Improving 1-Year Mortality Following Intensive Care Unit Admission in Adults with HIV: A 20-Year Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy, people with HIV (PWH) continue to have an increased risk of admission to and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). Mortality risk after hospital discharge is not well described. Using retrospective data on adult PWH (≥18 years) admitted to ICU from 2000-2019 in an HIV-referral centre, we describe trends in 1-year mortality after ICU admission. METHODS: One-year mortality was calculated from index ICU admission to date of death; with follow-up right-censored at day 365 for people remaining alive at 1 year, or day 7 after ICU discharge if lost-to-follow-up after hospital discharge. Cox regression was used to describe the association with calendar year before and after adjustment for patient characteristics (age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II [APACHE II] score, CD4+ T-cell count, and recent HIV diagnosis) at ICU admission. Analyses were additionally restricted to those discharged alive from ICU using a left-truncated design, with further adjustment for respiratory failure at ICU admission in these analyses. RESULTS: Two hundred and twenty-one PWH were admitted to ICU (72% male, median [interquartile range] age 45 [38-53] years) of whom 108 died within 1-year (cumulative 1-year survival: 50%). Overall, the hazard of 1-year mortality was decreased by 10% per year (crude hazard ratio (HR): 0.90 (95% confidence interval: 0.87-0.93)); the association was reduced to 7% per year (adjusted HR: 0.93 (0.89-0.98)) after adjustment. Conclusions were similar among the subset of 136 patients discharged alive (unadjusted: 0.91 (0.84-0.98); adjusted 0.92 (0.84, 1.02)). CONCLUSIONS: Between 2000 and 2019, 1-year mortality after ICU admission declined at this ICU. Our findings highlight the need for multi-centre studies and the importance of continued engagement in care after hospital discharge among PWH.

Changes in short-term (in-ICU and in-hospital) mortality following intensive care unit admission in adults living with HIV: 2000-2019.

OBJECTIVE: Limited data suggest intensive care unit (ICU) outcomes have improved in people with HIV (PWH). We describe trends in in-ICU/in-hospital mortality among PWH following admission to ICU in a single UK-based HIV referral centre, from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2019. METHODS: Modelling of associations between ICU admission and calendar year of admission was done using logistic regression with adjustment for age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, CD4 + T-cell count and diagnosis of HIV at/within the past 3 months. RESULTS: Among 221 PWH (71% male, median [interquartile range (IQR)] age 45 years [38-53]) admitted to ICU, median [IQR] APACHE II score and CD4 + T-cell count were 19 [14-25] and 122 cells/µl [30-297], respectively; HIV-1 viral load was ≤50 copies/ml in 46%. The most common ICU admission diagnosis was lower respiratory tract infection (30%). In-ICU and in-hospital, mortality were 29 and 38.5%, respectively. The odds of in-ICU mortality decreased over the 20-year period by 11% per year [odds ratio (OR): 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.84-0.94)] with in-hospital mortality decreasing by 14% per year [0.86 (0.82-0.91)]. After adjusting for patient demographics and clinical factors, both estimates were attenuated, however, the odds of in-hospital mortality continued to decline over time [in-ICU mortality: adjusted OR: 0.97 (0.90-1.05); in-hospital mortality: 0.90 (0.84-0.97)]. CONCLUSION: Short-term mortality of critically ill PWH admitted to ICU has continued to decline in the ART era. This may result from changing indications for ICU admission, advances in critical care and improvements in HIV-related immune status.

Real world use of dolutegravir two drug regimens.

