RESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Management of hypotension is a fundamental part of pediatric critical care, with cardiovascular support in the form of fluids or vasoactive drugs offered to every hypotensive child. However, optimal blood pressure (BP) targets are unknown. The PRotocolised Evaluation of PermiSSive BP Targets Versus Usual CaRE (PRESSURE) trial aims to evaluate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of a permissive mean arterial pressure (MAP) target of greater than a fifth centile for age compared with usual care. DESIGN: Pragmatic, open, multicenter, parallel-group randomized control trial (RCT) with integrated economic evaluation. SETTING: Eighteen PICUs across the United Kingdom. PATIENTS: Infants and children older than 37 weeks corrected gestational age to 16 years accepted to a participating PICU, on mechanical ventilation and receiving vasoactive drugs for hypotension. INTERVENTIONS: Adjustment of hemodynamic support to achieve a permissive MAP target greater than fifth centile for age during invasive mechanical ventilation. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Randomization is 1:1 to a permissive MAP target or usual care, stratified by site and age group. Due to the emergency nature of the treatment, approaching patients for written informed consent will be deferred until after randomization. The primary clinical outcome is a composite of death and days of ventilatory support at 30 days. Baseline demographics and clinical status will be recorded as well as daily measures of BP and organ support, and discharge outcomes. This RCT received Health Research Authority approval (reference 289545), and a favorable ethical opinion from the East of England-Cambridge South Research Ethics Committee on May 10, 2021 (reference number 21/EE/0084). The trial is registered and has an International Standard RCT Number (reference 20609635). CONCLUSIONS: Trial findings will be disseminated in U.K. national and international conferences and in peer-reviewed journals.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Crítica , Hipotensión , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico , Respiración Artificial , Humanos , Hipotensión/terapia , Niño , Lactante , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Preescolar , Adolescente , Respiración Artificial/métodos , Reino Unido , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Ensayos Clínicos Pragmáticos como Asunto , Presión Sanguínea/efectos de los fármacos , Recién Nacido , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Vasoconstrictores/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
Importance: Sepsis is a leading cause of death among children worldwide. Current pediatric-specific criteria for sepsis were published in 2005 based on expert opinion. In 2016, the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3) defined sepsis as life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection, but it excluded children. Objective: To update and evaluate criteria for sepsis and septic shock in children. Evidence Review: The Society of Critical Care Medicine (SCCM) convened a task force of 35 pediatric experts in critical care, emergency medicine, infectious diseases, general pediatrics, nursing, public health, and neonatology from 6 continents. Using evidence from an international survey, systematic review and meta-analysis, and a new organ dysfunction score developed based on more than 3 million electronic health record encounters from 10 sites on 4 continents, a modified Delphi consensus process was employed to develop criteria. Findings: Based on survey data, most pediatric clinicians used sepsis to refer to infection with life-threatening organ dysfunction, which differed from prior pediatric sepsis criteria that used systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, which have poor predictive properties, and included the redundant term, severe sepsis. The SCCM task force recommends that sepsis in children be identified by a Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 points in children with suspected infection, which indicates potentially life-threatening dysfunction of the respiratory, cardiovascular, coagulation, and/or neurological systems. Children with a Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 points had in-hospital mortality of 7.1% in higher-resource settings and 28.5% in lower-resource settings, more than 8 times that of children with suspected infection not meeting these criteria. Mortality was higher in children who had organ dysfunction in at least 1 of 4-respiratory, cardiovascular, coagulation, and/or neurological-organ systems that was not the primary site of infection. Septic shock was defined as children with sepsis who had cardiovascular dysfunction, indicated by at least 1 cardiovascular point in the Phoenix Sepsis Score, which included severe hypotension for age, blood lactate exceeding 5 mmol/L, or need for vasoactive medication. Children with septic shock had an in-hospital mortality rate of 10.8% and 33.5% in higher- and lower-resource settings, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: The Phoenix sepsis criteria for sepsis and septic shock in children were derived and validated by the international SCCM Pediatric Sepsis Definition Task Force using a large international database and survey, systematic review and meta-analysis, and modified Delphi consensus approach. A Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 identified potentially life-threatening organ dysfunction in children younger than 18 years with infection, and its use has the potential to improve clinical care, epidemiological assessment, and research in pediatric sepsis and septic shock around the world.
