Body temperature and in-hospital mortality in trauma patients: analysis of a nationwide trauma database in Japan.

PURPOSE: Avoiding body temperature (BT) abnormalities has been emphasized in trauma care, and BT correction in the initial treatment period may improve patient outcome. However, the effect of hyperthermia at hospital arrival on mortality in trauma patients is unclear. This study aimed to identify the association between BT and in-hospital mortality among adult trauma patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of a multi-centre prospective cohort study. Data were obtained from the Japan Trauma Data Bank (JTDB). Adult trauma patients who were transferred directly from the scene of injury to the hospital and registered in the JTDB between January 2004 and December 2017 were included. The primary outcome was the association between BT at hospital arrival and in-hospital mortality. BT at hospital arrival was classified by 1 °C strata. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analyses to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for in-hospital mortality for each BT group using 36.0-36.9 °C as a reference. RESULTS: Overall, 153,117 patients were included. The total mortality rate was 7% (n = 10,118). The adjusted OR for in-hospital mortality for < 35.0 °C was 1.65 (95% CI 1.51-1.79, p < 0.001), 35.0-35.9 °C was 1.33 (95% CI 1.25-1.41, p < 0.001), 37.0-37.9 °C was 0.99 (95% CI 0.91-1.07, p = 0.639), 38.0-38.9 °C was 1.30 (95% CI 1.08-1.56, p = 0.007) and > 39.0 °C was 1.62 (95% CI 1.18-2.22, p = 0.003) compared to that for normothermia. CONCLUSIONS: Our results reveal that hypothermia and hyperthermia at hospital arrival are associated with increased in-hospital mortality in adult trauma patients.

Machine learning-based prediction models for accidental hypothermia patients.

BACKGROUND: Accidental hypothermia is a critical condition with high risks of fatal arrhythmia, multiple organ failure, and mortality; however, there is no established model to predict the mortality. The present study aimed to develop and validate machine learning-based models for predicting in-hospital mortality using easily available data at hospital admission among the patients with accidental hypothermia. METHOD: This study was secondary analysis of multi-center retrospective cohort study (J-point registry) including patients with accidental hypothermia. Adult patients with body temperature 35.0 °C or less at emergency department were included. Prediction models for in-hospital mortality using machine learning (lasso, random forest, and gradient boosting tree) were made in development cohort from six hospitals, and the predictive performance were assessed in validation cohort from other six hospitals. As a reference, we compared the SOFA score and 5A score. RESULTS: We included total 532 patients in the development cohort [N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality: 22.0% (64/288)], and the validation cohort [N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0% (66/244)]. The C-statistics [95% CI] of the models in validation cohorts were as follows: lasso 0.784 [0.717-0.851] , random forest 0.794[0.735-0.853], gradient boosting tree 0.780 [0.714-0.847], SOFA 0.787 [0.722-0.851], and 5A score 0.750[0.681-0.820]. The calibration plot showed that these models were well calibrated to observed in-hospital mortality. Decision curve analysis indicated that these models obtained clinical net-benefit. CONCLUSION: This multi-center retrospective cohort study indicated that machine learning-based prediction models could accurately predict in-hospital mortality in validation cohort among the accidental hypothermia patients. These models might be able to support physicians and patient's decision-making. However, the applicability to clinical settings, and the actual clinical utility is still unclear; thus, further prospective study is warranted to evaluate the clinical usefulness.

Associations between initial serum pH value and outcomes of pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

INTRODUCTION: Pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is one of the most critical conditions seen in the emergency department (ED). Although initial serum pH value is reported to be associated with outcome in adult OHCA patients, the association is unclear in pediatric OHCA patients. Thus, we aimed to identify the association between initial pH value and outcome among pediatric OHCA patients. METHODS: This study was a retrospective analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort registry (Japanese Association for Acute Medicine out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry) from 87 hospitals in Japan. We included pediatric OHCA patients younger than 16 years of age who were registered in this registry between June 2014 and December 2017. Of the 34,754 patients in the database, 458 patients were ultimately included in the analysis. We equally divided the patients into four groups, based on their initial pH value, and conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis to calculate the adjusted odds ratios of the initial pH value on hospital arrival with their 95% confidence intervals for the primary outcome. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) age was 1 (0-6) year, and 77.9% (357/458) of the first monitored rhythm was asystole. The primary outcome was 1-month survival. The overall 1-month survival was 13.3% (61/458), and a 1-month favorable neurologic outcome was seen in 5.2% (24/458) of cases. The adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the pH 6.81-6.64, pH 6.63-6.47, pH <6.47, and pH unknown groups compared with the pH ≥6.82 group for 1-month survival were 0.39 (0.16-0.97), 0.13 (0.04-0.44), 0.03 (0.00-0.24), and 0.07 (0.02-0.21), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the association between the initial pH value on hospital arrival and 1-month survival among pediatric OHCA patients.

