Risk Factors and Scoring Systems to Predict the Mortality Risk of Afebrile Adult Patients with Monomicrobial Gram-Negative Bacteremia: A 10-Year Observational Study in the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: The mortality rate of afebrile bacteremia has been reported to be as high as 45%. This investigation focused on the risk factors and predictive performance of scoring systems for the clinical outcomes of afebrile patients with monomicrobial gram-negative bacteria (GNB) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of afebrile adult ED patients with monomicrobial GNB bacteremia from January 2012 to December 2021. We dissected the demographics, clinical pictures, and laboratory investigations. We applied five scoring systems and three revised systems to predict the clinical outcomes. RESULTS: There were 600 patients included (358 males and 242 females), with a mean age of 69.6 ± 15.4 years. The overall mortality rate was 50.17%, reaching 68.52% (74/108) in cirrhotic patients. Escherichia coli was the leading pathogen (42.83%). The non-survivors had higher scores of the original MEDS (p < 0.001), NEWS (p < 0.001), MEWS (p < 0.001), qSOFA (p < 0.001), and REMS (p = 0.030). In univariate logistic regression analyses, several risk factors had a higher odds ratio (OR) for mortality, including liver cirrhosis (OR 2.541, p < 0.001), malignancy (OR 2.259, p < 0.001), septic shock (OR 2.077, p = 0.002), and male gender (OR 0.535, p < 0.001). The MEDS demonstrated that the best predictive power with the maximum area under the curve (AUC) was measured at 0.773 at the cut-off point of 11. The AUCs of the original NEWS, MEWS, qSOFA, and REMS were 0.663, 0.584, 0.572, and 0.553, respectively. We revised the original MEDS, NEWS, and qSOFA by adding red cell distribution width, albumin, and lactate scores and found a better predictive power of the AUC of 0.797, 0.719, and 0.694 on the revised MEDS ≥11, revised qSOFA ≥ 3, and revised NEWS ≥ 6, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The original MEDS, revised MEDS, revised qSOFA, and revised NEWS were valuable tools for predicting the mortality risk in afebrile patients with monomicrobial GNB bacteremia. We suggested that clinicians should explore patients with the risk factors mentioned above for possible severe infection, even in the absence of fever and initiate hemodynamic support and early adequate antibiotic therapy in patients with higher scores of the original MEDS (≥11), revised MEDS (≥11), revised NEWS (≥6), and revised qSOFA (≥3).

Better Performance of Modified Scoring Systems to Predict the Clinical Outcomes of Vibrio Bacteremia in the Emergency Department: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Vibrio is a genus of Gram-negative bacteria found in various aquatic environments, including saltwater and freshwater. Vibrio bacteremia can lead to sepsis, a potentially life-threatening condition in which the immune system enters overdrive in response to the disease, causing widespread inflammation and damage to tissues and organs. V. vulnificus had the highest case fatality rate (39%) of all reported foodborne infections in the United States and a high mortality rate in Asia, including Taiwan. Numerous scoring systems have been created to estimate the mortality risk in the emergency department (ED). However, there are no specific scoring systems to predict the mortality risk of Vibrio bacteremia. Therefore, this study modified the existing scoring systems to better predict the mortality risk of Vibrio bacteremia. METHODS: Cases of Vibrio bacteremia were diagnosed based on the results from at least one blood culture in the ED. Patient data were extracted from the electronic clinical database, covering January 2012 to December 2021. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.This study used univariate and multivariate analyses to evaluate the mortality risk. RESULTS: This study enrolled 36 patients diagnosed with Vibrio bacteremia, including 23 males (63.9%) and 13 females (36.1%), with a mean age of 65.1 ± 15.7 years. The in-hospital mortality rate amounted to 25% (9/36), with 31.5% in V. vulnificus (6/19) and 17.6% in V. non-vulnificus (3/17). The non-survivors demonstrated higher MEDS (10.3 ± 2.4) than the survivors (6.2 ± 4.1) (p = 0.002). Concerning the qSOFA, the survivors scored 0.3 ± 0.5, and the non-survivors displayed a score of 0.6 ± 0.7 (p = 0.387). The AUC of the ROC for the MEDS and qSOFA was 0.833 and 0.599, respectively. This study modified the scoring systems with other predictive factors, including BUN and pH. The AUC of the ROC for the modified MEDS and qSOFA reached up to 0.852 and 0.802, respectively. CONCLUSION: The MEDS could serve as reliable indicators for forecasting the mortality rate of patients grappling with Vibrio bacteremia. This study modified the MEDS and qSOFA to strengthen the predictive performance of mortality risk for Vibrio bacteremia. We advocate the prompt initiation of targeted therapeutic interventions and judicious antibiotic treatments to curb fatality rates.

