An autonomous debating system.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is defined as the ability of machines to perform tasks that are usually associated with intelligent beings. Argument and debate are fundamental capabilities of human intelligence, essential for a wide range of human activities, and common to all human societies. The development of computational argumentation technologies is therefore an important emerging discipline in AI research1. Here we present Project Debater, an autonomous debating system that can engage in a competitive debate with humans. We provide a complete description of the system's architecture, a thorough and systematic evaluation of its operation across a wide range of debate topics, and a detailed account of the system's performance in its public debut against three expert human debaters. We also highlight the fundamental differences between debating with humans as opposed to challenging humans in game competitions, the latter being the focus of classical 'grand challenges' pursued by the AI research community over the past few decades. We suggest that such challenges lie in the 'comfort zone' of AI, whereas debating with humans lies in a different territory, in which humans still prevail, and for which novel paradigms are required to make substantial progress.

Outcome Prediction from Behaviour Change Intervention Evaluations using a Combination of Node and Word Embedding.

Findings from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of behaviour change interventions encode much of our knowledge on intervention efficacy under defined conditions. Predicting outcomes of novel interventions in novel conditions can be challenging, as can predicting differences in outcomes between different interventions or different conditions. To predict outcomes from RCTs, we propose a generic framework of combining the information from two sources - i) the instances (comprised of surrounding text and their numeric values) of relevant attributes, namely the intervention, setting and population characteristics of a study, and ii) abstract representation of the categories of these attributes themselves. We demonstrate that this way of encoding both the information about an attribute and its value when used as an embedding layer within a standard deep sequence modeling setup improves the outcome prediction effectiveness.

Exploring the Social Drivers of Health During a Pandemic: Leveraging Knowledge Graphs and Population Trends in COVID-19.

Social determinants of health (SDoH) are the factors which lie outside of the traditional health system, such as employment or access to nutritious foods, that influence health outcomes. Some efforts have focused on identifying vulnerable populations during the COVID-19 pandemic, however, both the short- and long-term social impacts of the pandemic on individuals and populations are not well understood. This paper presents a pipeline to discover health outcomes and related social factors based on trending SDoH at population-level using Google Trends. A knowledge graph was built from a corpus of research literature (PubMed) and the social determinants that trended high at the start of the pandemic were examined. This paper reports on related social and health concepts which may be impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak and may be important to monitor as the pandemic evolves. The proposed pipeline should have wider applicability in surfacing related social or clinical characteristics of interest, outbreak surveillance, or to mine relations between social and health concepts that can, in turn, help inform and support citizen-centred services.

Knowledge Extraction and Prediction from Behavior Science Randomized Controlled Trials: A Case Study in Smoking Cessation.

Due to the fast pace at which randomized controlled trials are published in the health domain, researchers, consultants and policymakers would benefit from more automatic ways to process them by both extracting relevant information and automating the meta-analysis processes. In this paper, we present a novel methodology based on natural language processing and reasoning models to 1) extract relevant information from RCTs and 2) predict potential outcome values on novel scenarios, given the extracted knowledge, in the domain of behavior change for smoking cessation.

Probability Statements Extraction with Constrained Conditional Random Fields.

This paper investigates how to extract probability statements from academic medical papers. In previous work we have explored traditional classification methods which led to numerous false negatives. This current work focuses on constraining classification output obtained from a Conditional Random Field (CRF) model to allow for domain knowledge constraints. Our experimental results indicate constraining leads to a significant improvement in performance.

Extracting Dependence Relations from Unstructured Medical Text.

Dependence relations among disease and risk factors are a key ingredient in risk modeling and decision support models. Currently such information is either provided by experts (costly and time consuming) or extracted from data (if available). The published medical literature represents a promising source of such knowledge; however its manual processing is practically infeasible. While a number of solutions have been introduced to add structure to biomedical literature, none adequately recover dependence relations. The objective of our research is to build such an automatic dependence extraction solution, based on a sequence of natural language processing steps, which take as input a set of MEDLINE abstracts and provide as output a list of structured dependence statements. This paper presents a hybrid pipeline approach, a combination of rule-based and machine learning algorithms. We found that this approach outperforms a strictly rule-based approach.