Risk of de novo Hepatocellular Carcinoma after HCV Treatment with Direct-Acting Antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The aim of the study was to evaluate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after treatment with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and to compare HCC occurrence in these patients with that among patients treated with interferon (IFN)-based therapies. METHODS: We analyzed a large cohort with chronic hepatitis C virus patients for the onset of new HCC after DAA treatment. A historical IFN-treated cohort was investigated for comparison. RESULTS: A total of 819 patients were included in the DAA group. The median follow-up period was 263 days (0-1,001). Twenty-five patients (3.6 HCCs/100 person-years; 3.1%) were diagnosed with de novo HCC within the time of observation. No patient without cirrhosis had developed HCC. Patients with newly diagnosed HCC were mostly male, older, and treatment-experienced and had a lower 12-week sustained virologic response (SVR12) rate and higher levels of liver inflammation markers. The median time to HCC was 312 days (0-880). Investigation of the subcohort of 269 cirrhotic patients yielded an HCC rate of 8.9 HCCs/100 person-years. In this cohort, non-SVR12 was an independent risk factor for de novo HCC (HR 4.48; 95% CI 1.51-13.12; p = 0.007). Twenty-four patients (96%) with new HCC were Child-Pugh class A and 17 (68%) were diagnosed in early BCLC stage A. For the IFN-treated patients, we calculated an overall risk of HCC occurrence of 1.3/100 person-years (19 patients out of 351; 5.4%). The median time to diagnosis was 38.8 months (0-113). CONCLUSION: The de novo HCC rates did not differ between the DAA-treated patients and those who received IFN. Achievement of SVR is of utmost importance for HCC prevention.

Hypoxia Causes Downregulation of Dicer in Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Which Is Required for Upregulation of Hypoxia-Inducible Factor 1α and Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition.

Purpose: A role of Dicer, which converts precursor miRNAs to mature miRNAs, in the tumor-promoting effect of hypoxia is currently emerging in some tumor entities. Its role in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unknown.Experimental Design: HepG2 and Huh-7 cells were stably transfected with an inducible Dicer expression vector and were exposed to hypoxia/normoxia. HepG2-Dicer xenografts were established in nude mice; hypoxic areas and Dicer were detected in HCC xenografts and HCCs from mice with endogenous hepatocarcinogenesis; and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers were analyzed by immunohistochemistry or by immunoblotting. The correlation between Dicer and carbonic anhydrase 9 (CA9), a marker of hypoxia, was investigated in resected human HCCs.Results: Hypoxia increased EMT markers in vitro and in vivo and led to a downregulation of Dicer in HCC cells. The levels of Dicer were downregulated in hypoxic tumor regions in mice with endogenous hepatocarcinogenesis and in HepG2 xenografts. In human HCCs, the levels of Dicer correlated inversely with those of CA9, indicating that the negative regulation of Dicer by hypoxia also applies to HCC patients. Forced expression of Dicer prevented the hypoxia-induced increase in hypoxia-inducible factor 1α (HIF1α), HIF2α, hypoxia-inducible genes (CA9, glucose transporter 1), EMT markers, and cell migration.Conclusions: We here identify downmodulation of Dicer as novel essential process in hypoxia-induced EMT in HCC and demonstrate that induced expression of Dicer counteracted hypoxia-induced EMT. Thus, targeting hypoxia-induced downmodulation of Dicer is a promising novel strategy to reduce HCC progression. Clin Cancer Res; 23(14); 3896-905. ©2017 AACR.

High levels of the soluble programmed death-ligand (sPD-L1) identify hepatocellular carcinoma patients with a poor prognosis.