Exposure to ambient temperature and heat index in relation to DNA methylation age: A population-based study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Climate change caused an increase in ambient temperature in the past decades. Exposure to high ambient temperature could result in biological aging, but relevant studies in a warm environment were lacking. We aimed to study the exposure effects of ambient temperature and heat index (HI) in relation to age acceleration in Taiwan, a subtropical island in Asia. METHODS: The study included 2,084 participants from Taiwan Biobank. Daily temperature and relative humidity data were collected from weather monitoring stations. Individual residential exposure was estimated by ordinary kriging. Moving averages of ambient temperature and HI from 1 to 180 days prior to enrollment were calculated to estimate the exposure effects in multiple time periods. Age acceleration was defined as the difference between DNA methylation age and chronological age. DNA methylation age was calculated by the Horvath's, Hannum's, Weidner's, ELOVL2, FHL2, phenotypic (Pheno), Skin & blood, and GrimAge2 (Grim2) DNA methylation age algorithms. Multivariable linear regression models, generalized additive models (GAMs), and distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs) were conducted to estimate the effects of ambient temperature and HI exposures in relation to age acceleration. RESULTS: Exposure to high ambient temperature and HI were associated with increased age acceleration, and the associations were stronger in prolonged exposure. The heat stress days with maximum HI in caution (80-90°F), extreme caution (90-103°F), danger (103-124°F), and extreme danger (>124°F) were also associated with increased age acceleration, especially in the extreme danger days. Each extreme danger day was associated with 571.38 (95 % CI: 42.63-1100.13), 528.02 (95 % CI: 36.16-1019.87), 43.9 (95 % CI: 0.28-87.52), 16.82 (95 % CI: 2.36-31.28) and 15.52 (95 % CI: 2.17-28.88) days increase in the Horvath's, Hannum's, Weidner's, Pheno, and Skin & blood age acceleration, respectively. CONCLUSION: High ambient temperature and HI may accelerate biological aging.

Utilizing the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to confirm the impact of emergency department management in sepsis patients: a cohort study from taiwan 1998-2020.

BACKGROUND: Most sepsis patients could potentially experience advantageous outcomes from targeted medical intervention, such as fluid resuscitation, antibiotic administration, respiratory support, and nursing care, promptly upon arrival at the emergency department (ED). Several scoring systems have been devised to predict hospital outcomes in sepsis patients, including the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. In contrast to prior research, our study introduces the novel approach of utilizing the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) as a means of assessing treatment efficacy and disease progression during an ED stay for sepsis. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the sepsis prognosis and effectiveness of treatment administered during ED admission in reducing overall hospital mortality rates resulting from sepsis, as measured by the NEWS2. METHODS: The present investigation was conducted at a medical center from 1997 to 2020. The NEWS2 was calculated for patients with sepsis who were admitted to the ED in a consecutive manner. The computation was based on the initial and final parameters that were obtained during their stay in the ED. The alteration in the NEWS2 from the initial to the final measurements was utilized to evaluate the benefit of ED management to the hospital outcome of sepsis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed, encompassing all clinically significant variables, to evaluate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for total hospital mortality in sepsis patients with reduced severity, measured by NEWS2 score difference, with a 95% confidence interval (adjusted HR with 95% CI). The study employed Kaplan-Meier analysis with a Log-rank test to assess variations in overall hospital mortality rates between two groups: the "improvement (reduced NEWS2)" and "non-improvement (no change or increased NEWS2)" groups. RESULTS: The present investigation recruited a cohort of 11,011 individuals who experienced the first occurrence of sepsis as the primary diagnosis while hospitalized. The mean age of the improvement and non-improvement groups were 69.57 (± 16.19) and 68.82 (± 16.63) years, respectively. The mean SOFA score of the improvement and non-improvement groups were of no remarkable difference, 9.7 (± 3.39) and 9.8 (± 3.38) years, respectively. The total hospital mortality for sepsis was 42.92% (4,727/11,011). Following treatment by the prevailing guidelines at that time, a total of 5,598 out of 11,011 patients (50.88%) demonstrated improvement in the NEWS2, while the remaining 5,403 patients (49.12%) did not. The improvement group had a total hospital mortality rate of 38.51%, while the non-improvement group had a higher rate of 47.58%. The non-improvement group exhibited a lower prevalence of comorbidities such as congestive heart failure, cerebral vascular disease, and renal disease. The non-improvement group exhibited a lower Charlson comorbidity index score [4.73 (± 3.34)] compared to the improvement group [4.82 (± 3.38)] The group that underwent improvement exhibited a comparatively lower incidence of septic shock development in contrast to the non-improvement group (51.13% versus 54.34%, P < 0.001). The improvement group saw a total of 2,150 patients, which represents 38.41% of the overall sample size of 5,598, transition from the higher-risk to the medium-risk category. A total of 2,741 individuals, representing 48.96% of the sample size of 5,598 patients, exhibited a reduction in severity score only without risk category alteration. Out of the 5,403 patients (the non-improvement group) included in the study, 78.57% (4,245) demonstrated no alteration in the NEWS2. Conversely, 21.43% (1,158) of patients exhibited an escalation in severity score. The Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the implementation of interventions aimed at reducing the NEWS2 during a patient's stay in the ED had a significant positive impact on the outcome, as evidenced by the adjusted HRs of 0.889 (95% CI = 0.808, 0.978) and 0.891 (95% CI = 0.810, 0.981), respectively. The results obtained from the Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that the survival rate of the improvement group was significantly higher than that of the non-improvement group (P < 0.001) in the hospitalization period. CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrated that 50.88% of sepsis patients obtained improvement in ED, ascertained by means of the NEWS2 scoring system. The practical dynamics of NEWS2 could be utilized to depict such intricacies clearly. The findings also literally supported the importance of ED management in the comprehensive course of sepsis treatment in reducing the total hospital mortality rate.

