Cigarette smoking and progression of kidney dysfunction: a longitudinal cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Cigarette smoking is one of the most important life-modifiable risk factors for CVD events. The effect on CKD progression caused by smoking remained uncertain, while the effect on CVD had been established. METHOD: The study population included participants from the specific health check and specific health guidance, an annual health check-up for all inhabitants of Japan who were aged between 40 and 74 years. 149,260 subjects (male, 37.1%; female, 62.9%) were included in this analysis. RESULTS: The relationship between smoking status along with new-onset proteinuria and eGFR deterioration more than 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 was examined. Median observation periods were 1427 days [738, 1813] in males and 1437 days [729, 1816] in females. In male participants, the strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was new-onset proteinuria (1.41 [1.31 1.51], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was smoking (1.24 [1.16 1.31], P < 0.001). In female participants, strongest factor upon kidney dysfunction was smoking (1.27 [1.16-1.39], P < 0.001). The second strongest factor on kidney deterioration was new-onset proteinuria (1.26 [1.17 1.36], P < 0.001). To reveal the relationship of effects from new-onset proteinuria and smoking on the kidney function, the participants were divided into four groups with and without new-onset proteinuria and smoking. The group with both proteinuria and smoking had significantly worst renal prognosis (P for trend < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Large longitudinal observation study revealed smoking has an evil effect on the progression of CKD. This evil effect could be observed in CKD patients with proteinuria as well as in general population without new-onset proteinuria.

Continuum of care for maternal and child health and child undernutrition in Angola.

BACKGROUND: Continuum of care (CoC) for maternal and child health provides opportunities for mothers and children to improve their nutritional status, but many children remain undernourished in Angola. This study aimed to assess the achievement level of CoC and examine the association between the CoC achievement level and child nutritional status. METHODS: We used nationally representative data from the Angola 2015-2016 Multiple Indicator and Health Survey. Completion of CoC was defined as achieving at least four antenatal care visits (4 + ANC), delivery with a skilled birth attendant (SBA), child vaccination at birth, child postnatal check within 2 months (PNC), and a series of child vaccinations at 2, 4, 6, 9 and 15 months of child age. We included under 5 years old children who were eligible for child vaccination questionnaires and their mothers. The difference in CoC achievement level among different nutritional status were presented using the Kaplan-Meier method and examined using the Log-Lank test. Additionally, the multivariable logistic regression analysis examined the associations between child nutritional status and CoC achievement levels. RESULTS: The prevalence of child stunting, underweight and wasting was 48.3%, 23.2% and 5.9% respectively. The overall CoC completion level was 1.2%. The level of achieving CoC of mother-child pairs was 62.8% for 4 + ANC, 42.2% for SBA, 23.0% for child vaccination at birth, and 6.7% for PNC, and it continued to decline over 15 months. The Log-Lank test showed that there were significant differences in the CoC achievement level between children with no stunting and those with stunting (p < 0.001), those with no underweight and those with underweight (p < 0.001), those with no wasting and those with wasting (p = 0.003), and those with malnutrition and those with a normal nutritional status (p < 0.001). Achieving 4 + ANC (CoC1), 4 + ANC and SBA (CoC 2), and 4 + ANC, SBA, and child vaccination at birth (CoC 3) were associated with reduction in child stunting and underweight. CONCLUSIONS: The completion of CoC is low in Angola and many children miss their opportunity of nutritional intervention. According to our result, improving care utilization and its continuity could improve child nutritional status.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pertussis booster vaccination for adolescents in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: In Japan, the introduction of a fifth diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (DTaP) vaccination has been considered, and adolescents aged 11-12 years old who are currently receiving the diphtheria-tetanus (DT) vaccine are one candidate group. We analyze the cost-effectiveness of replacing the DT vaccine with the DTaP vaccine for 11-year-old adolescents and investigate the indirect effect of vaccinated adolescents on unvaccinated infant siblings. We undertake two analyses using high- and low-morbidity pertussis cases, and based on the results, present suggestions for pertussis prevention in the post-COVID-19 pandemic era. METHOD: We used the number of pertussis cases in 2019 as the high-morbidity case and the average number of cases in 2020-2021 as the low-morbidity case, and evaluated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the DTaP strategy to the DT strategy based on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The economic model contained adolescent and infant sub-models. The indirect effect for infants was considered as the probability of unvaccinated infants avoiding pertussis infection from their vaccinated siblings. RESULTS: The ICER from the payers' perspective was Japanese yen (JPY) 4,254,515 per QALY gained in the high-morbidity case and JPY 62,546,776 per QALY gained in the low-morbidity case. The sensitivity analysis showed that the utility of pertussis had the greatest impact on the ICER, with a 60.58% and 0% probability that the ICER was less than JPY 5 million per QALY gained in the high-morbidity case and low-morbidity case, respectively. CONCLUSION: The cost-effectiveness of replacing the DT vaccine with the DTaP vaccine is affected by the level of pertussis morbidity, with the ICER becoming more favorable in the high-morbidity case. The indirect effect has little impact on the ICER. Thus, policy-makers should continue to monitor the pertussis epidemic in the post-COVID-19 era, and determine the need to introduce a booster based on perceived trends.