Association of body temperature with in-hospital mortality among paediatric trauma patients: an analysis of a nationwide observational trauma database in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between body temperature (BT) on hospital arrival and in-hospital mortality among paediatric trauma patients. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Japan Trauma Data Bank (JTDB, which is a nationwide, prospective, observational trauma registry with data from 235 hospitals). PARTICIPANTS: Paediatric trauma patients <16 years old who were transferred directly from the scene of injury to the hospital and registered in the JTDB from January 2004 to December 2017 were included. We excluded patients >16 years old and those who developed cardiac arrest before or on hospital arrival. PRIMARY OUTCOME: The association between BT on hospital arrival and in-hospital mortality. We conducted multivariate logistic regression analyses to calculate the adjusted ORs, with their 95% CIs, of the association between BT and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: A total of 9012 patients were included (median age: 9 years (IQR, 6.0-13.0 years), mortality: 2.5% (mortality number was 226 in total 9012 patients)). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, the corresponding adjusted ORs of BT <36.0°C and BT ≥37.0°C, relative to a BT of 36°C-36.9°C, for in-hospital mortality were 2.83 (95% CI: 1.85 to 4.33) and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.53 to 1.63), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In paediatric patients with hypothermia (BT <36.0°C) on hospital arrival, a clear association with in-hospital mortality was observed; no such association was observed between higher BT values (≥37.0°C) and outcomes.

Development of the "POP" scoring system for predicting obstetric and gynecological diseases in the emergency department: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Obstetric and gynecological (OBGY) diseases are among the most important differential diagnoses for young women with acute abdominal pain. However, there are few established clinical prediction rules for screening OBGY diseases in emergency departments (EDs). This study aimed to develop a prediction model for diagnosing OBGY diseases in the ED. METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort study included female patients with acute abdominal pain who presented to our ED. We developed a logistic regression model for predicting OBGY diseases and assessed its diagnostic ability. This study included young female patients aged between 16 and 49 years who had abdominal pain and were examined at the ED between April 2017 and March 2018. Trauma patients and patients who were referred from other hospitals or from the OBGY department of our hospital were excluded. RESULTS: Out of 27,991 patients, 740 were included. Sixty-five patients were diagnosed with OBGY diseases (8.8%). The "POP" scoring system (past history of OBGY diseases + 1, no other symptoms + 1, and peritoneal irritation signs + 1) was developed. Cut-off values set between 0 and 1 points, sensitivity at 0.97, specificity at 0.39, and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) of 0.1 (95% CI: 0.02-0.31) were considered to rule-out, while cut-off values set between 2 and 3 points, sensitivity at 0.23 (95% CI 0.13-0.33), specificity at 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-1.00), and positive likelihood ratio (LR+) of 17.30 (95% CI: 7.88-37.99) were considered to rule-in. CONCLUSIONS: Our "POP" scoring system may be useful for screening OBGY diseases in the ED. Further research is necessary to assess the predictive performance and external validity of different data sets.

Early treatment of progressive vertebral arteriovenous fistula caused by cervical penetrating injury.

BACKGROUND: Penetrating injury of the vertebral artery (VA) is uncommon because it lies deep in the neck and is surrounded by a bony foramen. Vertebral-venous fistula is a rare vascular condition in which there is direct aberrant communication among the extracranial vertebral artery, its radicular or muscular branches, and adjacent venous structures. CASE PRESENTATION: We report an asymptomatic patient of fistula from the vertebral artery to the paravertebral veins secondary to a cervical stab wound that increased in size and flow, as observed on the angiogram 10 days later, which was successfully treated by endovascular surgery. The postoperative angiogram showed improved visualization of the bilateral posterior cerebral arteries. CONCLUSION: Endovascular embolization at the early phase should be undertaken for traumatic high-flow vertebral-venous fistula, even if the patient is asymptomatic, to prevent progressive posterior circulation insufficiency due to the rapid growth of the fistula, which can ultimately lead to the steal phenomenon.