AIM: Immunotherapy in cancer is a recent and very promising approach, namely the inhibition of the PD/programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) axis. Here we aimed to investigate the prognostic value of a soluble form of PD-L1 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. METHODS: HCC patients were prospectively recruited and soluble programmed death-ligand 1 (sPD-L1) levels were determined. sPD-L1 levels were compared to stages of cirrhosis and HCC. The association of the sPD-L1 levels and overall survival (OS) was assessed. RESULTS: Two hundred fifteen patients with HCC were prospectively included. The median serum sPD-L1 concentration in patients with HCC was 0.5 ng/ml (range 0.03-6.04). Soluble PD-L1 levels positively correlated with the stage of cirrhosis and with stages of HCC. Furthermore, sPD-L1 correlated positively with a marker of macrophage activation (sCD163) and inflammation (C-reactive protein). The cut-off for high-level sPD-L1 (>0.8 ng/ml) was defined by sPD-L1 levels determined in a healthy control cohort. Patients with high serum sPD-L1 concentrations had an increased mortality risk (hazard ratio 3.340, 95 % confidence interval 1.609-6.934, P<0.001), while very low PD-L1 levels seem to come along with better prognosis. High sPD-L1 levels were associated with mortality independently from cirrhosis stage, alpha-fetoprotein and sCD163 levels in a multivariate Cox regression model. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that a high sPD-L1 level is a possible prognostic indicator for a poor outcome in HCC patients. The predictive value of sPD-L1 levels for a successful anti-PD1/PD-L1 therapy should be investigated in the future.

Cytokeratin 18-based cell death markers indicate severity of liver disease and prognosis of cirrhotic patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocyte death is an important factor in development and progression of cirrhosis. Cytokeratin 18-based serum markers reflecting apoptotic (M30) and overall epithelial cell death (M65 and M65EpiDeath) have been used as prognostic parameters for survival in patients with acute liver failure. However, there has been no trial investigating M30, M65 and M65EpiDeath as survival parameters in patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. METHODS: Patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and followed until death, liver transplantation or last contact. M30, M65 and M65EpiDeath serum levels were quantified in patient's sera. RESULTS: Three hundred and thirty-one patients were screened and 211 patients could be included in this study. The median duration of follow-up was 322 days with a range of 1-1382 days. All three cell death parameters correlated with the extent of the severity of the disease. However, M65EpiDeath was the only of the three parameters which was associated with the severe complications of cirrhosis including ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatorenal syndrome. Additionally, M65EpiDeath was the only cell death parameter which was independently from liver function and its surrogate parameter such as Child-Pugh score and the model of end-stage liver disease associated with overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Epithelial cell death reflected by M65EpiDeath serum levels is an indicator for the severity of cirrhosis and a prognostic survival parameter in cirrhotic patients.

Serum sphingolipidomic analyses reveal an upregulation of C16-ceramide and sphingosine-1-phosphate in hepatocellular carcinoma.

We have recently shown that major alterations of serum sphingolipid metabolites in chronic liver disease associate significantly with the stage of liver fibrosis in corresponding patients. In the current study we assessed via mass spectrometry serum concentrations of sphingolipid metabolites in a series of 122 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared to an age- and sex-matched series of 127 patients with cirrhosis. We observed a highly significant upregulation of long and very long chain ceramides (C16-C24) in the serum of patients with HCC as compared to patients with cirrhosis (P < 0.001). Accordingly, dihydro-ceramides, synthetic precursors of ceramides and notably sphingosine, sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) and sphinganine-1-phosphate (SA1P) were upregulated in patients with HCC (P < 0.001). Especially the diagnostic accuracy of C16-ceramide and S1P, assessed by receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis, showed a higher area under the curve (AUC) value as compared to alpha fetoprotein (AFP) (0.999 and 0.985 versus 0.823, P < 0.001 respectively). In conclusion, serum levels of sphingolipid metabolites show a significant upregulation in patients with HCC as compared to patients with cirrhosis. Particularly C16-ceramide and S1P may serve as novel diagnostic markers for the identification of HCC in patients with liver diseases. Our data justify further investigations on the role of sphingolipids in HCC.

Vesicle-associated microRNAs are released from blood cells on incubation of blood samples.