Health-related Quality of Life in 10 years Long-term Survivors of Chronic Kidney Disease: A From-J Study.

OBJECTIVE: The Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) practice facilitation program in the Frontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in Japan study reduced cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in patients with CKD. 10-year long-term survivors with CKD lived with serious complications, including end-stage kidney disease and CVD. This study aimed to measure health-related quality of life in 10-year long-term CKD survivors and examine the predictors and determinants of clinical indices for measured quality of life (QOL) scores. METHODS: The EQ-5D-5L, a generic preference-based instrument, was administered to 1,473 CKD survivors enrolled in the Frontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in JapanFrontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in JapanFrontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in Japan study. The 10th-year data collection was performed by either primary care physicians or participants who filled out questionnaires from October 2018 to March 31, 2019. RESULTS: The response rate was 38.2% (423/1,473). The mean QOL score was 0.893 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.880-0.906), and the median QOL score was 1.000 (interquartile range (IQR), 0.826-1.000). The mean QOL score in participants with renal replacement therapy was 0.824 (95% CI, 0.767-0.881), and the median was 0.828 (IQR, 0.755-1.000). The mean QOL score in participants with CVD was 0.877 (95% CI, 0.811-0.943), and the median was 1.000 (IQR, 0.723-1.000). The mean QOL score in participants with 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration was 0.893 (95% CI, 0.860-0.926), and the median was 0.889 (IQR, 0.825-1.000). The decrease in QOL scores with baseline CKD stages was significant according to the Jonckheere-Terpstra test for trend (P = .002). Baseline age, systolic blood pressure, and history of hyperuricemia were significant predictors of 10th-year QOL scores. CONCLUSION: We suggest that CKD complications negatively affect the QOL scores in 10-year long-term survivors with CKD. CKD guideline-based practices, prevention of end-stage kidney disease/CVD and management of hypertension, diabetes and hyperuricemia, might contribute to future health-related quality of life in patients with CKD.

Analysis of the cost-effectiveness of proton beam therapy for unresectable pancreatic cancer in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Proton beam therapy (PBT) has recently been included in Japan's social health insurance benefits package. This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of PBT for unresectable, locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) as a replacement for conventional photon radiotherapy (RT). METHODS: We estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of PBT as a replacement for three-dimensional conformal RT (3DCRT), a conventional photon RT, using clinical evidence in the literature and expense complemented by expert opinions. We used a decision tree and an economic and Markov model to illustrate the disease courses followed by LAPC patients. Effectiveness was estimated as quality-adjusted life years (QALY) using utility weights for the health state. Social insurance fees were calculated as the costs. The stability of the ICER against the assumptions made was appraised using sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The effectiveness of PBT and 3DCRT was 1.67610615 and 0.97181271 QALY, respectively. The ICER was estimated to be ¥5,376,915 (US$46,756) per QALY. According to the suggested threshold for anti-cancer therapy from the Japanese authority of ¥7,500,000 (US$65,217) per QALY gain, such a replacement would be considered cost-effective. The one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated stability of the base-case ICER. CONCLUSION: PBT, as a replacement for conventional photon radiotherapy, is cost-effective and justifiable as an efficient use of finite healthcare resources. Making it a standard treatment option and available to every patient in Japan is socially acceptable from the perspective of health economics.

