Outcome Prediction of Postanoxic Coma: A Comparison of Automated Electroencephalography Analysis Methods.

BACKGROUND: To compare three computer-assisted quantitative electroencephalography (EEG) prediction models for the outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest regarding predictive performance and robustness to artifacts. METHODS: A total of 871 continuous EEGs recorded up to 3 days after cardiac arrest in intensive care units of five teaching hospitals in the Netherlands were retrospectively analyzed. Outcome at 6 months was dichotomized as "good" (Cerebral Performance Category 1-2) or "poor" (Cerebral Performance Category 3-5). Three prediction models were implemented: a logistic regression model using two quantitative features, a random forest model with nine features, and a deep learning model based on a convolutional neural network. Data from two centers were used for training and fivefold cross-validation (n = 663), and data from three other centers were used for external validation (n = 208). Model output was the probability of good outcome. Predictive performances were evaluated by using receiver operating characteristic analysis and the calculation of predictive values. Robustness to artifacts was evaluated by using an artifact rejection algorithm, manually added noise, and randomly flattened channels in the EEG. RESULTS: The deep learning network showed the best overall predictive performance. On the external test set, poor outcome could be predicted by the deep learning network at 24 h with a sensitivity of 54% (95% confidence interval [CI] 44-64%) at a false positive rate (FPR) of 0% (95% CI 0-2%), significantly higher than the logistic regression (sensitivity 33%, FPR 0%) and random forest models (sensitivity 13%, FPR, 0%) (p < 0.05). Good outcome at 12 h could be predicted by the deep learning network with a sensitivity of 78% (95% CI 52-100%) at a FPR of 12% (95% CI 0-24%) and by the logistic regression model with a sensitivity of 83% (95% CI 83-83%) at a FPR of 3% (95% CI 3-3%), both significantly higher than the random forest model (sensitivity 1%, FPR 0%) (p < 0.05). The results of the deep learning network were the least affected by the presence of artifacts, added white noise, and flat EEG channels. CONCLUSIONS: A deep learning model outperformed logistic regression and random forest models for reliable, robust, EEG-based outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest.

Effects of targeted temperature management at 33 °C vs. 36 °C on comatose patients after cardiac arrest stratified by the severity of encephalopathy.

OBJECTIVES: To assess neurological outcome after targeted temperature management (TTM) at 33 °C vs. 36 °C, stratified by the severity of encephalopathy based on EEG-patterns at 12 and 24 h. DESIGN: Post hoc analysis of prospective cohort study. SETTING: Five Dutch Intensive Care units. PATIENTS: 479 adult comatose post-cardiac arrest patients. INTERVENTIONS: TTM at 33 °C (n = 270) or 36 °C (n = 209) and continuous EEG monitoring. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Outcome according to the cerebral performance category (CPC) score at 6 months post-cardiac arrest was similar after 33 °C and 36 °C. However, when stratified by the severity of encephalopathy based on EEG-patterns at 12 and 24 h after cardiac arrest, the proportion of good outcome (CPC 1-2) in patients with moderate encephalopathy was significantly larger after TTM at 33 °C (66% vs. 45%; Odds Ratios 2.38, 95% CI = 1.32-4.30; p = 0.004). In contrast, with mild encephalopathy, there was no statistically significant difference in the proportion of patients with good outcome between 33 °C and 36 °C (88% vs. 81%; OR 1.68, 95% CI = 0.65-4.38; p = 0.282). Ordinal regression analysis showed a shift towards higher CPC scores when treated with TTM 33 °C as compared with 36 °C in moderate encephalopathy (cOR 2.39; 95% CI = 1.40-4.08; p = 0.001), but not in mild encephalopathy (cOR 0.81 95% CI = 0.41-1.59; p = 0.537). Adjustment for initial cardiac rhythm and cause of arrest did not change this relationship. CONCLUSIONS: Effects of TTM probably depend on the severity of encephalopathy in comatose patients after cardiac arrest. These results support inclusion of predefined subgroup analyses based on EEG measures of the severity of encephalopathy in future clinical trials.

Treating Rhythmic and Periodic EEG Patterns in Comatose Survivors of Cardiac Arrest.