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) circulating extracellularly in the blood are currently intensively studied as novel disease markers. However, the preanalytical factors influencing the levels of the extracellular miRNAs are still incompletely explored. In particular, it is unknown, whether the incubation of blood samples as occurring in clinical routine can lead to a release of miRNAs from blood cells and thus alter the extracellular miRNA levels before the preparation of serum or plasma from the blood cells. Using a set of marker miRNAs and quantitative RT-PCR, we found that the levels of extracellular miRNA-1, miRNA-16, and miRNA-21 were increased in EDTA and serum collection tubes incubated for 1-3 hours at room temperature and declined thereafter; the levels of the liver-specific miRNA-122 declined monophasically. These events occurred in the absence of significant hemolysis. When the blood was supplemented with Ribonuclease A inhibitor, the levels of miRNA-1, miRNA-16, and miRNA-21 increased substantially during the initial 3 hours of incubation and those of miRNA-122 remained unchanged, indicating that the release of blood cell-derived miRNAs occurred during the initial 3 hours of incubation of the blood tubes, but not at later time points. Separation of 5-hour preincubated blood into vesicle and nonvesicle fractions revealed a selective increase in the portion of vesicle-associated miRNAs. Together, these data indicate that the release of vesicle-associated miRNAs from blood cells can occur in blood samples within the time elapsing in normal clinical practice until their processing without significant hemolysis. This becomes particularly visible on the inhibition of miRNA degradation by Ribonuclease A inhibitor.

Serum Sphingolipid Variations Associate with Hepatic Decompensation and Survival in Patients with Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Sphingolipids constitute bioactive molecules with functional implications in liver homeostasis. Particularly, ablation of very long chain ceramides in a knockout mouse model has been shown to cause a severe hepatopathy. METHODS: We aimed to evaluate the serum sphingolipid profile of 244 patients with cirrhosis prospectively followed for a median period of 228±217 days via mass spectrometry. RESULTS: We thereby observed a significant decrease of long and very long chain ceramides, particularly of C24ceramide, in patients with increasing severity of cirrhosis (p<0.001). Additionally, hydropic decompensation, defined by clinical presentation of ascites formation, was significantly correlated to low C24ceramide levels (p<0.001) while a significant association to hepatic decompensation and poor overall survival was observed for low serum concentrations of C24ceramide (p<0.001) as well. Multivariate analysis further identified low serum C24ceramide to be independently associated to overall survival (standard beta = -0.001, p = 0.022). CONCLUSIONS: In our current analysis serum levels of very long chain ceramides show a significant reciprocal correlation to disease severity and hepatic decompensation and are independently associated with overall survival in patients with cirrhosis. Serum sphingolipid metabolites and particularly C24ceramide may constitute novel molecular targets of disease severity, hepatic decompensation and overall prognosis in cirrhosis and should be further evaluated in basic research studies.

Improving Drug Penetrability with iRGD Leverages the Therapeutic Response to Sorafenib and Doxorubicin in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

iRGD is a derivative of the integrin-binding peptide RGD, which selectively increases the penetrability of tumor tissue to various coadministered substances in several preclinical models. In this study, we investigated the ability of iRGD to improve the delivery of sorafenib and doxorubicin therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using established mouse models of the disease. A contrast-enhanced MRI method was developed in parallel to assess the in vivo effects of iRGD in this setting. We found that iRGD improved the delivery of marker substances to the tumors of HCC-bearing mice about three-fold without a parallel increase in normal tissues. Control peptides lacking the critical CendR motif had no effect. Similarly, iRGD also selectively increased the signal intensity from tumors in Gd-DTPA-enhanced MRI. In terms of antitumor efficacy, iRGD coadministration significantly augmented the individual inhibitory effects of sorafenib and doxorubicin without increasing systemic toxicity. Overall, our results offered a preclinical proof of concept for the use of iRGD coadministration as a strategy to widen the therapeutic window for HCC chemotherapy, as monitored by Gd-DTPA-enhanced MRI as a noninvasive, clinically applicable method to identify iRGD-reactive tumors.

Low 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels Are Associated with Infections and Mortality in Patients with Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Vitamin D, best known to regulate bone mineralization, has numerous additional roles including regulation inflammatory pathways. Recently, an increased incidence of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (25(OH)D3) deficiency has been found in subjects suffering from liver diseases. We here investigated if low vitamin D levels might be associated with prognosis, inflammation and infectious complications in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study investigating the relation between 25(OH)D3 levels and stages of cirrhosis, mortality and complications of cirrhosis, including infections. RESULTS: 251 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled into the present prospective cohort study. 25(OH)D3 levels were quantified by radioimmunoassay from serum samples obtained at study inclusion. The mean follow-up time was 411 ± 397 days with a range of 1-1382 days. 30 (12.0%) patients underwent liver transplantation and 85 (33.8%) individuals died within the study. The mean serum 25(OH)D3 concentration was 8.93 ± 7.1 ng/ml with a range of 1.0 to 46.0 ng/ml. 25(OH)D3 levels differed significantly between Child Pugh scores and showed a negative correlation with the model of end stage liver disease (MELD) score. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis and infectious complications, had significantly lower 25(OH)D3 levels compared to subjects without complications. Low 25(OH)D3 was associated with mortality in uni- as well as multivariate Cox regression models. CONCLUSIONS: 25(OH)D3 deficiency is associated with advanced liver disease and low 25(OH)D3 levels are an indicator for a poor outcome and are associated with infectious complications.