Ferritin as an Effective Predictor of Neurological Outcomes in Children With Acute Necrotizing Encephalopathy.

BACKGROUND: Acute necrotizing encephalopathy (ANE) is a fulminant disease with poor prognosis. Cytokine storm is the important phenomenon of ANE that affects the brain and multiple organs. The study aimed to identify whether hyperferritinemia was associated with poor prognosis in patients with ANE. METHODS: All patients with ANE had multiple symmetric lesions located in the bilateral thalami and other regions such as brainstem tegmentum, cerebral white matter, and cerebellum. Neurological outcome at discharge was evaluated by pediatric neurologists using the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale. All risk factors associated with poor prognosis were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients with ANE were enrolled in the current study. Nine (31%) patients achieved a favorable neurological outcome, and 20 (69%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. results The group of poor neurological outcome had significantly higher proportion of shock on admission and brainstem involvement. Based on multivariate logistic regression analysis, ferritin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and ANE severity score (ANE-SS) were the predictors associated with outcomes. The appropriate cutoff value for predicting neurological outcomes in patients with ANE was 1823 ng/mL for ferritin, 78 U/L for AST, and 4.5 for ANE-SS. Besides, comparison analyses showed that higher level of ferritin and ANE-SS were significantly correlated with brainstem involvement (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Ferritin may potentially be a prognostic factor in patients with ANE. Hyperferritinemia is associated with poor neurological outcomes in patients with ANE and ferritin levels more than 1823 ng/mL have about eightfold increased risk of poor neurological outcome.

Good Performance of Revised Scoring Systems in Predicting Clinical Outcomes of Aeromonas Bacteremia in the Emergency Department: A Retrospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Aeromonas species, Gram-negative, non-sporulating, facultative, and anaerobic bacilli, widely distributed in aquatic environments, derive various infections, including bacteremia. Most of these infections were opportunistic and found in patients with predisposing conditions. Among the infections, bacteremia remains with notable mortality, reported from 15% to 45%. However, predicting systems for assessing the mortality risk of this disease have yet to be investigated. We aimed to validate the performance of specific predictive scoring systems to assess the clinical outcomes of Aeromonas bacteremia and applied the revised systems to predict mortality risk. METHODS: A retrospective observational study reviewed patients with bacteremia caused by Aeromonas spp. based on at least one positive blood culture sample collected in the emergency department from January 2012 to December 2020. The outcome was in-hospital mortality. We used seven predictive scoring systems to predict the clinical outcome. According to the effectiveness in predicting mortality, we revised three of the seven predictive scoring systems by specific characteristics to refine their risk-predicting performances. RESULTS: We enrolled 165 patients with bacteremia caused by Aeromonas spp., including 121 males (73.3%) and 44 females (26.7%), with a mean age of 66.1 ± 14.9 years and an average length of hospital stay of 12.4 ± 10.9 days. The overall mortality rate was 32.7% (54/165). The non-survivors had significantly higher scores in MEDS (6.7 ± 4.2 vs. 12.2 ± 3.3, p < 0.001), NEWS (4.0 ± 2.8 vs. 5.3 ± 3.0, p = 0.008), and qSOFA (0.3 ± 0.6 vs. 0.6 ± 0.7, p = 0.007). Regarding mortality risk prediction, the MEDS demonstrated the best predictive power with AUC of ROC measured up to 0.834, followed by NEWS (0.626) and qSOFA (0.608). We revised the MEDS, NEWS, and qSOFA by hemoglobin and lactate. We found that the revised scores had better powerful performance, including 0.859, 0.767, and 0.691 of the AUC of ROC, if the revised MEDS ≥10, revised NEWS ≥8, and revised qSOFA ≥2, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: MEDS, NEWS, and qSOFA were good tools for predicting outcomes in patients with Aeromonas spp. bacteremia. The revised MEDS, NEWS, and qSOFA demonstrated more powerful predicting performance than the original scoring systems. We suggested that patients with higher scores in revised MEDS (≥10), revised NEWS (≥8), and revised qSOFA (≥2) received early goal-directed therapy and appropriate broad-spectrum antibiotic treatment as early as possible to reduce mortality.