Prognostic ability of the sequential organ failure assessment score in accidental hypothermia: a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Severe accidental hypothermia (AH) is life threatening. Thus, prognostic prediction in AH is essential to rapidly initiate intensive care. Several studies on prognostic factors for AH are known, but none have been established. We clarified the prognostic ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in comparison with previously reported prognostic factors among patients with AH. METHODS: The J-point registry database is a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study for AH in 12 Japanese emergency departments. From this registry, we enrolled patients who were treated at the intensive care unit (ICU) in various critical care medical centers. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome. We investigated the discrimination ability of each candidate prognostic factor and the in-hospital mortality by applying the logistic regression models with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Of the 572 patients with AH registered in the J-point registry, 220 were eligible for the analyses. The in-hospital mortality was 23.2%. The AUROC of the SOFA score (0.80; 95% CI: 0.72-0.86) was the highest among all factors. The other factors were serum potassium (0.65; 95% CI: 0.55-0.73), lactate (0.67; 95% CI: 0.57-0.75), quick SOFA (qSOFA) (0.55; 95% CI: 0.46-0.65), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) (0.60; 95% CI: 0.50-0.69), and 5A severity scale (0.77; 95% CI: 0.68-0.84). DISCUSSION: Although serum potassium and lactate had relatively good discrimination ability as mortality predictors, the SOFA score had slightly better discrimination ability. The reason is that lactate and serum potassium were mainly reflected by the hemodynamic state; conversely, the SOFA score is a comprehensive score of organ failure, basing on six different scores from the respiratory, cardiovascular, hepatic, coagulation, renal, and neurological systems. Meanwhile, the qSOFA and SIRS scores underestimated the severity, with low discrimination abilities for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The SOFA score demonstrated better discrimination ability as a mortality predictor among all known prognostic factors in patients with AH.

Drastic drop in blood flow of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation induced by an excessive increase in intra-abdominal pressure in an obese patient.

Obesity and conditions that increase intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) should be considered as risk factors for reduced extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) blood flow (BF) drastically. For obese patients on ECMO, effective IAP control and risk factor assessment is necessary to prevent excessive IAP elevation and subsequent drop in ECMO BF.

Association between the Japan Coma Scale scores at the scene of injury and in-hospital outcomes in trauma patients: an analysis from the nationwide trauma database in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: Japan Coma Scale (JCS) is a grading system used to evaluate disturbed consciousness in prehospital care settings. We aimed to identify the association between the JCS levels at the scene with in-hospital mortality, as well as the discrimination ability for the outcomes. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study based on the nationwide trauma database in Japan. SETTING: Multicentre cohort study using data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank, which is a nationwide, prospective, observational trauma registry derived from 235 hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: Adult trauma victims transferred directly from the scene of injury to the hospital from January 2004 to December 2017 were eligible for inclusion. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES: Primary outcome was the association between the JCS levels at the scene with in-hospital mortality. We conducted a multivariate logistic regression analysis to calculate the adjusted ORs of JCS levels with 95% CIs for in-hospital mortality. We also calculated the c-statistics for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: 164 723 patients were included in the analysis. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, the corresponding adjusted ORs of JCS levels 2 and 3 referred to level 1 for in-hospital mortality were 4.1 (95% CI 3.8 to 4.4) and 26.0 (95% CI 24.8 to 27.2). The c-statistics of the JCS level for in-hospital mortality was 0.845 (95% CI 0.842 to 0.849). CONCLUSIONS: Data from large multicentre prospective registry revealed strong associations of the JCS level at the scene of injury with in-hospital mortality as well as the good discriminatory performance for this outcome.

Correction to: The development and validation of a "5A" severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality after accidental hypothermia from J-point registry data.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1186/s40560-019-0384-2.].

The development and validation of a "5A" severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality after accidental hypothermia from J-point registry data.