No Distal Migration in Unfixed Versus Fixed Cell Structure Covered Self-Expanding Metal Stents for Treatment of Benign Biliary Disease.

BACKGROUND: Fully covered self-expandable metal stents (FCSEMS) are increasingly used for treatment of benign common bile duct (CBD) stricture or leakage, but dislodgement of FCSEMS is frequent. AIMS: To compare dislocation rate and clinical outcome of a standard fixed cell structure FCSEMS (S-FCSEMS) to a novel FCSEMS with an unfixed cell structure (N-FCSEMS). METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients with FCSEMS insertion for benign biliary disease at our Hospital from 03/2008 to 03/2014. Both stent types N-FCSEMS and S-FCSEMS were applied as available unrelated to the indication. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients (S-FCSEMS: 18, N-FCSEMS: 11) were included. Stent placement was technically successful in 28/29 (96.6 %) patients; stent removal was successful in 26/27 (96.2 %). Two patients with N-FCSEMS were excluded due to unsuccessful placement and withdrawal of consent for stent removal, respectively. Stent migration into the duodenum (distal migration) was observed in 9/18 (50 %) in the S-FCSEMS group compared to 0/9 in the N-FCSEMS (p < 0.005). FCSEMS migration into the CBD (proximal migration) was found in 2/18 (11 %, S-FCSEMS) versus 2/9 (22 %, N-FCSEMS, p = 0.514). A foreshortening of the N-FCSEMS occurred in 3/9 patients (33 %) compared to 0/18 S-FCSEMS (p = 0.08). Clinical resolution of the treated CBD-disease was observed in 5/9 (56 %, N-FCSEMS) versus 12/18 (67 %, S-FCSEMS) at the time of stent removal (p = 0.604) and in 0/9 and 10/18 (56 %) cases during follow-up, respectively (p < 0.005). CONCLUSION: An unfixed cell structure of FCSEMS seems to prevent distal migration, but proximal migration still occurs and foreshortening of the N-FCSEMS constrains clinical outcome.

Telaprevir drug monitoring during antiviral therapy of hepatitis C graft infection after liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recurrence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after orthotopical liver transplantation (OLT) is common and associated with reduced graft and patient survival. The protease inhibitor telaprevir may enhance virological response rates in patients after OLT in combination with pegylated interferon-alfa and ribavirin. Pharmacokinetic studies have shown significant drug-drug interactions between telaprevir and immunosuppression (IS), but telaprevir pharmacokinetics in OLT patients with IS are unknown. Aim of the present study was to analyse telaprevir plasma concentrations in patients with HCV genotype 1 infection after OLT in comparison to patients without OLT and IS. METHODS: Five patients with HCV genotype 1 infection after OLT and 37 HCV genotype 1-infected patients patients without prior OLT were treated with telaprevir 2250 mg daily, ribavirin 1000/1200 mg daily and pegylated interferon-alfa-2a 180 µg once weekly (triple therapy). Telaprevir plasma concentrations were analysed by liquid chromatography-electrospray-ionization-tandem mass spectrometry. HCV RNA was assessed by automatized reverse-transcription polymerase chain-reaction. RESULTS: Median (range) telaprevir plasma concentrations of TW 4, 8 and 12 were 3970 (1980-4430) ng/ml and 2520 (1870-8730) ng/ml in patients after OLT and ciclosporin- or tacrolimus-based IS, respectively, as compared to 2790 (1870-3140) in non-OLT patients (P = 0.3). In one patient with tacrolimus-based IS, telaprevir dose had to be adjusted to achieve virological response. Telaprevir plasma concentrations were steady at treatment weeks 4, 8 and 12 in patients with and without IS. CONCLUSIONS: Telaprevir drug monitoring may be necessary in patients with tacrolimus-based IS in patients with HCV graft infection after OLT.

