between regions, removing voxels segmented as CSF and with HU outside thresholds of 20-80 (normal hemisphere and baseline CT) and 0-40 (infarct region on follow-up). Automated results were compared with those obtained using manually-drawn infarcts and an ASPECTS region-of-interest based method that samples densities within the infarct and normal hemisphere, using intraclass correlation coefficient (ρ). This was tested on serial CTs from 55 patients with anterior circulation LVO (including 66 follow-up CTs). Baseline NWU using automated core was 4.3% (IQR 2.6-7.3) and correlated with manual measurement (ρ = 0.80, p < 0.0001) and ASPECTS (r = -0.60, p = 0.0001). Automatically segmented infarct volumes (median 110-ml) correlated to manually-drawn volumes (ρ = 0.96, p < 0.0001) with median Dice similarity coefficient of 0.83 (IQR 0.72-0.90). Automated NWU was 24.6% (IQR 20-27) and highly correlated to NWU from manually-drawn infarcts (ρ = 0.98) and the sampling-based method (ρ = 0.68, both p < 0.0001). We conclude that this automated imaging pipeline is able to accurately quantify region of infarction and NWU from serial CTs and could be leveraged to study the evolution and impact of edema in large cohorts of stroke patients.

Performance of Automated RAPID Intracranial Hemorrhage Detection in Real-World Practice: A Single-Institution Experience.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) is a common finding in patients presenting to the emergency department with acute neurological symptoms. Noncontrast head computed tomography (NCCT) is the primary modality for assessment and detection of ICH in the acute setting. RAPID ICH software aims to automatically detect ICH on NCCT and was previously shown to have high accuracy when applied to a curated test data set. Here, we measured the test performance characteristics of RAPID ICH software in detecting ICH on NCCT performed in patients undergoing emergency stroke evaluation at a tertiary academic comprehensive stroke center. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective study assessed consecutive patients over a 6-month period who presented with acute neurological symptoms suspicious for stroke and underwent NCCT with RAPID ICH postprocessing. RAPID ICH detection was compared with the interpretation of a reference standard comprising a board-certified or board-eligible neuroradiologist, or in cases of discrepancy, adjudicated by a consensus panel of 3 neuroradiologists. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of RAPID ICH for ICH detection were determined. RESULTS: Three hundred seven NCCT scans were included in the study. RAPID ICH correctly identified 34 of 37 cases with ICH and 228 of 270 without ICH. RAPID ICH had a sensitivity of 91.9% (78.1%-98.3%), specificity of 84.4% (79.6%-88.6%), NPV of 98.7% (96.3%-99.6%), PPV of 44.7% (37.6%-52.1%), and overall accuracy of 85.3% (80.9%-89.1%). CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world scenario, RAPID ICH software demonstrated high NPV but low PPV for the presence of ICH when evaluating possible stroke patients.

Inhibition of the enzyme autotaxin reduces cortical excitability and ameliorates the outcome in stroke.

Stroke penumbra injury caused by excess glutamate is an important factor in determining stroke outcome; however, several therapeutic approaches aiming to rescue the penumbra have failed, likely due to unspecific targeting and persistent excitotoxicity, which continued far beyond the primary stroke event. Synaptic lipid signaling can modulate glutamatergic transmission via presynaptic lysophosphatidic acid (LPA) 2 receptors modulated by the LPA-synthesizing molecule autotaxin (ATX) present in astrocytic perisynaptic processes. Here, we detected long-lasting increases in brain ATX concentrations after experimental stroke. In humans, cerebrospinal fluid ATX concentration was increased up to 14 days after stroke. Using astrocyte-specific deletion and pharmacological inhibition of ATX at different time points after experimental stroke, we showed that inhibition of LPA-related cortical excitability improved stroke outcome. In transgenic mice and in individuals expressing a single-nucleotide polymorphism that increased LPA-related glutamatergic transmission, we found dysregulated synaptic LPA signaling and subsequent negative stroke outcome. Moreover, ATX inhibition in the animal model ameliorated stroke outcome, suggesting that this approach might have translational potential for improving the outcome after stroke.

Sex-specific lesion pattern of functional outcomes after stroke.