Asunto(s)
Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Niño , Choque Séptico/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/etiología , Consenso , Sepsis/mortalidad , Síndrome de Respuesta Inflamatoria Sistémica/diagnóstico , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de ÓrganosRESUMEN
Importance: The Society of Critical Care Medicine Pediatric Sepsis Definition Task Force sought to develop and validate new clinical criteria for pediatric sepsis and septic shock using measures of organ dysfunction through a data-driven approach. Objective: To derive and validate novel criteria for pediatric sepsis and septic shock across differently resourced settings. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter, international, retrospective cohort study in 10 health systems in the US, Colombia, Bangladesh, China, and Kenya, 3 of which were used as external validation sites. Data were collected from emergency and inpatient encounters for children (aged <18 years) from 2010 to 2019: 3â¯049â¯699 in the development (including derivation and internal validation) set and 581â¯317 in the external validation set. Exposure: Stacked regression models to predict mortality in children with suspected infection were derived and validated using the best-performing organ dysfunction subscores from 8 existing scores. The final model was then translated into an integer-based score used to establish binary criteria for sepsis and septic shock. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome for all analyses was in-hospital mortality. Model- and integer-based score performance measures included the area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC; primary) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC; secondary). For binary criteria, primary performance measures were positive predictive value and sensitivity. Results: Among the 172â¯984 children with suspected infection in the first 24 hours (development set; 1.2% mortality), a 4-organ-system model performed best. The integer version of that model, the Phoenix Sepsis Score, had AUPRCs of 0.23 to 0.38 (95% CI range, 0.20-0.39) and AUROCs of 0.71 to 0.92 (95% CI range, 0.70-0.92) to predict mortality in the validation sets. Using a Phoenix Sepsis Score of 2 points or higher in children with suspected infection as criteria for sepsis and sepsis plus 1 or more cardiovascular point as criteria for septic shock resulted in a higher positive predictive value and higher or similar sensitivity compared with the 2005 International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference (IPSCC) criteria across differently resourced settings. Conclusions and Relevance: The novel Phoenix sepsis criteria, which were derived and validated using data from higher- and lower-resource settings, had improved performance for the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis and septic shock compared with the existing IPSCC criteria.
Asunto(s)
Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Niño , Choque Séptico/mortalidad , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica , Estudios Retrospectivos , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Sepsis/complicaciones , Mortalidad HospitalariaRESUMEN
Background: In the past decade, molecular diagnostic syndromic arrays incorporating a range of bacterial and viral pathogens have been described. It is unclear how paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) staff diagnose lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) and integrate diagnostic array results into antimicrobial decision-making. Methods: An online survey with eleven questions was distributed throughout paediatric intensive care societies in the UK, continental Europe and Australasia with a total of 755 members. Participants were asked to rate the clinical factors and investigations they used when prescribing for LRTI. Semi-structured interviews were undertaken with staff who participated in a single-centre observational study of a 52-pathogen diagnostic array. Results: Seventy-two survey responses were received; most responses were from senior doctors. Whilst diagnostic arrays were used less frequently than routine investigations (i.e. microbiological culture), they were of comparable perceived utility when making antimicrobial decisions. Prescribers reported that for arrays to be clinically impactful, they would need to deliver results within 6 h for stable patients and within 1 h for unstable patients to inform their immediate decision to prescribe antimicrobials. From 16 staff interviews, we identified that arrays were helpful for the diagnosis and screening of bacterial LRTI. Staff reported it could be challenging to interpret results in some cases due to the high sensitivity of the test. Therefore, results were considered within the context of the patient and discussed within the multidisciplinary team. Conclusions: Diagnostic arrays were considered of comparable value to microbiological investigations by PICU prescribers. Our findings support the need for further clinical and economic evaluation of diagnostic arrays in a randomised control trial. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04233268. Registered on 18 January 2020. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s44253-023-00008-z.
RESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: Management of mechanically ventilated patients with bronchiolitis is not standardized and duration of mechanical ventilation has been shown to vary widely between centers. The aim of this study was to examine practice in a large number of U.K. PICUs with a view to identify if early management choices relating to fluid prescription, sedative agent use, and endotracheal tube (ETT) placement were associated with differences in duration of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). DESIGN: Retrospective multicenter cohort study. Primary outcome was duration of IMV. A hierarchical gamma generalized linear model was used to test for associations between practice variables (sedative and neuromuscular blocking agents, route of endotracheal intubation at 24 hr and fluid balance at 48 hr) and duration of IMV after adjustment for known confounders. SETTING: Thirteen U.K. PICUs. Duration of 2 months between November and December 2019. PATIENTS: Three hundred fifty infants receiving IMV for bronchiolitis. Excluded were patients receiving long-term ventilation, extracorporeal life support, or who died before separation from IMV. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: After adjustment for confounders, several variables were associated with an increase in the geometric mean duration of IMV (expressed as a percentage) including: nasal ETT use, 16% (95% CI, 1-32%); neuromuscular blockade use, 39% (95% CI, 21-61%); and fluid balance at 48 hr, 13% per 100 mL/kg positive fluid balance (95% CI, -1% to 28%). The association of sedative use varied with class of agent. The use of an alpha-2 agonist alone was associated with a reduction in duration of IMV by 19% in relation to no sedative agent (95% CI, -31 to -5%), whereas benzodiazepine uses alone or with alpha-2 agonist in combination were similar to using neither agent. CONCLUSIONS: Early management strategies for bronchiolitis were associated with the duration of IMV across U.K. centers after adjustment for confounders. Future work should prospectively assess the impact of fluid restriction, route of endotracheal intubation, and alpha-2 agonist use on duration of IMV in infants with bronchiolitis, with the aim of reducing seasonal bed pressure.
Asunto(s)
Bronquiolitis Viral , Bronquiolitis , Neumonía , Lactante , Niño , Humanos , Respiración Artificial , Estudios de Cohortes , Reino Unido , Hipnóticos y Sedantes/uso terapéutico , Cuidados Críticos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Septic shock is a leading cause of hospitalisation, morbidity, and mortality for children worldwide. In 2020, the paediatric Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) issued evidence-based recommendations for clinicians caring for children with septic shock and sepsis-associated organ dysfunction based on the evidence available at the time. There are now more trials from multiple settings, including low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), addressing optimal fluid choice and amount, selection and timing of vasoactive infusions, and optimal monitoring and therapeutic endpoints. In response to developments in adult critical care to trial personalised haemodynamic management algorithms, it is timely to critically reassess the current state of applying SSC guidelines in LMIC settings. In this Viewpoint, we briefly outline the challenges to improve sepsis care in LMICs and then discuss three key concepts that are relevant to management of children with septic shock around the world, especially in LMICs. These concepts include uncertainties surrounding the early recognition of paediatric septic shock, choices for initial haemodynamic support, and titration of ongoing resuscitation to therapeutic endpoints. Specifically, given the evolving understanding of clinical phenotypes, we focus on the controversies surrounding the concepts of early fluid resuscitation and vasoactive agent use, including insights gained from experience in LMICs and high-income countries. We outline the key components of sepsis management that are both globally relevant and translatable to low-resource settings, with a view to open the conversation to the large variety of treatment pathways, especially in LMICs. We emphasise the role of simple and easily available monitoring tools to apply the SSC guidelines and to tailor individualised support to the patient's cardiovascular physiology.
