Personalised prediction of maintenance dialysis initiation in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-5: a multicentre study using the machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Optimal timing for initiating maintenance dialysis in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 3-5 is challenging. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for early personalised prediction of maintenance dialysis initiation within 1-year and 3-year timeframes among patients with CKD stages 3-5. METHODS: Retrospective electronic health record data from the Taipei Medical University clinical research database were used. Newly diagnosed patients with CKD stages 3-5 between 2008 and 2017 were identified. The observation period spanned from the diagnosis of CKD stages 3-5 until the maintenance dialysis initiation or a maximum follow-up of 3 years. Predictive models were developed using patient demographics, comorbidities, laboratory data and medications. The dataset was divided into training and testing sets to ensure robust model performance. Model evaluation metrics, including area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and F1 score, were employed. RESULTS: A total of 6123 and 5279 patients were included for 1 year and 3 years of the model development. The artificial neural network demonstrated better performance in predicting maintenance dialysis initiation within 1 year and 3 years, with AUC values of 0.96 and 0.92, respectively. Important features such as baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate and albuminuria significantly contributed to the predictive model. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the efficacy of an ML approach in developing a highly predictive model for estimating the timing of maintenance dialysis initiation in patients with CKD stages 3-5. These findings have important implications for personalised treatment strategies, enabling improved clinical decision-making and potentially enhancing patient outcomes.

Application of Bispectral Index System (BIS) Monitor to Ambulatory Pediatric Dental Patients under Intravenous Deep Sedation.

Purpose Intravenous sedation has been well accepted to allow dental restoration in uncooperative children while avoiding aspiration and laryngospasm; however, intravenous anesthetics such as propofol may lead to undesired effects such as respiratory depression and delayed recovery. The use of the bispectral index system (BIS), a monitoring system reflective of the hypnotic state, is con-troversial in the reduction in the risk of respiratory adverse events (RAEs), recovery time, the in-travenous drug dosage, and post-procedural events. The aim of the study is to evaluate whether BIS is advantageous in pediatric dental procedures. Methods A total of 206 cases, aged 2-8 years, receiving dental procedures under deep sedation with propofol using target-controlled infusion (TCI) technique were enrolled in the study. BIS level was not monitored in 93 children whereas it was for 113 children, among which BIS values were maintained between 50-65. Physiological variables and adverse events were recorded. Statistical analysis was conducted using Chi-square, Mann Whitney U, Independent Samples t and Wilcoxon signed tests, with a p value of <0.05 considered to be statistically significant. Results Although no statistical significance in the post-discharge events and total amount of propofol used was observed, a clear significance was identified in periprocedural adverse events (hypoxia, apnea, and recurrent cough, all p value < 0.05) and discharge time (63.4 ± 23.2 vs. 74.5 ± 24.0 min, p value < 0.001) between these two groups. Conclusions The application of BIS in combination with TCI may be beneficial for young children undergoing deep sedation for dental procedures.

Contact Laxative Use and the Risk of Arteriovenous Fistula Maturation Failure in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis: A Multi-Center Cohort Study.

Laxatives are commonly prescribed for constipation management; however, they are recognized as an independent factor associated with cardiovascular diseases. Arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the closest to the ideal model of hemodialysis (HD) vascular access and part of the cardiovascular system. Our study aims to explore the association of contact laxative use with AVF maturation outcomes in patients undergoing HD. We conducted a multi-center cohort study of 480 contact laxative users and 472 non-users who had undergone initial AVF creation. All patients were followed until the outcomes of AVF maturation were confirmed. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the risk of AVF maturation failure imposed by laxatives. Here, we found that patients who used contact laxatives were significantly associated with an increased risk of AVF maturation failure compared to non-users (adjusted odds ratio, 1.64; p = 0.003). Notably, the risk of AVF maturation failure increased when increasing their average daily doses and cumulative treatment days. In conclusion, our study found a significant dose- and duration-dependent relationship between contact laxative use and an increased risk of AVF maturation failure. Thus, laxatives should be prescribed with caution in this population. Further studies are needed to validate these observations and investigate the potential mechanisms.

Using Guided Imagery to Relieve the Anxiety of Preschool Children Undergoing Dental Procedures.