BACKGROUND: Accidental hypothermia is a serious condition that requires immediate and accurate assessment to determine severity and treatment. Currently, accidental hypothermia is evaluated using the Swiss grading system which uses core body temperature and clinical findings; however, research has shown that core body temperature is not associated with in-hospital mortality in urban settings. Therefore, we developed and validated a severity scale for predicting in-hospital mortality among urban Japanese patients with accidental hypothermia. METHODS: Data for this multi-center retrospective cohort study were obtained from the J-point registry. We included patients with accidental hypothermia who were admitted to an emergency department. The total cohort was divided into a development cohort and validation cohort, based on the location of each institution. We developed a logistic regression model for predicting in-hospital mortality using the development cohort and assessed its internal validity using bootstrapping. The model was then subjected to external validation using the validation cohorts. RESULTS: Among the 572 patients in the J-point registry, 532 were ultimately included and divided into the development cohort (N = 288, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 22.0%) and the validation cohort (N = 244, six hospitals, in-hospital mortality 27.0%). The 5 "A" scoring system based on age, activities-of-daily-living status, near arrest, acidemia, and serum albumin level was developed based on the variables' coefficients in the development cohort. In the validation cohort, the prediction performance was validated. CONCLUSION: Our "5A" severity scoring system could accurately predict the risk of in-hospital mortality among patients with accidental hypothermia.

Prognostic factors for patients with accidental hypothermia: A multi-institutional retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: In cases of severe accidental hypothermia (AH) in urban areas, the prognostic factors are unknown. We identified factors associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with moderate-to-severe AH in urban areas of Japan. METHOD: The J-Point registry database is a multi-institutional retrospective cohort study for AH in 12 Japanese emergency departments. From this registry, we enrolled patients whose core body temperature was 32 °C or less on admission. In-hospital death was the primary outcome of this study. We investigated the association between each candidate prognostic factor and in-hospital death by applying the multivariate logistic regression analyses with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and their 95% confidence interval [CI] as the effect variables. RESULTS: Of 572 patients registered in the J-point registry, 358 hypothermic patients were eligible for analyses. Median body temperature was 29.2 °C (interquartile range, 27.0 °C-30.8 °C). In-hospital deaths comprised 26.3% (94/358) of all study patients. Factors associated with in-hospital death were age ≥ 75 years (AOR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.31-7.27), need for assistance with activities of daily living (ADL; AOR, 3.06; 95% CI, 1.68-5.59), hemodynamic instability (AOR, 2.49; 95% CI, 1.32-4.68), and hyperkalemia (≥5.6 mEq/L; AOR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.13-6.21). CONCLUSION: The independent prognostic factors associated with in-hospital mortality of patients with moderate-to-severe AH in urban areas of Japan were age ≥ 75 years, need for assistance with ADL, hemodynamic instability, and hyperkalemia.

Survival After Cardiac Arrest With Instantaneous Rigorlike Stiffness: A Case Report.

Instantaneous rigor is the immediate appearance of rigor mortis after cardiac arrest. To our knowledge, no previous reports exist on resuscitation of such patients. A young athlete suddenly collapsed with cardiac arrest during a marathon; his legs stiffened with instantaneous rigorlike stiffness. This stiffening provoked hyperkalemia, rhabdomyolysis, and multiple organ failure. We decided to amputate both legs, with venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support. The patient recovered and was discharged without neurologic impairment. This rare case highlights the potentially significant effect of instantaneous rigor.

Massive systemic arterial air embolism caused by an air shunt after blunt chest trauma: A case report.

INTRODUCTION: Systemic arterial air embolism (SAAE) is a rare but fatal condition, with only a few cases reported, and the detailed etiology underlying SAAE remains unknown. We report a first case of massive SAAE after blunt chest injury, wherein the presence of traumatic air shunt was confirmed by direct observation during surgery. We also summarize our experience with six other SAAE cases. PRESENTATION OF CASE: A 68-year-old woman was admitted in a state of cardiac arrest after a fall. Emergency room thoracotomy determined complete transection of left main bronchus and left superior pulmonary vein. Postmortem computed tomography (CT) revealed full of air in the aortic arch, the descending aorta, and the great vessels. Therefore, one of the cause of death might be SAAE. DISCUSSION: An air shunt after blunt chest trauma can cause SAAE, and clinical signs and operative findings can provide clues for possible SAAE. The bronchopulmonary vein fistula, the aortic injury and full-thickness myocardial injury have the potential to become traumatic air shunts. In cases with a coexisting air shunt, pneumothorax, lung contusions and positive-pressure ventilation can be risk factors for SAAE, as sources of air continually entering the systemic arterial circulation. CONCLUSION: SAAE is caused by an air shunt following trauma. Clinical signs and operative findings summarized in this case should aid in the recognition of possible SAAE.

Late recovery from unconsciousness in a patient with severe posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome.

This study describes a patient case presenting with severe posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES) who needed 3 months to recover impaired consciousness. We discuss the protracted time course needed to deal with severe PRES cases. Positive prognoses can emerge from these situations if treatment is prompt and precise.