BACKGROUND: Whether the treatment of rhythmic and periodic electroencephalographic (EEG) patterns in comatose survivors of cardiac arrest improves outcomes is uncertain. METHODS: We conducted an open-label trial of suppressing rhythmic and periodic EEG patterns detected on continuous EEG monitoring in comatose survivors of cardiac arrest. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to a stepwise strategy of antiseizure medications to suppress this activity for at least 48 consecutive hours plus standard care (antiseizure-treatment group) or to standard care alone (control group); standard care included targeted temperature management in both groups. The primary outcome was neurologic outcome according to the score on the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) scale at 3 months, dichotomized as a good outcome (CPC score indicating no, mild, or moderate disability) or a poor outcome (CPC score indicating severe disability, coma, or death). Secondary outcomes were mortality, length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU), and duration of mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: We enrolled 172 patients, with 88 assigned to the antiseizure-treatment group and 84 to the control group. Rhythmic or periodic EEG activity was detected a median of 35 hours after cardiac arrest; 98 of 157 patients (62%) with available data had myoclonus. Complete suppression of rhythmic and periodic EEG activity for 48 consecutive hours occurred in 49 of 88 patients (56%) in the antiseizure-treatment group and in 2 of 83 patients (2%) in the control group. At 3 months, 79 of 88 patients (90%) in the antiseizure-treatment group and 77 of 84 patients (92%) in the control group had a poor outcome (difference, 2 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, -7 to 11; P = 0.68). Mortality at 3 months was 80% in the antiseizure-treatment group and 82% in the control group. The mean length of stay in the ICU and mean duration of mechanical ventilation were slightly longer in the antiseizure-treatment group than in the control group. CONCLUSIONS: In comatose survivors of cardiac arrest, the incidence of a poor neurologic outcome at 3 months did not differ significantly between a strategy of suppressing rhythmic and periodic EEG activity with the use of antiseizure medication for at least 48 hours plus standard care and standard care alone. (Funded by the Dutch Epilepsy Foundation; TELSTAR ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02056236.).

Early electroencephalography for outcome prediction of postanoxic coma: A prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To provide evidence that early electroencephalography (EEG) allows for reliable prediction of poor or good outcome after cardiac arrest. METHODS: In a 5-center prospective cohort study, we included consecutive, comatose survivors of cardiac arrest. Continuous EEG recordings were started as soon as possible and continued up to 5 days. Five-minute EEG epochs were assessed by 2 reviewers, independently, at 8 predefined time points from 6 hours to 5 days after cardiac arrest, blinded for patients' actual condition, treatment, and outcome. EEG patterns were categorized as generalized suppression (<10 µV), synchronous patterns with ≥50% suppression, continuous, or other. Outcome at 6 months was categorized as good (Cerebral Performance Category [CPC] = 1-2) or poor (CPC = 3-5). RESULTS: We included 850 patients, of whom 46% had a good outcome. Generalized suppression and synchronous patterns with ≥50% suppression predicted poor outcome without false positives at ≥6 hours after cardiac arrest. Their summed sensitivity was 0.47 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.42-0.51) at 12 hours and 0.30 (95% CI = 0.26-0.33) at 24 hours after cardiac arrest, with specificity of 1.00 (95% CI = 0.99-1.00) at both time points. At 36 hours or later, sensitivity for poor outcome was ≤0.22. Continuous EEG patterns at 12 hours predicted good outcome, with sensitivity of 0.50 (95% CI = 0.46-0.55) and specificity of 0.91 (95% CI = 0.88-0.93); at 24 hours or later, specificity for the prediction of good outcome was <0.90. INTERPRETATION: EEG allows for reliable prediction of poor outcome after cardiac arrest, with maximum sensitivity in the first 24 hours. Continuous EEG patterns at 12 hours after cardiac arrest are associated with good recovery. ANN NEUROL 2019;86:203-214.

Outcome Prediction in Postanoxic Coma With Deep Learning.

OBJECTIVES: Visual assessment of the electroencephalogram by experienced clinical neurophysiologists allows reliable outcome prediction of approximately half of all comatose patients after cardiac arrest. Deep neural networks hold promise to achieve similar or even better performance, being more objective and consistent. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Medical ICU of five teaching hospitals in the Netherlands. PATIENTS: Eight-hundred ninety-five consecutive comatose patients after cardiac arrest. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Continuous electroencephalogram was recorded during the first 3 days after cardiac arrest. Functional outcome at 6 months was classified as good (Cerebral Performance Category 1-2) or poor (Cerebral Performance Category 3-5). We trained a convolutional neural network, with a VGG architecture (introduced by the Oxford Visual Geometry Group), to predict neurologic outcome at 12 and 24 hours after cardiac arrest using electroencephalogram epochs and outcome labels as inputs. Output of the network was the probability of good outcome. Data from two hospitals were used for training and internal validation (n = 661). Eighty percent of these data was used for training and cross-validation, the remaining 20% for independent internal validation. Data from the other three hospitals were used for external validation (n = 234). Prediction of poor outcome was most accurate at 12 hours, with a sensitivity in the external validation set of 58% (95% CI, 51-65%) at false positive rate of 0% (CI, 0-7%). Good outcome could be predicted at 12 hours with a sensitivity of 48% (CI, 45-51%) at a false positive rate of 5% (CI, 0-15%) in the external validation set. CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning of electroencephalogram signals outperforms any previously reported outcome predictor of coma after cardiac arrest, including visual electroencephalogram assessment by trained electroencephalogram experts. Our approach offers the potential for objective and real time, bedside insight in the neurologic prognosis of comatose patients after cardiac arrest.