RESUMEN
Tumor necrosis has been reported to represent an independent prognostic factor in colorectal cancer, but its evaluation methods have not been described in sufficient detail to introduce tumor necrosis evaluation into clinical use. To study the potential of tumor necrosis as a prognostic indicator in colorectal cancer, criteria for 3 methods for its evaluation were defined: the average percentage method (tumor necrosis percentage of the whole tumor), the hotspot method (tumor necrosis percentage in a single hotspot), and the linear method (the diameter of the single largest necrotic focus). Cox regression models were used to calculate cancer-specific mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for tumor necrosis categories in 2 colorectal cancer cohorts with more than 1800 cases. For reproducibility assessment, 30 cases were evaluated by 9 investigators, and Spearman's rank correlation coefficients and Cohen's kappa coefficients were calculated. We found that all 3 methods predicted colorectal cancer-specific survival independent of other prognostic parameters, including disease stage, lymphovascular invasion, and tumor budding. The greatest multivariable HRs were observed for the average percentage method (cohort 1: HR for ≥ 40% vs. <3% 3.03, 95% CI, 1.93-4.78; cohort 2: HR for ≥ 40% vs. < 3% 2.97; 95% CI, 1.63-5.40). All 3 methods had high reproducibility, with the linear method showing the highest mean Spearman's correlation coefficient (0.91) and Cohen's kappa (0.70). In conclusion, detailed criteria for tumor necrosis evaluation were established. All 3 methods showed good reproducibility and predictive ability. The findings pave the way for the use of tumor necrosis as a prognostic factor in colorectal cancer.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) causes the second most cancer deaths worldwide, but the disease course varies according to tumour characteristics and immunological factors. Our objective was to examine the associations of tumour necrosis with tumour characteristics, immune cell infiltrates, serum cytokine concentrations, as well as prognosis in CRC. METHODS: Three independent CRC cohorts, including 1413 patients, were analysed. Associations of the areal percentage of tumour necrosis with clinicopathologic parameters, tumour infiltrating immune cells, cytokine concentrations in systemic and mesenteric vein blood, and survival were examined. RESULTS: Higher tumour necrosis percentage associated with shorter colorectal cancer-specific survival independent of tumour grade, T, N or M-class, mismatch repair status, BRAF status, and other possible confounding factors. In the largest cohort (N = 1100), the HR for high tumour necrosis percentage (≥40% vs. <3%) was 3.22 (95% CI 1.68-6.17, Ptrend < 0.0001). Tumour necrosis percentage positively correlated with peripheral serum levels of CXCL8, a proinflammatory chemokine, and negatively correlated with mesenteric serum levels of CXCL10 and mast cell densities in the invasive margin of the tumour. CONCLUSIONS: Our results support the value of tumour necrosis as a prognostic factor in colorectal cancer. CXCL8 may have a role in the systemic effects of tumour necrosis.