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1.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(13): 278-285, 2024 Apr 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38573841

RESUMEN

The reliable and timely detection of poliovirus cases through surveillance for acute flaccid paralysis (AFP), supplemented by environmental surveillance of sewage samples, is a critical component of the polio eradication program. Since 1988, the number of polio cases caused by wild poliovirus (WPV) has declined by >99.9%, and eradication of WPV serotypes 2 and 3 has been certified; only serotype 1 (WPV1) continues to circulate, and transmission remains endemic in Afghanistan and Pakistan. This surveillance update evaluated indicators from AFP surveillance, environmental surveillance for polioviruses, and Global Polio Laboratory Network performance data provided by 28 priority countries for the program during 2022-2023. No WPV1 cases have been detected outside of Afghanistan and Pakistan since August 2022, when an importation into Malawi and Mozambique resulted in an outbreak during 2021-2022. During 2022-2023, among 28 priority countries, 20 (71.4%) met national AFP surveillance indicator targets, and the number of environmental surveillance sites increased. However, low national rates of reported AFP cases in priority countries in 2023 might have resulted from surveillance reporting lags; substantial national and subnational AFP surveillance gaps persist. Maintaining high-quality surveillance is critical to achieving the goal of global polio eradication. Monitoring surveillance indicators is important to identifying gaps and guiding surveillance-strengthening activities, particularly in countries at high risk for poliovirus circulation.


Asunto(s)
Enterovirus , Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Humanos , alfa-Fetoproteínas , Salud Global , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Poliomielitis/diagnóstico , Programas de Inmunización
2.
Vaccine X ; 18: 100476, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38617838

RESUMEN

Background: Despite the successes of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, substantial challenges remain in eradicating the poliovirus. The Sabin-strain (live-attenuated) virus in oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) can revert to circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) in under-vaccinated communities, regain neurovirulence and transmissibility, and cause paralysis outbreaks. Since the cessation of type 2-containing OPV (OPV2) in 2016, there have been cVDPV type 2 (cVDPV2) outbreaks in four out of six geographical World Health Organization regions, making these outbreaks a significant public health threat. Preparing for and responding to cVDPV2 outbreaks requires an updated understanding of how different factors, such as outbreak responses with the novel type of OPV2 (nOPV2) and the existence of under-vaccinated areas, affect the disease spread. Methods: We built a differential-equation-based model to simulate the transmission of cVDPV2 following reversion of the Sabin-strain virus in prolonged circulation. The model incorporates vaccinations by essential (routine) immunization and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs), the immunity induced by different poliovirus vaccines, and the reversion process from Sabin-strain virus to cVDPV. The model's outcomes include weekly cVDPV2 paralytic case counts and the die-out date when cVDPV2 transmission stops. In a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria, we fit the model to data on the weekly cVDPV2 case counts with onset in 2018-2021. We then used the model to test the impact of different outbreak response scenarios during a prediction period of 2022-2023. The response scenarios included no response, the planned response (based on Nigeria's SIA calendar), and a set of hypothetical responses that vary in the dates at which SIAs started. The planned response scenario included two rounds of SIAs that covered almost all areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria except some under-vaccinated areas (e.g., Sokoto). The hypothetical response scenarios involved two, three, and four rounds of SIAs that covered the whole Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. All SIAs in tested outbreak response scenarios used nOPV2. We compared the outcomes of tested outbreak response scenarios in the prediction period. Results: Modeled cVDPV2 weekly case counts aligned spatiotemporally with the data. The prediction results indicated that implementing the planned response reduced total case counts by 79% compared to no response, but did not stop the transmission, especially in under-vaccinated areas. Implementing the hypothetical response scenarios involving two rounds of nOPV2 SIAs that covered all areas further reduced cVDPV2 case counts in under-vaccinated areas by 91-95% compared to the planned response, with greater impact from completing the two rounds at an earlier time, but it did not stop the transmission. When the first two rounds were completed in early April 2022, implementing two additional rounds stopped the transmission in late January 2023. When the first two rounds were completed six weeks earlier (i.e., in late February 2022), implementing one (two) additional round stopped the transmission in early February 2023 (late November 2022). The die out was always achieved last in the under-vaccinated areas of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. Conclusions: A differential-equation-based model of poliovirus transmission was developed and validated in a case study of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria. The results highlighted (i) the effectiveness of nOPV2 in reducing outbreak case counts; (ii) the need for more rounds of outbreak response SIAs that covered all of Northwest and Northeast Nigeria in 2022 to stop the cVDPV2 outbreaks; (iii) that persistent transmission in under-vaccinated areas delayed the progress towards stopping outbreaks; and (iv) that a quicker outbreak response would avert more paralytic cases and require fewer SIA rounds to stop the outbreaks.