PURPOSE: Negative experiences in dental clinics can induce anxiety in patients, and the effects are particularly pronounced in children. When behavior guidance methods (eg, direct observation, tell-show-do, and ask-tell-ask) fail, general anesthesia is an important alternative; however, the procedure of anesthesia can also induce fear and anxiety. This study assessed the effectiveness of guided imagery in relieving the anxiety associated with dental surgery in children and caregivers. DESIGN: A prospective randomized trial with two groups. METHODS: The guided imagery in this study was meant to establish a rapport between the medical team and the patient, by encouraging the child to imagine having an adventure while riding in a spacecraft. Anxiety levels and behavior were measured using five well-established scales: the modified Yale Preoperative Scale-Short Form, the State-Trait Anxiety Inventory-6 items, the Watcha score, the Pediatric Anesthesia Emergent Delirium scale, and the Posthospitalization Behavioral Questionnaire-Ambulatory Surgery. FINDINGS: The results indicate that the guided imagery had no significant effects on anxiety levels. CONCLUSIONS: Guided imagery is a low-cost, easy-to-implement, interesting exercise capable of enhancing interactions between nursing staff and children. It may also help to condition children to the environment and thereby assist them in overcoming their fears.

Comparison Between Transposed Brachiobasilic Fistula and Arteriovenous Graft for Upper Limb Arteriovenous Access in Patients on Hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Creating and maintaining a functioning arteriovenous access is essential for long-term hemodialysis patients. Transposed brachiobasilic fistula (BBF) or arteriovenous graft (AVG) becomes an option when radiocephalic or brachiocephalic fistula cannot be created or fails. This study compared the patency and complications between BBFs and AVGs among patients on hemodialysis. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed in Shuang Ho Hospital, Taiwan, from November 2015 to May 2020. All the operations were done by a single surgeon. Primary outcomes were primary patency, primary-assisted patency, and secondary patency of the BBF and AVG groups. Secondary outcomes were incidence of complications and reinterventions. RESULTS: Of the 144 consecutive patients, 20 and 124 patients underwent BBF and AVG creation, respectively. Median follow-up time was 19.2 months. Primary patency at 1 and 2 years were 67% and 19% in the BBF group and 44% and 16% in the AVG group (P = 0.126). Primary-assisted patency at 1 and 2 years were 82% and 54% in the BBF group and 54% and 30% in the AVG group (P = 0.012). Secondary patency at 1 and 2 years were 100% and 82% in the BBF group and 81% and 67% in the AVG group (P = 0.078). The incidence of complication was significantly higher in the AVG than in the BBF group (1.7 per patient-year vs 0.93, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Compared with the AVG group, BBF group showed better primary-assisted patency, less complication and intervention rates. Therefore, BBF is a reliable option for patients with exhausted cephalic veins if basilic vein is available for reconstruction.