BACKGROUND: Since 2015, we prescribed dolutegravir (DTG)-based two drug regimens (DTG-2DR) for 620 people [total cohort 3133 (19.8%)]. METHOD: Clinic database search 1 January 15 to 31 October 21. Demographic, tolerability and HIV related data analysed. RESULTS: In total, 620 people identified; 561 had complete data. 446 male (79.5%); median age 54 years (interquartile range 46, 59). 343 (61.1%) MSM. Nine people who initiated naïvely achieved viral suppression (100%). 546/552 (99.0%) switched or continued and were suppressed at data censor. 460/552 (83.3%) received DTG-lamivudine (DTG/3TC), 74/552 (13.4%) received DTG-rilpivirine (DTG/RPV) and 18/552 (3.3%) received DTG-emtricitabine (DTG/FTC). 70 (12.5%) switched off DTG-2DR (55 DTG/3TC, 13 DTG/RPV, two DTG/FTC) due to side-effects. 41 episodes of blip (1 off >50 copies/ml) occurred in 30 people (5.3%). 11/41 on DTG-RPV [ n  = 7 multi-tablet regimen (MTR), n  = 4 single tablet regimen (STR)]. 27/41 DTG-3TC, 3/41 DTG/FTC ( n  = 26 MTR, n  = 4 STR). Six people (1.1%) failed (confirmed viral load >200 copies/ml or persistent low level viraemia) ( n  = 4 DTG-3TC STR, n  = 1 DTG-3TC MTR, n  = 1 DTG-RPV MTR). Four failures due to low level viraemia, one due to non-adherence and one due to high viral load. Resistance tests performed for 5/6 - mutations detected only in latter person with high viral load failure (on DTG-3TC MTR) who developed triple class resistance. CONCLUSION: Majority of experience is in DTG/3TC stable switch. Minority of patients developed side-effects. Low number of virological failures, one developed integrase inhibitor resistance. Viral failure associated with MTR, commensurate with trial data showing no failure with resistance if DTG/3TC STR used. Overall DTG-2DR demonstrates high efficacy in real-world setting.

Estimating the risk of mortality attributable to recent late HIV diagnosis following admission to the intensive care unit: A single-centre observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Despite improvements in survival of people with HIV admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), late diagnosis continues to contribute to in-ICU mortality. We quantify the population attributable fraction (PAF) of in-ICU mortality for recent late diagnosis among people with HIV admitted to a London ICU. METHODS: Index ICU admissions among people with HIV were considered from 2000 to 2019. Recent late diagnosis was a CD4 T-cell count < 350 cells/µL and/or AIDS-defining illness at/within 6 months prior to ICU admission. Univariate comparisons were conducted using Wilcoxon rank-sum/Cochran-Armitage/χ2 /Fisher's exact tests. We used Poisson regression (robust standard errors) to estimate unadjusted/adjusted (age, sex, calendar year of ICU admission) risk ratios (RRs) and regression standardization to estimate the PAF. RESULTS: In all, 207 index admissions were included [median (interquartile range) age: 46 (38-53) years; 72% male]; 58 (28%) had a recent late diagnosis, all of whom had a CD4 count < 350 cells/µL, and 95% had advanced HIV (CD4 count < 200 cells/µL and/or AIDS at admission) as compared with 57% of those who did not have a recent late diagnosis (p < 0.001). In-ICU mortality was 27% (55/207); 38% versus 22% in those who did and did not have a recent late diagnosis, respectively (p = 0.02). Recent late diagnosis was independently associated with increased in-ICU mortality risk (adjusted RR = 1.75) (95% confidence interval: 1.05-2.91), with 17.08% (16.04-18.12%) of deaths being attributable to this. CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for improved public health efforts focused on HIV testing and reporting of late diagnosis to better understand potentially missed opportunities for earlier HIV diagnosis in healthcare services.