A novel, stiff-shaft, flexible-tip guidewire for cannulation of biliary stricture during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography: a randomized trial.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: During endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), a guidewire is used to cannulate biliary strictures and allow for therapeutic interventions. The aim of this study was to assess the success of stricture cannulation using a combination of a flexible guidewire and a stable nitinol wire vs. a novel, single, stiff-shaft, flexible-tip guidewire. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive patients who were scheduled for ERCP for biliary obstruction were randomized to undergo the procedure with either a 260-cm long, angled-tip hydrophilic wire in combination with a nitinol wire as required (standard group), or a novel, 270-cm guidewire featuring a hyperflexible, hydrophilic tip with a stiff shaft (novel group). At unsuccessful negotiation of the stricture, patients in the standard group were switched to the novel guidewire and vice versa ("crossover"). Successful cannulation (primary success: as assigned; final success: after "crossover"), procedure time, and total number of wires needed per procedure were compared. RESULTS: A total of 222 patients were randomized and 197 were included in the study (97 in the standard group and 100 in the novel group). The primary success rate was significantly higher in the novel group (94/100, 94 %) compared with the standard group (77/97, 79 %; P = 0.00041), and final success was similar. Mean time (median, interquartile range) to stricture cannulation was 11.2 minutes (6.3, 3.7 - 14.6) in the standard group and 8.1 minutes (2.5, 0.9 - 7.7) in the novel group (P < 0.0001). The mean total procedure time was 31.2 minutes (24.6, 16.5 - 40.8) vs. 24.3 minutes (16.9, 10.0 - 31.5), respectively (P = 0.0011). There were no complications observed with either of the guidewires. CONCLUSIONS: A guidewire that features a flexible tip with a stable shaft could replace the use of a combination of flexible and stable guidewires and increase the success rate of stricture cannulation while decreasing the procedure time.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT 01382680.

Serum autotaxin is a parameter for the severity of liver cirrhosis and overall survival in patients with liver cirrhosis--a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Autotaxin (ATX) and its product lysophosphatidic acid (LPA) are considered to be involved in the development of liver fibrosis and elevated levels of serum ATX have been found in patients with hepatitis C virus associated liver fibrosis. However, the clinical role of systemic ATX in the stages of liver cirrhosis was unknown. Here we investigated the relation of ATX serum levels and severity of cirrhosis as well as prognosis of cirrhotic patients. METHODS: Patients with liver cirrhosis were prospectively enrolled and followed until death, liver transplantation or last contact. Blood samples drawn at the day of inclusion in the study were assessed for ATX content by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. ATX levels were correlated with the stage as well as complications of cirrhosis. The prognostic value of ATX was investigated by uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. LPA concentration was determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. RESULTS: 270 patients were enrolled. Subjects with liver cirrhosis showed elevated serum levels of ATX as compared to healthy subjects (0.814±0.42 mg/l vs. 0.258±0.40 mg/l, P<0.001). Serum ATX levels correlated with the Child-Pugh stage and the MELD (model of end stage liver disease) score and LPA levels (r = 0.493, P = 0.027). Patients with hepatic encephalopathy (P = 0.006), esophageal varices (P = 0.002) and portal hypertensive gastropathy (P = 0.008) had higher ATX levels than patients without these complications. Low ATX levels were a parameter independently associated with longer overall survival (hazard ratio 0.575, 95% confidence interval 0.365-0.905, P = 0.017). CONCLUSION: Serum ATX is an indicator for the severity of liver disease and the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.

Single measurement of hemoglobin predicts outcome of HCC patients.

