RESUMEN
New drug safety issues are emerging that are beyond the existing medication safety management system. To pre-empt these problems, forecasting future drug safety trends and issues is a necessity. The objective of this study was to identify issues and future trends impacting drug safety using foresight methodologies. The study started by identifying global megatrends, trends in safety management of medicines, and key issues in drug safety. A total of 25 global megatrends were selected by extracting and clustering keywords from 26 reports concerning the future. Using the text-mining method, 10 trends in drug safety were identified from 3593 news articles. This study derived 60 issues which can arise from the trends, and finally, the 20 key issues with the highest urgency and impact scores were selected. Some examples of issues with high scores were as follows: illegal distribution of medicines, lack of technology for managing and utilizing big data, change in the pharmaceutical trade environment, lack of education and safety management for specific populations, lack of artificial intelligence-based technology for the safety management of medicines, and the prevalence of drug advertisements through social network services. The key issues could be used to establish plans for medication safety management.
