Early clinical outcome prediction based on the initial National Early Warning Score + Lactate (News+L) Score among adult emergency department patients.

BACKGROUND: The National Early Warning Score + Lactate (NEWS+L) Score has been previously shown to outperform NEWS alone in prediction of mortality and need for critical care in a small adult ED study. We validated the score in a large patient data set and constructed a model that allows early prediction of the probability of clinical outcomes based on the individual's NEWS+L Score. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we included all adult patients who visited the ED of a single urban academic tertiary-care university hospital in South Korea for five consecutive years (1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019). The initial (<1 hour) NEWS+L Score is routinely recorded electronically at our ED and was abstracted for each visit. The outcomes were hospital death or a composite of hospital death and intensive care unit admission at 24 hours, 48 hours and 72 hours. The data set was randomly split into train and test sets (1:1) for internal validation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value and area under the precision and recall curve (AUPRC) value were evaluated and logistic regression models were used to develop an equation to calculate the predicted probabilities for each of these outcomes according to the NEWS+L Score. RESULTS: After excluding 808 patients (0.5%) from 149 007 patients in total, the study cohort consisted of 148 199 patients. The mean NEWS+L Score was 3.3±3.8. The AUROC value was 0.789~0.813 for the NEWS+L Score with good calibration (calibration-in-the-large=-0.082~0.001, slope=0.964~0.987, Brier Score=0.011~0.065). The AUPRC values of the NEWS+L Score for outcomes were 0.331~0.415. The AUROC and AUPRC values of the NEWS+L Score were greater than those of NEWS alone (AUROC 0.744~0.806 and AUPRC 0.316~0.380 for NEWS). Using the equation, 48 hours hospital mortality rates for NEWS+L Score of 5, 10 and 15 were found to be 1.1%, 3.1% and 8.8%, and for the composite outcome 9.2%, 27.5% and 58.5%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The NEWS+L Score has acceptable to excellent performance for risk estimation among undifferentiated adult ED patients, and outperforms NEWS alone.

The effect of shoulder muscle succinylcholine injection on the foreleg raising power: Sion's local paralysis.

Objective: We examined the change in foreleg raising power after Sion's local paralysis (SLP) with succinylcholine in the shoulder muscle. Methods: A randomized, double blind, placebo-controlled, porcine study was designed and performed at a research institution. Ten male Korean native pigs were randomized into an intervention group (n = 5) and a control group (n = 5). The injection points were in the middle of the left trapezius muscle and the middle of the left deltoid muscle. The control group received 2 ml normal saline (NS), 1 ml injected in each point. The intervention group received 0.4 mg/kg succinylcholine diluted to 2 ml in NS, and 1 ml was injected in each point. To represent the foreleg raising power, the height of the left forelegs from baseline (experiment table) was measured. We measured the foreleg height and oxygen saturation at -4, -2, 0, +2, +4, +6, +8, +10, +20, +30, and +60 min. Results: After SLP, foreleg height immediately declined in the intervention group. It recovered slightly for a few minutes and declined from 4 to 8 min. In the control group, foreleg height was relatively similar throughout the study period. A repeated-measure analysis of variance revealed a significant group × time interaction (F10,80 = 2.37, P = 0.017), a significant main effect for group (F1,8 = 6.25, P = 0.037), and a significant main effect for time (F10,80 = 4.41, P < 0.001). Post hoc analysis demonstrated that the intervention group showed significantly less foreleg raising power than the control group at 0, 4, 6, 8, 20, and 30 min (P < 0.05). Conclusions: Compared with the control group, the foreleg raising power in the intervention group immediately decreased significantly and persisted for a period after SLP, without hypoxia, in a pig model.

Impact of intravesical administration of tranexamic acid on gross hematuria in the emergency department: A before-and-after study.