3.
Aging Clin Exp Res ; 35(10): 2029-2037, 2023 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37581861

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: As clinical tests, such as gait speed, require nervous system integrity to be performed properly, sarcopenia shares features with neurological diseases. Neurofilament light chains (NF-L) are now used as a blood-biomarker of neuronal damage, and its expression might be altered in sarcopenia. We aimed to assess NF-L concentrations in a large cohort of older individuals screened for sarcopenia. METHODS: The SarcoPhAge cohort is a Belgian cohort of 534 community-dwelling older adults with an ongoing 10-year follow-up. Sarcopenia diagnosis was established at inclusion according to the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People 2 (EWGSOP2) criteria. Muscle strength was evaluated with a hydraulic hand dynamometer, appendicular lean mass by Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) and physical performance by the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB). NF-L was measured on all available sera collected at the time of inclusion (n = 409) using SiMoA technology (Quanterix°). RESULTS: In the multivariate model, NF-L was associated with performance tests such as gait speed (p < 0.0001) and SPPB scores (p = 0.0004). An association was also observed with muscle strength (p = 0.0123) and lean mass (p = 0.0279). In the logistic regression model, NF-L was an independent predictor of severe sarcopenia (p = 0.0338; OR = 20.0; 95% CI 1.39-287.7) with satisfactory diagnostic accuracy (AUC: 0.828) and subjects with an SPPB score ≤ 8 had higher odds of having increased NF-L (p < 0.0001; OR = 23.9; 95% CI 5.5-104). CONCLUSIONS: These data highlight the potential for using NF-L to investigate the pathophysiology of sarcopenia severity and the neurological features associated with performance tests. However, these results need to be confirmed with other cohorts in different settings.


Asunto(s)
Sarcopenia , Humanos , Anciano , Filamentos Intermedios , Fuerza de la Mano/fisiología , Fuerza Muscular , Absorciometría de Fotón/métodos
4.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 72(23): 613-620, 2023 Jun 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37289657

RESUMEN

Since the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) was established in 1988, the number of wild poliovirus (WPV) cases has declined by >99.9%, and WPV serotypes 2 and 3 have been declared eradicated (1). By the end of 2022, WPV type 1 (WPV1) transmission remained endemic only in Afghanistan and Pakistan (2,3). However, during 2021-2022, Malawi and Mozambique reported nine WPV1 cases that were genetically linked to Pakistan (4,5), and circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) outbreaks were detected in 42 countries (6). cVDPVs are oral poliovirus vaccine-derived viruses that can emerge after prolonged circulation in populations with low immunity allowing reversion to neurovirulence and can cause paralysis. Polioviruses are detected primarily through surveillance for acute flaccid paralysis (AFP), and poliovirus is confirmed through stool specimen testing. Environmental surveillance, the systematic sampling of sewage and testing for the presence of poliovirus, supplements AFP surveillance. Both surveillance systems were affected by the COVID-19 pandemic's effects on public health activities during 2020 (7,8) but improved in 2021 (9). This report updates previous reports (7,9) to describe surveillance performance during 2021-2022 in 34 priority countries.* In 2022, a total of 26 (76.5%) priority countries met the two key AFP surveillance performance indicator targets nationally compared with 24 (70.6%) countries in 2021; however, substantial gaps remain in subnational areas. Environmental surveillance expanded to 725 sites in priority countries, a 31.1% increase from the 553 sites reported in 2021. High-quality surveillance is critical to rapidly detect poliovirus transmission and enable prompt poliovirus outbreak response to stop circulation. Frequent monitoring of surveillance guides improvements to achieve progress toward polio eradication.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Enterovirus , Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Humanos , Pandemias , alfa-Fetoproteínas , Erradicación de la Enfermedad , Vigilancia de la Población , Salud Global , COVID-19/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Poliomielitis/diagnóstico , Poliovirus/genética , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Programas de Inmunización
5.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 23(9): 1062-1071, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37178706