Exclusion of bacterial co-infection in COVID-19 using baseline inflammatory markers and their response to antibiotics.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is infrequently complicated by bacterial co-infection, but antibiotic prescriptions are common. We used community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) as a benchmark to define the processes that occur in bacterial pulmonary infections, testing the hypothesis that baseline inflammatory markers and their response to antibiotic therapy could distinguish bacterial co-infection from COVID-19. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of CAP (lobar consolidation on chest radiograph) and COVID-19 (PCR detection of SARS-CoV-2) patients admitted to Royal Free Hospital (RFH) and Barnet Hospital (BH), serving as independent discovery and validation cohorts. All CAP and >90% COVID-19 patients received antibiotics on hospital admission. RESULTS: We identified 106 CAP and 619 COVID-19 patients at RFH. Compared with COVID-19, CAP was characterized by elevated baseline white cell count (WCC) [median 12.48 (IQR 8.2-15.3) versus 6.78 (IQR 5.2-9.5) ×106 cells/mL, P < 0.0001], C-reactive protein (CRP) [median 133.5 (IQR 65-221) versus 86.0 (IQR 42-160) mg/L, P < 0.0001], and greater reduction in CRP 48-72 h into admission [median ΔCRP -33 (IQR -112 to +3.5) versus +14 (IQR -15.5 to +70.5) mg/L, P < 0.0001]. These observations were recapitulated in the independent validation cohort at BH (169 CAP and 181 COVID-19 patients). A multivariate logistic regression model incorporating WCC and ΔCRP discriminated CAP from COVID-19 with AUC 0.88 (95% CI 0.83-0.94). Baseline WCC >8.2 × 106 cells/mL or falling CRP identified 94% of CAP cases, and excluded bacterial co-infection in 46% of COVID-19 patients. CONCLUSIONS: We propose that in COVID-19, absence of both elevated baseline WCC and antibiotic-related decrease in CRP can exclude bacterial co-infection and facilitate antibiotic stewardship efforts.

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest due to Coronary Spasm with Recurrent Ventricular Fibrillation.

We present a case of ventricular fibrillation (VF) secondary to ischaemia induced by coronary artery spasm. An 82-year-old man initially presented with an out-of-hospital VF arrest. On return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), he was found to be in fast atrial fibrillation (AF); an invasive coronary angiogram revealed unobstructed coronary arteries. During his hospital stay, he developed chest pain, with concomitant ST elevation on ECG (electrocardiogram), which spontaneously resolved. A repeat coronary angiography revealed coronary spasm. Later, he had further ST elevation resulting in ventricular fibrillation. It became clear his initial presentation was most likely due to coronary vasospasm rather than a plaque-rupture or ventricular scar-related event, and he was thus successfully treated with multiple vasodilators and an implantable cardiac defibrillator. This case report highlights how conventional imaging modalities may not always lead to a diagnosis.

Clinical utility and cost-effectiveness of bacterial 16S rRNA and targeted PCR based diagnostic testing in a UK microbiology laboratory network.

16S ribosomal-ribonucleic acid polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and targeted PCR aid microbiological diagnosis in culture-negative clinical samples. Despite routine clinical use, there remains a paucity of data on their effectiveness across a variety of clinical sample types, and cost-effectiveness. In this 4 year multicentre retrospective observational study, all clinical samples referred for 16S PCR and/or targeted PCR from a laboratory network serving seven London hospitals were identified. Laboratory, clinical, prescribing, and economic variables were analysed. 78/607 samples were 16S PCR positive; pus samples were most frequently positive (29/84; p < 0.0001), and CSF least (8/149; p = 0.003). 210/607 samples had targeted PCR (361 targets requested across 23 organisms) with 43/361 positive; respiratory samples (13/37; p = 0.01) had the highest detection rate. Molecular diagnostics provided a supportive microbiological diagnosis for 21 patients and a new diagnosis for 58. 14/91 patients with prescribing information available and a positive PCR result had antimicrobial de-escalation. For culture-negative samples, mean cost-per-positive 16S PCR result was £568.37 and £292.84 for targeted PCR, equating to £4041.76 and £1506.03 respectively for one prescription change. 16S PCR is more expensive than targeted PCR, with both assisting in microbiological diagnosis but uncommonly enabling antimicrobial change. Rigorous referral pathways for molecular tests may result in significant fiscal savings.