Anemia is a common complication in several types of cancer including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prognostic potential of hemoglobin (Hb) levels has not yet been investigated in HCC patients. One hundred and ninety-nine patients were prospectively recruited and Hb levels were determined. Hb levels were compared to the stages of liver cirrhosis and HCC stages. The association of the Hb levels and overall survival (OS) was assessed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. The relation of Hb levels and OS was further validated in an independent cohort of 87 HCC patients. Hb levels negatively correlated with the stage of liver cirrhosis (model of end stage liver disease score and Child-Pugh stage) and differed between stages of HCC. Low Hb levels (≤ 13 g/dl) were associated with higher mortality in the test [hazard ratio (HR) 2.422, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.357-4.322, P = 0.003] as well in the validation cohort (HR 2.486, 95 % CI 1.097-5.632, P = 0.029) in univariate Cox regression model. Low Hb levels were associated with mortality independently from the tumor stage, age, gender and the C-reactive protein levels in a multivariate Cox regression model. Anemia should be considered as a risk factor for mortality in HCC patients.

Differential stability of cell-free circulating microRNAs: implications for their utilization as biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: MicroRNAs circulating in the blood, stabilized by complexation with proteins and/or additionally by encapsulation in lipid vesicles, are currently being evaluated as biomarkers. The consequences of their differential association with lipids/vesicles for their stability and use as biomarkers are largely unexplored and are subject of the present study. METHODS: The levels of a set of selected microRNAs were determined by quantitative reverse-transcription PCR after extraction from sera or vesicle- and non-vesicle fractions prepared from sera. The stability of these microRNAs after incubation with RNase A or RNase inhibitor, an inhibitor of RNase A family enzymes was studied. RESULTS: The levels of microRNA-1 and microRNA-122, but not those of microRNA-16, microRNA-21 and microRNA-142-3p, declined significantly during a 5-h incubation of the sera. RNase inhibitor prevented the loss of microRNAs in serum as well as the degradation of microRNA-122, a microRNA not expressed in blood cells, in whole blood. Stabilization of microRNA-122 was also achieved by hemolysis. Prolonged incubation of the sera led to enrichment of vesicle-associated relative to non-vesicle-associated microRNAs. Vesicle-associated microRNAs were more resistant to RNase A treatment than the respective microRNAs not associated with vesicles. CONCLUSIONS: Serum microRNAs showed differential stability upon prolonged incubation. RNase inhibitor might be useful to robustly preserve the pattern of cell-free circulating microRNAs. In the case of microRNAs not expressed in blood cells this can also be achieved by hemolysis. Vesicle-associated microRNAs appeared to be more stable than those not associated with vesicles, which might be useful to disclose additional biomarker properties of miRNAs.

Baseline MELD score predicts hepatic decompensation during antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C and advanced cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: In patients with advanced liver cirrhosis due to chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection antiviral therapy with peginterferon and ribavirin is feasible in selected cases only due to potentially life-threatening side effects. However, predictive factors associated with hepatic decompensation during antiviral therapy are poorly defined. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study, 68 patients with HCV-associated liver cirrhosis (mean MELD score 9.18 ± 2.72) were treated with peginterferon and ribavirin. Clinical events indicating hepatic decompensation (onset of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, hospitalization) as well as laboratory data were recorded at baseline and during a follow up period of 72 weeks after initiation of antiviral therapy. To monitor long term sequelae of end stage liver disease an extended follow up for HCC development, transplantation and death was applied (240 weeks, ± SD 136 weeks). RESULTS: Eighteen patients (26.5%) achieved a sustained virologic response. During the observational period a hepatic decompensation was observed in 36.8%. Patients with hepatic decompensation had higher MELD scores (10.84 vs. 8.23, p<0.001) and higher mean bilirubin levels (26.74 vs. 14.63 µmol/l, p<0.001), as well as lower serum albumin levels (38.2 vs. 41.1 g/l, p=0.015), mean platelets (102.64 vs. 138.95/nl, p=0.014) and mean leukocytes (4.02 vs. 5.68/nl, p=0.002) at baseline as compared to those without decompensation. In the multivariate analysis the MELD score remained independently associated with hepatic decompensation (OR 1.56, 1.18-2.07; p=0.002). When the patients were grouped according to their baseline MELD scores, hepatic decompensation occurred in 22%, 59%, and 83% of patients with MELD scores of 6-9, 10-13, and >14, respectively. Baseline MELD score was significantly associated with the risk for transplantation/death (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the baseline MELD score predicts the risk of hepatic decompensation during antiviral therapy and thus contributes to decision making when antiviral therapy is discussed in HCV patients with advanced liver cirrhosis.