Weight Loss Improves Liver Dysfunction and Dipstick Proteinuria in Obesity: The Japan Specific Health Checkups Study.

Introduction: Obesity and inappropriate lifestyle is the major risk factors for liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Nevertheless, previous studies have not described the differential impacts of body weight changes and lifestyle modification on already developed liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Methods: The original cohort was 933,490 individuals from the Japanese general population. In this investigation, we included 36,256 obese individuals with elevated levels of aspartate aminotransferase and/or alanine aminotransferase (≥31 IU/L) or positive proteinuria (+/- or more) in both the first and second years. Outcomes were the first normalization of these data defined as improvement in liver dysfunction and proteinuria. Times to outcomes were assessed using the Cox proportional hazards modeling for -1 kg/m2/year change in body mass index (BMI) changes in exercise and alcohol intake. Results: The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for incident improvement in liver dysfunction with BMI change -1.0 kg/m2/year was 1.07 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.09) in obesity and that with improved proteinuria was 1.04 (95%CI 1.02-1.07). Compared to subjects without exercise habits, subjects who gained exercise habits exhibited a higher rate of improvement in liver dysfunction (HR 1.08; 95%CI 1.01-1.15) but not in proteinuria (HR 0.98; 95%CI 0.88-1.08). Compared to subjects with continuous alcohol intake habits, subjects who quit alcohol intake also showed a higher rate of improvement in liver dysfunction (HR 1.20; 95%CI 1.09-1.32). Conclusions: This study suggested that weight loss greater than 1 kg/m2/year improves liver dysfunction and dipstick proteinuria in obesity. Particularly, liver dysfunction can be remedied by acquiring an exercise habit and quitting alcohol intake.

Synergistic effect of proteinuria on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: The effect of isolated hematuria without proteinuria on kidney function decline, and the modification by the severity of proteinuria in general population are not fully elucidated. METHODS: Participants were included in the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study between 2008 and 2014. The exposure of interest was the frequency of dipstick hematuria during the observation. In each proteinuria frequency category (non-, occasional, persistent), hematuria-related decline in the eGFR rate was examined by analysis of covariance (ANCOVA). eGFR decline trajectories were also assessed using mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Among the 552,951 participants, 146,753 (26.5%) had hematuria, and 56,021 (10.1%) and 8,061 (1.5%) had occasional and persistent proteinuria, respectively. During the median follow-up of 3.0 years, annual change in eGFR decline in participants with hematuria was significantly faster than in those without hematuria (mean [95% confidence interval]: - 0.95 [- 0.98 to - 0.92] vs - 0.86 [- 0.87 to - 0.84] mL/min/1.73 m2/year; P < 0.001). In ANCOVA, the hematuria-related annual eGFR decline rate increased as proteinuria frequency categories increased (differences in annual eGFR decline rate between participants with and without hematuria: 0.08 [0.06 to 0.09] in participants with non-proteinuria category, 0.17 [0.15 to 0.18] in occasional proteinuria category, and 0.68 [0.65 to 0.71] mL/min/1.73 m2/year in persistent proteinuria category; P for interaction < 0.001). Similar results were obtained by the linear mixed-effect model. CONCLUSIONS: Proteinuria has a synergistic effect on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function. Among the general population without proteinuria throughout the observational period, the "isolated hematuria"-related eGFR decline was statistically significant but the difference was small.

Parent Willingness to Pay for School Feeding Programs in Junior High Schools in Malang Regency, Indonesia.

In Indonesia, school feeding programs have not been established nationally due to the government's limited budget. To examine the possibility of copayment for school feeding programs, parents' intentions to use the school feeding programs and their willingness to pay (WTP) for these programs should be considered. We conducted an online questionnaire survey among the parents of junior high school students in all five public junior high schools in the Kepanjen District of Malang Regency, East Java Province, Indonesia. We used the contingent valuation method to elicit parents' WTP for school feeding and calculated the price elasticity of school feeding. Factors associated with the WTP were examined using logistic regression analysis. Of the 940 participants, 90% intended to use school feeding programs, and 30% were willing to pay Rp 15,000 (USD 1.05) or higher per meal. Of the 944 students (participants' children), all but two students consumed meals or snacks at school, with 74% consuming foods three or more times daily. Higher WTP for school feeding was associated with frequent food consumption at school, higher income, and a better perception of meals at school. In contrast, lower WTP was associated with more household members. Most parents intended to use school feeding programs with certain WTP irrespective of the price of school feeding. Therefore, school feeding in Indonesia might be expanded through copayment.