Management of pediatric 'cannot intubate, cannot oxygenate'.

Case: "Cannot intubate, cannot oxygenate" (CICO) is a rare, life-threatening situation. We describe a pediatric case of CICO and highlight some educational points.A 3-year-old boy who collapsed in the bathtub came to our emergency department. On admission, he went into cardiac arrest probably because of an airway obstruction. We judged his condition as CICO and carried out an emergent tracheostomy after several attempts to perform a cricothyroidotomy failed. We continued resuscitation; however, circulation did not return spontaneously. Outcome: The child died, and the autopsy showed an airway obstruction caused by idiopathic anaphylaxis or acquired angioedema. Conclusion: This case highlights that it can be anatomically difficult to perform a percutaneous cannula cricothyroidotomy and scalpel cricothyroidotomy safely in pediatric CICO cases. An emergent tracheostomy using the scalpel-finger-bougie technique on the proximal trachea should be considered in such cases.

Bloody Bronchial Cast Formation Due to Alveolar Hemorrhage Associated with H1N1 Influenza Infection.

A previously healthy 55-year-old man with H1N1 influenza A presented with severe respiratory failure and cardiac arrest. Following the return of spontaneous circulation, venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was required to maintain oxygenation. On day 2, bronchoscopy revealed a bloody bronchial cast obstructing the right main bronchus. A pathological examination revealed that it was composed of intrabronchial and intra-alveolar hemorrhagic tissue. Unfortunately, the patient died due to severe brain ischemia; a subsequent autopsy revealed marked alveolar hemorrhage. It is possible that anticoagulant therapy, alveolar collapse, and neuromuscular blocking agents provoked cast development in this case.

Anatomical landmarks for safely implementing resuscitative balloon occlusion of the aorta (REBOA) in zone 1 without fluoroscopy.

BACKGROUND: Resuscitative balloon occlusion of the aorta (REBOA) can maintain hemodynamic stability during hemorrhagic shock after a following torso injury, although inappropriate balloon placement may induce brain or visceral organ ischemia. External anatomical landmarks [the suprasternal notch (SSN) and xiphoid process (Xi)] are empirically used to implement REBOA in zone 1. We aimed to confirm if these landmarks were useful for determining a balloon catheter length for safe implementation of REBOA in zone 1 without using fluoroscopy. METHOD: We selected 25 successive adult blunt trauma cases requiring contrast-enhanced chest/abdominal computed tomography (CT) treated at our emergency department (in an urban area of Kyoto city, Japan) between October 1, 2016 and January 31, 2017. We retrospectively evaluated anonymized CT images. We used three-dimensional multiplanar reconstructions to measure the length along the aorta's central axis, from the bilateral common femoral arteries (FA) to the celiac trunk (CeT) (FA-CeT) and to the origin of the left subclavian artery (LSCA) (FA-LSCA). Volume-rendering reconstruction images were used to measure the external distance from common FAs to SSN (FA-SSN) and to Xi (FA-Xi). RESULT: FA-LSCA was significantly longer than FA-SSN. FA-CeT was significantly shorter than FA-Xi. DISCUSSION: Based on these results, the REBOA balloon catheter should be shorter than FA-SSN, and longer than FA-Xi to avoid placement outside zone 1. The advantages of this method are that it can rapidly and easily predict a safe balloon catheter length, and it reflects each patient's individual torso height. CONCLUSION: To safely implement REBOA, the balloon catheter length should be shorter than FA-SSN and longer than FA-Xi. We believe that these anatomical landmarks are good references for safe implementation of REBOA in zone 1 without radiographic guidance.

Treatment for unstable pulmonary sequestration injury in patient with severe blunt trauma: A case report.

CASE: Pulmonary sequestration is a congenital malformation characterized by nonfunctioning tissue not communicating with the tracheobronchial tree. As the blood pressure in the artery feeding the sequestrated lung tissue is higher than that in the normal pulmonary artery, the risk of massive hemorrhage in pulmonary sequestration is high. We herein present the first case of a severe blunt trauma patient with unstable pulmonary sequestration injury. OUTCOME AND CONCLUSION: The mechanism of pulmonary sequestration injury is vastly different than that of injury to normal lung. We suggest that proximal feeding artery embolization should be performed before surgical intervention in patients with massive hemorrhage of pulmonary sequestration due to severe chest trauma.