INTRODUCTION: Local applications of tranexamic acid (TXA) have been effective in treating various hemorrhagic conditions. In patients with gross hematuria, the main treatment in the emergency department (ED) is continuous bladder irrigation (CBI). However, CBI has no pharmacological effects except blood clot removal from dilution. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of the intravesical TXA injection before CBI. METHODS: This study was a before-and-after, retrospective, and single-center study. The target population was hematuria patients who received CBI via a 3-way Foley catheter. As the intervention procedure, 1000 mg of TXA was injected through the Foley catheter and after 15 min, the Foley catheter was declamped and CBI started. Since the intervention started in March 2022, the patients from March 2022 to August 2022 were assigned to the after group and the patients from March 2021 to August 2021 were assigned to the before group. The primary outcomes were the length of stay in the ED and duration of Foley catheter placement. The secondary outcomes were the admissions and the revisits for CBI within 48 h after discharge. RESULTS: The numbers of patients in the before group and after group were 73 and 86, respectively. The median length of stay in the ED was shorter in the intervention group than in the group not treated with TXA (274 min vs. 411 mins, P < 0.001). The median duration of Foley catheter placement was also shorter in the intervention group than not treated with TXA (145 min vs. 308 mins, P < 0.001). The revisits after ED discharge were lower in the after group than in the before group (2.3% vs. 12.3%, P = 0.031). There was a trend for lower admissions in the TXA treatment group than before group (29.1% vs. 45.2%, P = 0.052). CONCLUSION: After the TXA intervention, reduction in the length of stay in the ED, the duration of Foley catheter placement, and the revisits after ED discharge was observed.

Evaluation of the sequential organ failure assessment score and newly introduced criteria - Traumasis - in traffic collision patients.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and the newly introduced criteria, traumasis, defined as a SOFA score 2 or more among trauma patients. METHODS: Consecutive adult traffic collision patients who were admitted to the study hospital emergency department (ED) from January 2017 to December 2018 were enrolled retrospectively in the study. The primary outcome was in-hospital death. The SOFA score was calculated using relevant initial ED data. Traditional risk scores for trauma patients, such as the injury severity score (ISS), the revised trauma score (RTS), and the trauma injury severity score (TRISS), were also calculated. RESULTS: A total of 927 patients were available for analysis, of whom 46 died (5.0%). The median SOFA score was 1.0 (interquartile range [IQR], 0.0-3.0). A total of 417 patients (45.0%) were identified as having traumasis (SOFA score ≥ 2), of whom 44 died (10.6%). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of the SOFA score (0.91; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.95) was comparable with that of the TRISS (0.88; 95% CI, 0.84-0.93) and better than that of the ISS(0.81; 95% CI 0.75-0.86) and the RTS (0.82; 95% CI 0.75-0.90). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the traumasis criteria for the primary outcome were 95.7%, 63.0%, 11.9%, and 99.6%, respectively. The net reclassification improvement for the comparison between the traumasis criteria and major trauma criteria (ISS ≥ 15) was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.55-0.82; p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox regression model showed that the SOFA score (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.52; 95% CI 1.37-1.67) and traumasis (aHR 11.40; 95% CI 2.70-48.13), respectively, was independently associated with higher in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: The SOFA score can be used as a reliable tool for predicting in-hospital death among traffic collision patients. The newly introduced criteria, traumasis, may be used as a risk-stratification and quality-control criteria among patients with trauma, similar to the sepsis criteria among patients with infectious disease.

Mortality difference between early-identified sepsis and late-identified sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to compare the mortality rates of patients with early-identified (EI) sepsis and late-identified (LI) sepsis. METHODS: We performed a retrospective chart review of patients admitted to the emergency department and diagnosed with sepsis. EI sepsis was defined as patients with a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥2, based on 3 parameters of the SOFA score (Glasgow coma scale, mean arterial pressure, and partial pressure of oxygen/fraction of inspired oxygen ratio), measured within an hour of emergency department admission. The remaining patients were defined as LI sepsis. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Of the total 204 patients with sepsis, 113 (55.4%) had EI sepsis. Overall mortality rate was 15.7%, and EI sepsis group had significantly higher mortality than LI sepsis (23.0% vs. 6.6%, P=0.003). The patients with EI sepsis, compared to those with LI sepsis, had higher SOFA score (median: 4 vs. 2, P<0.001); Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (median: 14 vs. 10, P<0.001); were more likely to progress to septic shock within 6 hours after admission (17.7% vs. 1.1%, P<0.001); were more likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (2.2% vs. 1.1%, P=0.001). CONCLUSION: Mortality was significantly higher in the EI sepsis group than in the LI sepsis group.