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Novel oral poliovirus vaccine type 2 (nOPV2) was developed by modifying the Sabin strain to increase genetic stability and reduce risk of seeding new circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 outbreaks. Bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (bOPV; containing Sabin types 1 and 3) is the vaccine of choice for type 1 and type 3 outbreak responses. We aimed to assess immunological interference between nOPV2 and bOPV when administered concomitantly. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled trial at two clinical trial sites in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Healthy infants aged 6 weeks were randomly assigned (1:1:1) using block randomisation, stratified by site, to receive nOPV2 only, nOPV2 plus bOPV, or bOPV only, at the ages of 6 weeks, 10 weeks, and 14 weeks. Eligibility criteria included singleton and full term (≥37 weeks' gestation) birth and parents intending to remain in the study area for the duration of study follow-up activities. Poliovirus neutralising antibody titres were measured at the ages of 6 weeks, 10 weeks, 14 weeks, and 18 weeks. The primary outcome was cumulative immune response for all three poliovirus types at the age of 14 weeks (after two doses) and was assessed in the modified intention-to-treat population, which was restricted to participants with adequate blood specimens from all study visits. Safety was assessed in all participants who received at least one dose of study product. A non-inferiority margin of 10% was used to compare single and concomitant administration. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04579510. FINDINGS: Between Feb 8 and Sept 26, 2021, 736 participants (244 in the nOPV2 only group, 246 in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group, and 246 in the bOPV only group) were enrolled and included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis. After two doses, 209 (86%; 95% CI 81-90) participants in the nOPV2 only group and 159 (65%; 58-70) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group had a type 2 poliovirus immune response; 227 (92%; 88-95) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group and 229 (93%; 89-96) participants in the bOPV only group had a type 1 response; and 216 (88%; 83-91) participants in the nOPV2 plus bOPV group and 212 (86%; 81-90) participants in the bOPV only group had a type 3 response. Co-administration was non-inferior to single administration for types 1 and 3, but not for type 2. There were 15 serious adverse events (including three deaths, one in each group, all attributable to sudden infant death syndrome); none were attributed to vaccination. INTERPRETATION: Co-administration of nOPV2 and bOPV interfered with immunogenicity for poliovirus type 2, but not for types 1 and 3. The blunted nOPV2 immunogenicity we observed would be a major drawback of using co-administration as a vaccination strategy. FUNDING: The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Lactante , Humanos , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados , Bangladesh/epidemiología , Esquemas de Inmunización , Inmunogenicidad Vacunal , Anticuerpos Antivirales
6.
Vaccine ; 41 Suppl 1: A85-A92, 2023 04 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35339308

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The global withdrawal of trivalent oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) (tOPV, containing Sabin poliovirus strains serotypes 1, 2 and 3) from routine immunization, and the introduction of bivalent OPV (bOPV, containing Sabin poliovirus strains serotypes 1 and 3) and trivalent inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) into routine immunization was expected to improve population serologic and mucosal immunity to types 1 and 3 poliovirus, while population mucosal immunity to type 2 poliovirus would decline. However, over the period since tOPV withdrawal, the implementation of preventive bOPV supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) has decreased, while outbreaks of type 2 circulating vaccine derived poliovirus (cVDPV2) have required targeted use of monovalent type 2 OPV (mOPV2). METHODS: We develop a dynamic model of OPV-induced immunity to estimate serotype-specific, district-level immunity for countries in priority regions and characterize changes in immunity since 2016. We account for the changes in routine immunization schedules and varying implementation of preventive and outbreak response SIAs, assuming homogenous coverages of 50% and 80% for SIAs. RESULTS: In areas with strong routine immunization, the switch from tOPV to bOPV has likely resulted in gains in population immunity to types 1 and 3 poliovirus. However, we estimate that improved immunogenicity of new schedules has not compensated for declines in preventive SIAs in areas with weak routine immunization. For type 2 poliovirus, without tOPV in routine immunization or SIAs, mucosal immunity has declined nearly everywhere, while use of mOPV2 has created highly heterogeneous population immunity for which it is important to take into account when responding to cVDPV2 outbreaks. CONCLUSIONS: The withdrawal of tOPV and declining allocations of resources for preventive bOPV SIAs have resulted in reduced immunity in vulnerable areas to types 1 and 3 poliovirus and generally reduced immunity to type 2 poliovirus in the regions studied, assuming homogeneous coverages of 50% and 80% for SIAs. The very low mucosal immunity to type 2 poliovirus generates substantially greater risk for further spread of cVDPV2 outbreaks. Emerging gaps in immunity to all serotypes will require judicious targeting of limited resources to the most vulnerable populations by the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI).


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Humanos , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Serogrupo , Vacunación , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados
7.
Vaccine ; 41 Suppl 1: A113-A121, 2023 04 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35365341

RESUMEN

Delivering inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) with oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) in campaigns has been explored to accelerate the control of type 2 circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) outbreaks. A review of scientific literature suggests that among populations with high prevalence of OPV failure, a booster with IPV after at least two doses of OPV may close remaining humoral and mucosal immunity gaps more effectively than an additional dose of trivalent OPV. However, IPV alone demonstrates minimal advantage on humoral immunity compared with monovalent and bivalent OPV, and cannot provide the intestinal immunity that prevents infection and spread to those individuals not previously exposed to live poliovirus of the same serotype (i.e. type 2 for children born after the switch from trivalent to bivalent OPV in April 2016). A review of operational data from polio campaigns shows that addition of IPV increases the cost and logistic complexity of campaigns. As a result, campaigns in response to an outbreak often target small areas. Large campaigns require a delay to ensure logistics are in place for IPV delivery, and may need implementation in phases that last several weeks. Challenges to delivery of injectable vaccines through house-to-house visits also increases the risk of missing the children who are more likely to benefit from IPV: those with difficult access to routine immunization and other health services. Based upon this information, the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts in immunization (SAGE) recommended in October 2020 the following strategies: provision of a second dose of IPV in routine immunization to reduce the risk and number of paralytic cases in countries at risk of importation or new emergences; and use of type 2 OPV in high-quality campaigns to interrupt transmission and avoid seeding new type 2 cVDPV outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Niño , Humanos , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control
8.
Pan Afr Med J ; 45(Suppl 2): 7, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38370102