Trace proteinuria detected via dipstick test is associated with kidney function decline and new-onset overt proteinuria: the Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Microalbuminuria is associated with mortality, cardiovascular disease, and end-stage kidney disease. The association between trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) and kidney outcomes is unclear. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal study used data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study conducted during 2008-2014. The frequency of trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) during first two visits was used as an exposure variable (TrUP 0/2, no trace proteinuria; TrUP 1/2, detected once; TrUP 2/2, detected twice), and kidney outcomes were evaluated. The association between the frequency of trace proteinuria and incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and overt proteinuria was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were compared using a mixed-effect model. RESULTS: Among 306,317 participants, 3188 and 17,461 developed a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and new-onset overt proteinuria, respectively, during the median follow-up period of 36.2 months. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups, compared to TrUP 0/2 group, were 1.23 (1.07-1.42) and 1.39 (1.01-1.92), respectively, and the adjusted HR (95% CI) for overt proteinuria were 2.94 (2.83-3.06) and 5.14 (4.80-5.51), respectively. The eGFR decline rates in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups were higher than that in the TrUP 0/2 group (p for interaction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) was associated with subsequent kidney function decline and overt proteinuria in the general population.

The effect of lifestyle on the mortality associated with respiratory diseases in the general population.

Lifestyle factors, including smoking habit, diet, and physical activity, affect the prognosis of various diseases. We elucidated the effect of lifestyle factors and health status on deaths from respiratory diseases in the general Japanese population using data from a community health examination database. Data of the nationwide screening program of the Specific Health Check-up and Guidance System (Tokutei-Kenshin), targeting the general population in Japan, from 2008 to 2010 were analyzed. The underlying causes of death were coded according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10. The hazard ratios of the incidence of mortality associated with respiratory disease were estimated using the Cox regression model. This study included 664,926 participants aged 40-74 years, who were followed up for 7 years. There were 8051 deaths, including 1263 (15.69%) deaths from respiratory diseases. The independent risk factors of mortality associated with respiratory diseases were male sex, older age, low body mass index, no exercise habit, slow walking speed, no drinking habit, smoking history, history of cerebrovascular diseases, high hemoglobin A1c and uric acid levels, low low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and proteinuria. Aging and decline of physical activity are significant risk factors for mortality associated with respiratory diseases, regardless of the smoking status.

Association between height loss and mortality in the general population.

Height loss is caused by osteoporosis, vertebral fractures, disc reduction, postural changes, and kyphosis. Marked long-term height loss is reportedly associated with cardiovascular disease and mortality in the elderly. The present study investigated the relationship between short-term height loss and the risk of mortality using the longitudinal cohort data of the Japan Specific Health Checkup Study (J-SHC). Included individuals were aged 40 years or older and received periodic health checkups in 2008 and 2010. The exposure of interest was height loss over the 2 years, and the outcome was all-cause mortality over subsequent follow up. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association between height loss and all-cause mortality. Of the 222,392 individuals (88,285 men, 134,107 women) included in this study, 1436 died during the observation period (mean 4.8 ± 1.1 years). The subjects were divided into two groups based on a cut-off value of height loss of 0.5 cm over 2 years. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.26 (1.13-1.41) for exposure to height loss ≥ 0.5 cm compared to height loss < 0.5 cm. Height loss ≥ 0.5 cm correlated significantly with an increased risk of mortality compared to height loss < 0.5 cm in both men and women. Even a small decrease in height over 2 years was associated with the risk of all-cause mortality and might be a helpful marker for stratifying mortality risk.

Maternal and Child Health handbook and under-6 child overweight in greater Jakarta, Indonesia: a cross-sectional web-based survey.