Change in jaw occlusive power by paralysis of masseter muscle with a neuromuscular blocker: Sion's masseter muscle paralysis.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We aimed to determine whether jaw occlusive power decreases with the injection of neuromuscular blocking agents in masseter muscle - a method we named Sion's masseter muscle paralysis (SMP). METHODS: A randomized, placebo-controlled animal study was conducted in which researchers were blinded to group allocation. We used 12 male mongrel dogs aged 10-12 months and weighing 30-35 kg. Four groups were formed: a conventional dose (CD) group (0.004 mg/kg succinylcholine in 4 ml normal saline [NS]); a high dose (HD) group (0.04 mg/kg succinylcholine in 4 ml NS); a placebo group (4 ml NS); and no intervention group. To measure the jaw occlusive power, 1 kg weight was hung sequentially on a specifically designed device on the animal's lower jaw. At -4, -2, 0', +2, +4, +6, +8, +10, +20, and +30 min, we measured the jaw occlusive power, oxygen saturation (SpO2), and end-tidal carbon dioxide (ETCO2). RESULTS: After SMP, jaw occlusive power began to decline in CD and HD group. The arithmetical mean jaw occlusive power values at -4, -2, 0', +2, +4, +6, +8, and +10 min were 9.7, 9.7, 9.7, 8.7, 8.3, 7.3, 6.7, and 6.3 kgw in the CD group and 9.7, 9.3, 8.7, 8.0, 6.7, 5.0, 5.0, and 5.3 kgw in the HD group. No abnormalities in SpO2or ETCO2were detected. CONCLUSION: Jaw occlusive power was decreased after SMP with succinylcholine, without inducing respiratory complication.

The prognostic value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio on in-hospital mortality in admitted adult traffic accident patients.

BACKGROUND: The predictive value of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in acute illness is well known, but further evaluation is needed in traffic accident patients. METHODS: This retrospective observational study enrolled consecutive adult patients involved in traffic accidents who were admitted to the study hospital's emergency department during 1 year. The initial platelet and lymphocyte counts after arrival at the emergency department were the variables of interest. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Data on baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and physiological and laboratory variables were collected. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard modelings were used to identify the variables independently associated with the outcome. RESULTS: A total of 1,522 traffic accident patient were screened, and 488 patients were enrolled. In all, 43 (8.8%) patients died in the hospital. The median PLR was 115.3 (interquartile range 71.3;181.8). The in-hospital mortality rate of the 1st tertile of PLR (21.5%) was significantly higher than the rates of the 2nd (2.5%) and 3rd (2.5%) tertiles. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of PLR for in-hospital survival was 0.82 (95% confidential interval [CI], 0.74-0.89), which was greater than that of lymphocyte count (0.72; 95% CI 0.63-0.81) and platelet count (0.67; 95% CI 0.57-0.76). The Kaplan-Meier curves showed a significant difference in survival between the tertiles (p<0.001). The Cox regression model showed that the 2nd tertile of PLR was independently associated with lower in-hospital mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.30; 95% CI, 0.09-0.98), compared to the 1st tertile. CONCLUSION: PLR was significantly associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality in admitted adult traffic accident patients.

Changes in peak expiratory flow rates using two head-tilt/chin-lift maneuver angles in young healthy conscious volunteers.

BACKGROUND: The head-tilt/chin-lift (HT/CL) maneuver is simple and routinely used to open a closed upper airway. OBJECTIVES: It has yet to be determined whether increasing the HT/CL angle further would be beneficial. METHODS: We enrolled 60 (30 males) 20-year-old conscious participants. Pre-HT/CL, post-HT/CL #1, and post-HT/CL #2 positions were defined as positions in which the angle between the ear-eye line and the horizontal line was 80°, 65°, and 50°, respectively. Peak exploratory flow rates (PEFRs) pre-HT/CL, post-HT/CL #1, and post-HT/CL #2 positions were recorded continuously at 1-minute intervals (one set). Five sets of measurements were performed (total, 15 measurements for each participant). RESULTS: We analysed 900 measurements (180 sets). The mean PEFRs pre-HT/CL, post-HT/CL #1, and post-HT/CL #2 positions were 348.4 ± 96.9, 366.4 ± 104.9, and 378.8 ± 111.2 L/min (percentage change compared to pre-HT/CL, 5.2% and 8.7%), respectively. Significant differences were observed among pre-HT/CL, post-HT/CL #1, and post-HT/CL #2 positions in all participants, as well as in subgroup classified according to sex, and medians of height, body weight, and body mass index. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that a greater HT/CL angle would be beneficial, as the PEFR increased gradually. The decreasing manner in the PEFR increase with the HT/CL angle implies the existence of an angle threshold beyond which there were no further benefits in airflow, indicating a minimum in airway resistance. A HT/CL maneuver may be appropriate until locking the atlanto-occipital and cervical spine joints in extension occurs and the chest (sternal notch) begins to rise.

Change in peak expiratory flow rate after the head-tilt/chin-lift maneuver among young, healthy, and conscious volunteers.