RESUMEN

Introduction: ultimately detected in 2016, wild poliovirus (WPV) transmission continued undetected after 2011 in Northeast Nigeria Borno and Yobe States in security-compromised areas, inaccessible due to armed insurgency. Varying inaccessibility prevented children aged <5 years in these areas from polio vaccination interventions and surveillance, while massive population displacements occurred. We examined progress in access over time to provide data supporting a very low probability of undetected WPV circulation within remaining trapped populations after 2016. Methods: to assess the extent of inaccessibility in security-compromised areas, we obtained empirical historical data in 2020 on a quarterly and annual basis from relevant polio eradication staff for the period 2010-2020. The extent of access to areas for immunization by recall was compared to geospatial data from vaccinator tracking. Population estimates over time in security-compromised areas were extracted from satellite imagery. We compared the historical access data from staff with tracking and population esimates. Results: access varied during 2010-2020, with inaccessibility peaking during 2014-2016. We observed concurrent patterns between historical recalled data on inaccessibility and contemporaneous satellite imagery on population displacements, which increased confidence in the quality of recalled data. Conclusion: staff-recalled access was consistent with vaccinator tracking and satellite imagery of population displacments. Despite variability in inaccessibility over time, innovative immunization initiatives were implemented as access allowed and surveillance initiatives were initiated to search for poliovirus transmission. Along with escape and liberation of residents by the military in some geographic areas, these initiatives resulted in a massive reduction in the size of the unvaccinated population remaining resident.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Poliovirus , Niño , Humanos , Nigeria/epidemiología , Gobierno Local , Poliomielitis/epidemiología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacunación , Programas de Inmunización , Vigilancia de la Población , Erradicación de la Enfermedad
9.
Aging Clin Exp Res ; 34(2): 331-339, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35018623

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Neurofilament light chain (NF-L) concentration is recognized to be modified in neurological diseases and traumatic brain injuries, but studies in the normal aging population are lacking. It is, therefore, urgent to identify influencing factors of NF-L concentration in the aging population. METHOD: We assessed NF-L concentration in sera of a large cohort of 409 community-dwelling adults aged over 65 years. We studied the association between NF-L and various physiological factors but also with self-reported comorbidities or life-style habits. RESULTS: We showed that NF-L concentration in serum was tightly associated with cystatin C concentration (r = 0.501, p < 0.0001) and consequently, to the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (r = - 0.492; p < 0.0001). Additionally, NF-L concentration was dependent on age and body mass index (BMI) but not sex. Among the self-reported comorbidities, subjects who reported neurological disorders, cardiovascular diseases or history of fracture had higher NF-L concentration in univariate analysis, whereas it was only the case for subjects who reported neurological disorders in the multivariate analysis. NF-L concentration was also increased when Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was decreased (≤ 25 points) but not when geriatric depression score (GDS) was increased (> 5 points) in both univariate and multivariate analysis. Finally, we are providing reference ranges by age categories for subjects with or without altered renal function. CONCLUSION: NF-L concentration in the aging population is not driven by the increasing number of comorbidities or depression. Yet, NF-L blood concentration is dependent on kidney function and NF-L interpretation in patients suffering from renal failure should be taken with caution.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Filamentos Intermedios , Anciano , Biomarcadores , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Humanos , Vida Independiente , Pruebas de Estado Mental y Demencia
10.
Acta Clin Belg ; 77(1): 4-9, 2022 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32441564

RESUMEN

Objectives: 25-Hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), parathyroid hormone (PTH) and bone alkaline phosphatase (BALP) are biomarkers of calcium/phosphate metabolism and bone turnover. Although vitamin D deficiency is a well-known cause of secondary hyperparathyroidism, few studies have considered vitamin D status when establishing reference ranges. In this study, we report PTH levels according to the vitamin D status and BALP levels in a large cohort of 1200 children. Additionally, we provide PTH pediatric reference values according to 25(OH)D status as well as BALP pediatric reference ranges.Methods: Serum samples from 1200 children (equally distributed from 5 months to 20 years old) who underwent blood sampling for allergy exploration were used to quantify 25(OH)D, PTH and BALP.Results: The percentage of vitamin D deficient children (<20 ng/ml) progressively increased during childhood starting from 7% in the 0 to 2 year-old subgroup to a mean of at least 50% among teenagers. PTH levels inversely mirrored 25(OH)D concentrations for all age and gender subgroups, and 25(OH)D deficient subgroups presented higher PTH levels than their non-deficient counterparts. In the non-deficient 25(OH)D population, PTH levels were the highest at 11 years old for girls and 14 years old for boys. BALP results were slightly increased during childhood and showed a constant decrease during teenage years starting from 12 years old for girls and 14 years old for boys.Conclusion: Our results highlight the inverse relationship between PTH and 25(OH)D in children and the need for a well characterized 25(OH)D population to establish pediatric reference ranges for PTH.