BACKGROUND: In Indonesia, the double burden of child overnutrition and undernutrition is a public health concern. The nationally distributed Maternal and Child Health (MCH) handbook provides child nutrition information to caregivers. We aimed to find mothers' information sources regarding child nutrition, including the internet and the MCH handbook, and to explore the association between overweight and use of the MCH handbook. METHOD: A cross-sectional web-based survey was conducted among mothers with children under 6 years old in Greater Jakarta during 2019. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression examined the association between child nutrition status and use of the MCH handbook. RESULTS: Data were collected from 233 children. Overweight, underweight, wasting, and stunting were identified in 36.4%, 22.6%, 26.8%, and 37.6%, respectively. 62.5% of mothers used the MCH handbook, and 88.2% used the internet via a mobile phone. Significantly more cases of overweight were observed among children whose mothers used the MCH handbook (adjusted OR [aOR]: 5.829; 95% Confidential Interval [CI]: 1.618-20.999) whereas no relationship was observed between MCH handbook use and child undernutrition. Significant associations with child overweight were found for mother's education (tertiary) (aOR: 0.294; 95%CI: 0.098-0.885), employment type (fulltime) (aOR: 0.185; 95%CI: 0.061-0.562), watching television (more than 1 h) (aOR: 4.387; 95%CI: 1.648-11.678) and recognition of child overweight by mother (yes) (aOR: 3.405; 95%CI: 1.05-11.03). CONCLUSION: These results indicate the need to support mothers of children exhibiting overnutrition and undernutrition. The MCH handbook should be modified to address this issue.

Height loss is associated with decreased kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

AIM: Height loss that occurs with aging is a common phenomenon associated with musculoskeletal abnormalities, such as osteoporosis and sarcopenia. Notably, such height loss is also associated with poor outcomes, including cardiovascular disease and mortality. In this study, we investigated the relationship between height loss and kidney outcome. METHODS: This longitudinal study includes data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study from 2008 to 2014. Height loss was estimated using the first three visits (visits 1-3), and kidney outcomes were evaluated using data from the following visits (visit 3 to the last visit). The annual height change for each participant was estimated using mixed-effects model, and participants were divided into five groups according to the quintile of the rate. The association between height change and the incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level from baseline was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. The decline rates of estimated glomerular filtration rate among the groups were compared using a mixed-effects model. RESULTS: In total, 187 682 participants were included in the analyses. The median rate of height change was -0.11 cm/year. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in participants with the steepest category of height decline (Q1; Quintile 1) was 1.45 (1.26-1.67) compared with the reference (Q4; Quintile 4). The decline of the estimated glomerular filtration rate in Q1 (-1.25 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) was significantly higher than that of the reference: Q4 (-0.92 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) (P for interaction <0.001). CONCLUSION: Height loss is associated with a rapid decline in kidney function. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 282-288.

Alcohol Consumption and a Decline in Glomerular Filtration Rate: The Japan Specific Health Checkups Study.

Previous studies have reported conflicting results on the clinical impact of alcohol consumption on the glomerular filtration rate (GFR). This retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the dose-dependent association between alcohol consumption and the slope of the estimated GFR (eGFR) in 304,929 participants aged 40-74 years who underwent annual health checkups in Japan between April 2008 and March 2011. The association between the baseline alcohol consumption and eGFR slope during the median observational period of 1.9 years was assessed using linear mixed-effects models with the random intercept and random slope of time adjusting for clinically relevant factors. In men, rare drinkers and daily drinkers with alcohol consumptions of ≥60 g/day had a significantly larger decline in eGFR than occasional drinkers (difference in multivariable-adjusted eGFR slope with 95% confidence interval (mL/min/1.73 m2/year) of rare, occasional, and daily drinkers with ≤19, 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 g/day: -0.33 [-0.57, -0.09], 0.00 [reference], -0.06 [-0.39, 0.26], -0.16 [-0.43, 0.12], -0.08 [-0.47, 0.30], and -0.79 [-1.40, -0.17], respectively). In women, only rare drinkers were associated with lower eGFR slopes than occasional drinkers. In conclusion, alcohol consumption was associated with the eGFR slope in an inverse U-shaped fashion in men but not in women.

Elevated Crude Mortality in Obese Chronic Kidney Disease Patients with Loss of Exercise Habit: A Cohort Study of the Japanese General Population.