OBJECTIVE: The head-tilt/chin-lift (HT/CL) is a simple, routinely used maneuver to open the upper airway. Changes in the peak expiratory flow rate (PEFR) before and after the HT/CL maneuver have not been evaluated among conscious volunteers who are regarded as a control cohort. METHODS: Sixty healthy 20-year-old volunteers (30 males and 30 females) were enrolled. The supine position was defined as the position at which the ear-eye line was at a 10° angle to the horizontal. The HT/CL position was defined as the position at which the ear-eye line was at a 25° angle to the horizontal. PEFR was measured using a hand-held device with the subject in the supine position (pre-PEFR) and HT/CL position (post-PEFR), respectively. One set was defined as these two measurements. Five sets of measurements were performed on each subject (300 sets). The set with the maximal and minimal difference between pre-PEFR and post-PEFR were excluded from the analysis. We used a paired t-test to compare the mean pre-PEFR and post-PEFR values for the entire group and subgroups divided by sex, height, body weight, body mass index and response status. RESULTS: Overall, 360 measurements (180 sets) were analyzed. The mean pre-PEFR and post-PEFR were 316.1±87.6 and 346.5±94.7 L/min, respectively. Further, significant differences were observed for sex, height, body weight, and body mass index. In 10 subjects, post-PEFR was lower than pre-PEFR. CONCLUSION: PEFR increased by 9.6% after the HT/CL maneuver in young conscious subjects, but some subjects showed decreased PEFR after the HT/CL maneuver.

Incidence of acute cerebral infarction or space occupying lesion among patients with isolated dizziness and the role of D-dimer.

BACKGROUND: To determine the incidence of acute cerebral infarction or space occupying lesion (SOL) among patients with isolated vertigo or dizziness (IVD) and to evaluate the role of cerebellar function test (CFT) and D-dimer to discriminate ACI/SOL and non-ACI/SOL. METHODS: A retrospective study of consecutive emergency department (ED) patients with IVD during one year was conducted. ACI was based on the diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI), and SOL was based on the concurrent MRI sequences. A sensitivity analysis of CFT and D-dimer was also performed. RESULTS: Among the 468 patients enrolled, 13 patients (2.8%) had ACI, 11 at cerebellum, 1 at occipital lobe, and 1 at centrum semiovale. Twenty-five patients (5.3%) had SOL. Aneurysm is most frequent (n = 7), followed by meningioma (n = 4) and venous anomaly (n = 4). In total, ACI/SOL was found in 8.1% (n = 38). Abnormal findings in finger-to-nose (FN), heel-to-shin (HTS), and rapid alternative movement (RAM) tests were significantly higher in ACI or ACI/SOL group, while gait disturbance, tandem gait abnormality, and Romberg's test were not. CFT sensitivities were low for ACI as well as for ACI/SOL, but specificities were high for ACI and ACI/SOL. D-dimer level showed a sensitivity of 100% at >0.18 mg/L for ACI and >0.15 mg/L for ACI/SOL. However, specificity was low at corresponding D-dimer level. Among the subgroup (n = 411) who did not show any abnormality in CFT, 9 patients (2.2%) had ACI, and 33 patients (8.0%) had ACI/SOL. CONCLUSION: The present study reports a clinically significant incidence of ACI/SOL among ED patients with IVD. D-dimer showed high sensitive and low specificity, while CFT showed low sensitivity and high specificity.