Stroke represents a considerable burden of disease for both men and women. However, a growing body of literature suggests clinically relevant sex differences in the underlying causes, presentations and outcomes of acute ischaemic stroke. In a recent study, we reported sex divergences in lesion topographies: specific to women, acute stroke severity was linked to lesions in the left-hemispheric posterior circulation. We here determined whether these sex-specific brain manifestations also affect long-term outcomes. We relied on 822 acute ischaemic patients [age: 64.7 (15.0) years, 39% women] originating from the multi-centre MRI-GENIE study to model unfavourable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale >2) based on acute neuroimaging data in a Bayesian hierarchical framework. Lesions encompassing bilateral subcortical nuclei and left-lateralized regions in proximity to the insula explained outcomes across men and women (area under the curve = 0.81). A pattern of left-hemispheric posterior circulation brain regions, combining left hippocampus, precuneus, fusiform and lingual gyrus, occipital pole and latero-occipital cortex, showed a substantially higher relevance in explaining functional outcomes in women compared to men [mean difference of Bayesian posterior distributions (men - women) = -0.295 (90% highest posterior density interval = -0.556 to -0.068)]. Once validated in prospective studies, our findings may motivate a sex-specific approach to clinical stroke management and hold the promise of enhancing outcomes on a population level.

Multi-ancestry GWAS reveals excitotoxicity associated with outcome after ischaemic stroke.

During the first hours after stroke onset, neurological deficits can be highly unstable: some patients rapidly improve, while others deteriorate. This early neurological instability has a major impact on long-term outcome. Here, we aimed to determine the genetic architecture of early neurological instability measured by the difference between the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) within 6 h of stroke onset and NIHSS at 24 h. A total of 5876 individuals from seven countries (Spain, Finland, Poland, USA, Costa Rica, Mexico and Korea) were studied using a multi-ancestry meta-analyses. We found that 8.7% of NIHSS at 24 h of variance was explained by common genetic variations, and also that early neurological instability has a different genetic architecture from that of stroke risk. Eight loci (1p21.1, 1q42.2, 2p25.1, 2q31.2, 2q33.3, 5q33.2, 7p21.2 and 13q31.1) were genome-wide significant and explained 1.8% of the variability suggesting that additional variants influence early change in neurological deficits. We used functional genomics and bioinformatic annotation to identify the genes driving the association from each locus. Expression quantitative trait loci mapping and summary data-based Mendelian randomization indicate that ADAM23 (log Bayes factor = 5.41) was driving the association for 2q33.3. Gene-based analyses suggested that GRIA1 (log Bayes factor = 5.19), which is predominantly expressed in the brain, is the gene driving the association for the 5q33.2 locus. These analyses also nominated GNPAT (log Bayes factor = 7.64) ABCB5 (log Bayes factor = 5.97) for the 1p21.1 and 7p21.1 loci. Human brain single-nuclei RNA-sequencing indicates that the gene expression of ADAM23 and GRIA1 is enriched in neurons. ADAM23, a presynaptic protein and GRIA1, a protein subunit of the AMPA receptor, are part of a synaptic protein complex that modulates neuronal excitability. These data provide the first genetic evidence in humans that excitotoxicity may contribute to early neurological instability after acute ischaemic stroke.

International stroke genetics consortium recommendations for studies of genetics of stroke outcome and recovery.

Numerous biological mechanisms contribute to outcome after stroke, including brain injury, inflammation, and repair mechanisms. Clinical genetic studies have the potential to discover biological mechanisms affecting stroke recovery in humans and identify intervention targets. Large sample sizes are needed to detect commonly occurring genetic variations related to stroke brain injury and recovery. However, this usually requires combining data from multiple studies where consistent terminology, methodology, and data collection timelines are essential. Our group of expert stroke and rehabilitation clinicians and researchers with knowledge in genetics of stroke recovery here present recommendations for harmonizing phenotype data with focus on measures suitable for multicenter genetic studies of ischemic stroke brain injury and recovery. Our recommendations have been endorsed by the International Stroke Genetics Consortium.

Accelerating Prediction of Malignant Cerebral Edema After Ischemic Stroke with Automated Image Analysis and Explainable Neural Networks.

BACKGROUND: Malignant cerebral edema is a devastating complication of stroke, resulting in deterioration and death if hemicraniectomy is not performed prior to herniation. Current approaches for predicting this relatively rare complication often require advanced imaging and still suffer from suboptimal performance. We performed a pilot study to evaluate whether neural networks incorporating data extracted from routine computed tomography (CT) imaging could enhance prediction of edema in a large diverse stroke cohort. METHODS: An automated imaging pipeline retrospectively extracted volumetric data, including cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) volumes and the hemispheric CSF volume ratio, from baseline and 24 h CT scans performed in participants of an international stroke cohort study. Fully connected and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks were trained using serial clinical and imaging data to predict those who would require hemicraniectomy or die with midline shift. The performance of these models was tested, in comparison with regression models and the Enhanced Detection of Edema in Malignant Anterior Circulation Stroke (EDEMA) score, using cross-validation to construct precision-recall curves. RESULTS: Twenty of 598 patients developed malignant edema (12 required surgery, 8 died). The regression model provided 95% recall but only 32% precision (area under the precision-recall curve [AUPRC] 0.74), similar to the EDEMA score (precision 28%, AUPRC 0.66). The fully connected network did not perform better (precision 33%, AUPRC 0.71), but the LSTM model provided 100% recall and 87% precision (AUPRC 0.97) in the overall cohort and the subgroup with a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 8 (p = 0.0001 vs. regression and fully connected models). Features providing the most predictive importance were the hemispheric CSF ratio and NIHSS score measured at 24 h. CONCLUSIONS: An LSTM neural network incorporating volumetric data extracted from routine CT scans identified all cases of malignant cerebral edema by 24 h after stroke, with significantly fewer false positives than a fully connected neural network, regression model, and the validated EDEMA score. This preliminary work requires prospective validation but provides proof of principle that a deep learning framework could assist in selecting patients for surgery prior to deterioration.