Objective The relationship between obesity and risk of death in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains controversial. In addition, no clear evidence has been accumulated regarding whether or not exercise improves mortality in CKD patients. Methods The original cohort was based on a Japanese general population of 685,889 people from 40 to 74 years old who had undergone annual specific health checkups. The number of all-cause deaths during follow-up (mean, 4.7 years) in this study was 1,490. Information on walking and exercise habits was obtained by questionnaires. The study population was divided into 4 categories by the combination of CKD and obesity [body mass index (BMI) ≥25.0 kg/m2]. Changes in the BMI and walking and exercise habits were determined by results for the first year and following year. Results Obese CKD patients with weight gain (BMI increase by more than +1.0 kg/m2/year) showed a higher crude mortality (1.32%) than those with a stable BMI (within ±1.0 kg/m2/year; 0.69%). In the obese CKD population, mortality was higher with loss of exercise habits (0.96%) than in those continuously maintaining exercise habits (0.52%). The age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 2.23 in the group with weight gain compared to the group with stable weight (p<0.01) and 2.08 in the group with loss of exercise habits compared to those who maintained exercise habits (p<0.01). Conclusion This observational cohort study suggested that loss of exercise habits as well as weight gain of more than 1 kg/m2/year might worsen all-cause mortality in the obese CKD population.

Cost-effectiveness of professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is common in nursing home residents and is a leading cause of hospitalization and death. Nursing home residents with cerebrovascular diseases and impaired consciousness are at high risk of aspiration pneumonia. Professional and mechanical oral care by dentists and hygienists in addition to daily oral care by caregivers was shown to be effective in preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents. However, professional and mechanical oral care has not been widely provided in Japan, while daily oral care by caregivers has been widely provided as a basic service in nursing homes. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of providing professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents. METHODS: Using a decision tree and Markov modeling, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis from the payer's perspective (social insurers and patients) in Japan. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for professional and mechanical oral care compared with daily oral care only was calculated as 4,079,313 Japanese yen (¥; 33,994 United States dollars [US$], US$1 = ¥120) per quality-adjusted life year. CONCLUSIONS: Using the official value of social willingness to pay for a one-quality-adjusted life year gain in Japan of ¥5 million (US$41,667) as the threshold to judge cost-effectiveness, providing professional and mechanical oral care is cost-effective. Our results suggest professional and mechanical oral care for preventing pneumonia in nursing home residents could be justifiable as efficient use of finite healthcare resources. The results have implications for oral care in nursing homes both in Japan and worldwide.

Long-term effectiveness of a primary care practice facilitation program for chronic kidney disease management: an extended follow-up of a cluster-randomized FROM-J study.

BACKGROUND: Practice facilitation program by multidisciplinary care for primary care physicians (PCPs) is expected to improve chronic kidney disease (CKD) outcomes, but there is no clear evidence of its long-term effectiveness. We have previously performed a cluster-randomized controlled trial for 3.5 years (the Frontier of Renal Outcome Modifications in Japan (FROM-J) study) with two arms-group A without the program and group B with the program. We aimed to assess the long-term effectiveness of the practice facilitation program on CKD outcomes via an extended 10-year follow-up of the FROM-J study. METHODS: We enrolled patients who were in the FROM-J study. The primary composite endpoint comprised cardiovascular disease (CVD), renal replacement therapy initiation and a 50% decrease in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The secondary endpoints were survival rate, eGFR decline rate and collaboration rate between PCPs and nephrologists. RESULTS: The occurrence of the primary composite endpoint tended to be lower in group B (group A: 27.1% versus group B: 22.1%, P = 0.051). Furthermore, CVD incidence was remarkably lower in group B (group A: 10.5% versus group B: 6.4%, P = 0.001). Although both mortality and the rate of eGFR decline were identical between both groups, the eGFR decline rate was significantly better in group B than in group A only in patients with stage G3a at enrollment (group A: 2.35 ± 3.87 mL/min/1.73 m2/year versus group B: 1.68 ± 2.98 mL/min/1.73 m2/year, P = 0.02). The collaboration rate was higher in group B. CONCLUSIONS: The CKD practice facilitation program for PCPs reliably decreases CVD events and may reduce the progression of cases to end-stage kidney disease.