Asunto(s)
Sepsis , Choque Séptico , Humanos , Choque Séptico/terapia , Sepsis/terapia , Cuidados Críticos , Fluidoterapia , HemodinámicaRESUMEN
RATIONALE: Optimal systemic oxygenation targets in pediatric critical illness are unknown. A U-shaped relationship exists between blood oxygen levels and PICU mortality. Redox stress or iatrogenic injury from intensive treatments are potential mechanisms of harm from hyperoxia. OBJECTIVES: To measure biomarkers of oxidative status in children admitted to PICU and randomized to conservative (oxygen-hemoglobin saturation [Sp o2 ] 88-92%) versus liberal (Sp o2 > 94%) peripheral oxygenation targets. DESIGN: Mechanistic substudy nested within the Oxygen in PICU (Oxy-PICU) pilot randomized feasibility clinical trial ( ClinicalTrials.gov : NCT03040570). SETTING: Three U.K. mixed medical and surgical PICUs in university hospitals. PATIENTS: Seventy-five eligible patients randomized to the Oxy-PICU randomized feasibility clinical trial. INTERVENTIONS: Randomization to a conservative (Sp o2 88-92%) versus liberal (Sp o2 > 94%) peripheral oxygenation target. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Blood and urine samples were collected at two timepoints: less than 24 hours and up to 72 hours from randomization in trial participants (March 2017 to July 2017). Plasma was analyzed for markers of ischemic/oxidative response, namely thiobarbituric acid-reactive substances (TBARS; lipid peroxidation marker) and ischemia-modified albumin (protein oxidation marker). Total urinary nitrate/nitrite was measured as a marker of reactive oxygen and nitrogen species (RONS). Blood hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF)-1a messenger RNA (mRNA) expression (hypoxia response gene) was measured by reverse transcription- polymerase chain reaction. Total urinary nitrate/nitrite levels were greater in the liberal compared with conservative oxygenation group at 72 hours (median difference 32.6 µmol/mmol of creatinine [95% CI 13.7-93.6]; p < 0.002, Mann-Whitney test). HIF-1a mRNA expression was increased in the conservative group compared with liberal in less than 24-hour samples (6.0-fold [95% CI 1.3-24.0]; p = 0.032). There were no significant differences in TBARS or ischemia-modified albumin. CONCLUSIONS: On comparing liberal with conservative oxygenation targets, we show, first, significant redox response (increase in urinary markers of RONS), but no changes in markers of lipid or protein oxidation. We also show what appears to be an early hypoxic response (increase in HIF-1a gene expression) in subjects exposed to conservative rather than liberal oxygenation targets.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Crítica , Nitratos , Humanos , Niño , Enfermedad Crítica/terapia , Biomarcadores , Nitritos , Distribución Aleatoria , Sustancias Reactivas al Ácido Tiobarbitúrico , Albúmina Sérica , Oxígeno , Hipoxia/terapia , Oxidación-ReducciónRESUMEN
Objective There is recent interest in the association between hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis and adverse outcomes. In vitro, hyperchloremia causes renal vasoconstriction and fall in glomerular filtration rate (GFR). The objective of this retrospective, observational study is to examine associations between chloride level at admission to pediatric intensive care (PICU) and worst GFR and requirement for renal replacement therapy. Materials and Methods All admissions to PICU between 2009 and 2019 who received invasive mechanical ventilation and had blood gas analysis performed were included. Data analyzed included patient characteristics (age, gender, diagnosis, pediatric index of mortality [PIM]-2 score); results of initial blood gas; and maximum serum creatinine (then used to calculate minimum GFR). Primary outcome measure was worst GFR during PICU stay. Secondary outcome measures were requirement for renal replacement therapy and PICU mortality. Multivariable regression analysis was used to assess if admission chloride level was independently predictive of minimum GFR during PICU stay and to examine associations between hyperchloremia (>110 mEq/L) at admission and requirement for renal replacement therapy after adjustment for confounders. Results Data were available for 2,217 patients. Median age was 16.4 months and 39% of patients were hyperchloremic at admission to PICU. Admission chloride level was independently predictive of worst GFR during PICU stay after adjustment for known confounders. Patients with hyperchloremia were not more likely to require renal replacement therapy or die than patients with normochloremia. Conclusion Prospective studies are necessary to determine if high chloride, specifically chloride containing resuscitation fluids, have a causal relationship with poor outcomes.
RESUMEN
PURPOSE: Respiratory infections are the most common reason for admission to paediatric intensive care units (PICU). Most patients with lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) receive broad-spectrum antimicrobials, despite low rates of bacterial culture confirmation. Here, we evaluated a molecular diagnostic test for LRTI to inform the better use of antimicrobials. METHODS: The Rapid Assay for Sick Children with Acute Lung infection Study was a single-centre, prospective, observational cohort study of mechanically ventilated children (> 37/40 weeks corrected gestation to 18 years) with suspected community acquired or ventilator-associated LRTI. We evaluated the use of a 52-pathogen custom TaqMan Array Card (TAC) to identify pathogens in non-bronchoscopic bronchoalveolar lavage (mini-BAL) samples. TAC results were compared to routine microbiology testing. Primary study outcomes were sensitivity and specificity of TAC, and time to result. RESULTS: We enrolled 100 patients, all of whom were tested with TAC and 91 of whom had matching culture samples. TAC had a sensitivity of 89.5% (95% confidence interval (CI95) 66.9-98.7) and specificity of 97.9% (CI95 97.2-98.5) compared to routine bacterial and fungal culture. TAC took a median 25.8 h (IQR 9.1-29.8 h) from sample collection to result. Culture was significantly slower: median 110.4 h (IQR 85.2-141.6 h) for a positive result and median 69.4 h (IQR 52.8-78.6) for a negative result. CONCLUSIONS: TAC is a reliable and rapid adjunct diagnostic approach for LRTI in critically ill children, with the potential to aid early rationalisation of antimicrobial therapy.