Accurate Prediction of Persistent Upper Extremity Impairment in Patients With Ischemic Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a simple and effective risk score for predicting which stroke patients will have persistent impairment of upper extremity motor function at 90 days. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of clinical trial patients hospitalized with acute ischemic stroke who were followed for 90 days to determine functional outcome. SETTING: Patient were hospitalized at facilities across the United States. PARTICIPANTS: We created a harmonized cohort of individual patients (N=1653) from the NINDS tPA, ALIAS part 2, IMS-III, DEFUSE 3, and FAST-MAG trials. We split the cohort into balanced derivation and validation samples. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was persistent arm impairment, defined as a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) arm domain score of 2 to 4 at 90 days in patients who had a 24-hour NIHSS arm score of 1 or more. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to determine the elements of the persistent upper extremity impairment (PUPPI) index, which we validated as a predictive tool. RESULTS: We included 1653 patients (827 derivation, 826 validation), of whom 803 (48.6%) had persistent arm impairment. The PUPPI index gives 1 point each for age 55 years or older and NIHSS values of worse arm (4), worse leg (>2), facial palsy (3), and total NIHSS (≥10). The optimal cutpoint for the PUPPI index was 3 or greater, at which the area under the curve was greater than 0.75 for the derivation and validation cohorts and when using NIHSS values from either 24 hours or in a subacute or discharge time window. Results were similar across different levels of stroke severity. CONCLUSION: The PUPPI index uses readily available information to accurately predict persistent upper extremity motor impairment at 90 days poststroke. The PUPPI index can be administered in minutes and could be used as inclusion criterion in recovery-related clinical trials or, with additional development, as a prognostic tool for patients, caregivers, and clinicians.

Excessive White Matter Hyperintensity Increases Susceptibility to Poor Functional Outcomes After Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Objective: To personalize the prognostication of post-stroke outcome using MRI-detected cerebrovascular pathology, we sought to investigate the association between the excessive white matter hyperintensity (WMH) burden unaccounted for by the traditional stroke risk profile of individual patients and their long-term functional outcomes after a stroke. Methods: We included 890 patients who survived after an acute ischemic stroke from the MRI-Genetics Interface Exploration (MRI-GENIE) study, for whom data on vascular risk factors (VRFs), including age, sex, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, coronary artery disease, smoking, prior stroke history, as well as acute stroke severity, 3- to-6-month modified Rankin Scale score (mRS), WMH, and brain volumes, were available. We defined the unaccounted WMH (uWMH) burden via modeling of expected WMH burden based on the VRF profile of each individual patient. The association of uWMH and mRS score was analyzed by linear regression analysis. The odds ratios of patients who achieved full functional independence (mRS < 2) in between trichotomized uWMH burden groups were calculated by pair-wise comparisons. Results: The expected WMH volume was estimated with respect to known VRFs. The uWMH burden was associated with a long-term functional outcome (ß = 0.104, p < 0.01). Excessive uWMH burden significantly reduced the odds of achieving full functional independence after a stroke compared to the low and average uWMH burden [OR = 0.4, 95% CI: (0.25, 0.63), p < 0.01 and OR = 0.61, 95% CI: (0.42, 0.87), p < 0.01, respectively]. Conclusion: The excessive amount of uWMH burden unaccounted for by the traditional VRF profile was associated with worse post-stroke functional outcomes. Further studies are needed to evaluate a lifetime brain injury reflected in WMH unrelated to the VRF profile of a patient as an important factor for stroke recovery and a plausible indicator of brain health.

