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J Prev Med Hyg ; 60(3): E256-E261, 2019 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31650063

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Cancers are one of the most important public health problems in Iran. Because of the importance of cancers, the purpose of the current study was to the prediction of the future incidence of the most common cancers among Iranian military community (MC) by using the time series analysis during 2007 to 2019. METHODS: In the current cross-sectional study, all registered cancers among Iranian MC entered the study. To select the best model of prediction, various methods including autocorrelation function (ACF), partial autocorrelation function (PACF), and Akaike information criterion (AIC) statistics were used. All analysis was performed by using ITSM, stata14, and Excel2010 software. RESULTS: The most prevalent cancers among Iranian MC were breast, prostate, and colon cancers respectively. The time series analysis was shown that the trend of all mentioned cancers in Iranian MC will increase in the coming years. CONCLUSIONS: The trend of most prevalent cancers among Iranian MC was increasing but the different factors like the growth of population size and improving the registration system should be regarded.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de la Mama/epidemiología , Neoplasias Colorrectales/epidemiología , Familia Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Personal Militar/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias de la Próstata/epidemiología , Veteranos/estadística & datos numéricos , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Irán/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Estadísticos
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