PEAL Score to Predict the Mortality Risk of Cardiogenic Shock in the Emergency Department: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The in-hospital mortality of cardiogenic shock (CS) remains high (28% to 45%). As a result, several studies developed prediction models to assess the mortality risk and provide guidance on treatment, including CardShock and IABP-SHOCK II scores, which performed modestly in external validation studies, reflecting the heterogeneity of the CS populations. Few articles established predictive scores of CS based on Asian people with a higher burden of comorbidities than Caucasians. We aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of a contemporary Asian population with CS, identify risk factors, and develop a predictive scoring model. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted between 2014 and 2019 to collect the patients who presented with all-cause CS in the emergency department of a single medical center in Taiwan. We divided patients into subgroups of CS related to acute myocardial infarction (AMI-CS) or heart failure (HF-CS). The outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality. We built the prediction model based on the hazard ratio of significant variables, and the cutoff point of each predictor was determined using the Youden index. We also assessed the discrimination ability of the risk score using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: We enrolled 225 patients with CS. One hundred and seven patients (47.6%) were due to AMI-CS, and ninety-eight patients among them received reperfusion therapy. Forty-nine patients (21.8%) eventually died within 30 days. Fifty-three patients (23.55%) presented with platelet counts < 155 × 103/µL, which were negatively associated with a 30-day mortality of CS in the restrictive cubic spline plot, even within the normal range of platelet counts. We identified four predictors: platelet counts < 200 × 103/µL (HR 2.574, 95% CI 1.379-4.805, p = 0.003), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 40% (HR 2.613, 95% CI 1.020-6.692, p = 0.045), age > 71 years (HR 2.452, 95% CI 1.327-4.531, p = 0.004), and lactate > 2.7 mmol/L (HR 1.967, 95% CI 1.069-3.620, p = 0.030). The risk score ended with a maximum of 5 points and showed an AUC (95% CI) of 0.774 (0.705-0.843) for all patients, 0.781 (0.678-0.883), and 0.759 (0.662-0.855) for AMI-CS and HF-CS sub-groups, respectively, all p < 0.001. CONCLUSIONS: Based on four parameters, platelet counts, LVEF, age, and lactate (PEAL), this model showed a good predictive performance for all-cause mortality at 30 days in the all patients, AMI-CS, and HF-CS subgroups. The restrictive cubic spline plot showed a significantly negative correlation between initial platelet counts and 30-day mortality risk in the AMI-CS and HF-CS subgroups.

Diastolic blood pressure impact on pediatric refractory septic shock outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Septic shock is the progression of sepsis, defined as cardiovascular dysfunction during systemic infection, and it has a mortality rate of 40 %-80 %. Loss of vascular tone is an important pathophysiological feature of septic shock. Diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was reported to be associated with vascular tone. This study aimed to identify the associations of several hemodynamic indices, especially DBP, with outcome in pediatric septic shock to allow for timely interventions. METHODS: Children with persistent catecholamine-resistant shock had a pulse index continuous cardiac output (PiCCO®) system implanted for invasive hemodynamic monitoring and were enrolled in the current study. Serial cardiac index, systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and DBP were recorded during the first 24 h following PiCCO® initiation. All hemodynamic parameters associated with 28-day mortality were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-three children with persistent catecholamine-resistant shock were enrolled. The median age was 12 years and the youngest children were 5 years old. Univariate analysis noted that SVRI, SBP, MAP, and DBP were significantly higher, and shock index was significant lower, in survivors compared with non-survivors (p < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, only SVRI and DBP remained independent predictors of 28-day mortality. DBP had the best correlation with SVRI (r = 0.718, n = 219, p < 0.001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of SVRI and DBP for predicting 28-day mortality during the first 24 h of persistent catecholamine-resistant shock were >0.75, indicating a good prediction for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: DBP correlated well with SVRI and it can serve as a predictor for mortality in pediatric septic shock. Furthermore, DBP was a superior discriminator of mortality when compared with SBP and MAP. A lower DBP was an independent hemodynamic factor associated with 28-day mortality.

Predictive Performance of Scoring Systems for Mortality Risk in Patients with Cryptococcemia: An Observational Study.