Asunto(s)
Neumonía , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Humanos , Niño , Estudios Prospectivos , Enfermedad Crítica , Neumonía/diagnóstico , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/diagnóstico , Bacterias , Líquido del Lavado Bronquioalveolar/microbiologíaRESUMEN
Neisseria meningitidis, the causative agent of meningococcal disease (MD), evades complement-mediated clearance upon infection by 'hijacking' the human complement regulator factor H (FH). The FH protein family also comprises the homologous FH-related (FHR) proteins, hypothesized to act as antagonists of FH, and FHR-3 has recently been implicated to play a major role in MD susceptibility. Here, we show that the circulating levels of all FH family proteins, not only FH and FHR-3, are equally decreased during the acute illness. We did neither observe specific consumption of FH or FHR-3 by N. meningitidis, nor of any of the other FH family proteins, suggesting that the globally reduced levels are due to systemic processes including dilution by fluid administration upon admission and vascular leakage. MD severity associated predominantly with a loss of FH rather than FHRs. Additionally, low FH levels associated with renal failure, suggesting insufficient protection of host tissue by the active protection by the FH protein family, which is reminiscent of reduced FH activity in hemolytic uremic syndrome. Retaining higher levels of FH may thus limit tissue injury during MD.
Asunto(s)
Síndrome Hemolítico-Urémico , Infecciones Meningocócicas , Neisseria meningitidis , Factor H de Complemento , Proteínas del Sistema Complemento , HumanosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine the associations of demographic, clinical, laboratory, organ dysfunction, and illness severity variable values with: 1) sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock in children with infection and 2) multiple organ dysfunction or death in children with sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched from January 1, 2004, and November 16, 2020. STUDY SELECTION: Case-control studies, cohort studies, and randomized controlled trials in children greater than or equal to 37-week-old postconception to 18 years with suspected or confirmed infection, which included the terms "sepsis," "septicemia," or "septic shock" in the title or abstract. DATA EXTRACTION: Study characteristics, patient demographics, clinical signs or interventions, laboratory values, organ dysfunction measures, and illness severity scores were extracted from eligible articles. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed. DATA SYNTHESIS: One hundred and six studies met eligibility criteria of which 81 were included in the meta-analysis. Sixteen studies (9,629 patients) provided data for the sepsis, severe sepsis, or septic shock outcome and 71 studies (154,674 patients) for the mortality outcome. In children with infection, decreased level of consciousness and higher Pediatric Risk of Mortality scores were associated with sepsis/severe sepsis. In children with sepsis/severe sepsis/septic shock, chronic conditions, oncologic diagnosis, use of vasoactive/inotropic agents, mechanical ventilation, serum lactate, platelet count, fibrinogen, procalcitonin, multi-organ dysfunction syndrome, Pediatric Logistic Organ Dysfunction score, Pediatric Index of Mortality-3, and Pediatric Risk of Mortality score each demonstrated significant and consistent associations with mortality. Pooled mortality rates varied among high-, upper middle-, and lower middle-income countries for patients with sepsis, severe sepsis, and septic shock (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Strong associations of several markers of organ dysfunction with the outcomes of interest among infected and septic children support their inclusion in the data validation phase of the Pediatric Sepsis Definition Taskforce.