Asunto(s)
Fosfatasa Alcalina , Hormona Paratiroidea/sangre , Deficiencia de Vitamina D , Vitamina D/sangre , Adolescente , Fosfatasa Alcalina/sangre , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Vitamina D/análogos & derivados , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
11.
Vaccine ; 39(40): 5814-5821, 2021 09 24.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34481702

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: After global oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) cessation, the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE) currently recommends a two-dose schedule of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) beginning ≥14-weeks of age to achieve at least 90% immune response. We aimed to compare the immunogenicity of three different two-dose IPV schedules started before or at 14-weeks of age. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, controlled, open-label, inequality trial at two sites in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Healthy infants at 6-weeks of age were randomized into one of five arms to receive two-dose IPV schedules at different ages with and without OPV. The three IPV-only arms are presented: Arm C received IPV at 14-weeks and 9-months; Arm D received IPV at 6-weeks and 9-months; and Arm E received IPV at 6 and 14-weeks. The primary outcome was immune response defined as seroconversion from seronegative (<1:8) to seropositive (≥1:8) after vaccination, or a four-fold rise in antibody titers and median reciprocal antibody titers to all three poliovirus types measured at 10-months of age. FINDINGS: Of the 987 children randomized to Arms C, D, and E, 936 were included in the intention-to-treat analysis. At 10-months, participants in Arm C (IPV at 14-weeks and 9-months) had ≥99% cumulative immune response to all three poliovirus types which was significantly higher than the 77-81% observed in Arm E (IPV at 6 and 14-weeks). Participants in Arm D (IPV at 6-weeks and 9-months) had cumulative immune responses of 98-99% which was significantly higher than that of Arm E (p value < 0.0001) but not different from Arm C. INTERPRETATION: Results support current SAGE recommendations for IPV following OPV cessation and provide evidence that the schedule of two full IPV doses could begin as early as 6-weeks.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Bangladesh , Niño , Humanos , Lactante , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados
12.
Risk Anal ; 41(2): 289-302, 2021 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32348621

RESUMEN

Beginning in 2013, multiple local government areas (LGAs) in Borno and Yobe in northeast Nigeria and other parts of the Lake Chad basin experienced a violent insurgency that resulted in substantial numbers of isolated and displaced people. Northeast Nigeria represents the last known reservoir country of wild poliovirus (WPV) transmission in Africa, with detection of paralytic cases caused by serotype 1 WPV in 2016 in Borno and serotype 3 WPV in late 2012. Parts of Borno and Yobe are also problematic areas for transmission of serotype 2 circulating vaccine-derived polioviruses, and they continue to face challenges associated with conflict and inadequate health services in security-compromised areas that limit both immunization and surveillance activities. We model poliovirus transmission of all three serotypes for Borno and Yobe using a deterministic differential equation-based model that includes four subpopulations to account for limitations in access to immunization services and dynamic restrictions in population mixing. We find that accessibility issues and insufficient immunization allow for prolonged poliovirus transmission and potential undetected paralytic cases, although as of the end of 2019, including responsive program activities in the modeling suggest die out of indigenous serotypes 1 and 3 WPVs prior to 2020. Specifically, recent and current efforts to access isolated populations and provide oral poliovirus vaccine continue to reduce the risks of sustained and undetected transmission, although some uncertainty remains. Continued improvement in immunization and surveillance in the isolated subpopulations should minimize these risks. Stochastic modeling can build on this analysis to characterize the implications for undetected transmission and confidence about no circulation.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis/transmisión , Poliomielitis/virología , Poliovirus , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Niño , Preescolar , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Programas de Inmunización , Lactante , Nigeria/epidemiología , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Vacunas contra Poliovirus , Vacunación
13.
Risk Anal ; 41(2): 320-328, 2021 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32632925