Cryptococcal infection is usually diagnosed in immunocompromised individuals and those with meningeal involvement, accounting for most cryptococcosis. Cryptococcemia indicates a poor prognosis and prolongs the course of treatment. We use the scoring systems to predict the mortality risk of cryptococcal fungemia. This was a single hospital-based retrospective study on patients diagnosed with cryptococcal fungemia confirmed by at least one blood culture collected from the emergency department covering January 2012 and December 2020 from electronic medical records in the Taichung Veterans General Hospital. We enrolled 42 patients, including 28 (66.7%) males and 14 (33.3%) females with a mean age of 63.0 ± 19.7 years. The hospital stay ranged from 1 to 170 days (a mean stay of 44.4 days), and the overall mortality rate was 64.3% (27/42). In univariate analysis, the AUC of ROC for MEWS, RAPS, qSOFA, MEWS plus GCS, REMS, NEWS, and MEDS showed 0.833, 0.842, 0.848, 0.846, 0.846, 0.878, and 0.905. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, all scoring systems, older age, lactate, MAP, and DBP, indicated significant differences between survivor and non-survivor groups. Our results show that all scoring systems could apply in predicting the outcome of patients with cryptococcal fungemia, and the MEDS displays the best performance. We recommend a further large-scale prospective study for patients with cryptococcal fungemia.

Bridging geographical disparities across 368 townships with healthcare system and socioeconomic factors in Taiwan.

A universal health insurance program such as the National Health Insurance in Taiwan offers a wide coverage and increased access to healthcare services. Despite its ongoing efforts to enhance healthcare accessibility, differences in health for people living in urban and resource-deprived areas remain substantial. To investigate the longitudinal impact of the healthcare system and other potential structural drivers such as education and economic development on geographical disparities in health, we designed a panel study with longitudinal open secondary data, covering all 368 townships in Taiwan between 2013 and 2017. Our findings indicated higher mortality rates in the mountainous and rural areas near the east and south regions of the island in both years. Multivariate analyses showed an increase in the density of primary care physicians (PCP) was associated with lower all-cause mortality (ß = - 0.72, p < 0.0001) and cardiovascular disease mortality (ß = - 0.41, p < 0.0001). Effect of PCP is evident, but merely focusing on access to healthcare is still not enough. Additional measures are warranted to address the health disparities existing between urban and underprivileged areas.

Percutaneous catheter drainage versus percutaneous needle aspiration for liver abscess: a systematic review, meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness and safety of percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) against percutaneous needle aspiration (PNA) for liver abscess. DESIGN: Systematic review, meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis. DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Embase, Airiti Library and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from their inception up to 16 March 2022. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials that compared PCD to PNA for liver abscess were considered eligible, without restriction on language. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Primary outcome was treatment success rate. Depending on heterogeneity, either a fixed-effects model or a random-effects model was used to derive overall estimates. Review Manager V.5.3 software was used for meta-analysis. Trial sequential analysis was performed using the Trial Sequential Analysis software. Certainty of evidence was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation system. RESULTS: Ten trials totalling 1287 individuals were included. Pooled analysis revealed that PCD, when compared with PNA, enhanced treatment success rate (risk ratio 1.16, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.25). Trial sequential analysis demonstrated this robust finding with required information size attained. For large abscesses, subgroup analysis favoured PCD (test of subgroup difference, p<0.001). In comparison to PNA, pooled analysis indicated a significant benefit of PCD on time to achieve clinical improvement or complete clinical relief (mean differences (MD) -2.53 days; 95% CI -3.54 to -1.52) in six studies with 1000 patients; time to achieve a 50% reduction in abscess size (MD -2.49 days; 95% CI -3.59 to -1.38) in five studies with 772 patients; and duration of intravenous antibiotic use (MD -4.04 days, 95% CI -5.99 to -2.10) in four studies with 763 patients. In-hospital mortality and complications were not different. CONCLUSION: In patients with liver abscess, ultrasound-guided PCD raises the treatment success rate by 136 in 1000 patients, improves clinical outcomes by 3 days and reduces the need for intravenous antibiotics by 4 days. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022316540.

Effect of end-stage kidney disease on the return of spontaneous circulation in Taiwanese adults with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Rescuing patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), especially those with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), is challenging. This study hypothesizes that OHCA patients with ESKD undergoing maintenance hemodialysis have (1) higher rates of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) during cardio-pulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and (2) lower rates of hyperkalemia and less severe acidosis than those without ESKD. OHCA patients who received CPR between 2011 and 2020 were dichotomized into ESKD and non-ESKD groups. The association of ESKD with "any" and "sustained" ROSC were examined using logistic regression analysis. Furthermore, the effect of ESKD on hospital outcomes for OHCA patients who survived to admission was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. ESKD patients without "any" ROSC displayed lower potassium and higher pH levels than non-ESKD patients. ESKD was positively associated with "any" ROSC (adjusted-OR: 4.82, 95% CI 2.70-5.16, P < 0.01) and "sustained" ROSC (adjusted-OR: 9.45, 95% CI 3.83-24.13, P < 0.01). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated ESKD patients had a non-inferior hospital survival than non-ESKD patients. OHCA patients with ESKD had lower serum potassium level and less severe acidosis compared to the general population in Taiwan; therefore, should not be treated under the stereotypical assumption that hyperkalemia and acidosis always occur.