Incidence of bacteremia and antimicrobial resistance, and associated factors among patients transferred from long-term care hospital.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of bacteremia and antimicrobial resistance, and associated factors among infectious patients transferred from long-term care hospitals (LTCHs). METHODS: Consecutive adult patients who were transferred for suspected infection from affiliated LTCH's to study hospital emergency department (ED) over a 12 month period from January to December 2016 were included retrospectively. Patients with positive blood cultures (excluding contaminants as clinically determined) were defined as primary measure and subjected to further analysis according to antimicrobial resistance pattern. The latter was categorized into 4 subgroups based on groups of antimicrobial choices for empiric choices of suspected bloodstream infections. R-Group 0: bacteria susceptible to penicillin and amoxicillin; R-Group 1: bacteria resistant to penicillin/amoxicillin, first, second, or third generation cephalosporins. R-Group 2: ESBL-producing bacteria or bacteria resistant methicillin, fourth generation cephalosporin, or fluoroquinolone. R-Group 3: highly resistant pathogens including vancomycin resistant enterococci, carbapenem or colistin resistant Gram negatives. Blood culture isolate could therefore be included in >1 group. RESULTS: Among 756 patients who were transferred from LTCHs, we excluded 278 patients who were not suspicious of infection and 65 patients who were not checked blood culture at ED. In total, 422 patients were enrolled. The incidence of bacteremia was 20.4% (n = 86). The most frequent pathogen was E. coli (n = 25) followed by S. aureus (n = 10), S. epidermidis (n = 8), and K. pneumonia (n = 6). The incidences of the R-Group 1, 2, and 3 groups were 16.8% (n = 71), 14.4% (n = 61), and 1.4% (n = 6), respectively. Of the Gram-positive pathogens (n = 44), the R-Group 1, 2, and 3 groups were 84.1% (n = 37), 75.0% (n = 33), and 9.1% (n = 4), respectively. Of the Gram-negative pathogens (n = 46), the R-Group 1, 2, and 3 groups were 82.6% (n = 38), 69.6% (n = 32), and 4.3% (n = 2), respectively. Among tested variables, initial serum procalcitonin level was significantly associated with the presence of bacteremia (AOR 1.03, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.05), R-Group 1 (1.04, 1.01-1.07) and the R-Group 2 (1.04, 1.00-1.06). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of bloodstream infections in patients admitted from LTCH was high (20.4%) with majority of these infections from resistant bacteria. Procalcitonin levels were significantly higher in bacteremic patients with an increasing trend towards bacteria in the antimicrobial resistant groups.

Comparison of the National Early Warning Score+Lactate score with the pre-endoscopic Rockall, Glasgow-Blatchford, and AIMS65 scores in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding.

OBJECTIVE: We compared the predictive value of the National Early Warning Score+Lactate (NEWS+L) score with those of other parameters such as the pre-endoscopic Rockall score (PERS), Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), and albumin, international normalized ratio, altered mental status, systolic blood pressure, age older than 65 years score (AIMS65) among patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of patients with UGIB during 2 consecutive years. The primary outcome was the composite of in-hospital death, intensive care unit admission, and the need for ≥5 packs of red blood cell transfusion within 24 hours. RESULTS: Among 530 included patients, the composite outcome occurred in 59 patients (19 in-hospital deaths, 13 intensive care unit admissions, and 40 transfusions of ≥5 packs of red blood cells within 24 hours). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the NEWS+L score for the composite outcome was 0.76 (95% confidence interval, 0.70 to 0.82), which demonstrated a significant difference compared to PERS (0.66, 0.59-0.73, P=0.004), but not to GBS (0.70, 0.64-0.77, P=0.141) and AIMS65 (0.76, 0.70-0.83, P=0.999). The sensitivities of NEWS+L scores of 3 (n=34, 6.4%), 4 (n=92, 17.4%), and 5 (n=171, 32.3%) were 100%, 98.3%, and 96.6%, respectively, while the sensitivity of an AIMS65 score of 0 (n=159, 30.0%) was 91.5%. CONCLUSION: The NEWS+L score showed better discriminative performance than the PERS and comparable discriminative performance to the GBS and AIMS65. The NEWS+L score may be used to identify low-risk patients among patients with UGIB.

Diagnostic performance of initial serum albumin level for predicting in-hospital mortality among aspiration pneumonia patients.

PURPOSE: The predictive value of serum albumin in adult aspiration pneumonia patients remains unknown. METHODS: Using data collected during a 3-year retrospective cohort of hospitalized adult patients with aspiration pneumonia, we evaluated the predictive value of serum albumin level at ED presentation for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: 248 Patients were enrolled; of these, 51 cases died (20.6%). The mean serum albumin level was 3.4±0.7g/dL and serum albumin levels were significantly lower in the non-survivor group than in the survivor group (3.0±0.6g/dL vs. 3.5±0.6g/dL). In the multivariable logistic regression model, albumin was associated with in-hospital mortality significantly (adjusted odds ratio 0.30, 95% confidential interval (CI) 0.16-0.57). The area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) for in-hospital survival was 0.72 (95% CI 0.64-0.80). The Youden index was 3.2g/dL and corresponding sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive and negative likelihood ratio were 68.6%, 66.5%, 34.7%, 89.1%, 2.05 and 0.47, respectively. High sensitivity (98.0%) was shown at albumin level of 4.0g/dL and high specificity (94.9%) was shown at level of 2.5g/dL. CONCLUSION: Initial serum albumin levels were independently associated with in-hospital mortality among adult patients hospitalized with aspiration pneumonia and demonstrated fair discriminative performance in the prediction of in-hospital mortality.