RESUMEN

After the globally coordinated cessation of any serotype of oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV), some risks remain from undetected, existing homotypic OPV-related transmission and/or restarting transmission due to several possible reintroduction risks. The Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) coordinated global cessation of serotype 2-containing OPV (OPV2) in 2016. Following OPV2 cessation, the GPEI and countries implemented activities to withdraw all the remaining trivalent OPV, which contains all three poliovirus serotypes (i.e., 1, 2, and 3), from the supply chain and replace it with bivalent OPV (containing only serotypes 1 and 3). However, as of early 2020, monovalent OPV2 use for outbreak response continues in many countries. In addition, outbreaks observed in 2019 demonstrated evidence of different types of risks than previously modeled. We briefly review the 2019 epidemiological experience with serotype 2 live poliovirus outbreaks and propose a new risk for unexpected OPV introduction for inclusion in global modeling of OPV cessation. Using an updated model of global poliovirus transmission and OPV evolution with and without consideration of this new risk, we explore the implications of the current global situation with respect to the likely need to restart preventive use of OPV2 in OPV-using countries. Simulation results without this new risk suggest OPV2 restart will likely need to occur (81% of 100 iterations) to manage the polio endgame based on the GPEI performance to date with existing vaccine tools, and with the new risk of unexpected OPV introduction the expected OPV2 restart probability increases to 89%. Contingency planning requires new OPV2 bulk production, including genetically stabilized OPV2 strains.


Asunto(s)
Poliomielitis/inmunología , Poliomielitis/prevención & control , Vacuna Antipolio Oral , Poliovirus , Simulación por Computador , Erradicación de la Enfermedad/métodos , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Salud Global , Conductas Relacionadas con la Salud , Humanos , Vacuna Antipolio de Virus Inactivados , Probabilidad , Riesgo , Gestión de Riesgos , Serogrupo , Vacunación/métodos
14.
Clin Chem Lab Med ; 58(2): 197-201, 2020 01 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31804956

RESUMEN

Background Simultaneous measurement of 25(OH)D and 24,25(OH)2D is a new tool for predicting vitamin D deficiency and allows evaluating CYP24A1 lack of function. Interpretation of 24,25(OH)2D should be performed according to 25(OH)D levels and a ratio, called the vitamin D metabolite ratio (VMR) has been proposed for such a purpose. Unfortunately, the VMR can be expressed in different ways and cannot be used if 24,25(OH)2D concentrations are undetectable. Here, we propose evaluating the enzyme activity taking into consideration the probability that a normal population presents undetectable 24,25(OH)2D concentrations according to 25(OH)D levels. We thus retrospectively measured 25(OH)D and 24,25(OH)2D in a population of 1200 young subjects to evaluate the 25(OH)D threshold above which the enzyme was induced. Methods Serum samples from 1200 infants, children, adolescent and young adults were used to simultaneously quantify 25(OH)D and 24,25(OH)2D by LCMS/MS. Results Median (interquartile range [IQR]) levels were 20.6 (14.4-27.2) ng/mL for 25(OH)D. 172 subjects (14.3%) presented 24,25(OH)2D values below the LOQ. When 25(OH)D values were <11 ng/mL, 63.1% of subjects presented undetectable 24,25(OH)2D concentrations. Percentage decreased with increasing 25(OH)D values to become 19.7% for 25(OH)D comprised between 12 and 15 ng/mL, 5.1% for 25(OH)D between 16 and 20 and 0.7% for 25(OH)D >21 ng/mL. Conclusions We suggest using a statistical approach to evaluate CYP24A1 function according to 25(OH)D concentrations. Our results also show that vitamin D deficiency, as defined biochemically, could be around 20 ng/mL in infants, children, adolescent and young adults and that vitamin D deficiency could be evaluated on a more individual basis.


Asunto(s)
24,25-Dihidroxivitamina D 3/análisis , Calcifediol/análisis , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/patología , Vitamina D3 24-Hidroxilasa/genética , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Cromatografía Líquida de Alta Presión , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Límite de Detección , Masculino , Polimorfismo de Nucleótido Simple , Estudios Retrospectivos , Espectrometría de Masas en Tándem , Deficiencia de Vitamina D/genética , Adulto Joven
15.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 27: 20-26, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30654041