Effect of Carbon Monoxide Poisoning on Epilepsy Development: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning causes central nervous system toxicity resulting in delayed neurologic sequelae. This study aims to evaluate the risk of epilepsy in patients with a history of CO intoxication. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database and enrolled patients with and without CO poisoning matched for age, sex, and index year in a 1:5 ratio, between 2000 and 2010. Multivariable survival models were used to assess the risk of epilepsy. The primary outcome was newly developed epilepsy after the index date. All patients were followed until a new diagnosis of epilepsy, death, or December 31, 2013. Stratification analyses by age and sex were also conducted. RESULTS: This study included 8,264 patients with CO poisoning and 41,320 without. Patients with a history of CO poisoning were strongly associated with subsequent epilepsy (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 8.40; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.48 to 10.88). In the age-stratified analysis, intoxicated patients aged 20 to 39 years had the highest HR (adjusted HR 11.06; 95% CI, 7.17 to 17.08). In the sex-stratified analysis, adjusted HRs for male and female patients were 8.00 (95% CI, 5.86 to 10.92) and 9.53 (95% CI, 5.95 to 15.26), respectively. CONCLUSION: Patients with CO poisoning were associated with an increased risk of developing epilepsy compared with those without CO poisoning. This association was more prominent in the young population.

Scoring Systems to Evaluate the Mortality Risk of Patients with Emphysematous Cystitis: A Retrospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Emphysematous cystitis (EC) is a complicated urinary tract infection (UTI) characterized by gas formation within the bladder wall and lumen. Immunocompetent people are less likely to suffer from complicated UTIs, but EC usually occurs in women with poorly controlled diabetes mellitus (DM). Other risk factors of EC include recurrent UTI, neurogenic bladder disorder, blood supply disorders, and prolonged catheterization, but DM is still the most important of all aspects. Our study investigated clinical scores in predicting clinical outcomes of patients with EC. Our analysis is unique in predicting EC clinical outcomes by using scoring system performance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively collected EC patient data from the electronic clinical database of Taichung Veterans General Hospital between January 2007 and December 2020. Urinary cultures and computerized tomography confirmed EC. In addition, we investigated the demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory data for analysis. Finally, we used a variety of clinical scoring systems as a predictor of clinical outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 35 patients had confirmed EC, including 11 males (31.4%) and 24 females (68.6%), with a mean age of 69.1 ± 11.4 years. Their hospital stay averaged 19.9 ± 15.5 days. The in-hospital mortality rate was 22.9%. The Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score was 5.4 ± 4.7 for survivors and 11.8 ± 5.3 for non-survivors (p = 0.005). For mortality risk prediction, the AUC of ROC was 0.819 for MEDS and 0.685 for Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS). The hazard ratio of univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses of REMS for EC patients was1.457 (p = 0.011) and 1.374 (p = 0.025), respectively. CONCLUSION: Physicians must pay attention to high-risk patients according to clinical clues and arrange imaging studies as soon as possible to confirm the diagnosis of EC. MEDS and REMS are helpful for clinical staff in predicting the clinical outcome of EC patients. If EC patients feature higher scores of MEDS (≥12) and REMS (≥10), they will have higher mortality.

Effects of empiric antibiotic treatment based on hospital cumulative antibiograms in patients with bacteraemic sepsis: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of empiric antibiotics with different degrees of appropriateness based on hospital cumulative antibiograms in patients with bacteraemic sepsis presenting to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included adult patients with sepsis and positive blood culture reports in the ED from February 2016 to December 2018. Based on isolated pathogens and empiric antibiotics which the patients received, these patients were divided into two groups using a cut-off of 70% for overall antimicrobial susceptibility (OAS) on hospital cumulative antibiograms 6 months prior to ED admission. Multivariate regression and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: In this study, 1055 patients were included. We used multivariate regression models which were adjusted for age, sex, co-morbidities, site of infection, organ dysfunction, and septic shock. Empiric antibiotics with OAS of ≥70% were associated with reduced in-hospital deaths (adjusted odds ratio, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.77) and 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.33-0.86). They were more likely to result in a shortened length of intensive care unit stay by 1.60 days (95% CI, -3.00 to -0.20). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with empiric antibiotics with OAS of ≥70% based on hospital cumulative antibiograms is associated with lower mortality and shorter length of intensive care unit stay in patients with bacteraemic sepsis in the ED.

Performance of Scoring Systems in Predicting Clinical Outcomes of Patients with Emphysematous Pyelonephritis: A 14-Year Hospital-Based Study.