Asunto(s)
Sepsis/epidemiología , Sepsis/fisiopatología , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Técnicas de Laboratorio Clínico , Estado de Conciencia , Femenino , Salud Global , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Puntuaciones en la Disfunción de Órganos , Gravedad del Paciente , Respiración Artificial , Sepsis/mortalidad , Choque Séptico/epidemiología , Choque Séptico/fisiopatología , Factores SociodemográficosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) is the most commonly treated infection in critically ill children. Pathogens are infrequently identified on routine respiratory culture, and this is a time-consuming process. A syndromic approach to rapid molecular testing that includes a wide range of bacterial and fungal targets has the potential to aid clinical decision making and reduce unnecessary broad spectrum antimicrobial prescribing. Here, we describe a single-centre prospective cohort study investigating the use of a 52-pathogen TaqMan array card (TAC) for LRTI in the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Critically ill children with suspected LRTI will be enrolled to this 100 patient single-centre prospective observational study in a PICU in the East of England. Samples will be obtained via routine non-bronchoscopic bronchoalveolar lavage which will be sent for standard microbiology culture in addition to TAC. A blood draw will be obtained via any existing vascular access device. The primary outcomes of the study will be (1) concordance of TAC result with routine culture and 16S rRNA gene sequencing and (2) time of diagnostic result from TAC versus routine culture. Secondary outcomes will include impact of the test on total antimicrobial prescriptions, a description of the inflammatory profile of the lung and blood in response to pneumonia and a description of the clinical experience of medical and nursing staff using TAC. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Yorkshire and the Humber-Bradford Leeds Research Ethics Committee (REC reference 20/YH/0089). Informed consent will be obtained from all participants. Results will be published in peer-reviewed publications and international conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04233268.
Asunto(s)
Neumonía , Niño , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Pulmón , Estudios Observacionales como Asunto , Estudios Prospectivos , ARN Ribosómico 16SRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) in pediatric critical care patients is diagnosed using elevated serum creatinine, which occurs only after kidney impairment. There are no treatments other than supportive care for AKI once it has developed, so it is important to identify patients at risk to prevent injury. This study develops a machine learning model to learn pre-disease patterns of physiological measurements and predict pediatric AKI up to 48 h earlier than the currently established diagnostic guidelines. METHODS: EHR data from 16,863 pediatric critical care patients between 1 month to 21 years of age from three independent institutions were used to develop a single machine learning model for early prediction of creatinine-based AKI using intelligently engineered predictors, such as creatinine rate of change, to automatically assess real-time AKI risk. The primary outcome is prediction of moderate to severe AKI (Stage 2/3), and secondary outcomes are prediction of any AKI (Stage 1/2/3) and requirement of renal replacement therapy (RRT). Predictions generate alerts allowing fast assessment and reduction of AKI risk, such as: "patient has 90% risk of developing AKI in the next 48 h" along with contextual information and suggested response such as "patient on aminoglycosides, suggest check level and review dose and indication". RESULTS: The model was successful in predicting Stage 2/3 AKI prior to detection by conventional criteria with a median lead-time of 30 h at AUROC of 0.89. The model predicted 70% of subsequent RRT episodes, 58% of Stage 2/3 episodes, and 41% of any AKI episodes. The ratio of false to true alerts of any AKI episodes was approximately one-to-one (PPV 47%). Among patients predicted, 79% received potentially nephrotoxic medication after being identified by the model but before development of AKI. CONCLUSIONS: As the first multi-center validated AKI prediction model for all pediatric critical care patients, the machine learning model described in this study accurately predicts moderate to severe AKI up to 48 h in advance of AKI onset. The model may improve outcome of pediatric AKI by providing early alerting and actionable feedback, potentially preventing or reducing AKI by implementing early measures such as medication adjustment.
Asunto(s)
Lesión Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Aprendizaje Automático/tendencias , Adolescente , Área Bajo la Curva , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Simulación por Computador , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Pediátrico/organización & administración , Masculino , Pediatría/métodos , Curva ROC , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Background: Broad-spectrum antimicrobial therapy is a key driver of antimicrobial resistance. Here, we aimed to review indications for antimicrobial therapy, determine the proportion of suspected bacterial infections that are confirmed by culture, and assess the time taken for microbiology test results to become available in the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Methods: A single-centre prospective observational cohort study of 100 consecutive general PICU admissions from 30 October 2019 to 19 February 2020. Data were collected from the hospital medical record and entered into a study database prior to statistical analysis using standard methods. Results: Of all episodes of suspected infection, 22% of lower respiratory tract infection, 43% of bloodstream and 0% of central nervous system infection were associated with growth on microbiology culture. 90% of children received antimicrobial therapy. Hospital-acquired infection occurred less commonly than primary infection, but an organism was grown in a greater proportion (64%) of cultures. Final laboratory reports for negative cultures were issued at a median of 120.3 hours for blood cultures and 55.5 hours for endotracheal tube aspirate cultures. Conclusions: Despite most critically children receiving antimicrobial therapy, infection was often not microbiologically confirmed. Novel molecular diagnostics may improve rationalisation of treatment in this population.