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malaria infection poses a significant risk in pregnancy, yet chemoprophylaxis for pregnant women is limited. A systematic review was conducted to evaluate the incidence of adverse outcomes after atovaquone-proguanil (AP) exposure during pregnancy. METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, the authors searched PubMed, MEDLINE, and the Malaria in Pregnancy Consortium Library to identify relevant literature including infant outcomes after exposure to atovaquone, proguanil, or AP in pregnancy. Two authors independently screened the titles, abstracts, and full texts, and extracted data into an EpiInfo database. Overall proportions and 95% confidence intervals of adverse outcomes were determined by pooling data across studies. RESULTS: Of 455 records identified, 16 studies were included: ten AP studies and six proguanil studies. The overall proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of adverse outcomes reported for the 446 women exposed to AP include miscarriage (8.08% CI: 5.07, 12.08%), stillbirth (1.05% CI: 0.03, 5.73%), early neonatal death (0% CI: 0, 7.4%), and congenital anomalies (2.56% CI: 1.28, 4.53%). CONCLUSIONS: The limited available data suggest that outcomes following AP exposure during pregnancy are similar to expected rates in similar populations. AP may be a promising option for pregnant women, but further data are needed on its safety in pregnancy.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/efectos adversos , Atovacuona/uso terapéutico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/prevención & control , Complicaciones Parasitarias del Embarazo/tratamiento farmacológico , Complicaciones Parasitarias del Embarazo/prevención & control , Proguanil/uso terapéutico , Aborto Espontáneo/inducido químicamente , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Atovacuona/efectos adversos , Combinación de Medicamentos , Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Malaria Falciparum/tratamiento farmacológico , Embarazo , Proguanil/efectos adversos , Mortinato , Viaje
17.
Malar J ; 16(1): 282, 2017 07 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28693488

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Malaria control efforts have been strengthened by funding from donor groups and government agencies. The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and the Malaria (Global Fund), the US President's Malaria Initiative (PMI) account for the majority of donor support for malaria control and prevention efforts. Pharmacovigilance (PV), which encompasses all activities relating to the detection, assessment, understanding, and prevention of adverse effects or any other drug-related problem, is a necessary part of efforts to reduce drug resistance and improve treatment outcomes. This paper reports on an analysis of PV plans in the Global Fund and PMI and World Bank's grants for malaria prevention and control. METHODS: All active malaria grants as of September 2015 funded by the Global Fund and World Bank, and fiscal year 2015 and 2016 PMI Malaria Operational Plans (MOP) were identified. The total amount awarded for PV-related activities and drug quality assurance was abstracted. A Key-Word-in-Context (KWIC) analysis was conducted for the content of each grant. Specific search terms consisted of pharmacovigilance, pregn*, registry, safety, adverse drug, mass drug administration, primaquine, counterfeit, sub-standard, and falsified. Grants that mentioned PV activities identified in the KWIC search, listed PV in their budgets, or included the keywords: counterfeit, sub-standard, falsified, mass drug administration, or adverse event were thematically coded using Dedoose software version 7.0. RESULTS: The search identified 159 active malaria grants including 107 Global Fund grants, 39 fiscal year 2015 and 2016 PMI grants and 13 World Bank grants. These grants were primarily awarded to low-income countries (57.2%) and in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) (70.4%). Thirty-seven (23.3%) grants included a budget line for PV- or drug quality assurance-related activities, including 21 PMI grants and 16 Global Fund grants. Only 23 (14.5%) grants directly mentioned PV. The primary focus area was improving drug quality monitoring, especially among the PMI grants. CONCLUSIONS: The results of the analysis demonstrate that funding for PV has not been sufficiently prioritized by either the key malaria donor organizations or by the recipient countries, as reflected in their grant proposal submissions and MOPs.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/economía , Organización de la Financiación/economía , Malaria/economía , Farmacovigilancia , Antimaláricos/farmacología , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Humanos , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Plasmodium/efectos de los fármacos , Garantía de la Calidad de Atención de Salud
18.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 17(2): 184-193, 2017 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27865890

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Intermittent preventive treatment (IPT) for malaria is used in infants, children, adults, and pregnant women. Dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP) is an effective, well tolerated artemisinin-based combination therapy. The long half-life of piperaquine makes it attractive for IPT. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish the efficacy and safety of repeated treatment with DP. METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, we searched multiple databases on Sept 1, 2016, with the terms: "human" AND "dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine" OR "DHA-PPQ". Studies were eligible if they were randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or prospective cohort studies involving repeat exposures to standard 3-day courses of DP for either seasonal malaria chemoprevention, mass drug administration, or treatment of clinical malaria, conducted at any time and in any geographic location. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to generate pooled incidence rate ratios and relative risks, or risk differences. FINDINGS: 11 studies were included: two repeat treatment studies (one in children younger than 5 years and one in pregnant women), and nine IPT trials (five in children younger than 5 years, one in schoolchildren, one in adults, two in pregnant women). Comparator interventions included placebo, artemether-lumefantrine, sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP), SP+amodiaquine, SP+piperaquine, SP+chloroquine, and co-trimoxazole. Of 14 628 participants, 3935 received multiple DP courses (2-18). Monthly IPT-DP was associated with an 84% reduction in the incidence of malaria parasitaemia measured by microscopy compared with placebo. Monthly IPT-DP was associated with fewer serious adverse events than placebo, daily co-trimoxazole, or monthly SP. Among 56 IPT-DP recipients (26 children, 30 pregnant women) with cardiac parameters, all QTc intervals were within normal limits, with no significant increase in QTc prolongation with increasing courses of DP. INTERPRETATION: Monthly DP appears well tolerated and effective for IPT. Additional data are needed in pregnancy and to further explore the cardiac safety with monthly dosing. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and NIH.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Artemisininas/uso terapéutico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Malaria/prevención & control , Quinolinas/uso terapéutico , Combinación de Medicamentos , Quimioterapia Combinada , Humanos , Pirimetamina/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Sulfadoxina/uso terapéutico
19.
PLoS One ; 11(11): e0164963, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27824884