A Body Shape Index and Aortic Disease-Related Mortality in Japanese General Population.

AIMS: Aortic diseases (ADs), including aortic dissection, aortic aneurysm, and aortic rupture, are fatal, with extremely high mortality rates. A body shape index (ABSI), an anthropometric measure calculated as waist circumference adjusted by height and weight, improves the predictive capacity for mortality. However, whether ABSI is a risk factor for AD-related mortality in the general population remains unclear. METHODS: We used a nationwide database of 630,842 individuals (aged 40-75 years) who participated in the annual "Specific Health Check and Guidance in Japan" between 2008 and 2010. RESULTS: During the follow-up period of 3.8 years, 159 AD-related deaths occurred, including 105 aortic dissections and 54 aortic aneurysm ruptures. The subjects were divided into three groups based on ABSI tertiles. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that the 3rd tertile (with the highest ABSI) had the greatest risk among the three groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis demonstrated that ABSI was significantly associated with AD-related death after adjusting for confounding risk factors. Neither waist circumference nor body mass index consistently predicted AD-related death in the multivariate model. The prediction capacity was significantly improved by the addition of ABSI to the confounding risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated for the first time that ABSI, a surrogate marker for abdominal visceral fat tissue, was associated with AD-related deaths in the general population, suggesting the importance of central adiposity in the development of AD.

Cost-effectiveness analyses of 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for Japanese elderly.

BACKGROUND: Despite the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) vaccination programme implementation, pneumococcal disease (PD) remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality among the elderly in Japan, particularly since childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) vaccination programme continues to alter the serotype PD distribution among the elderly. Recently, in the United States, PCV15/PCV20 were recommended for adults aged ≥ 65 years and those aged 19-64 years with certain underlying conditions. In Japan, PCV15 is under the approval application process and PCV20 undergoing clinical trials, which has warranted the need in evaluating their value for money. METHODS: We conducted cost-effectiveness analyses with Markov model and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of PCV15/PCV20 vaccination programme compared to status quo from payers' perspective. Transition probabilities and utility weights in estimating quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), and disease treatment costs were either estimated or obtained from literature. To reflect the situation of COVID-19 pandemic, epidemiological data from 2020 and beyond were used. RESULTS: Compared to the current vaccination programme, PCV20 vaccination programme gained more QALYs with less cost, while PCV15 vaccination programme cost ¥35,020 (US$318, US$1 = ¥110) to gain an additional QALY. Replacing PPSV23 vaccination programme with PCV20 vaccination programme is cost-saving. One-way sensitivity analyses revealed that lower VE limits of PCVs against non-bacteremic pneumonia (NBP) have large impact to change the result from PCV20 vaccination programme dominated PPSV23 vaccination programme to PPSV23 vaccination programme dominated PCV20 vaccination programme. CONCLUSION: In the COVID-19 era, replacing current PPSV23 with a single-dose PCV15- or PCV20 immunisation programme for 65-year-old adults in Japan is highly cost-effective, while the PCV 20 vaccination programme was observed to be more favourable.

Health-related behavioral changes and incidence of chronic kidney disease: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

The transtheoretical model (TTM) is a commonly used model of health-related behavioral change. However, the practical effect of using this model for chronic kidney disease (CKD) self-management remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between stages of change for lifestyle behavior and the incidence of CKD in the general Japanese population. A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 178,780 non-CKD participants aged 40-74 years who underwent annual health check-ups for two consecutive years between 2008 and 2009. Health behavior change was determined using questionnaires based on the TTM, which consists of five stages of change (precontemplation, contemplation, preparation, action, and maintenance). The exposure of interest was the change in stages between two years. Participants were categorized into 3 groups 'improved', 'unchanged', or 'deteriorated'. The association between the change in stages and the incidence of CKD was examined using logistic regression analysis. After one year of follow-up, 20.0% of participants developed CKD. Participants in the deteriorated group showed a significantly higher risk of CKD incidence than in the improved group. Promoting the stage of change for healthy lifestyle behaviors evaluated by the TTM was associated with a risk reduction for the incidence of CKD.