RESUMEN
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 is a novel cause of organ dysfunction in children, presenting as either coronavirus disease 2019 with sepsis and/or respiratory failure or a hyperinflammatory shock syndrome. Clinicians must now consider these diagnoses when evaluating children for septic shock and sepsis-associated organ dysfunction. The Surviving Sepsis Campaign International Guidelines for the Management of Septic Shock and Sepsis-associated Organ Dysfunction in Children provide an appropriate framework for the early recognition and initial resuscitation of children with sepsis or septic shock caused by all pathogens, including severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. However, the potential benefits of select adjunctive therapies may differ from non-coronavirus disease 2019 sepsis.
Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/complicaciones , Pediatría/normas , Neumonía Viral/complicaciones , Guías de Práctica Clínica como Asunto , Sepsis/terapia , Algoritmos , Actitud Frente a la Salud , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Niño , Cuidados Críticos/normas , Humanos , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/etiología , Insuficiencia Multiorgánica/terapia , Pandemias , Resucitación/normas , SARS-CoV-2 , Sepsis/etiología , Choque Séptico/etiología , Choque Séptico/terapia , Vasoconstrictores/uso terapéuticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: In April, 2020, clinicians in the UK observed a cluster of children with unexplained inflammation requiring admission to paediatric intensive care units (PICUs). We aimed to describe the clinical characteristics, course, management, and outcomes of patients admitted to PICUs with this condition, which is now known as paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome temporally associated with SARS-CoV-2 (PIMS-TS). METHODS: We did a multicentre observational study of children (aged <18 years), admitted to PICUs in the UK between April 1 and May 10, 2020, fulfilling the case definition of PIMS-TS published by the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health. We analysed routinely collected, de-identified data, including demographic details, presenting clinical features, underlying comorbidities, laboratory markers, echocardiographic findings, interventions, treatments, and outcomes; serology information was collected if available. PICU admission rates of PIMS-TS were compared with historical trends of PICU admissions for four similar inflammatory conditions (Kawasaki disease, toxic shock syndrome, haemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis, and macrophage activation syndrome). FINDINGS: 78 cases of PIMS-TS were reported by 21 of 23 PICUs in the UK. Historical data for similar inflammatory conditions showed a mean of one (95% CI 0·85-1·22) admission per week, compared to an average of 14 admissions per week for PIMS-TS and a peak of 32 admissions per week during the study period. The median age of patients was 11 years (IQR 8-14). Male patients (52 [67%] of 78) and those from ethnic minority backgrounds (61 [78%] of 78) were over-represented. Fever (78 [100%] patients), shock (68 [87%]), abdominal pain (48 [62%]), vomiting (49 [63%]), and diarrhoea (50 [64%]) were common presenting features. Longitudinal data over the first 4 days of admission showed a serial reduction in C-reactive protein (from a median of 264 mg/L on day 1 to 96 mg/L on day 4), D-dimer (4030 µg/L to 1659 µg/L), and ferritin (1042 µg/L to 757 µg/L), whereas the lymphocyte count increased to more than 1·0â×â109 cells per L by day 3 and troponin increased over the 4 days (from a median of 157 ng/mL to 358 ng/mL). 36 (46%) of 78 patients were invasively ventilated and 65 (83%) needed vasoactive infusions; 57 (73%) received steroids, 59 (76%) received intravenous immunoglobulin, and 17 (22%) received biologic therapies. 28 (36%) had evidence of coronary artery abnormalities (18 aneurysms and ten echogenicity). Three children needed extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and two children died. INTERPRETATION: During the study period, the rate of PICU admissions for PIMS-TS was at least 11-fold higher than historical trends for similar inflammatory conditions. Clinical presentations and treatments varied. Coronary artery aneurysms appear to be an important complication. Although immediate survival is high, the long-term outcomes of children with PIMS-TS are unknown. FUNDING: None.