Circulation of influenza and other respiratory viruses during the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia and New Zealand, 2020-2021.

Objective: Circulation patterns of influenza and other respiratory viruses have been globally disrupted since the emergence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and the introduction of public health and social measures (PHSMs) aimed at reducing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. Methods: We reviewed respiratory virus laboratory data, Google mobility data and PHSMs in five geographically diverse regions in Australia and New Zealand. We also described respiratory virus activity from January 2017 to August 2021. Results: We observed a change in the prevalence of circulating respiratory viruses following the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020. Influenza activity levels were very low in all regions, lower than those recorded in 2017-2019, with less than 1% of laboratory samples testing positive for influenza virus. In contrast, rates of human rhinovirus infection were increased. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) activity was delayed; however, once it returned, most regions experienced activity levels well above those seen in 2017-2019. The timing of the resurgence in the circulation of both rhinovirus and RSV differed within and between the two countries. Discussion: The findings of this study suggest that as domestic and international borders are opened up and other COVID-19 PHSMs are lifted, clinicians and public health professionals should be prepared for resurgences in influenza and other respiratory viruses. Recent patterns in RSV activity suggest that these resurgences in non-COVID-19 viruses have the potential to occur out of season and with increased impact.

Design of Effisayil™ 2: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study of Spesolimab in Preventing Flares in Patients with Generalized Pustular Psoriasis.

INTRODUCTION: Generalized pustular psoriasis (GPP) is a rare autoinflammatory skin disease characterized by flares of widespread erythema with sterile pustules, and can be relapsing with recurrent flares, or persistent with intermittent flares. Spesolimab, a humanized anti-interleukin-36 (IL-36) receptor monoclonal antibody, targets the key IL-36 pathogenetic pathway in GPP. A previous study showed that spesolimab treatment led to rapid pustular and skin clearance in patients with GPP flares, which was sustained for up to 12 weeks. This study investigates the long-term effects of spesolimab on GPP flares, for which no specific treatments are currently available. The Effisayil™ 2 study will assess whether maintenance treatment with subcutaneous spesolimab prevents the occurrence of GPP flares and determine the optimal dosing regimen to achieve this aim. METHODS: Patients will have a documented history of GPP with a Generalized Pustular Psoriasis Physician Global Assessment (GPPGA) score of 0 or 1 (clear or almost clear) at screening and randomization. Patients will be randomized 1:1:1:1 to three groups receiving a 600-mg subcutaneous loading dose of spesolimab followed by a 300-mg maintenance dose administered every 4 or 12 weeks, or a 300-mg loading dose followed by a 150-mg maintenance dose administered every 12 weeks, and one group receiving placebo, for 48 weeks. The primary endpoint is time to first GPP flare. If a patient experiences a GPP flare during the randomized maintenance treatment period, an open-label intravenous dose of 900-mg spesolimab will be administered, with an option for a second intravenous dose after 1 week. CONCLUSIONS: Effisayil™ 2 is the first placebo-controlled study in patients with GPP to investigate whether maintenance treatment with spesolimab can prevent flares and provide sustained disease control. This study will provide valuable insights on the long-term management of patients with this potentially life-threatening skin disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04399837.

The aim of the Effisayil™ 2 study is to see whether long-term treatment with the antibody spesolimab helps prevent skin flares in people with generalized pustular psoriasis (GPP). Patients can take part in the Effisayil™ 2 study if they have well-controlled GPP before they begin treatment in the study; that is, they will have skin that is clear or almost clear. Patients will be randomly divided into four groups, with similar numbers of patients in each group. In three of the four groups, patients will be given different doses of spesolimab for 48 weeks. In the fourth group, patients will be given a placebo for 48 weeks. The main goal of the study is to see how long it takes patients to have a GPP flare, while they are being given spesolimab or placebo. If any patient has a GPP flare during the study, they can be treated with another dose of spesolimab (and possibly a second dose 1 week later if needed), to help control the GPP flare. In this way, the Effisayil™ 2 study will help doctors and patients to learn how to manage GPP over time, so that GPP flares can be avoided.

Resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae to Hypothiocyanous Acid Generated by Host Peroxidases.

Streptococcus pneumoniae is a serious human respiratory pathogen. It generates hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) as part of its normal metabolism, yet it lacks enzymes that remove this oxidant. Here we show that lactoperoxidase and myeloperoxidase, two host enzymes present in the respiratory tract, convert bacterial H2O2 into HOSCN that S. pneumoniae can resist. We found that incubation of S. pneumoniae with myeloperoxidase in chloride-rich buffer killed the bacteria due to formation of toxic hypochlorous acid (HOCl). However, the addition of physiological concentrations of thiocyanate protected the bacteria. Similarly, S. pneumoniae remained viable in the presence of lactoperoxidase and thiocyanate even though the majority of bacterial H2O2 was converted to hypothiocyanous acid (HOSCN). S. pneumoniae and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, another respiratory pathogen, were similarly sensitive to H2O2 and HOCl. In contrast, S. pneumoniae tolerated much higher doses of HOSCN than P. aeruginosa. When associated with neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs), S. pneumoniae continued to generate H2O2, which was converted to HOCl by myeloperoxidase (MPO) present on NETs. However, there was no loss in bacterial viability because HOCl was scavenged by the NET proteins. We conclude that at sites of infection, bacteria will be protected from HOCl by thiocyanate and extracellular proteins including those associated with NETs. Resistance to HOSCN may give S. pneumoniae a survival advantage over other pathogenic bacteria. Understanding the mechanisms by which S. pneumoniae protects itself from HOSCN may reveal novel strategies for limiting the colonization and pathogenicity of this deadly pathogen.

Multivariate meta-analysis of individual participant data helped externally validate the performance and implementation of a prediction model.

OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to improve meta-analysis methods for summarizing a prediction model's performance when individual participant data are available from multiple studies for external validation. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We suggest multivariate meta-analysis for jointly synthesizing calibration and discrimination performance, while accounting for their correlation. The approach estimates a prediction model's average performance, the heterogeneity in performance across populations, and the probability of "good" performance in new populations. This allows different implementation strategies (e.g., recalibration) to be compared. Application is made to a diagnostic model for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and a prognostic model for breast cancer mortality. RESULTS: In both examples, multivariate meta-analysis reveals that calibration performance is excellent on average but highly heterogeneous across populations unless the model's intercept (baseline hazard) is recalibrated. For the cancer model, the probability of "good" performance (defined by C statistic ≥0.7 and calibration slope between 0.9 and 1.1) in a new population was 0.67 with recalibration but 0.22 without recalibration. For the DVT model, even with recalibration, there was only a 0.03 probability of "good" performance. CONCLUSION: Multivariate meta-analysis can be used to externally validate a prediction model's calibration and discrimination performance across multiple populations and to evaluate different implementation strategies.