Interaction between smoking, the shared epitope, and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide: a mixed picture in three large North American rheumatoid arthritis cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: Recently, Swedish members of the Epidemiological Investigation of Rheumatoid Arthritis (EIRA) provided evidence that smoking may trigger RA-specific immune reactions to citrullinated protein in carriers of HLA-DR shared epitope alleles. In an effort to confirm this interaction between smoking and shared epitope alleles, we performed a case-only analysis of 3 North American RA cohorts. METHODS: A total of 2,476 white patients with RA were studied, 1,105 from the North American Rheumatoid Arthritis Consortium (NARAC) family collection, 753 from the National Inception Cohort of Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients (Inception Cohort), and 618 from the Study of New Onset Rheumatoid Arthritis (SONORA). All patients were HLA-DRB1 typed, and tested for anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) and rheumatoid factor. Information about smoking history was obtained by questionnaire. RESULTS: A significant association was found between smoking and the presence of anti-CCP in the NARAC and the Inception Cohort, but not in the SONORA. The shared epitope alleles consistently correlated with anti-CCP in all 3 populations. Using multiple logistic regression analyses, shared epitope alleles were still the most significant risk factor for anti-CCP positivity. Weak evidence of gene-environment interaction between smoking and shared epitope alleles for anti-CCP formation was found only in the NARAC. CONCLUSION: Unlike the EIRA data, we could not confirm a major gene-environment interaction for anti-CCP formation between shared epitope alleles and smoking in 3 North American RA cohorts. Our data indicate a need for further studies to address the full range of environmental factors other than smoking that may be associated with citrullination and RA.

Inferring causal relationships among intermediate phenotypes and biomarkers: a case study of rheumatoid arthritis.

MOTIVATION: Genetic association analysis is based on statistical correlations which do not assign any cause-to-effect arrows between the two correlated variables. Normally, such assignment of cause and effect label is not necessary in genetic analysis since genes are always the cause and phenotypes are always the effect. However, among intermediate phenotypes and biomarkers, assigning cause and effect becomes meaningful, and causal inference can be useful. RESULTS: We show that causal inference is possible by an example in a study of rheumatoid arthritis. With the help of genotypic information, the shared epitope, the causal relationship between two biomarkers related to the disease, anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) and rheumatoid factor (RF) has been established. We emphasize the fact that third variable must be a genotype to be able to resolve potential ambiguities in causal inference. Two non-trivial conclusions have been reached by the causal inference: (1) anti-CCP is a cause of RF and (2) it is unlikely that a third confounding factor contributes to both anti-CCP and RF.

Regulation of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies in rheumatoid arthritis: contrasting effects of HLA-DR3 and the shared epitope alleles.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between HLA-DRB1 alleles and the production of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) and rheumatoid factor (RF) autoantibodies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We studied 1,723 Caucasian RA patients enrolled in the North American Rheumatoid Arthritis Consortium (NARAC) family cohort and the Study of New Onset Rheumatoid Arthritis (SONORA) cohort. All patients were tested for anti-CCP antibodies (by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), RF (by nephelometry), and HLA-DR genotype (by polymerase chain reaction and sequence-specific oligonucleotide hybridization). RESULTS: When controlled for the presence of RF, anti-CCP positivity was strongly associated with the HLA-DRB1 shared epitope (SE). In RF+ patients, the presence of the SE was very significantly associated with anti-CCP positivity, with an odds ratio (OR) of 5.8 and a 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of 4.1-8.3. This relationship was also seen in RF- patients (OR 3.1 [95% CI 1.8-5.3]). In contrast, RF positivity was not significantly associated with presence of the SE independently of anti-CCP antibodies. Strikingly, HLA-DRB1*03 was strongly associated with reduced anti-CCP titers, even after controlling for the presence of the SE and restricting the analysis to anti-CCP+ patients. HLA-DR3 was also associated with anti-CCP- RA in our population. CONCLUSION: The HLA-DRB1 SE is strongly associated with the production of anti-CCP antibodies, but not RF. In contrast, HLA-DR3 alleles are associated with anti-CCP- disease and with lower levels of anti-CCP antibodies, even when controlling for the SE. These data emphasize the complexity of the genetic effects of the major histocompatibility complex on the RA phenotype.