A nomogram for prediction of early allograft dysfunction in living donor liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation is the treatment of choice for end-stage liver diseases. However, early allograft dysfunction (EAD) is frequently encountered and associated with graft loss or mortality after transplantation. This study aimed to establish a predictive model of EAD after living donor liver transplantation. A total of 77 liver transplants were recruited to the study. Multivariate analysis was utilized to identify significant risk factors for EAD. A nomogram was constructed according to the contributions of the risk factors. The predictive values were determined by discrimination and calibration methods. A cohort of 30 patients was recruited to validate this predictive model. Four independent risk factors, including donor age, intraoperative blood loss, preoperative alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and reperfusion total bilirubin, were identified and used to build the nomogram. The c-statistics of the primary cohort and the validation group were 0.846 and 0.767, respectively. The calibration curves for the probability of EAD presented an acceptable agreement between the prediction by the nomogram and the actual incidence. In conclusion, the study developed a new nomogram for predicting the risk of EAD following living donor liver transplantation. This model may help clinicians to determine individual risk of EAD following living donor liver transplantation.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the comparison of performance among step-tip, split-tip, and symmetrical-tip hemodialysis catheters.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with end-stage renal disease need vascular access to ensure sufficient blood flow during hemodialysis (HD). Patients who are poor candidates for arteriovenous access creation require long-term catheter placement. Problems such as dialysate recirculation, thrombosis, catheter-related infections, and malfunction can occur with HD catheters. Different tip designs (step, split, and symmetrical) have been developed to ameliorate the catheter-related problems. The aim of the study was to compare the efficacy and safety of split-tip, step-tip, and symmetrical-tip HD catheters. METHODS: The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases and the ClinicalTrials.gov registry were searched for studies published before November 2017. Studies comparing the clinical and rheologic outcomes of step-, split-, or symmetrical-tip catheters in patients undergoing HD were included in this meta-analysis. We conducted meta-analyses using random-effects models. The primary outcomes were catheter survival time and incidence of functioning catheters. The secondary outcomes were delivered blood flow rate, blood recirculation rate, and incidence of catheter-related complications. RESULTS: Seven randomized controlled trials and one retrospective study with a total of 988 patients were included. No significant differences were observed in the delivered blood flow rate (weighted mean difference, -5.37 mL/min; 95% confidence interval [CI], -23.75 to 13.02), incidence of catheter-related infections (risk ratio [RR], 1.18; 95% CI, 0.63-2.22), or incidence of catheter-related thrombosis (RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 0.64-2.59) between step-tip catheters and advanced (both split-tip and symmetrical-tip) catheters. Moreover, a meta-analysis of the incidence of functioning catheters at 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months revealed that the outcome of step-tip catheter use was better than that of split-tip catheter use, but with a significant difference only at 6 months (RR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.02-1.46). CONCLUSIONS: None of the catheter types exhibited unique features that can enhance their suitability for application. Hence, catheters can be selected by also considering different factors, including costs, ease of procedures, expertise of the clinician, and education and preference of the patient.

Comparison of bilateral pulmonary arterial level and diameter in transposition of the great arteries.

In normal anatomy, the left pulmonary artery (LPA) is usually situated higher than the right pulmonary artery (RPA); however, transposition of the great arteries (TGA), the LPA is not always situated higher than the RPA. This study was performed to clarify the relative position of the RPA and the LPA in transposition of the great arteries (TGA) as well as the implications. We reviewed 101 angiograms of patients with TGA (age 4.1 ± 1.2 months). The width of the RPA, the LPA, and the pulmonary trunk (PT) were measured just before their first branch in the frontal view. They were classified into four groups according to the ratio between the RPA and the PT (RPA/PT). The initial courses of the LPA and the RPA were compared and defined according to their height in the frontal view, and the preferential flow (or not) to the RPA was recorded. The equation of hydrodynamics was applied to evaluate the bifurcation angle. Both PAs were the same size in all cases. Forty-eight patients (47.5 %) had a RPA/PT diameter ratio < 0.49. The LPA coursed higher than the RPA in the majority of cases (81 [80.2 %]); in a minority of cases the LPA and RPA were at the same level (6 [5.9 %]); and in some cases the RPA coursed higher than the LPA (14 [13.9 %]). Patients with a high degree of PA hypoplasia tended to have both PAs at the same level or a higher-positioned RPA. Autopsy (1 of 3 cases) showed a posterior ridge against the bronchus in the higher RPA. Hydrodynamic calculation showed that the greater the angle between the RPA/PT, the greater the preferential flow. Preferential flow to the RPA in TGA did not necessarily result in LPA hypoplasia before its first branch. Higher RPA position relative to the LPA was associated with greater flow in it against the posterior bronchus. This situation was more prevalent in patients with severe PA hypoplasia.

Surgical ligation of patent ductus arteriosus in very-low-birth-weight premature infants in the neonatal intensive care unit.

This study reported our experience of bedside patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) ligation for prematurity in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU). Between April 1992 and March 2006, 41 very-low-birth-weight premature infants underwent PDA ligation in the NICU. There were 18 male and 23 female infants. The mean gestational age and birth weight were 26.9 weeks and 900.9 g, respectively. Preoperatively, 25 infants were ventilator-dependent. After operation, there were five deaths caused by complications of prematurity. Surgical complications occurred in four and all recovered well after treatment. Twenty preoperatively intubated babies survived and were extubated at 21.6 +/- 12.7 days postoperatively. In conclusion, bedside PDA ligation in the NICU is safe and effective. It can avoid transportation of critically ill, very small infants. We suggest surgical closure as the primary treatment in very-low-birth-weight infants who are ventilator-dependent to avoid the possible complications of indomethacin and prolonged intubation.