RESUMEN

Given the high morbidity for mother and fetus associated with malaria in pregnancy, safe and efficacious drugs are needed for treatment. Artemisinin derivatives are the most effective antimalarials, but are associated with teratogenic and embryotoxic effects in animal models when used in early pregnancy. However, several organ systems are still under development later in pregnancy. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the occurrence of adverse pregnancy outcomes among women treated with artemisinins monotherapy or as artemisinin-based combination therapy during the 2nd or 3rd trimesters relative to pregnant women who received non-artemisinin antimalarials or none at all. Pooled odds ratio (POR) were calculated using Mantel-Haenszel fixed effects model with a 0.5 continuity correction for zero events. Eligible studies were identified through Medline, Embase, and the Malaria in Pregnancy Consortium Library. Twenty studies (11 cohort studies and 9 randomized controlled trials) contributed to the analysis, with 3,707 women receiving an artemisinin, 1,951 a non-artemisinin antimalarial, and 13,714 no antimalarial. The PORs (95% confidence interval (CI)) for stillbirth, fetal loss, and congenital anomalies when comparing artemisinin versus quinine were 0.49 (95% CI 0.24-0.97, I2 = 0%, 3 studies); 0.58 (95% CI 0.31-1.16, I2 = 0%, 6 studies); and 1.00 (95% CI 0.27-3.75, I2 = 0%, 3 studies), respectively. The PORs comparing artemisinin users to pregnant women who received no antimalarial were 1.13 (95% CI 0.77-1.66, I2 = 86.7%, 3 studies); 1.10 (95% CI 0.79-1.54, I2 = 0%, 4 studies); and 0.79 (95% CI 0.37-1.67, I2 = 0%, 3 studies) for miscarriage, stillbirth and congenital anomalies respectively. Treatment with artemisinin in 2nd and 3rd trimester was not associated with increased risks of congenital malformations or miscarriage and may be was associated with a reduced risk of stillbirths compared to quinine. This study updates the reviews conducted by the WHO in 2002 and 2006 and supports the current WHO malaria treatment guidelines malaria in pregnancy.


Asunto(s)
Antimaláricos/efectos adversos , Antimaláricos/uso terapéutico , Artemisininas/efectos adversos , Artemisininas/uso terapéutico , Malaria/tratamiento farmacológico , Complicaciones Parasitarias del Embarazo/tratamiento farmacológico , Aborto Espontáneo , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Segundo Trimestre del Embarazo , Tercer Trimestre del Embarazo , Quinina/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto
20.
Vaccine ; 33(41): 5333-5341, 2015 Oct 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26319071

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Wheeze is an important sign indicating a potentially severe adverse event in vaccine and drug trials, particularly in children. However, there are currently no consensus definitions of wheeze or associated respiratory compromise in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). OBJECTIVE: To identify definitions and severity grading scales of wheeze as an adverse event in vaccine and drug RCTs enrolling children <5 years and to determine their diagnostic performance based on sensitivity, specificity and inter-observer agreement. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of electronic databases and reference lists with restrictions for trial settings, English language and publication date ≥1970. Wheeze definitions and severity grading were abstracted and ranked by a diagnostic certainty score based on sensitivity, specificity and inter-observer agreement. RESULTS: Of 1205 articles identified using our broad search terms, we identified 58 eligible trials conducted in 38 countries, mainly in high-income settings. Vaccines made up the majority (90%) of interventions, particularly influenza vaccines (65%). Only 15 trials provided explicit definitions of wheeze. Of 24 studies that described severity, 11 described wheeze severity in the context of an explicit wheeze definition. The remaining 13 studies described wheeze severity where wheeze was defined as part of a respiratory illness or a wheeze equivalent. Wheeze descriptions were elicited from caregiver reports (14%), physical examination by a health worker (45%) or a combination (41%). There were 21/58 studies in which wheeze definitions included combined caregiver report and healthcare worker assessment. The use of these two methods appeared to have the highest combined sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSION: Standardized wheeze definitions and severity grading scales for use in pediatric vaccine or drug trials are lacking. Standardized definitions of wheeze are needed for assessment of possible adverse events as new vaccines and drugs are evaluated.


Asunto(s)
Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Ruidos Respiratorios/etiología , Vacunas/efectos adversos , Factores de Edad , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Ruidos Respiratorios/diagnóstico , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
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