Background: Emphysematous pyelonephritis (EPN) is a rare but severe necrotizing infection causing there to be gas in the pelvicalyceal system, renal parenchyma, and perirenal or pararenal space. Physicians should attend to EPN because of its life-threatening septic complications. The overall mortality rate has been reported to be as high as 20−40%. In addition, most patients had diabetes mellitus (DM) and obstructive uropathy. The most common isolated microorganism is Escherichia coli. This study aims to analyze the risk factors and performance of scoring systems in predicting the clinical outcomes of patients with EPN. Materials and Methods: We collected the data of patients with EPN in this single hospital-based retrospective study from the electronic medical records of Taichung Veterans General Hospital between January 2007 and December 2020. Radiological investigations of abdominal computed tomography (CT) confirmed the diagnosis of EPN. In addition, we analyzed demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory data. Finally, we used various scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes. Results: A total of fifty patients with EPN, whose diagnoses were confirmed through CT, were enrolled in the study. There were 18 males (36%) and 32 females (64%), with a mean age of 64.3 ± 11.3 years. The in-hospital mortality rate was 16%. A DM of 34 (68%) patients was the most common comorbidity. Fever was the most common symptom, found in 25 (50%) patients. The Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score was 4.64 ± 3.67 for survivors and 14.25 ± 5.34 for non-survivors (p < 0.001). The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) was 3.64 ± 2.33 for survivors and 7.13 ± 4.85 for non-survivors (p = 0.046). The Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (REMS) was 5.81 ± 1.97 for survivors and 9.13 ± 3.87 for non-survivors (p = 0.024). Regarding performance of mortality risk prediction, the AUC of ROC was 0.932 for MEDS, 0.747 for REMS, and 0.72 for NEWS. Conclusions: MEDS, REMS, and NEWS could be prognostic tools for the prediction of the clinical outcomes of patients with EPN. MEDS showed the best sound performance. In those with higher scores in MEDS (≥12), REMS (≥10), and NEWS (≥8), we recommended aggressive management and appropriate antimicrobial therapy as soon as possible to reduce mortality. Further large-scale studies are required to gain a deep understanding of this disease and to ensure patient safety.

End-Stage Renal Disease Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis Have Higher Possibility of Return of Spontaneous Circulation during Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest and Non-Inferior Short-Term Survival.

End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on long-term hemodialysis (HD) have an elevated risk of sudden cardiac death. This study hypothesizes, for the first time, that these patients have a higher odds of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and subsequent better hospital-outcomes, post out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), as opposed to non-ESRD patients. A national database from Taiwan was utilized, in which 101,876 ESRD patients undergoing HD and propensity score-matched non-ESRD patients were used to conduct two analyses: (i) Cox-proportional-hazards-regression for OHCA incidence and (ii) logistic-regression analysis of attaining ROSC after OHCA, both for ESRD patients in comparison to non-ESRD patients. Kaplan-Meier analyses were conducted to determine the difference of survival rates after ROSC between the two cohorts. ESRD patients were found to be at a higher risk of OHCA (adjusted-HR = 2.11, 95% CI: (1.89−2.36), p < 0.001); however, they were at higher odds of attaining ROSC (adjusted-OR = 2.47, 95% CI: 1.90−3.21, p < 0.001), as opposed to non-ESRDs. Further, Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated ESRD patients with a better 30-day hospital survival rate than non-ESRD patients. Although ESRD patients had a higher risk of OHCA, they demonstrated higher possibility of ROSC and a better short-term hospital outcome than non-ESRDs. Chronic toxin tolerance and the training of vascular-compliance during regular HD may be possible explanations for better outcomes in ESRD patients.

Long-Term Exposures to Air Pollutants and Risk of Peripheral Arterial Occlusive Disease: A Nationwide Cohort Study in Taiwan.

Air pollution is one of the most alarming environmental issues which causes multiple health hazards. An association between air pollution and cardiovascular diseases has been established through many prior studies. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk of long-term exposure to air pollution (PM2.5, CO, and NO2) and its association with the risk of developing peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD). PAOD is a condition involving impairment of perfusion of blood in the distal parts of the aorta due to narrowing of the arteries (arterial stenosis) and has been reported as a risk factor for developing cardiovascular diseases. Furthermore, the risk of PAOD increases with age, and hence is a serious public health issue and a cause for concern, especially for an aging society such as Taiwan. Two national-scale databases from Taiwan, the national health insurance database (NHIRD) and the Taiwan air quality-monitoring database (TAQMD), were linked to conduct this cohort study between 2003 and 2013. Cox proportional hazards regression with time-dependent modeling was used to evaluate the hazard ratio (HR) for PAOD with respect to daily exposure to air pollutants. The concentrations of each of the pollutants of interest (PM2.5, NO2, and CO) were categorized into four categories according to the daily average concentration of air pollutants for every quarter of the year, Q1 to Q4 (Q4 = highest). The cumulative incidence of PAOD was examined by Kaplan-Meier analysis with two-tailed log-rank test. A total of 1,598 PAOD cases were identified during the 10-year follow-up period, along with 98,540 non-PAOD controls. In the multivariate analysis, after adjusting for age, gender, urbanization level, residential area, baseline comorbidities, and medications, the adjusted HRs were PM2.5 = 1.14 (95% CI 1.13-1.16), NO2 = 1.03 (95% CI 1.02-1.04), and CO = 2.35 (95% CI 1.95-2.84). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that CO (P < 0.0001) and PM2.5 (P < 0.0001) concentrations were strongly and positively associated with the cumulative incidence of PAOD during the follow-up period. Findings from this study established that prolonged exposure to air pollutants CO and PM2.5 are significant factors that, among other well-known causes, may also play a potential role in PAOD pathogenesis.