Variability of the Modified Rankin Scale Score Between Day 90 and 1 Year After Ischemic Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Studies indicate that the functional outcome evolves in the year after ischemic stroke onset. However, the traditional outcome measure in stroke trials is the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days from onset. To determine mRS fluctuations in the first year after stroke, we examined data from 3 major stroke trials. METHODS: In a secondary analysis, we evaluated intrapatient mRS between 90 days and 1 year from stroke onset, the mRS shift (∆mRS = 1 year-day 90), and the trials' primary outcome at day 90 and 1 year. RESULTS: We included 624 patients from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke rt-PA Stroke Study, 587 from Albumin Treatment for Acute Ischaemic Stroke, and 611 from Interventional Management of Stroke III, for which the proportion of patients with a ∆mRS change between day 90 and 1 year was 36.5%, 41.7%, and 36.0%. However, the trials' primary outcomes did not differ at 1 year vs 90 days. Similar findings were seen in a second cohort where we pooled the trials and excluded patients with recurrent stroke or death during the follow-up. In those 1,314 patients, 544 (41.4%) had a ∆mRS change, of which 379 (28.9%) had improvement and 165 (12.5%) had worsening, apart from death. CONCLUSION: We describe the patient-level spectrum of mRS change from day 90 to 1 year after ischemic stroke in 3 high-quality randomized trials. The patient-level shifts consisted of a sufficiently counterbalanced number of mRS improvements and declines, which masked clinical evolution occurring in over one-third of patients. These results may have important implications, both for clinical trial design and outcome adjudication in stroke research and duration of rehabilitative therapy.

MRI Radiomic Signature of White Matter Hyperintensities Is Associated With Clinical Phenotypes.

OBJECTIVE: Neuroimaging measurements of brain structural integrity are thought to be surrogates for brain health, but precise assessments require dedicated advanced image acquisitions. By means of quantitatively describing conventional images, radiomic analyses hold potential for evaluating brain health. We sought to: (1) evaluate radiomics to assess brain structural integrity by predicting white matter hyperintensities burdens (WMH) and (2) uncover associations between predictive radiomic features and clinical phenotypes. METHODS: We analyzed a multi-site cohort of 4,163 acute ischemic strokes (AIS) patients with T2-FLAIR MR images with total brain and WMH segmentations. Radiomic features were extracted from normal-appearing brain tissue (brain mask-WMH mask). Radiomics-based prediction of personalized WMH burden was done using ElasticNet linear regression. We built a radiomic signature of WMH with stable selected features predictive of WMH burden and then related this signature to clinical variables using canonical correlation analysis (CCA). RESULTS: Radiomic features were predictive of WMH burden (R 2 = 0.855 ± 0.011). Seven pairs of canonical variates (CV) significantly correlated the radiomics signature of WMH and clinical traits with respective canonical correlations of 0.81, 0.65, 0.42, 0.24, 0.20, 0.15, and 0.15 (FDR-corrected p-values CV 1 - 6 < 0.001, p-value CV 7 = 0.012). The clinical CV1 was mainly influenced by age, CV2 by sex, CV3 by history of smoking and diabetes, CV4 by hypertension, CV5 by atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes, CV6 by coronary artery disease (CAD), and CV7 by CAD and diabetes. CONCLUSION: Radiomics extracted from T2-FLAIR images of AIS patients capture microstructural damage of the cerebral parenchyma and correlate with clinical phenotypes, suggesting different radiographical textural abnormalities per cardiovascular risk profile. Further research could evaluate radiomics to predict the progression of WMH and for the follow-up of stroke patients' brain health.

RP11-362K2.2:RP11-767I20.1 Genetic Variation Is Associated with Post-Reperfusion Therapy Parenchymal Hematoma. A GWAS Meta-Analysis.

Stroke is one of the most common causes of death and disability. Reperfusion therapies are the only treatment available during the acute phase of stroke. Due to recent clinical trials, these therapies may increase their frequency of use by extending the time-window administration, which may lead to an increase in complications such as hemorrhagic transformation, with parenchymal hematoma (PH) being the more severe subtype, associated with higher mortality and disability rates. Our aim was to find genetic risk factors associated with PH, as that could provide molecular targets/pathways for their prevention/treatment and study its genetic correlations to find traits sharing genetic background. We performed a GWAS and meta-analysis, following standard quality controls and association analysis (fastGWAS), adjusting age, NIHSS, and principal components. FUMA was used to annotate, prioritize, visualize, and interpret the meta-analysis results. The total number of patients in the meta-analysis was 2034 (216 cases and 1818 controls). We found rs79770152 having a genome-wide significant association (beta 0.09, p-value 3.90 × 10-8) located in the RP11-362K2.2:RP11-767I20.1 gene and a suggestive variant (rs13297983: beta 0.07, p-value 6.10 × 10-8) located in PCSK5 associated with PH occurrence. The genetic correlation showed a shared genetic background of PH with Alzheimer's disease and white matter hyperintensities. In addition, genes containing the ten most significant associations have been related to aggregated amyloid-ß, tau protein, white matter microstructure, inflammation, and matrix metalloproteinases.