Risk for hypoglycemic emergency with levofloxacin use, a population-based propensity score matched nested case-control study.

Potential association between oral levofloxacin use and hypoglycemic emergency (HE) have been established. However, a large epidemiological study is required to verify this observation. This study aimed to determine if use of oral levofloxacin increased the risk of HE. The nationwide database between 1999 and 2013, including 1.6 million patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), was used to conduct a nested case-control study. Cases and controls comprised of patients with and without HE, respectively. To avoid indication bias the control subjects were chosen through propensity score matching with cases in a 10-fold ratio. T2D severity was classified based on the adjusted diabetic complication severity index score. 26,695 and 266,950 matched patients with T2D, were finally used as cases and controls, respectively, for the analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that antibiotic use was associated with an increased risk for HE (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 6.08, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 5.79-6.38). When compared with antibiotic non-users, those who used fluoroquinolones and sulfonamides displayed the highest (aOR = 12.05, 95% CI: 10.66-13.61) and second highest (aOR = 7.20, 95% CI: 6.29-8.24) risks of HE, respectively. The associated risk for HE was significantly higher with levofloxacin than that with cephalosporins (aOR = 5.13, 95% CI: 2.28-11.52) and penicillin (aOR = 9.40, 95% CI: 2.25-39.24). In the joint effect analyses, the risk for HE increased with the combination of levofloxacin with insulin (aOR = 8.42, 95% CI: 1.91-37.00) or sulfonylurea (aOR = 3.56, 95% CI: 1.12-11.33). Use of oral levofloxacin, compared to that of other antibiotics, was found to be significantly associated with HE in T2D patients. Clinicians should exercise caution while prescribing levofloxacin, especially when combined with insulin or sulfonylurea.

Performance of Scoring Systems in Predicting Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Bacteremia of Listeria monocytogenes: A 9-Year Hospital-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Listeria monocytogenes (LM) is a facultative anaerobe, Gram-positive bacillus which is widely distributed in nature, and can be separated from soil, water, and rotten vegetables. Immunocompetent people are less likely to suffer from LM infection or may only show gastrointestinal symptoms. However, immunocompromised elderly people, pregnant women, and newborns may develop life-threatening invasive infections. The mortality rate of LM infection is as high as 25-30%. The aim of this study is to investigate clinical scores of patients with bacteremia of LM confirmed by one or more blood cultures. We analyzed their demographics and laboratory findings in relation to their clinical outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a hospital-based retrospective study on patients with bacteremia of LM. Data were collected from the electronic clinical database of Taichung Veterans General Hospital between January 2012 and December 2020. Bacteremia of LM was confirmed by at least one blood culture. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and laboratory data were collected for analysis. A variety of clinical scoring systems were used to predict the clinical outcome. RESULTS: A total of 39 patients had confirmed bacteremia of LM. Among them, 1 neonatal patient was excluded. The remaining 38 patients were studied. They included 16 males (42.1%) and 22 females (57.9%), with a mean age of 59.9 ± 19.6 years. Their hospital stay averaged 23.3 ± 20.9 days. The in-hospital mortality rate was 36.8%. Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) Score was 6.6 ± 4.0 for survivors and 12.4 ± 4.4 for non-survivors (P < 0.001). The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) was 3.9 ± 2.8 for survivors and 7.8 ± 3.1 for non-survivors (P = 0.001). Regarding the prediction of mortality risk, the AUC of ROC was 0.829 for MEDS and 0.815 for NEWS. CONCLUSIONS: MEDS and NEWS were both good predictors of the clinical outcome in LM bacteremic patients. In those with higher scores of MEDS (≥10) and NEWS (≥8), we recommended an early goal-directed therapy and appropriate antibiotic treatment as early as possible to reduce mortality. Further large-scale studies are required to gain a deeper understanding of this disease and to ensure patient safety.